Gold 31 July – Bearish Bias Holds, Watching Supply ZonesGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 31 July
Market structure is now aligned across both higher and lower timeframes:
H4: Bearish
M15: Bearish
This alignment strengthens the probability of trend-continuation setups in favor of the dominant downtrend.
🔄 Current Market Behavior:
The M15 chart is currently in a pullback phase, retracing toward its previous lower high and approaching a key supply zone.
📍 Key Supply Zones to Watch:
Zone 1 – Immediate Supply Zone (3299 – 3305)
• First area of interest where price may react.
• If respected and followed by M1 confirmation, a short setup could be initiated.
• Watch for signs of exhaustion or sharp rejection.
Zone 2 – Higher Supply Zone (3326 – 3332)
• If the first zone fails, this becomes the next high-probability area.
• Well-aligned with the broader bearish structure — expect stronger reaction potential.
• Suitable for cleaner high RR short trades if price reaches this level.
✅ Execution Plan:
• Observe how price behaves inside the marked zones.
• Only plan short entries after M1 confirmation — this adds precision and prevents premature entries.
• Stay patient. Let the market come to you and reveal intent before acting.
📌 Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Structure: H4 and M15 both support downside bias
Zones in Focus:
– Primary: 3299–3305
– Secondary: 3326–3332
Execution: Wait for confirmation before entering.
Risk-Reward: Maintain 1:3 RR minimum (e.g., 40 pip SL, 120 pip TP).
Let the structure guide your setups — not impulse.
📘 Shared by ChartIsMirror
Priceactionanalysis
Gold Weekly Outlook (XAUUSD) -28th JulyGold Enters a High-Stakes Week
This week sets the stage for major moves in gold. The charts are signalling liquidity grabs, premium compression, and volatility driven by upcoming macro catalysts.
Key events ahead:
Tuesday: ADP Employment Data
Wednesday: The Fed
Gold is currently consolidating beneath a critical supply zone, suggesting potential for a breakout or rejection. We'll align macro drivers with Smart Money Concepts, ICT methodology, Fibonacci levels, EMAs, RSI, and Fair Value Gaps to craft a precise trading framework.
Technically, price action reflects a corrective phase within a broader uptrend. Confluence support from the ascending trendline and a key horizontal level is in play. As long as price remains above 3342, a bounce toward 3400 remains the preferred scenario.
The broader bullish structure and underlying momentum suggest that once this retracement completes, the uptrend may resume with strength.
🟡 – Summary
🔹 Macro & HTF View:
Bias: Bullish but weakening under premium supply
Key Events: ADP (Tue), FOMC (Wed) → potential for liquidity grabs
Indicators:
RSI divergence (75 → 66)
EMAs flattening
Unfilled FVGs above (3365–3405) and below (3280–3320)
Key Fib targets: 3405 (127%) and 3439 (161.8%)
🔸 Weekly Key Zones
Supply (Short Trap): 3350–3439 → heavy confluence, short bias unless W1 closes above 3439
Primary Demand: 3220–3285 → ideal for news-driven long
Deep Discount (Long Only if Panic): 2960–3050
🎯 Strategy Summary
Short Setup:
Target 3350–3439 → wait for rejection after news
Long Setup:
Target 3220–3285 or deeper
Look for wick rejections + bullish structure reclaim
Avoid: 3285–3350 → indecision zone
🧭 Daily Zones
Sell Zone: 3345–3415 → trap area with FVG + Fib + EMA confluence
Buy Zones:
3290–3320 (primary)
3240–3270 (deeper)
3000–3140 (only if USD spikes)
⏱ H4 + Intraday Bias
Bias: Bearish below 3350
Short Zones:
3365–3405 (rejection only)
3355 (flip zone)
Buy Zones:
3290–3310 (reclaim setup)
3250–3280 (panic flush)
📌 Key Intraday Levels
Resistance: 3405, 3385, 3375–3350, 3350–3340
Support: 3314–3302, 3289–3272, 3260, 3240
⚠️ Final Execution Notes
Stay out of 3340–3326 zone – it’s chop
Wait for confirmation candles (engulfing, pin bars, OB reactions)
Discipline over prediction. Sniper mode only.
Disclaimer: For educational context only.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis : Major Break + Bullish Setup + Target🟩 Today’s GOLD Analysis based on Volume Behavior, Smart Money Traps & Market Structure (MMC)
🔍 Chart Breakdown and MMC Concepts Explained:
1. Preceding Downtrend – Smart Money Trap Initiated
The chart begins with an extended downtrend, marking significant bearish pressure. However, deeper into the move, we notice price entering a Volume Absorption (VA) Zone — a key MMC signal where institutional orders quietly absorb aggressive retail selling.
This Volume Absorption Zone is highlighted on the left of the chart.
Smart money quietly positions longs here while inducing panic-selling from retail traders.
Wicks and indecision candles show early signs of sell exhaustion.
2. QFL Breakdown & Liquidity Sweep
The breakdown from the QFL (Quick Flip Level) is another hallmark of MMC behavior. The market intentionally breaks previous lows to trigger stop-loss clusters — known as a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt.
Price aggressively drops to a well-marked demand zone.
Massive bullish reaction from this zone confirms that smart money has completed accumulation.
The QFL move is not a true breakout, but a trap, designed to mislead retail into chasing shorts.
3. Demand Zone Reaction – Shift in Momentum
Price finds support at the demand zone (highlighted in green) and starts forming higher lows. This transition from lower lows to higher lows is a structural confirmation of market reversal.
Buyers have regained control.
Large bullish candles and wick rejections at key levels signal institutional entry.
4. SR Interchange Zone – Key MMC Confirmation
One of the most important zones on this chart is the SR Interchange area.
This level was previously resistance and is now acting as support — a concept known as support-resistance flip.
MMC teaches us that this is where smart money re-tests the breakout zone to trap late sellers and confirm the trend.
This zone is reinforced by:
Previous rejections
Retest with wicks
Alignment with ascending trendline support
5. Minor & Major Resistance Levels
Currently, price is attempting to break above a minor resistance at ~$3,330–3,332.
If it breaks, the next major target lies at the ~$3,340–3,345 level, marked on the chart.
This zone is crucial for short-term targets and may act as a profit-taking zone for early bulls.
Once this major resistance is cleared, the trendline projection suggests a continuation toward higher highs.
📐 Trendline Analysis
An ascending trendline is supporting price action. Each bounce off this line has led to higher lows — a clear sign of bullish intent.
Trendline + SR Interchange = Confluence zone
Traders should watch for bullish engulfing candles or strong wick rejections at this trendline area for re-entry or add-ons.
🧠 MMC Strategy Interpretation (Mirror Market Concepts)
This chart perfectly follows the MMC logic:
Trap retail sellers during the downtrend.
Absorb their volume at a key zone (Volume Absorp).
Sweep liquidity below QFL level.
Reverse structure with a shift to higher highs and higher lows.
Interchange SR zone to test buyers' strength.
Continue trend post-confirmation with breakout above resistance.
This is the classic "trap-to-trend" sequence smart money uses repeatedly in gold and other volatile markets.
✅ Trade Setup Summary:
Bias: Strongly Bullish (based on market structure shift)
Entry #1: Pullback into SR Interchange (ideal if price rejects 3,326–3,328)
Entry #2: Break and retest of Minor Resistance (3,332–3,334)
Targets:
TP1: 3,340 (Major Resistance)
TP2: 3,345–3,350 (Projection based on breakout path)
Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and demand zone (~3,318)
🧭 Final Words for Traders:
Gold is currently positioned at a critical junction where structure, volume, and institutional behavior all align. If you're following MMC strategies, this is a textbook scenario:
Trap ✅
Absorption ✅
Structure Shift ✅
Trendline Support ✅
SR Interchange ✅
Now, we wait for confirmation and execute with discipline.
USDCHF Technical Analysis – Potential Rejection from Resistance USDCHF Technical Analysis – Potential Rejection from Resistance
🔍 Chart Overview:
Current Price: 0.80456
Resistance Zone: 0.80760 – 0.81009
Support Zone: 0.79000 – 0.79236
Price Action: The pair has rallied into a strong resistance zone but is showing signs of exhaustion.
📌 Key Observations:
Volume Profile Insight:
Price has entered a low-volume area near resistance, indicating potential weakness in demand above 0.80800.
Resistance Rejection:
Price tested the 0.80760–0.81009 resistance range and failed to break through decisively.
A potential fake breakout or bull trap could be forming.
Bearish Projection:
If price confirms rejection from resistance, we may see a drop toward the support zone (0.79000 – 0.79236).
This would complete a classic resistance-to-support rotation.
Bearish Confirmation:
A bearish candle formation or break below 0.80350 can trigger short entries.
Ideal risk-reward favors a short setup here.
📉 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
Entry Zone: 0.80750 – 0.80950
Stop Loss: Above 0.81100
Take Profit Target: 0.79250
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.5
🔻 Summary:
USDCHF is trading near a major resistance zone with weak bullish momentum. If confirmed, a sharp reversal toward support is expected, making this a potentially strong short opportunity.
Will Gold Break Higher or Resume the Downtrend?Gold has been trading within a defined rising channel pattern, forming a short-term consolidation phase after a significant bearish leg. The current setup presents a critical inflection zone where Gold (XAUUSD) could either break out above the resistance trendline and major resistance zones or retrace and resume the prior downtrend.
Traders and investors should pay close attention to the price behavior around these key levels for possible high-probability trading opportunities.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Channel Pattern
Gold has been bouncing between a support trend line and a resistance trend line, forming a rising channel. This indicates a controlled upward movement or short-term relief within a broader downtrend.
Support Trendline: Has been respected multiple times and offers a key reference point for bullish continuation.
Resistance Trendline: Acting as a cap on the short-term rallies.
This pattern represents a state of consolidation and indecision, often preceding a strong breakout in either direction.
2. Major Resistance Zone Ahead
The region around $3,345–$3,355 is stacked with:
Previous supply zones.
Confluence of the channel resistance and historical price rejection.
Psychological level near $3,350.
This zone is the make-or-break point for bulls. A successful breakout above this resistance could open the doors for a strong bullish continuation targeting levels such as:
$3,370
$3,390
$3,400+
But without a convincing close above this zone, bullish attempts may get rejected, resulting in a pullback or even breakdown.
3. Immediate Support Zone
On the downside, $3,320–$3,325 is a key short-term support level:
Aligned with the lower boundary of the channel.
Previous breakout retest zone.
Demand area observed in past bounces.
If this zone fails to hold, Gold could witness a strong decline, with potential targets at:
$3,310
$3,290
$3,275
🧠 Two Scenarios for Traders
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Trigger: Price breaks above $3,355 and sustains.
Retest Opportunity: If price comes back to test the breakout zone with a bullish engulfing candle or pin bar, it can serve as confirmation.
Target Zones: $3,370 / $3,390 / $3,400+
Stop Loss: Below the breakout point or recent higher low inside the channel (~$3,320)
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
Trigger: Breakdown of the support trendline and close below $3,320.
Confirmation: A bearish retest or continuation candle adds strength to the setup.
Target Zones: $3,310 / $3,290 / $3,275
Stop Loss: Above $3,335 (recent high)
📝 Final Thoughts
The XAUUSD 1H chart is setting up for a volatile move as price action coils between strong support and resistance. The rising channel within the larger downtrend makes this an ideal setup for both breakout traders and trend followers.
For bullish traders, the best entry lies above the resistance trendline, ideally after a retest. For bearish traders, a breakdown below the support line confirms downside momentum continuation.
In either direction, a clear break from this consolidation channel is likely to deliver a fast, directional move. Patience is key—wait for a clean breakout or breakdown before entering large positions.
=================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
=================================================================
Gold Price Analysis July 30Gold (XAUUSD) Consolidating in a Triangle Pattern – Preparing for a Big Breakout
Currently, gold is moving within a triangle consolidation pattern, reflecting the market’s indecision as investors await a series of important economic data from the US this week. This hesitation suggests that a breakout from the triangle pattern could trigger a strong FOMO effect, creating a significant price movement in either direction.
The current price action is similar to a “bull flag” or “pennant” pattern, where a breakout could lead to a clearer and more decisive trend. If the support zone in the pattern fails to hold, the possibility of a sell-off is high.
Trading scenario:
🔻 Activate SELL order:
When price breaks the triangle bottom around 3324
Downside target: 3285, further is the strong support zone at 3250
🔺 Activate BUY order:
When price breaks and holds above the resistance zone 3333
Or: when there is a bearish rejection signal and candle confirmation at the area 3385
Are you ready for the BUY BTCUSD signal?✏️ The pennant pattern is forming. After BTCUSD reached a new peak, the past 1 week, BTC price has been accumulating to form a bullish pennant pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern that signals when breaking the upper boundary of the flag pattern.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Trigger: Break and trade above 199000
Target 128000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
DOGE Looking Strong as Support HoldsDOGE Looking Strong as Support Holds
🔹 1. Support Zone Validated
The chart shows Dogecoin retested the lower boxed region around $0.221–$0.223, and bounced sharply from that zone. Given the heavy spike in volume during the retest, this suggests aggressive buying and accumulation—a hallmark of bullish conviction.
CryptoRank
The Tradable
🔹 2. Fibonacci 0.618 Support Bounce
On the 4‑hour timeframe, DOGE held firm above the critical Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and delivered a strong rebound—indicating technical significance and buyer interest at this level.
Blockchain News
🔹 3. Double-Bottom + Trendline Breakout
Analysts have identified a classic double-bottom formation, with price clearing the neckline (~$0.230–$0.231) and then retesting it successfully. Holding this retest confirms a breakout, suggesting more upside ahead.
Crypto Basic
🔹 4. Whale Activity & Accumulation
On-chain data shows $250 million in Dogecoin accumulation by whales, especially around the support zone—creating a structural demand base and reinforcing the bullish setup.
CoinCentral
🎯 Price Targets & Key Levels
Scenario Levels Rationale
Bullish continuation $0.239–$0.241 union resistance First resistance zone—price must reclaim to continue bullish momentum
$0.260–$0.280 Reclaiming $0.241 could open room toward mid‑channel resistance or prior highs
$0.300+ Potential target if momentum sustains and broader breakout occurs
Bearish invalidation $0.223 support Invalid break below suggests fading momentum—risk of correction to $0.215–$0.218
$0.215–$0.218 Secondary support zone if expansion of sell side continues
⚙️ Trade Setup for a Bullish Bias
Entry Focus: Consider entering long near $0.223 if price retests and holds, with a tight stop just below support.
Stop-Loss Zone: Slightly beneath $0.221 to account for volatility.
Targets: Scale out around $0.241, with larger targets at $0.260–$0.280, and possibly $0.30+ on sustained strength.
Confirmation: Watch for rising volume, break and close above resistance zones, and bullish indicator alignment.
⚡ Market Sentiment & Broader Themes
Momentum Shift: A bearish retrace reversed quickly amid accumulation, suggesting strong buyer commitment.
CryptoRank
The Tradable
AInvest
Double Bottom Status: Analyst commentary supports a reversal setup, with targets toward $0.310–$0.46 if the neckline holds.
Crypto Basic
AInvest
CryptoRank
Macro View: DOGE remains within a bullish channel; some forecasts project
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Range-Bound Structure EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Range-Bound Structure with Potential Rebound
The pair is currently trading within a well-defined horizontal channel between:
Support Zone: 0.86400 – 0.86200
Resistance Zone: 0.87800 – 0.87600
Price is currently near the mid-level (0.86756), showing consolidation after a rejection from resistance.
Supertrend Indicator:
The Supertrend (10,3) is currently bearish (red line above the price), indicating short-term downward pressure.
Price recently broke below the Supertrend line near the highs, suggesting a correction is underway.
Volume Profile (Left Side):
Significant volume has been transacted around the current market range (Point of Control).
This indicates strong interest and fair value, often leading to sideways movement before the next breakout.
Bull Wick Highlight (Mid-July):
Indicates buying pressure from lower levels, acting as historical demand near 0.86400.
🔄 Price Projection & Scenario Planning:
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Rejection from Support
If price retests the support zone (0.86400 – 0.86200) and forms a bullish rejection (e.g., pin bar or engulfing), a bounce is likely.
Target: Resistance zone 0.87600 – 0.87800
Confirmation: Bullish candle + break of 0.86900 resistance.
❌ Scenario B: Bearish Breakout Below Support
A break and close below 0.86200 may trigger a deeper correction.
Next possible downside target: 0.85800
Volume drop and strong red candles would support this.
🔧 Technical Summary:
Indicator Status
Structure Sideways / Range-bound
Supertrend Bearish (Short-term)
Support Zone 0.86200 – 0.86400
Resistance Zone 0.87600 – 0.87800
Bias Neutral-to-Bullish (above support)
🧠 Educational Note:
This chart is a great example of range trading—where traders look to buy near support and sell near resistance, especially when there is no strong trend. Patience and confirmation signals (like wick rejections or volume spikes) are key in such setups.
DOGE/USDT Technical Analysis – Breakout AnticipationDOGE/USDT Technical Analysis – Breakout Anticipation
As of the current market structure, DOGE/USDT is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal from the demand zone (support), aiming toward the projected target at 0.27253 USDT.
🔍 Chart Structure & Price Action
Support Zone (0.21873 – 0.22568): The price has previously respected this area, making it a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in.
Resistance Zone (0.27756 – 0.29000): A key supply zone where previous rallies halted. This is the ultimate test for bulls after the breakout.
Current Price (0.23743) is showing consolidation above the support, suggesting accumulation before a move.
🧠 Technical Indicators
Supertrend Indicator: Currently flipping to bullish (10,3 settings), indicating potential upside continuation.
Volume Profile (VRVP): Shows high volume nodes around the support level, confirming strong interest from institutional players or large orders.
Market Structure: A higher-low is forming, indicating early signs of a bullish market shift.
🎯 Target
The projected move towards 0.27253 USDT aligns with previous price action and supply zone interaction. A clean breakout from the current consolidation could fuel momentum toward this level.
🎓 Educational Insight
This setup reflects the principles of Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Price tapping into demand before impulse moves.
Liquidity grab at lows.
Break of structure (BOS) to the upside could trigger continuation.
Traders can learn the value of combining structure-based trading with volume analysis to improve entry precision and confidence.
GBP/USD – Bearish Structure with Possible Short-Term Pullback📊 GBP/USD – Bearish Structure with Possible Short-Term Pullback
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Date: July 29, 2025
Price action recently broke down from a well-respected ascending channel, confirming a shift in market structure with a Change of Character (CHOCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS). Since then, GBP/USD has been respecting a descending trend channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows.
🔍 Current Setup:
Price is testing a major support area around 1.3300–1.3320.
A minor pullback is expected as indicated by the bullish wick rejections.
However, the overall bias remains bearish unless we break and hold above the 1.3353–1.3406 resistance zone and the descending trendline.
The Ichimoku Cloud and Supertrend both show bearish momentum.
📈 Potential Scenario:
Price may bounce from the support area and retest the upper boundary of the descending channel before resuming the bearish trend.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.33530 / 1.34063 / 1.34738
Support: 1.33200 / 1.33000
💡 Structure Notes:
CHOCH = Trend Reversal Signal
BOS = Confirmation of Downtrend
Cloud = Dynamic Resistance
XAUUSD Eyeing Liquidity Grab – M30 OB Zone in PlayPrice is respecting the ascending trendline and consolidating near a key resistance level. A bullish breakout is expected, with a potential retest of the trendline and the M30 Order Block (OB) zone acting as a key demand area.
📈 Trade Plan:
Wait for a minor pullback into the OB and trendline confluence
Look for bullish confirmation to go long
Target the liquidity zone above (around 3347)
📌 A clean structure and bullish order flow hint at a continuation to the upside.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down today, continuing its bearish momentum seen in recent sessions. The index is now trading well below the key resistance zone of 24,750–24,800, with a visible weakness on the chart.
A short opportunity may arise if Nifty stays below the 24,750–24,700 zone. Any pullback toward this level may face selling pressure, and fresh shorts can be considered with downside targets of 24,600, 24,550, and 24,500-.
If the index breaks below the 24,450 level, the selling momentum may intensify, targeting 24,350, 24,300, and 24,250- levels intraday. This level marks a critical support, and traders should closely monitor price action here.
On the other hand, a reversal can only be expected if Nifty reclaims the 24,750–24,800 zone with strength. In that case, a bounce toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+ is possible, but the reversal is only valid if strong bullish price action sustains above 24,800.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down, continuing its downside pressure from the previous sessions. The index is now hovering near an important support zone around 56,050–55,950.
If Bank Nifty sustains above the 56,050–56,100 zone after the gap-down open, a reversal rally can be seen with potential upside targets of 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+. This zone may offer a low-risk long opportunity, provided price action confirms strength.
However, if Bank Nifty remains below 56,050 and especially breaches 55,950, fresh short positions can be initiated with downside targets of 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-. A close below this support zone can accelerate the selling momentum further.
The market remains in a bearish tone unless a clear reversal structure forms above 56,050.
Gold 29 July – H4 Demand Holds, M15 Structure ShiftsGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 29 July
The Mirror is Forming at 3310: Structure + Reaction in Focus
The market has successfully held the H4 demand zone, particularly near the critical level around 3310. This level is not just another number on the chart — it’s an inflection point. A possible first higher low or swing low, from which the next directional leg in gold could emerge.
Yesterday’s price action swept liquidity beneath this zone and then showed a strong bullish reaction. This isn’t just a bounce. It’s a behavioral shift — one that hints at absorption of selling pressure and the re-entry of aggressive buyers.
🔍 Structure Alignment: H4 + M15
On the H4 timeframe, price has stabilized within the demand zone.
Zooming into M15, we now see internal price action beginning to shift:
• First, a Change of Character (ChoCH) — the earliest clue that momentum is starting to turn.
• Then, a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside — signaling potential bullish intent.
This multi-timeframe alignment — H4 support holding + M15 structure shifting — builds a strong case for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
📍 What Next?
The next step is to mark a refined M15 Point of Interest (POI) — a zone where price may pull back before making its next move upward.
We don’t chase price. We let it come to us.
✅ Look for Lower Timeframe Confirmation
Once price returns to your POI, it’s time to observe.
You’re not looking for obvious signals. You’re watching for subtle behavior —
a sharp reaction, a psychological flush, or a precise candle footprint that reveals intent.
The deeper signals aren’t always visible to the untrained eye — but they’re there for those who’ve studied the mirror.
( For those who know what to look for — this is where the sniper entry reveals itself. )
🎯 Summary
• Bias: Bullish — structure and reaction support long setups
• Plan: Wait for price to retest the M15 POI
• Execution: Only enter on confirmed lower timeframe intent and confluence
• Target: 120 pips (fixed, as per system)
• Stop Loss: 40 pips (always 1:3 R:R minimum)
📚 This is the kind of structure-based clarity we teach in The Chart is the Mirror .
Let the chart speak.
Let the structure guide you — not your emotion.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Bias is still Bullish However its month end Overall bias is still strong bullish, do note that its coming to end of month, either we pull back a bit or continues higher till end of month then pullback. Losing 23350 and 23300, probabilities of moving lower will higher since we had short squeeze move last Friday. Max Pain is 23020 can be use as a guide off futures movement.
"XAU/USD Hits Major Demand – Is a Relief Rally Brewing?"🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Demand Zone Rejection in Play | Bullish Correction Ahead?
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Date: July 25, 2025
Created by: AllyPipsExpert
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Dynamic S/R, Trendlines
---
🔍 Technical Analysis & Key Insights:
🔸 1. Market Recap – Distribution & Downtrend Confirmation:
After the Break of Structure (BOS) near 3385, gold confirmed a bearish reversal following the distribution phase at the top resistance zone around 3445–3460.
Bearish momentum was sustained by a descending trendline, paired with a bearish Kumo (Ichimoku cloud) crossover.
🔸 2. Major Zone Tagged – Key Demand Area Tested:
Price has now reached the critical demand block at 3320–3340, a zone that previously initiated bullish impulse on July 18–19.
The current bullish projection (in blue) reflects potential short-term recovery or correction phase, following oversold conditions and historical support strength.
🔸 3. Bullish Reversal Potential – Short-Term Retracement?
The blue arrow reflects a likely bullish retracement toward 3360–3380, aligning with trendline retest and potential Kumo rejection.
Expect sellers to re-enter if price retests former BOS/imbalance zone, creating scalp or swing sell setups on confirmation.
---
🔧 Confluences & Technical Highlights:
Confluence Point Description
Demand Zone Strong previous accumulation at 3320–3340
BOS Retest Area Key liquidity level now acting as resistance
Ichimoku Cloud Price below cloud = bearish bias maintained
Descending Trendline Reinforces bearish structure unless broken
Price Action Rejection wick at demand + potential short squeeze
---
🎯 Trade Outlook:
🧭 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Rebound → Long-Term Bearish Continuation
🟩 Support: 3320 – 3340
🟥 Resistance: 3360 – 3385 (BOS & Trendline zone)
🔁 Scenario: Bounce → Retest → Continuation lower (unless breakout confirmed)
---
📘 Why This Chart Could Be Featured:
✅ Multi-layered Analysis: BOS, zones, cloud, price action, and psychological zones used together.
✅ Forward-Looking: Projects the next logical market reaction instead of just explaining the past.
✅ Clean, Structured, Educational: Layout and visuals guide the viewer through logical trade steps.
✅ Value-Packed: Provides actionable levels and flexible scenarios — helpful to traders of all levels.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Educational Insight Key Observations:
🔴 Strong Support Zone (3,278 – 3,299 USD)
This zone has been highlighted as a key institutional level where buyers have consistently stepped in.
It aligns with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS), confirming its historical significance.
📉 Recent Price Action:
Price is retracing from the highs of around 3,439 USD and is approaching the strong support zone again.
A possible liquidity grab near the support is anticipated before a bullish reversal.
🔄 Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS marked indicate shifts in market direction and the presence of aggressive buying/selling phases.
These BOS events help identify trend continuation or reversal points.
🟢 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A bullish FVG is present, indicating imbalance in price movement where institutions may look to fill orders.
Price previously reacted positively to this zone, indicating unfilled demand.
📈 Target Area:
A clearly marked target at 3,440.487 USD, which aligns with Buy-Side Liquidity, suggests a potential liquidity run.
This implies smart money may drive price upwards after collecting liquidity below support.
Volume Profile (VRVP):
The horizontal volume bars show the highest traded volume areas, providing confirmation for key support zones and BOS reactions.
🧠 Educational Insights:
BOS (Break of Structure) is used by institutional traders to spot shifts in trend. It typically signals continuation or reversal when aligned with liquidity concepts.
Liquidity Zones (like buy-side or sell-side liquidity) often serve as magnets for price; smart money aims to trigger orders and trap retail traders.
Fair Value Gaps represent imbalances where price moved too fast; institutions may return to these zones to execute pending orders.
Volume Profile Analysis helps in understanding where the most buying/selling occurred—confirming support and resistance zones.
📌 Strategy Suggestion (For Learning Only):
Entry Idea: Wait for price to tap the strong support (ideally sweep liquidity slightly below).
Confirmation: Look for bullish engulfing or BOS on lower timeframe to confirm reversal.
Target: 3,440 area where buy-side liquidity resides.
Stop Loss: Below the strong support (near 3,270 level) to protect against deeper liquidity grabs.
📢 Disclaimer (Educational Use Only):
This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk; always do your own research or consult a financial advisor.