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Gold price analysis March 11⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on a modest intraday rebound from a one-week low and remain below $2,900 in Asian trading on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their impact on the global economy continues to weigh on investor sentiment. This, in turn, has supported the safe-haven bullion, attracting some intraday dip buyers near the $2,880 region. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar (USD) selling bias, fueled by speculations that a tariff-driven slowdown in US growth could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates multiple times this year, further underpins the non-yielding gold price. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold price is approaching the resistance level of session 2909 when breaking this zone waiting for the SELL zone in the European session at 2915-2918, the SELL margin is relatively wide. Support 2880 is still an important support level that gold needs more momentum to break this zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GBPJPY Price ActionHello Traders, Today's setup is based on the 4H timeframe. I identified a clear Quasimodo (QM) or Head-and-Shoulders (HS) pattern visible on both the H4 and 1H charts. After patiently observing market movements, I noticed that the price left behind liquidity and established a demand zone. I'm now waiting for the market to sweep the liquidity and retest the demand zone before anticipating an upward move. Always ensure you practice strict risk management. Wishing you the best of luck and happy trading!
Long
by SuvashishFx
Gold Analysis March 10⭐️Fundamental analysis The main reason for this weakness is the US dollar (USD) recovering slightly after hitting its lowest level since November. The USD's recovery was due to the market's reaction to the weaker-than-expected US jobs report, creating some pressure on the precious metal. However, growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will conduct more interest rate cuts this year have pushed US Treasury yields lower. This could limit the USD's upside momentum, thereby helping gold prices avoid a deep correction. In addition, concerns about the negative economic impact of former US President Donald Trump's trade tariff policies have also contributed to strengthening gold's safe-haven role. Therefore, investors may be more cautious before making a strong trading decision following the downtrend ⭐️Technical analysis Gold price at the beginning of the week traded sideways in the range of 2899 and 2929, with the fluctuations at the beginning of the week, it is quite difficult for gold to break through this price range. If there is a break from the lower range, gold will find the next strong support zone of 2882. In the immediate future, pay attention to buying around 2899 when there are signs that the candle has not closed above this range. When breaking 2899, just wait to sell today
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming. ✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution. ✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside. 🔹 Target Zones: 📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area). 📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact. Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside. EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness. 📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength. 📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data: Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance. Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events 📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF: 📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited. 📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment. 📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF. ✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Data: ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings. Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control. DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup ✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning. ✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase. ✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement. 📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750. 📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment. 💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
Short
by LDForex_
Gold Price Analysis March 7Fundamental analysis Gold prices saw buying pressure as they dipped below $2,900 before rebounding to a daily high in European trading on Friday morning. Investors were cautious and waiting for the key US jobs report. The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will have a significant impact on the USD's performance in the short term and could provide fresh impetus to gold prices. Amid the market’s anticipation of key economic data, expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates multiple times in 2025 – amid signs of slowing US economic growth – sent the USD tumbling to a multi-month low, further supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns surrounding former US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential impact on the global economy weighed on investor sentiment. Technical analysis Gold price is increasing in the early European trading session. 2928 will be the resistance level in this trading session. If the European session fails to break this zone, consider SELL signals to 95. Conversely, when breaking 2928, wait for retest and BUY signals towards 294x to SELL. NF trading range today is 2876 and 2945.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 6Gold price today will trade in the range of 2928-2900. There will not be enough catalyst for gold to break through this range, at least wait until Nonfarm. When breaking the range of 2929 and 2895, it will confirm a new trend of Gold. The 2915 area until the end of the Asian session cannot be broken, it can push the price up to 2922 - 2928 or if broken, pay attention to the 2912 area for a BUY signal and resistance. Today around 2900 when breaking 2912-2915 and retesting those resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
EUR/USD Long Setup – Institutional & Retail Flows Align This EUR/USD long trade was executed based on a confluence of technical levels, institutional positioning, and macroeconomic factors. Here’s the breakdown of the trade execution, market influences, and the Prime Market Terminal insights that supported the decision. 📊 Trade Execution & Technicals Entry: The trade setup was based on price retracing into a key Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a demand area before a bullish continuation. Confluence: A combination of trendline support, 50%–79% Fibonacci levels, and liquidity sweeps confirmed the setup. Target Zones: Price moved towards key Fibonacci extensions (-0.27 & -0.62 levels), which aligned with previous liquidity zones. Market Structure: Higher timeframes indicated a bullish trend, reinforcing the long bias. 🎯 Trade Outcome The trade executed as planned, with price bouncing off the retracement levels and moving towards the projected take-profit zones. Bullish continuation confirmed the validity of the setup, as institutional order flow aligned with the technicals. ⚡ High-Impact News That Influenced EUR/USD 📌 Economic data from the Prime Market Terminal showed major USD events: ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) exceeded expectations (52.8) – initially strengthening USD. Durable Goods Orders rose by 3.2%, reinforcing economic resilience. EIA Weekly Crude Stocks & Fed's Beige Book impacted liquidity and volatility in the market. 🛑 Impact on the Trade: Positive USD data initially caused short-term retracements, offering a discounted entry for longs. Market reaction confirmed a USD exhaustion, leading to EUR/USD bullish momentum. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Volatility data from the Prime Market Terminal indicated: EUR/USD ATR increased, signaling higher liquidity grabs and expansion. Liquidity Pools: Visible range analysis showed high-volume nodes near the Fibonacci retracement area, acting as liquidity traps before the bullish push. Institutional Order Flow: Increased volume and liquidity injection around key price levels confirmed smart money accumulation. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📌 COT (Commitment of Traders) Report Insights: Institutional Traders: Increased long positions on EUR/USD, signaling confidence in the bullish move. Retail Sentiment: Majority of retail traders were short, fueling a short squeeze that propelled price higher. Market Depth Data: Prime Market Terminal showed institutional buy orders stacking near the key demand zone, reinforcing the long setup’s strength. 🔥 Conclusion ✅ The confluence of technicals, fundamental news, volatility data, and institutional flows provided a high-probability long setup on EUR/USD. ✅ Key Takeaway: Combining macro analysis with technicals and liquidity insights can increase the accuracy of trade setups. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
Long
by LDForex_
Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190). 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum. ✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks. ✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation. 🔹 Target Zones: 📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high). 📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern. Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure. Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment. 🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend. 📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze. 📌 Liquidity Data: Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest. Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events 📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD: 📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD. 📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback. 📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold. ✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis: ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility. High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area. Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup ✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias. ✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement. ✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LDForex_
USD/JPY – Precision Short Trade Breakdown🔥 Executed a precise short trade on USD/JPY this morning, aligning with institutional order flow and Prime Market Terminal insights. Here’s the full breakdown of how this setup played out! 🔍 Trade Setup & Analysis: 📌 Entry: 149.300 – Price rejected a key supply zone & Fibonacci retracement level. 📌 Stop Loss: 149.558 – Above key liquidity & invalidation area. 📌 Take Profit: 148.504 (first TP), 148.213 (final target). 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 📊 Prime Market Terminal Insights That Confirmed This Trade: 🔻 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow: ✔ Smart Money Report: Large institutions were heavily net short USD/JPY, with leveraged funds reducing their long exposure. Dealer intermediaries (banks and liquidity providers) also added more short positions, indicating further downside momentum. ✔ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Open interest showed a significant drop in long positions, suggesting weakness in USD/JPY. Hedge funds and asset managers increasing short exposure aligned with my bearish bias. ✔ DMX Open Interest: 66% of institutional traders were short on USD/JPY, confirming my sell-side setup. Short positioning had increased by 34% in the last session, reinforcing my downside expectation. 🔻 Volatility & Liquidity Insights: ✔ Average True Range (ATR) Analysis: ATR showed a high probability of an extended move, suggesting the potential for price to hit my targets. Recent daily ranges indicated USD/JPY had room to move another 100+ pips to the downside. ✔ Session Range & Market Structure: Liquidity grab above 149.300 supply zone, followed by strong rejection and sell-off. Previous session lows were swept, indicating smart money targeting deeper liquidity. Institutional orders clustered around 148.200, suggesting a likely downside target. 🔻 High-Impact News That Influenced USD/JPY: 📢 Japanese Unemployment Rate (Actual: 2.5% | Forecast: 2.5%) → No surprise, minimal impact. 📉 Business Capex (MOF YY) (-0.2% vs. 8.1% previous) → Indicated economic slowdown, weakening JPY demand. 📰 U.S. Economic Data Later Today: Redbook YY (USD) expected at 6.2% – could impact USD sentiment. Fed’s Williams speech on monetary policy could affect USD volatility, reinforcing our bias. 🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome: ✅ TP HIT! Price dropped as expected, hitting both targets with precision. 🚀 Perfect confluence of: ✅ Smart money selling pressure ✅ Liquidity sweep & supply zone rejection ✅ High-probability move from ATR analysis 📸 Prime Market Terminal Screenshots Included: 📊 DMX Open Interest → Confirmed institutions were net short. 📊 COT Data → Showed decline in long positions. 📊 ATR & Volatility Charts → Supported extended downside movement. 📊 Session Ranges & Market Structure → Confirmed liquidity grab & supply zone rejection. 🔑 Key Takeaways from This Trade: ✔ Trade with institutional momentum – Always check positioning before entering! ✔ Multiple confirmations = High probability setups – Don’t rely on a single indicator. ✔ Liquidity is key – Smart money moves price to hunt liquidity, trade accordingly. ✔ Fundamentals matter – Weak JPY capex data helped push price lower. 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY? Will we see further downside? Drop your thoughts below! 📊 Follow for more trade setups, market analysis & strategy breakdowns!
Short
by LDForex_
Avoid Market Maker Traps: Liquidity Sweeps & FVG ExplainedUnderstanding Market Maker's Perspective: Liquidity Sweeps and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) In this educational post, I'll dive into the smart money concepts (SMC) that help traders understand market behavior from a broker or market maker's perspective. This analysis will focus on liquidity sweeps, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and how market makers use these strategies to manipulate price movements. What is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when the market pushes through a known level of liquidity, such as stop losses or pending orders. This action often creates sharp wicks or sudden moves, typically engineered by smart money to gather liquidity for their positions. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Explained An FVG is a price gap between a consecutive bullish and bearish candle (or vice versa), leaving a void in the market. These gaps often act as magnets for price, as market makers seek to "fill" these gaps, using them as traps for retail traders. The Retail Trader's Perspective Many new traders view the FVG as a signal to enter the market, expecting price to move in their favor immediately. They often set stop losses below recent lows, providing market makers with a clear liquidity target. How Market Makers Exploit Liquidity Market makers often execute a classic trap strategy: Push the price up slightly to create a false sense of security for retail buyers. Execute a sharp move down to trigger stop losses and capture liquidity below key levels. Finally, reverse the price direction sharply to the upside, aligning with their true market intent. Practical Trading Strategy For new traders, understanding this concept can help avoid common traps: Avoid entering trades at the FVG without confirmation. Look for signs of a liquidity sweep, such as long wicks or strong rejections. Enter trades only after seeing a market structure shift (MSS) that confirms the true direction. Conclusion By thinking like a market maker, traders can align their strategies with smart money concepts, improving their chances of success. Always remain patient, seek confirmation, and avoid the traps set by market manipulation. This post aims to educate traders on avoiding common pitfalls and developing a more strategic approach to trading using smart money concepts.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by SuvashishFx