EURUSD analysis week 24EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0850 following US inflation data. EUR/USD traded in positive territory around 1.0850 during the US session on Friday. The US dollar struggled to maintain its strength following the April PCE inflation data and helped the pair hold its ground at the end of the week.
The EU region's CPI consumer price index has begun to cool down, but according to March and April data, this index still increased around 2.4% over the same period last year in recent shares shared by the ECB President. believes that inflation in the EU area is expected to continue to decrease and the ECB can lower interest rates if they meet the inflation assessment criteria they have identified.
The price range of the EURUSD pair is getting narrower, showing that the long-term accumulation of the currency pair is about to reach a boom stage. Pay attention to the break out hooks 1,080 and 1,088 to get appropriate trend trading signals. When the price breaks out of the narrow range, important support and resistance levels will be quite far away. Above the old peak resistance level around 1,093 and in the opposite direction, the old Dow breaking support area at 1,074 will be a support area that investors trust.
Trading signals:
BUY zone 1.07400-1.07200 SL 1.06900
SELL zone 1.09300-1.09500 SL 1.09800
Beak out and retest: 1.08800 and 1.08000
Priceactionanalysis
GBPUSD analysis week 24📌GBP/USD eases from 1.2765, keeping gains modest. GBP/USD hit a two-day peat at 1.2765 during the US session, as US data showed core PCE inflation held steady at 2.8% yoy in the month Private. The pair retreated later as risk aversion triggered demand for the US Dollar.
📌The possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in September is quite low. As the Fed has said they want to see inflation fall for months before considering a move to normalize policy, higher-than-expected inflation would significantly impact markets. FED interest rate cut will be delayed until November. If this index is lower, it will boost the prospect of FED lowering interest rates in September
📌The pair is trading within the border of the uptrend line and is strongly boosted by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 to extend the upward price momentum. The narrow price range of 1,280 and 1,268 that has been maintained continuously for the past two weeks could completely be broken in the next week with further resistance and support levels at 1,288 above and vice versa at 1,265 below.
🕯Trading signals
SELL zone 1.28800-1.29000 SL 1.29300
BUY zone 1.26500-1.26300 SL 1.26000
You found liquidity. Now here is what yo do with it.
In this chart price action I have marked out where previous types of liquidity existed.
At the left you can see there was an uptrend but this uptrend had no factors showing LOW liquidity. Only strong high liquidity. Using the rules below you can mark out liquidity levels and what to expect when price returns to these levels later on.
No indicator can do this for you. This is simple price action structure.
You can implement these rules into marking levels in your price patterns / shapes, if you like using those as well.
Welcome to the coffee shop everybody this is your host and Baristo Eric, and I'm here today to let you guys know about the difference between high liquidity and low liquidity pivots and when I say pivots I mean price levels in the market. I want you to keep in mind that this trick works on all time frames it doesn't matter what time frame you're looking at but it certainly works best if you're comparing the high time frame to the low time frame that you're trading on.
This is a price action trick and strategy that you do not need an indicator for. Which means you can never get this wrong as you long as you follow these rules but the minute you try using an indicator for this you're going to miss out on some important details.
Now obviously there's a few rules that you need to follow when you're looking for high liquidity or low liquidity pivots and in the image above you should be able to see it but in the text below I'll give you my breakdown of the 123 rule that you can really follow to understand what you're looking for.
Here's a few rules to follow:
1. Bullish candles make high pivots
2. Bearish candles make low pivots
3.the length of the Wick of the candle is the trigger to tell you what you're looking for.
You cannot find low or high liquidity in a market during the trend. You can only see it after the trend has finished and you are either currently ranging or you are in the alternate trend meaning you were in a downtrend and now you're in an uptrend or a sideways market. You want to look for these liquidity types in the previous trend but using the strategy in this video you can also find high and low liquidity in arranging markets simply by looking at the ranging market that previously took place.
The trick to finding liquidity in the market goes like this:
Finding Sell Liquidity (Resistance) in previous market moves.
If you were in a downtrend and now it has completed you can look backwards at that downtrend and find all the bullish candles that will reflect the rules you were looking for.
Look at the downtrend and find the bullish candles.
You want the bullish candles that had swing highs and their upper Wick is longer than their lower Wick.
If the previous market was an uptrend you simply wanna do the opposite:
and previously up trending market you wanna find all the bearish candles and those bearish candles need to have a swing low Wick plus the Wick on the bottom must be longer than the Wick on top. These will reflect your SUPPORT levels (Buy Liquidity)
One of the questions often asked is what do you do with these levels once you find them.
Once you find low liquidity levels you wanna mark them this way you can treat them as plausible breakout areas meaning that with low liquidity in these areas price will reach those areas later on and price will continue to move through them because there are very few participants trying to buy or sell in a low liquidity area.
High liquidity area however simply means there is a lot of volume lot of activity and when price reaches back to these levels that price will either stall or reverse at these levels.
High liquidity areas also mean that these are banks and institutions trading at these levels so price can pull away from it retest and then come back to it for a very large move initiated by that same level.
Metropolis Simple Price Action AnalysisOn this auspicious occasion, may lord Vigna Vinayaka remove all obstacles from your life and fill it with joy and success. Happy Ganesh Chaturthi!
NSE:METROPOLIS could be the next good investment for this year.
After a big downtrend, the price is able to create an Inverse Head and Shoulder. Thereafter, the neckline broke, a retest happened, and now it should move up.
The first target could be 1791, the Second target will be 2570 and the final target is 3579. Approx. 139.14% Return on Investment plus Dividends.
Disclaimer: Stock trading is inherently risky and you agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that you make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of the stock trading calls made by Prosenjit should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. All comments and posts made by Prosenjit are for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for actual trading.
Many important economic data are waitingGold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month.
Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert.
Disappointing economic data raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, pushing the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields falling. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks.
Today's world gold price is listed on Kitco at about 2,350 USD/ounce, up 23 USD/ounce compared to early yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at $2.3716 per ounce, up $25.60.
Gold price forecast
The Fed's interest rate direction will be the main factor affecting the direction of gold in the short term. Therefore, the market will continue to listen for information that is expected to have an impact on the Fed's decision.
This week, besides employment data, the gold market will wait for the interest rate decision of the European Central Bank (ECB). The bank is almost certain to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and this could become the first major central bank to cut interest rates this cycle. The ECB's decision may cause investors to recalculate the time and scale of the Fed's interest rate easing.
Many analysts predict that, ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting on June 11-12, many investors will increase buying, causing gold prices to increase sharply before the meeting.
Technically
The important price range today is that gold is trading at 2363 and 2335. If gold wants to regain its strong bullish position, gold needs to surpass the important area at 2363 and 2365 in the opposite direction. The sideways trend will continue when gold Moving towards the 2335 support zone. In the h4 time frame, the two EMA lines show that the main trend is still moving sideways within a wide range. Gold is waiting for a breakthrough from US data this week to escape the border.
Support: 2335 - 2328 - 2315 - 2305
Resistance: 2355 - 2363 - 2374 - 2389
BUY price range 2327 - 2325 stoploss 2321
SELL price range 2374 - 2376 stoploss 2380
Maintain wide trading margins for a long timeGold continued to fall and traded below $2,330 on Tuesday, erasing most of Monday's gains in the process. Renewed US dollar strength drags XAU/USD lower as markets take a cautious stance ahead of US data.
The $2,360 area (Friday's high) acted as a barrier for gold and caused gold to fall sharply as the strength of the PMI news was not enough to break this resistance.
Gold has difficulty escaping the trendline that has lasted for nearly two weeks. Gold will soon be pushed up by the 2315 -2310 or 2305 support zones and continue to wait for ADP data or even wait until Friday when nonfarm is announced by breaking out of this wide accumulation zone.
Price zones need attention to have an effective trading strategy
Support: 2320 -2305
Resistance 2360-2348
GOLD SHORT TERM BULLISH gold is currenty trading in a channel again .the overall price action is bullish .so it is sae to take a buy.Hence the gold trades above the validation area and true volume range.it indicates that gold may have chance to buy to the higher positions .technically we have to trade in side of the channel that is what technical prospective says.Apply risk do not change the plan without a good reason
USDJPY will continue bearish ?I see a bearish trend on USDJPY, marked by the price below the 200 EMA in black, and currently the price is entering the RBD Rally Base Drop supply area, I see the price will continue its decline, if you take 1: 2 from the SL plan, this is quite realistic. Happy Trading.
The risk of profit and loss is not our responsibility. This is not financial decision advice. Secure your account whit Stop Loss
BUY ADANI ENT for gain of 25%With short term profit target.
Adani Ent is forming a pattern and it should break it with upside movement in coming days.
once it break the resistance level, it might go further up with the support of new government.
This is just for knowledge purpose only, invest at your own risk.
Key factors:
1. Favourable Govt.
2. High volume at resistance shows better opportunity.
Anupam Rasayan Simple Price Action Analysis BullishNSE:ANURAS The Price is in an Uptrend making HHs and HLs on a Candlestick Chart.
The expectation is that it will continue the existing Uptrend and hence will create a new HL and HH in the candlestick chart, this should take the price up to 1254.45 for now. therefore, a Cup like shape might form in this chart.
We also do have a Trap Zone which might stop the current correction and help to create the HL in this chart.
In this kind of chart, one must buy in tranches at every dip and hold for an approx. 28% to 31% Return on Investment. That is 279 to 297 points.
SWING IDEA - PBCLA potential swing trade opportunity in PCBL (Phillips Carbon Black Limited), the largest carbon black manufacturer in India.
Reasons are listed below:
Strong Support at 230-240 Zone : PCBL is rebounding from a robust support level, reflecting market confidence in the company's leading position and expertise in the carbon black industry.
'W' Pattern : A 'W' pattern observed in the daily timeframe indicates a potential reversal and bullish continuation pattern, showcasing PCBL's ability to navigate market fluctuations effectively.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : The appearance of a bullish Marubozu candle on the daily timeframe signals strong buying pressure and potential upward momentum, underscoring positive market sentiment towards PCBL's prospects.
200 EMA Support : The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart acts as reliable support, highlighting PCBL's consistent performance and stability in the industry.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : Finding support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level reinforces PCBL's solid fundamentals and growth potential, providing a strong foundation for potential upward movement.
Target - 300 // 333
Stoploss - Daily close below 229
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - HINDUSTAN PETROLThis presents an attractive opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on the potential uptrend in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited ,a leading energy company in India engaged in the refining and marketing of petroleum products.
Reasons are listed below :
Strong Support at 450 Level : HPCL has established a robust support level at 450, indicating strong buying interest and potential reversal points.
Double Bottom Pattern : The formation of a double bottom pattern suggests a potential trend reversal and bullish continuation, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern indicates strong buying momentum and potential upward movement in HPCL's stock price.
0.382 Fibonacci Support : Finding support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level strengthens the bullish case, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement.
Engulfed 11 Daily Candles : The bullish engulfing pattern, engulfing 11 previous daily candles, reinforces the bullish sentiment and indicates potential for a significant uptrend.
Higher Highs : Consistent formation of higher highs reflects increasing bullish momentum and reinforces the potential for further gains in HPCL.
Target - 530 // 595
Stoploss - weekly close below 449
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
The short-term downtrend continues todayAfter reaching the lowest level in 3 weeks around 2315, gold reacted strongly and increased to 10 levels. The latest break out level at 2337 is still doing well as resistance today, my expectation is that gold will fall to the 2305-2300 range. today. Although in the h4 time frame gold is in a short-term downtrend, back in the daily frame gold is still ready to increase strongly at any time.
Support: 2,305 – 2,300USD
Resistance: 2,340 – 2,353USD
BUY price range 2306 - 2304 stoploss 2300
SELL price range 2340 - 2342 stoploss 2346
GAIL An extremely bullish Reversal, Poised to break it's ATHThe stock is in continuous uptrend , with no evidence of sellers in major time frames.
The stock has reversed from 38.2% retracement in weekly.
I am looking to enter this counter at cmp with 184.20 as SL and minimum 15% ROI - 224 and then trail further.
DOGEHi guys
Considering the consumption of the specified range, the probability of reaction to the specified price range is very high.
On the higher time frame, the probability that a higher ceiling will be formed compared to the previous ceiling is very weak.
As a result, our bullish view is short-term for now.
What do you think?
gold will buy shorttermwe have completed our previous plans .also gold did a huge bullish price action that we can able to buy.we have to see the reaction around level 2344 which is having a critical volume range then we buy once we see a reaction on that range .otherwise let is crawl down and lowe level buy it
Do not change the plan
stick with your rules
Apply risk.
do not think about the outcome ..love the process that is what professionals do
Using Multi-Timeframe analysis for a major WinnerMulti-timeframe analysis is a key techniques for prepping a market prior to a trading session.
The first thing to do before trading is to understand the major moves and longer term price action. This enables us to get on the right side of a sessions move and avoid a lot of the chop.
We take a look at the DOW from the previous trading session and talk through the 30 min timeframe and why it was so important for the 500 pt rally into the close.
I talk through the key price action, the trap of shorts before the big move up and why we needed to be on the long side of the action.
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Ethereum Let's go for Ethereum $4000 or Ethereum $3500!!?
what do you think?
We have HH and HL on the chart so far; In other words, we do not have confirmation for a downward trend (((currently))). The resistance range that we had on the price area of $3943 has also been completely consumed.
As the resistance areas are consumed, the way to continue the upward trend is opened.
Now, on the price chart, a compression movement has been formed in the 30-minute time frame; Provided that the price range of $3,628 is maintained, there is a high possibility that we will get out of this compression from above.
But we have to be careful, the possibility of getting out of this compression from the bottom is not small. Especially since currently 68% of Ethereum holders are in profit.
The ONLY Strategy You Need to Identify The Market Trend
In this article, we will discuss a proven price action based way to identify the market trend .
❗️And let me note, before we start, that no matter what strategy do you use in your trading, you should always know where the market is going and what is the current trend . Your judgement should be based on strict and objective rules that proved its accuracy.
There are a lot of ways to identify the market trend. One of the simplest and efficient ones is price action based method .
This method relies on impulse legs .
The market never goes just straight up or down, the price action always has a zigzag shape with a set of impulses and retracements.
The impulse leg is a strong directional movement , while the retracement is the correctional movement within the boundaries of the impulse.
UPTREND
📈The market is trading in a bullish trend if 3 conditions are met:
1️⃣the price forms an initial bullish impulse ,
2️⃣ retraces , setting a higher low ,
3️⃣then starts growing again and sets a new high with the second bullish impulse .
Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bullish, and we expect a bullish continuation in such a manner.
Take a look at a price action on USDCAD. According to the trend-analysis rules, the pair is trading in a bullish trend.
DOWNTREND
📉The market is trading in a bearish trend if 3 following conditions are met:
1️⃣the price forms an initial bearish impulse ,
2️⃣ retraces , setting a lower high ,
3️⃣then drops lower and sets a new low with the second bearish impulse .
Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bearish, and we expect a bearish trend continuation.
According to the rules, NZDUSD is trading in a bearish trend on the chart above.
CONSOLIDATION
➖The third state of the market is called consolidation . The market is trading in a consolidation if the conditions for bullish or bearish trend are not met . The price chaotically forms bullish and bearish impulses, usually trading within the range .
Above is the example of a sideways, consolidating market, where the price sets equal or almost equal highs and lows and conditions for bullish/bearish trend are not met.
Knowing the current trend, one always knows whether a current trading position is trend-following or counter trend, or it is a sideways consolidation trade.
Learn these simple rules and try to identify the market trend with them.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin gyrated in this week's trading between our major Mean Sup 67100 and the newly created Mean Res 69400. The upward movement target shows a continuous target of Bull Stage Squzee Rebound 73200, marked as Key Res 73200. The main obstacles are Mean Res 69400 and 71500, respectively. On the downside, we look at the established Mean Support at 65000 as a concrete target before a renewed upswing occurs.
SWING IDEA - MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESSMaharashtra Seamless , a leading manufacturer of seamless pipes in India, is showing technical patterns that suggest a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Support at 800 Level : The 800 level has proven to be a strong support zone, indicating significant buying interest at this price point.
0.382 Fibonacci Level Support : The price has found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation of the uptrend from this key level.
50 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is trading around the 50-week exponential moving average, which acts as a support level and indicates a long-term uptrend.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent daily candle is a bullish marubozu, characterized by a lack of shadows, indicating strong buying pressure and potential for further upward movement.
200 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is also finding support at the 200-day exponential moving average, which reinforces the overall bullish sentiment and provides additional support for the uptrend.
Target - 965 // 1095
Stoploss - weekly close below 735
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Wait for the long-term BUY point after the recovery wave endsGold prices temporarily halted their recovery streak as the USD increased slightly, in addition to the FED's hawkish comments, and stronger-than-expected US economic data reduced expectations of a FED interest rate cut in September. This creates momentum for the USD to put pressure on gold.
On the other hand, geopolitical tensions and instability may promote gold buying as a safe haven, and banks' demand will continue to boost gold prices.
Gold is continuing to maintain the recovery of wave 4 in the elliot wave model, investors are waiting for a trendline break around 2350 to catch the SELL retest with the expectation that gold will fall to the support area of 2325 and 2305.
Our long-term BUY point is around 2305 when the recovery wave of the buying trend ends.
SELL price range 2370 - 2472 stoploss 2376
SELL price range 2386 - 2488 stoploss 2392
BUY price range 2324 - 2322 stoploss 2318
BUY price range 2305 - 2307 stoploss 2301
Wait for the SELL point to retest the EURUSD trendlineEUR/USD fell sharply on Wednesday, returning to the 1.0800 degree after broad-primarily based totally danger urge for food disappeared. The pair is buying and selling firmly inside technical resistance as buyers put together for a sequence of mid-variety European financial signs on Thursday, observed with the aid of using an replace on Gross Domestic Product increase (GDP) quarterly for the United States.
Pan-European purchaser self belief in May is predicted to preserve constant at -14.3, at the same time as the Overall Economic Sentiment Index is predicted to get better barely to 96.2 from 95.6. Then, US quarterly GDP is predicted later withinside the day, with annual Q1 GDP forecast to say no barely to 1.3% from 1.6%. Markets hungry for hobby charge cuts from the Federal Reserve may be seeking out symptoms and symptoms of weak point withinside the US financial system as increase solidifies, the hard work marketplace tightens and inflation figures display up. Inflation stays high, hindering the Fed`s capacity to reduce hobby fees at a fast pace. Investors hold to search.
The buying and selling week will cease with German Retail Sales on Friday, predicted to fall -0.1% MoM in May. Pan-European Core Consumer Price Index (HICP) for the 12 months resulted in May is forecast to growth to 2.8% from 2.7%. US inflation records will cease the buying and selling week, with the United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index predicted to stay unchanged at 0.3% MoM in April.