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EUR/USD Loading for Takeoff? We got OB + Liquidity Combo.📊 EUR/USD 30-Min Smart Money Breakdown — May 15, 2025 Price is setting up for a high-RRR bullish reversal from a premium Smart Money zone — combining a textbook Order Block, Fibonacci golden zone, and uncollected Buy-Side Liquidity above. Let’s zoom into this sniper play 🎯👇 🧠 1. The Setup Recent bullish rally broke structure to the upside Current retracement taps deep into: ✅ 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone ✅ A confirmed Bullish Order Block (OB) Price currently pulling back for liquidity before an expansion move 🔍 2. Entry Strategy Entry zone: Between 1.11762–1.11599 (purple OB + fib confluence) Stop loss: Below 1.11500 (just under 61.8%) Target: 🔹 TP1 → 1.12283 (Buy-side Liquidity) 🔹 TP2 → 1.12930 (Weak High = clean liquidity pool) ➡️ This gives a solid 1:3+ RRR if managed well with confirmation 📉 3. Smart Money Logic Price is engineered to draw down into OB, liquidate early longs Then Smart Money steps in, pushing price upward into inefficiencies + liquidity Sell-side gets cleared, buy-side becomes the magnet ⚠️ 4. Caution Points Wait for bullish confirmation on the 5m–15m inside the OB zone Avoid early longs — let the trap complete! Monitor USD news or macro catalysts that could spike volatility This is how Smart Money traps are laid out: grab liquidity → rebalance price → expand into inefficiency zones. If you're trading SMC without waiting for the OB reaction, you’re just gambling with smart money’s leftovers. 🍽️💸 💬 Drop a “📈” if you're watching this OB level! 📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and liquidity-based trades!
Long
by ChartNinjas88
4 Profitable Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know Forex, GOLD In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument. 1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within. Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market. Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest. Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag. Target - the next key resistance. Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated. 2️⃣Ascending Triangle Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously. The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline. Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers. Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest. Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle. Target - the next strong resistance. Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD. Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal. 3️⃣Falling Wedge That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern. The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time. Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge. Stop loss is strictly below its lows. Target - the next key resistance. GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend. You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary. 4️⃣Horizontal Range Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend. The price starts consolidation , then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel. Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal. Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest. Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range. Target - the next strong resistance. Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend. Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally. The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/AUD: Rebound or Continuation of the Drop?EUR/AUD is in a critical situation after a strong bearish trend that pushed the price into a key support area. Analyzing the daily chart, we can observe that the price is testing a strong demand zone, highlighted in blue, from which a potential rebound towards the upper supply zone (in red) could emerge. The retail sentiment confirms strong short pressure, with 82% of traders positioned on the downside. This excess pessimism suggests, from a contrarian perspective, a possible rebound. Additionally, the oscillator indicates an oversold condition, reinforcing the hypothesis of a correction. From an institutional point of view, the COT data shows a slight reduction in long positions for both EUR and AUD, but with one detail: speculators remain predominantly long on EUR and short on AUD. Meanwhile, hedgers continue to protect themselves against a possible decline in the euro, demonstrating caution. In terms of seasonality, May has historically been a weak month for both currencies, but in the last two years, EUR has shown a slight recovery, while AUD has demonstrated signs of stability. Trading Strategy: Monitor the reaction to the support zone carefully. A bullish signal in this area could pave the way for a rebound towards the upper resistance. However, a bearish breakout would confirm the ongoing downward trend.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT Time-Frame: 1W (log scale) Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions Date of publish: 17 May 2025 1️⃣ Macro Context Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind. 2️⃣ Projected Path Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension. 3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching: $255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel $215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend. 4️⃣ Invalidation Levels Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K. Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias. 5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice) Leg Entry TP(s) Stop Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K 📝 Take-aways Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K. Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit. Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility. ⚠️ This is an educational study,
Long
by AKAmaestro
USD/CAD: The US Dollar in a Trap! Ready for a Rebound?Technical Overview: The monthly chart of USD/CAD shows a weakening phase of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. Currently, the price is located at a key support zone around 1.3800. The RSI suggests a potential technical rebound, but the bearish structure remains intact until the resistance at 1.4000 is broken. Seasonality: According to seasonal trend data, the month of May historically shows a slightly positive trend for USD/CAD: 20 years: +0.0017 15 years: -0.0027 10 years: +0.0014 5 years: +0.0039 2 years: -0.0020 This trend highlights a historical short-term weakness (2 years), while over longer periods, the movement is marginally positive. COT Report: COT data shows an increase in long positions on the dollar (+2,158 contracts), while short positions also increased (+2,817 contracts). This suggests uncertainty among institutional traders, with a slight inclination towards short positions. Market Sentiment: Data indicates that 65% of retail traders are short on USD/CAD, while only 35% are long. This could signal a potential squeeze if the price breaks above resistance levels. Operational Conclusion: Considering the bearish pressure and technical structure, a prudent strategy could include: Long Entry: Above 1.4000 with confirmation on lower timeframes. Stop Loss: Below 1.3800 to minimize exposure to false breakouts. Primary Target: 1.4200, then 1.4400. Alternative Strategy: If the price rejects the 1.4000 resistance, consider shorting towards 1.3700.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
GBPJPY - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈As per our last GBPJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the lower bound of the rising blue channel. What's next? GBPJPY is currently approaching the upper bound of its falling trend marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
EURUSD - Shift In Momentum Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After breaking below the structure marked in orange, EURUSD's momentum has been shifted from bullish to bearish. EURUSD is currently rejecting the upper bound of its falling channel marked in red. Moreover, it is retesting the orange structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum. As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on: Key Technical Factors: Rejection from a prior structure zone Clean lower highs forming Breakdown and retest of minor support Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line) This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions. Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
by Mrshazee
ETH is still Bullish!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈This week, ETH has been in a correction phase. However it is still overall bullish long-term trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #ETH retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
PB Fintech (NSE: 543390) Trade Setup📈 Breakout Watch | Price retesting key pivot at ₹1,745 Momentum building with RSI > 60 and bullish structure. Ideal for intraday or short swing. 🔵 Long Entry Buy Above: ₹1,745 (Pivot breakout confirmation on 15m/1H candle close) Target 1: ₹1,775 (minor resistance) Target 2: ₹1,807 (next pivot) Target 3: ₹1,869 (final swing target) Stoploss: ₹1,720 (below previous candle low/support zone) ✅ Volume confirmation and RSI strength supporting move 🧠 Good for breakout traders looking for momentum continuation 🔴 Short Setup (if rejection from ₹1,745) Sell Below: ₹1,730 (on rejection + bearish candle) Target: ₹1,682 Stoploss: ₹1,745 📊 Indicators: RSI: 65.7 → bullish, near breakout threshold BB% B: 0.88 → strong bullish move near upper band
NSE:POLICYBZRLong
by rmhetre15
BTC Long Bias – Here’s the BreakdownEveryone’s screaming “99K dump” — I’m not buying it. Price swept BSL at the highs without touching the 30M OB that caused the move down. But instead of breaking down, it formed bullish structure and held. That tells me smart money isn’t done buying yet. 🎯 Entry Zone: 101K–102K (where price showed strength) 🎯 Target: 104,979.32 (previous 30M high + liquidity resting there) Price respected the bullish structure and gave the reaction I called off the demand zone. Now just waiting for a clean 5M entry with inducement + OB. Let the rest wait on 99K. I’ll follow what the market actually tells me. #BTC #SmartMoney #SMC #Inducement #OrderBlocks #TradeWhatYouSee Bless Trading!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Juicemannn
2025-05-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is in peak euphoria again but you would be buying at the very top on an Opex Friday. Like… Just dont. Enjoy your weekend. I expect a rather choppy session maybe even a deep pullback rather than closing the week on another green bar. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20600 - 22000 bull case: Bulls want a new ath and we are high enough, that they could easily get it next week. My count was likely wrong and W1 was not the spike from 16735 to 19388 but rather the leg from 17863 to 20277. That means we are in W3 and W4 is around the corner. I have many calculated targets around 23000 and as of now, there is no reason we can not get there. It’s a very tight bull channel upwards. Bears are not doing anything so the path of least resistance is up. Invalidation is below 20100. bear case: Bears need a miracle. That’s it. Best they can maybe get is a pullback to the bull trend line around 20700ish but I highly doubt that. If we print 21000 tomorrow, most bears would be wet and take their profits before letting them see burning away again. My assumption for tomorrow is a choppy session somewhere between 21000 - 21600. Invalidation is above 21600. short term: Neutral. Opex Friday, I made my money this week. Absolutely no need to throw it away tomorrow. Less interest in buying up here but bears are barely making money, so I’d rather sit on hands. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year. trade of the day: Longing the lower low below 21300 is the obvious choice. Market went sideways to up with higher lows for 4h. There were at least 4 big tails on the 15m chart which told the story.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
SHYAM METALICS – Breakout Zone Alert Price is approaching a key resistance zone (~₹950) after breaking out of a descending channel with strong volume and RSI confirmation. This setup indicates potential bullish continuation. 📌 Trade Plan: Buy above ₹955 Stoploss: ₹915 Target 1: ₹1,010 Target 2: ₹1,065 Sell below: ₹915 (only if price rejects resistance with volume) Reasoning: Price broke long-term downtrend Strong volume and RSI > 60 Clean resistance breakout in sight For Education Purposes Only
NSE:SHYAMMETLLong
by rmhetre15
XAUUAD UPDATE 15-5-2025This chart is a technical analysis of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) with a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Chart Patterns: 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: A clear falling wedge is outlined with blue trendlines converging downward, typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has tested the lower boundary multiple times, suggesting a strong support zone. 2. Projected Breakout: An upward arrow indicates a possible breakout from the wedge. The breakout zone appears to aim for the 3,473.994 level, marked with a red line. A potential rally target is highlighted in a yellow zone, between approximately 3,400 and 3,500. 3. Support & Resistance: Support: Around 3,122.690 (green line at the bottom). Resistance: Approximately 3,261.270, with further resistance near 3,473.994. 4. Volume: There’s steady volume activity, which could indicate accumulation before a breakout. 5. Fib Level: A Fibonacci retracement level around 0.793, often used to confirm reversal zones. 6. US Economic Events: Two U.S. flag icons suggest important economic data releases, which might trigger volatility and influence the breakout. Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish outlook for gold, expecting a breakout from the falling wedge and targeting the 3,400–3,500 zone. However, the movement could be influenced by upcoming economic data, so it’s essential to watch for confirmation before acting. Would you like an interpretation in a different format (e.g., simplified summary or trading plan)?
TVC:GOLD
by Mr_Zakrii
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Setup in PlayThe market has spoken and it’s whispering a potential bullish breakout . As seen in the chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out from a short-term consolidation zone after forming a solid base near the 99.00 region. Currently, it's retesting a minor support level (highlighted by the yellow horizontal line). Key Observation: Price is holding above this support zone with strength. If this level holds, I anticipate a continuation to the upside as marked by the white arrow. Target: The next major resistance zone lies near the 103.00 area, where price previously reversed. This becomes the logical next stop if the bullish momentum continues. What I’m Watching: Reaction from the current support zone Strength of buyers stepping in Any fundamental catalysts from USD-related news/events In trading, it's not about predicting, it's about preparing. This chart reflects a classic "break-and-retest" scenario often seen before major moves. Let’s see how this plays out over the coming days.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Mrshazee
EUR/USD Breakdown in May: Seasonality + Smart MoneyEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – May 15, 2025 EUR/USD is showing clear signs of weakness after a sharp rejection from the key supply zone between 1.1450 and 1.1600. Last week’s candle closed decisively below the 1.1250–1.1300 structure, confirming the failure to sustain bullish momentum. The RSI has also dropped below the 40 level, signaling strong downside pressure. From an institutional positioning standpoint, non-commercial traders are rebalancing: both longs and shorts on the euro have decreased, while spread positions have increased—suggesting hesitation and a lack of clear conviction. On the other hand, commercials remain heavily long on the euro, but this appears to be more of a hedging move than a directional bias. The US dollar is regaining strength, with new long positions added by speculative traders, aligning with the recent EUR/USD decline. Retail sentiment shows that a majority of traders are short, but not in extreme proportions. There’s a heavy cluster of long orders between 1.1100 and 1.1050, likely serving as liquidity targets for further downside movement. From a seasonal perspective, May is historically bearish for EUR/USD. All major seasonal timeframes (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y) point to consistent average negative performance in this month. The current 2025 trend aligns perfectly with this historical pattern, providing a statistical tailwind to the bearish thesis. Macro-wise, today’s key US data releases—PPI and Retail Sales—could significantly impact the USD. A positive surprise would further strengthen the dollar, adding downward pressure on the pair. Market attention is also focused on Fed Chair Powell's speech later today, which could add fuel to the current move. Conclusion: The macro, technical, sentiment, and seasonal frameworks all converge on a bearish continuation for EUR/USD. A weekly close below 1.1175 would confirm the downside extension, targeting the 1.0850–1.0700 demand zone. A break above 1.1330 would temporarily invalidate the bearish setup.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
MKVENTURES CAPITAL – Positional Breakout Setup📈 Buy Above: ₹1,700 (Breakout Zone) Stoploss: ₹1,630 Target 1: ₹1,790 Target 2: ₹1,880 🔹 RSI is bullish, above 60 🔹 Strong volume build-up 🔹 Near resistance zone – breakout likely 📉 Sell Below: ₹1,630 (Trend Reversal) Stoploss: ₹1,700 Target: ₹1,550 📊 Chart: Daily 📌 Strategy: Resistance Breakout with RSI & Volume Confirmation 💡 Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Good for swing trade) For Education Purposes Only
BSE:MKVENTURESLong
by rmhetre15