EUR/USD: Bullish Outlook with Key TargetsHey there, looking at the FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart on a 10-day timeframe, it’s clear that the price has been stuck in a range for almost two years. Right now, the price has broken through its 7-month high and is currently trading around 1.011. Personally, I have a bullish outlook for both the medium and long term.
⏩I anticipate that the price could rise toward mid-term targets of 1.11500 and 1.12800. After that, I expect the price to potentially continue its upward movement towards long-term targets of 1.14 and the Bearish Breaker Block at 1.15, especially if it breaks above the 1.12800 high.
To fully understand the ongoing trend, it will be important to observe how the price reacts to the mid-term targets.
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
Priceactionanalysis
XAUUSD 2.502.70 -0.06 % WEEKLY MULTI TF ANALYSIHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at GOLD from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GOLD WEEKLY TF
* We closed the week with a new high on GOLD.
* last week saw strong bullish momentum coming into play, looking for some cont. of this move.
* The weekly & daily TF show signs of bullish continuation on Gold sentiments are the same o that regard.
GOLD DAILY TF
* The strong bullish candle puts me in doubt of a deep pull back.
* But on the Daily we see a +FVG that could serve as IRL for optimal entries.
* With PO3 the weekly could have already played a JUDAS SWING so chance of BULL rallying are high.
4H TF
* On the 4H we are range bound we saw an agressive in & out of this range on the bearish side
* Break above could see us in a rally of new high.
* break below could mean we might see the 4h FVG mitigated.
1H TF
* Breakout will give the perfect sentiment on GOLD.
* CONTINUATION / RETRACEMENT
🤷♂️😉
* We will see what does the market dishes.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,BOOST & LETS TAKES SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT SOPPORT BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Gold Price Analysis August 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices remained on the defensive in early European trading on Monday, although they held above $2,500 and remained within striking distance of their record highs. Growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin lowering borrowing costs in September triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, dragged the US Dollar (USD) to its lowest level since January and acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the protracted Russia-Ukraine war contributed to limiting the decline in the safe-haven commodity. However, traders appeared reluctant to place fresh bets on Gold prices, preferring to wait for further signals on the Fed’s rate cut path. Therefore, the focus remains on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Friday’s breakout above the $2,470-2,472 horizontal barrier and subsequent strength above the previous all-time high is seen as a fresh impetus for bullish traders. Furthermore, the oscillators on the daily chart are holding in positive territory and are still far from overbought territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for Gold prices is to the upside. That said, the failure to build momentum above the psychological $2,500 mark warrants some caution for the bulls. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying above Friday’s time-allowed top, around the $2,509-2,510 region, before positioning for any further gains.
On the other hand, the $2,472-2,470 resistance level currently seems to protect the immediate decline. Any further decline is likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited in the $2,448-2,446 zone. The latter will act as a key pivot for short-term traders, a decisive break of which will open the way for deeper losses.
Resistance: 2509 - 2519 - 2533
Support: 2495 - 2488 - 2475 - 2470
SELL scalp price zone 2508 - 2510 stoploss 2514
SELL price zone 2532 - 2534 stoploss 2538
BUY price zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471
Gold Trade : Bullish Momentum AheadXAUUSD has been making bullish trend through 2041 making higher highs and higher lows and is holding towards the liquidity zone 2506 2505.Price action and market structure also shows bullish trend and also a double bottom pattern is evident around the 2380 2385 level indicating a strong support area. there is also a news which would support us in bullish momentum
Our technical analysis and market indicators suggest a positive trend for gold in the next trading session. Investor can expect a potentially lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the bullish momentum.
Gold may trade sideways at the end of the week☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on the previous day's positive move and are hovering between modest gains heading into Friday's European session. Upbeat US macro data on Thursday eased fears of a sharp slowdown in the world's largest economy and boosted investor confidence, undermining demand for the safe-haven metal. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with bets on the imminent start of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy easing cycle, supported XAU/USD.
In fact, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC policy meeting in September. This prospect, in turn, triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields and attracted fresh sellers around the US Dollar (USD), which turned out to be another factor acting as a bullish driver for Gold
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight failure near the $2,470 resistance level makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further gains. With the daily chart oscillators holding in positive territory, Gold could then aim to break above the all-time highs, around the $2,483-$2,484 zone hit in July, and conquer the psychological $2,500 mark. A sustained strength above the latter would confirm a breakout above a month-old trading range and could be viewed as a fresh trigger for bullish traders, setting the stage for a further near-term upside move.
On the downside, the $2,447-2,445 horizontal zone now looks to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,430-2,429 zone and the weekly low, around $2,424. Some follow-through selling could leave Gold vulnerable to further weakness below $2,400.
Resistance: 2475 - 2488 - 2500 -2509
Support: 2438 - 2333 - 2426 - 2421
Price ranges to note:
SELL zone 2473 - 2475 stoploss 2479
SELL zone 2498 - 2500 stoploss 2504
BUY zone 2438 - 2436 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2426 - 2324 stoploss 2420
GBPUSD analysis week 34Fundamental Analysis
The British pound (GBP) outperformed its major peers in New York trading on Friday. The British currency gained significantly as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that retail sales rebounded in July, as expected, after a sharp decline in June.
Retail sales are a key gauge of consumer spending. Strong consumer demand tends to drive inflationary pressures in the economy, so the data could dampen expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will opt to cut interest rates again in September.
The BoE's next monetary policy meeting in September could also be a tough call. UK service sector inflation fell sharply in July as wage growth slowed. However, the latest labor market data also showed a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate and the economy is clearly on the path of expansion.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.286 and 1.300 after posting a strong gain on Friday. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards last month’s high resistance around 1.304. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.286 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair needs to break the support level of 1.280 to really break the bullish structure on the current chart. RSI reaches the overbought level, indicating that the bullish momentum will continue in the early days of next week
Resistance: 1.300-1.304
Support: 1.286-1.280
Trading signal
SELL GBPUSD 1.303-1.305 SL 1.307
BUY GBPUSD 1.287-1.285 SL 1.283
SWING IDEA - VIP INDUSTRIESVIP Industries , a leading manufacturer of luggage and travel accessories, is displaying technical indicators that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
450-500 Strong Support Zone : The 450-500 level has been established as a strong support zone, providing a solid base for potential upward movement.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Daily Candle Engulfed 7 Daily Candles : The recent daily candle has engulfed the previous 7 daily candles, demonstrating significant buying interest and a potential shift in trend.
Golden Fibonacci Zone : The stock is finding support at the golden Fibonacci retracement level (0.618), a key area where prices often bounce back, indicating potential for an upward move.
Increased Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Target - 575 // 660 // 715
Stoploss - weekly close below 445
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
$SPX A bullish or bearish day? SP:SPX Based on the technical factors that emerge, we are right on the first finger to pivot out of the bear trend. We are officially meandering the bullish pull away with strong momentum right? But we've already have that on our side. Does that mean it will diminish? Or will it continue the alarmingly strong moment.
In this video, I will stay away from the SP:SPX , because the momentum will exhaust soon.
Short on $Gold: High Time, Low Risk, Big RewardWell, here we are again with gold! Sorry, folks, but the gold chart keeps popping up on my screen, and it’s just too tempting to ignore. So, I figured, why not share my insights? As a trader, it’s important to keep those technical analysis skills sharp, so here we go—I’m eyeing a short position from this point. The resistance isn’t the strongest, but it’s holding up well enough that it could push the price back down to the base. The risk-reward ratio is too sweet to pass up right now. Volume is low, so we might see some consolidation before any big moves.
If you like these ideas, don’t be afraid to click that 🚀!
Note: These insights are based purely on technical analysis.
XRPUSDT D Bullish Setup:50% fill of the FVG,POC,liquidity poolsTechnical indicators suggest growth. There is a possibility of a growth reaction from the 50% fill of the imbalance, POC, liquidity pool with a liquidity sweep below the previous low and the completion of a truncated fifth wave of Elliott. Liquidity pools have formed above, which will act as a magnet for the price. This scenario will be invalidated if the price consolidates below the POC. Then, expectations for the price are in the order block (OB) zone.
A valid setup CPI confirmed yesterdayHello everyone, hope we're all doing very well !.
CPI pushed price down to tap the H4 order block which price actually did reject with an H4 hammer candle that adds even more confirmation for the buy.
The SL which is just below the order block is 0.5980 (26 pips)
Entry is just around this place price is but since price has moved already you can enter at the current price (0.6007).
Use proper risk and money management and try not to over-leverage your account.
My Next Scenario for GoldHi guys,
Based on the chart I see that a triple top has been shaped and broken in 1H timeframe , and I consider the current up movement as a correction.
So Based on this scenario I put my entry point for this movement.
If you found my idea useful for yourself, please like and subscribe.
Good luck!
FTM/USDT LTF RANGELocally, I'm considering the formation of a sideways range between the 1-hour order block (OB), with targets below for a partial and full fill of the 4-hour fair value gap (FVG) imbalance, followed by a growth reaction. If there is consolidation above the local support level (SUP), I anticipate a sweep of the upper liquidity pools, a cover of the 4-hour order block (OB), and then a downward price movement to capture the lower liquidity pools.
SWING IDEA - APOLLO TYREApollo Tyres , a leading tyre manufacturer, is showing technical indicators that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
540-560 Resistance Zone Breakout : The 540-560 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now breaking out above this crucial zone, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent formation of a bullish marubozu candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Breaking 5-Month Consolidation : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase that lasted over 5 months, signaling a potential new bullish trend.
Higher Highs : The stock is consistently making higher highs, indicating a strong upward trend.
Trading Near All-Time High : The stock is trading near its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Target - 630 // 670
Stoploss - daily close below 490
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Highs and Lows Move Together: A Key Insight for Retail Traders█ Understanding Daily Highs and Lows in Trading
When it comes to trading, understanding the dynamics of daily price movements is essential. Daily highs and lows, which represent the highest and lowest prices of an asset within a single trading day, are more than just numbers—they provide valuable insights into market behavior, volatility, and potential trading opportunities.
█ What Are Daily Highs and Lows?
Daily Highs: The highest price an asset reaches during a trading day.
Daily Lows: The lowest price an asset hits during the same period.
Price Range: The difference between the daily high and low, which gives a measure of the day's volatility.
These metrics are crucial for traders because they not only reflect the volatility but also highlight the turning points in the market. A wide price range indicates high volatility, while a narrow range suggests the opposite.
█ Insights from Research
Research shows that daily highs and lows are not just random occurrences—they are statistically significant and can be forecasted with reasonable accuracy. For example, models that analyze the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range can outperform simple predictions based on past prices alone.
⚪ Highs and Lows as Important Levels:
The daily high is the highest price that an assets reaches in a day, and the daily low is the lowest price. These points are important because they often act like barriers in the market. If the price approaches the daily high, it might struggle to go higher, like hitting a ceiling. If it can’t break through, it might start to fall back down. Similarly, when the price gets close to the daily low, it might find support, like hitting a floor, and start rising again.
⚪ Market Reactions:
When the price reaches these highs or lows, it often reacts strongly. For instance, if the price hits a high but then drops, it suggests that traders think the price shouldn’t go higher, leading to a possible reversal. On the other hand, if the price keeps pushing against a high and finally breaks through, it could signal the start of a new upward trend.
In simple terms, the highs and lows act like important checkpoints in the market. Watching how prices behave around these levels can give traders clues about what might happen next.
█ Key Findings
⚪ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together:
The study found that the highest and lowest prices of oil each day are connected and tend to move together over time. This connection means that if one changes, the other usually does too. For retail traders, this suggests that tracking these levels can provide important clues about where the market might be heading next.
⚪ Price Ranges Indicate Volatility:
The difference between the daily high and low (known as the price range) is a strong indicator of how volatile the market is. A large range means the market is very active and prices are swinging widely. For traders, this could mean more opportunities to profit, but also more risk. Conversely, a small range indicates a calmer market with less movement.
⚪ Better Forecasting Models:
The study shows that by understanding the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range, traders can use more accurate models to predict future prices. These models outperform simpler methods that many traders might be using. For retail traders, this means there are better tools available that can help them make more informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of success.
█ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together
Daily highs and lows are connected and influence each other. This means that the highest and lowest prices of an asset during a trading day tend to move in relation to one another.
Imagine you're tracking the price of crude oil. On Monday, the highest price of the day was $80 per barrel, and the lowest was $75 per barrel. On Tuesday, the price went up, with the high being $88 and the low being $79. What the research found is that these daily highs and lows tend to follow a pattern or move in sync with each other over time.
The increase in both the high and low suggests that overall market sentiment is positive, and traders are willing to pay more, even at the lowest prices of the day.
█ What It Actually Means
⚪ Connection Between Highs and Lows:
If the daily high price increases, the daily low price often increases too, and vice versa. This doesn’t mean they are the same price, but rather that they tend to trend in the same direction. For instance, if the market is generally moving up (bullish), both the daily high and low prices will usually increase from one day to the next.
⚪ Why They Move Together:
This movement happens because the factors driving the price up or down (like supply and demand, market sentiment, or external news) impact both the high and low of the day. If there’s strong buying pressure, it will push the daily high up and also raise the floor, or daily low, as sellers adjust their expectations.
█ What It Means for Retail Traders
For new traders, understanding and using daily highs and lows can be a game-changer. These metrics offer a glimpse into market sentiment, help identify trading opportunities, and can form the foundation of robust trading strategies. By incorporating the analysis of daily highs and lows into your trading routine, you can make more informed decisions and improve your chances of success in the markets.
Understanding that daily highs and lows move together can help you predict market trends. If you see a pattern where both the highs and lows are steadily rising, it’s a sign that the market is in an uptrend, and you might decide to buy, expecting prices to keep climbing. Conversely, if both are falling, it might indicate a downtrend, suggesting it’s a good time to sell or avoid buying.
█ Reference
He, A.W.W., Kwok, J.T.K., & Wan, A.T.K. (2010). An empirical model of daily highs and lows of West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1499–1506.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound (GBP) has been on a rough ride lately, closing out its fifth consecutive week in the red. But a late-week rally brought some hope, pulling the GBP/USD back from its lowest point in five months. Now, all eyes are on the upcoming week, which is packed with key economic data and a crucial Fed decision.
In this video, we'll analyze the GBP/USD currency pair, examining the potential for a bullish rebound in light of the upcoming economic releases and the Fed's likely rate cut.
With the Federal Reserve's September meeting on the horizon, investors are keenly focused on the potential for a rate cut. Current rate markets have priced in the beginning of a rate cut cycle, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to meet on September 18. Although the probability of a 50 basis point cut was previously high, expectations have adjusted slightly. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, there is now a 53.5% chance of a 50 bps cut in September, with further cuts anticipated later in 2024.
Next week’s economic calendar is packed with key data. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll receive the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports, which could provide crucial insights into market direction. Additionally, US Retail Sales and updates from the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey will offer more context for economic trends.
Given these developments, the big question is: will the British Pound be able to maintain its bullish momentum as we head into the new week? Join us as we dive into the charts, analyze the current market conditions, and discuss potential trading opportunities.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.27500 and the ascending trendline next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.