GBPJPY 4h Long Setup Clear bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows intact
Price formed a bull flag after a strong impulse leg showing continuation potential
Breakout of the flag confirms momentum with aggressive bullish candle and volume
Entry : 192.459
SL : 188.167
TP : Trail 195.898
RR 1 : 3.1
Market is flowing with bullish pressure and breakout indicates wave extension
No counter structure in sight, trend continuation expected
Let the market breathe and move
Priceactionanalysis
Bullish Rebound in Action: GBP/USD Bounces Off Key Demand Zone!Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
Ideal for short to medium-term intraday trades.
Support Zone (Entry):
Price bounced from a strong demand zone around 1.32800, suggesting a potential long entry.
Stop Loss:
Just below the green zone at approx. 1.32700
Target:
Resistance zone marked around 1.34500, offering high upside potential.
Bullish Price Action:
Strong bounce candle at support — indicating demand pressure and a possible reversal.
Favorable Risk-to-Reward:
Wide profit zone relative to stop loss, high RRR setup.
AUD/USD Faces Resistance Rejection – Short Setup in Play!Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Analyzing intraday to short-term movement in AUD/USD.
Entry Zone (Supply Area):
Price entered the resistance zone near 0.64160 – 0.64200, indicating a potential short entry.
Bearish Rejection:
Strong wick rejection from resistance suggests sellers are active at that level.
Stop-Loss (Red Box Top):
Placed just above the resistance at 0.64296, guarding against false breakouts.
Target Zone (Demand Area):
Marked near 0.63560 – 0.63600, indicating a potential take profit level.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The green (reward) area is significantly larger than the red (risk), showing a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
Trend Bias:
Overall bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows, supporting short trade bias.
Trigger Confirmation:
Price rejected resistance and started falling, indicating short trade activation.
Gold Price Analysis April 30The market's D frame continues to maintain a fixed price range, with a dispute between buyers and sellers in the range of 3345 and 3275.
With the sideways wave in recent days, the possibility of creating a Dow and decreasing the price of Gold will be higher than increasing to ATH slightly. Gold has just reacted from 3000 candle wick area yesterday, which is also the old breakout area. Gold can push up to 3324 in the European session. If it does not break 3324, it is possible to SELL Gold to 3275. However, the sideways waves may have a relatively strong reaction around 3288 and the reaction area of 3300 is also weak but still need attention. If it breaks through 3324, Gold will find daily resistance around 3340 for the SELL strategy.
XAUUSD TRADE IDEA
Hi everyone,
here is my gold price movement forecast. My forecast tends to lean towards temporary strength for gold. Therefore, if there is a rejection at the trendline on the H4, I will wait for the price to come back to 3320 before shorting gold... If the price successfully breaks the entry price and makes a new high, I will look for opportunities to long towards 3402.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
TAO/USDT – Long Setup ActivatedA potential bottom might be in place here.
🔍 Key confluences:
– Strong CVD rebound (spot + futures)
– Funding rate turning positive
– Top traders ratio shifting bullish (smart money buying the dip)
– Open Interest stabilizing after a clean flush
– And above all: my Scalp Cloud Signal just fired a bullish confirmation ✅
🎯 Targeting a short-term move to the 365–373 zone.
SL clearly defined below the local sweep.
💡 Tool used: Scalp Cloud Signal by The Degen Company
— Precision tool for scalping and micro trend shifts.
US500 TRADE IDEAhi again
The US500 has shown strength by breaking the resistance at 5483.5 and is now at 5535. If the price reaches 5604.6 and a pullback occurs, targeting a temporary decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is a good strategy.
Fibonacci retracement is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might pause or reverse. The 50% level is one of the commonly watched levels by traders as it often indicates a significant turning point in price movement.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
OIL TRADE IDAHello
Hi everyone. Regarding oil movements, I see a long opportunity at the level of 59.61. If the price closes below 58.56, there is a possibility of a temporary rise before continuing to drop to 55.
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 30/04/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near 24450 level. Currently nifty consolidating in the range of 24250-24500 level. After opening if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24500 level then possible strong upside rally towards the 24750+ level in today's session. 24250 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside only expected if nifty starts trading below 24200 level. This downside can goes upto 24000 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(30/04/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. 55050-55450 zone will be consolidation for banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55550 level then expected upside rally upto 55950+ level in today's session. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
Gold Price in Key Compression Zone: Awaiting BreakoutThe 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) shows a clear symmetrical triangle formation, where the price has been compressing between a descending resistance zone (red) and a horizontal support zone (green). Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Support Zone (~3040–3080 USD):
This area has acted as a strong base multiple times, suggesting buyers are stepping in consistently at this level.
Resistance Trendline (~3310–3320 USD):
The price has repeatedly tested this descending resistance line but has failed to break above it so far.
EMA Indicators:
50 EMA (black line): Currently acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (blue line): Price is hovering around it, indicating indecision.
Projected Breakout Scenarios:
Upside Breakout:
If price breaks above the resistance trendline, a sharp rally is projected towards the 3480–3520 USD zone. This move aligns with previous supply levels.
Downside Breakout:
If support fails, we could see a breakdown toward the 3040 USD region, with extended targets near 3080–3040 USD.
Current Bias:
The market is consolidating, and a breakout is imminent. Watch for volume and candle confirmation at either the resistance or support to determine the next major move.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/04/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near 24450 level. After opening if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24500 level then possible strong upside rally towards the 24750+ level in today's session. Any downside or reversal expected near 24450 level. Downside 24250 level will act as a strong support for today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/04/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55550 level then expected further upside rally upto 55950+ level in today's session. 55050-55450 zone will be consolidation for banknifty. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
KFin Technologies LtdCompany Snapshot:
Sector: Financial Services (Mutual Fund Services, RTA)
Market Cap: ₹21,000 Cr
Current Price: ₹1,239.20
Debt-to-Equity: 0.06 (very low)
ROE: 39% | ROCE: 49%
Financial Highlights:
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): ~22%
Profit Growth (3Y CAGR): ~32%
EBITDA Margin: ~48%
P/E Ratio: ~35x (TTM)
Industry Avg P/E: ~30-32x
Recent Price Action:
Stock broke out sharply in April 2025.
Support: ₹1,180 | Resistance: ₹1,300
RSI near 70 (mildly overbought, but momentum strong).
Key Strengths:
Dominant RTA player with 70%+ MF asset share.
Consistent cash flows and expanding international footprint.
High operating leverage driving margin expansion.
Key Risks:
Regulatory changes (SEBI reforms) could pressure fees.
High client concentration risk with top AMCs.
Valuation & Recommendation:
DCF Estimated Fair Value: ₹1,280–₹1,350
Recommendation: BUY on Dips / Accumulate
12-month Target Price: ₹1,320
Investment Horizon: 1–2 years
📈 Verdict: Strong business fundamentals, steady growth, and low debt make KFin Technologies attractive for long-term investors. Minor corrections can offer better entry points.
For Education Purposes only
[TechnoFunda]IDFC FIRST BANK – DEEP DIVE INTO MULTI-YEAR SUPPORTTECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Ascending broadening channel structure
– Since the Aug-20 low (~₹15) price has traced a steady up-sloping trendline, touching in Mar-21, Feb-22 and now Apr-25
– Parallel resistance capped rallies in Feb-18 and Sep-23, defining a ~₹80–100 supply zone
– Channel slope averages ~30% annualized gains from support to resistance
EMA confluence and momentum
– April formed a bullish engulfing candle that closed above the 50 EMA (₹63.8), signalling renewed buyer conviction
Elliott-style wave count
– Wave 1: Aug-20 to Feb-23 advance into channel top (₹100)
– Wave 2: Feb-23 to Apr-25 retrace back to support/200 EMA (₹55)
– Wave 3 (projected): expected to carry price toward channel top again, targeting ₹95–100
Measured-move & targets
– Channel height (~₹85–15 = ₹70) added to support gives a potential target near ₹125 – bullish scenario only on a clean break above channel resistance
– Shorter-term target zone: ₹75 (minor swing highs) → ₹85 (channel midline)
Risk management
– Invalidation: monthly close below ₹55 erodes the uptrend and negates wave-count
– Use a stop 1.5× ATR below the Apr-25 low (₹50) for defined risk
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Revenue & earnings trajectory
– Quarterly revenue up from ~₹40 B in 2020 to ₹113 B in Q1 ’25, reflecting strong loan book growth and fee income diversification
– Net income swung from losses in 2018–19 to a peak of ~₹12 B in 2023, and stays positive at ₹3 B in the latest quarter
Asset-quality improvement
– GNPA ratio down from ~2.2% in 2020 to ~1.3% in Q1 ’25; PCR steadily rising above 75%
– Slippages have trended lower quarter-on-quarter, supporting margin stability
Margin & capital metrics
– Net interest margin at ~4.2%, above industry average, driven by retail and SME lending
– CET-1 ratio comfortably above 13% with Tier-1 capital buffer, enabling healthy credit growth
Valuation & catalysts
– Trades at ~0.4× book value and 10× trailing P/E vs sector averages of 1.5× and 15× respectively
– Potential rerating catalysts: continued NIM expansion, sustained reduction in credit cost, digital customer growth
MACRO & SENTIMENT CONTEXT:
- RBI rate cycle poised for cuts in H2 ’25, which could support credit demand
- Bank Nifty outperforming broader markets; institutional flows have rotated into midcap banks
- Relative strength vs Nifty: RSI on a monthly sits near 50, rising from oversold – room to run before overbought
TRADING PLAN:
- Enter partial long near current price (₹66–70)
- Add on break above ₹75 with conviction
- Targets: ₹75 → ₹85 → ₹95–100 (channel top)
- Stop-loss: ₹50–55 zone (monthly close basis)
- Trail stops above each new swing low to lock in profits as price advances
Long setup on AAVE📈 Funding rate is rebounding strongly → bullish sentiment returning, no overheating signs.
📊 Open Interest is rising again after a flush → healthy new market engagement.
⚖️ Top Traders Long/Short Ratio around 1.9 → slightly bullish but still neutral, no extreme greed.
🛒 Spot CVD shows a strong rebound → real spot buyers stepping in (very bullish).
📉 Futures CVD starts recovering slowly → futures are expected to follow the spot trend.
🔥 Kingfisher Data shows heavy short positioning → potential for a powerful short squeeze.
Conclusion:
✅ Confirmed entry after alignment across Open Interest, CVD, Funding, and Long/Short Ratio.
✅ Monitoring Open Interest and CVD for squeeze confirmation.
✅ Managing the position with a tight stop below local structure to minimize risk.
Gold Price Analysis April 28The D1 candle cluster forms a disputed area with a 100 price range from 3367 and 3267
The 3300 price range is having a price reaction. If the price breaks 3300 at the beginning of the European session, pay attention to the 3314 area to consider the price reaction of the European session for the SELL strategy around this price range. There is another area to pay attention to for the SELL strategy around 3343, breaking this area will reach 3367, the daily resistance zone.
The BUY strategy pays attention to around 3275 when this area is broken, only 2235 can be considered BUY. Absolutely do not block the ship when the price breaks 3275.