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How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview 1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump: The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs. 2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction: The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone . 3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution: Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone . This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply. 4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown: A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward. 5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall: The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount. Thanks for your time..
Education
by Naren_2410
Bitcoin may see $67k - Monthly timeframeHere is the monthly chart of the bitcoin. Based on price action analysis, we have a broad bull channel. We can see 2 price action signs here: 1- Second leg in the bull channel, we call it second leg trap 2- A climactic move to the top of the channel (biggest bull bar late in the trend) Given the context, there is 60% chance that we see the bottom of the climactic move, which is $67,000. The pessimistic perspective is that the bitcoin may see and test the bottom of the channel, around $50k.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ahmadreza94
BTC POTENTIAL TRIPLE TOP PATTERNhi From the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35 If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further. good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mytw0cents
US500 BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEhi Fundamental view The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market: 📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell. 💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies. 🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks. Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**. Technical view Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity. 🔍 **Breakout Confirmation** 1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**. 2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal. 3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection. 📈 **Potential Price Movement** If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**. Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.” good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by mytw0cents
1st trade analysis after long pause on EUR/AUDhello, my name is kirollos and this is my first try after long pause of trading. this is EUR/AUD currency. I know that most of bank are in holiday today but lets try this. there is a downtrend on high-time frame like 30min and 1h , and there is a corrective move (channel) on 5min time-frame. I drew fib level and the correction move reach the golden ratio between 50% and 61.8% , then I drew fib extension to predict the next move and I would be satisficed with 61.8% as my first take profit target. I my forecast that liquidity move to me side which encourage me to continue. feel free to criticize me idea .. I love to hear any thing from you but please clarify your idea to me to understand.
Short
by Kirollos97
Gold Analysis April 17Another day of half-full D candle increase but today there is a bearish wave appearing The h4 frame has shown signs of sellers jumping into the market and H1 also formed bearish waves. The bearish wave formed with support 3322. Breaking 3322 is very easy to form a strong bearish wave but the necessary condition is that the 3315 zone will have to be broken. If 3315 increases, 3338 is the zone that the Sellers are also waiting for. 3354-3355 ATH zone will still have a reaction from the Sellers before creating a new ATH. Trading zone when there is confirmation Price zones to pay attention to BUY 3315, 3293, 3275 Price zones to pay attention to SELL 3337, 3354
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading above the 52550 level then this bullish rally can goes upto 52950 level in opening session. This can be extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty gives breakout of 53000 level and sustain above 53050 level. 52950 level will act as a resistance for today's session. Any reversal can gives downside movement upto 52550 level. Any major downside only expected below 52450 level.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
CADJPY structures created, having bullish view Coming again on OANDA:CADJPY , analysis before this one closed manually, now having batter situation and sharing new view based on price action and patterns. Few times price is bounce on zone 102.450. Now we have BULLISH FLAG (better visible on 2,1H TF) and we have TRIANGL formation, tomorrow BAC rate cut and some pairs like EUR and GBP versus CAD looks like will go bearish. View is here bullish for this week. SUP zone: 102.400 RES zone: 104.250, 105.000
Long
by DepaTrading
ABFRL , 1D Looking Very good pattern and ready for Breakout and Nifty is also Showing Bullishness , So Breakout will be very Clear and Good Take Entry after the break of upper trendline and risk according to your risk taking capacity in Expansion Channel this is channel Pattern and Breakout in 1D time Frame . just risk 3-4 % of your allocation and Aim for 30% Maximum . You can book partial profits if it goes above 15% . if it closes below the down trendline , you must be not in the trade This is Just my point of View only Follow for More Swing Trade Ideas
NSE:ABFRLLong
by mahesh56a