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Bitcoin important zone, institutions are in!ok, after a crazy week, finally we are seeing institution's activity, at this point we can just wait and analyze what are they doing. buying? selling? I still have my short positions, but right now is risky to make a decision, it's been a rush so it's difficult to think clearly after huge profits. DO NOT trust the news, don't trust indicators, just try to read the price and volume!!! try to keep your mind clear and please don't read any news! the blue rectangle should be the zone of accumulation/distribution, so let's analyze what's going on there. In my opinion bitcoin still have chances to continue falling, but some other cryptos already touched the zones I had projected, so it makes me doubt a little bit about bitcoin. at this point the smartest thing we can do is being neutral and don't trade.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by gon08
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn this video on XAUUSD, we delve into the recent surge in Gold prices, which soared to a new all-time high above $2,330. This bullish momentum was driven by various factors, including a robust March Nonfarm Payrolls report in the United States, which tempered expectations of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Gold's price movement continues to be influenced by fundamental drivers such as the US Dollar, geopolitical tensions, and physical demand. The unexpectedly strong Nonfarm Payrolls figures for March, surpassing both estimates and February's numbers, led to a decline in market expectations of a June rate cut by the Fed. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious stance on rate cuts, echoed by other Fed officials throughout the week, further contributed to this sentiment. Despite acknowledging eventual rate cuts, concerns about inflationary risks tilted towards the upside were voiced by Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin. In our analysis, we navigate these fundamental factors to anticipate the potential trajectory of price action in the upcoming week. XAUUSD Technical Overview: In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviours, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities. Our focal point for the week is the $2,190 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, the appearance of a reversal pattern or a breach below the $2,190 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment. #GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
6
Swing It Into A Potential CrashIn summary, if you are in (or considering buying) shares, this is Mid-term bearish. I would highly recommend against entering or adding shares here. You will likely have a better chance to exit/sell in the 330s around March 11-12th. For those playing options, I can share my strategy - you'll have to be nimble to swing this for profits, but very do-able since I know the path it will take from here. The smarter strategy is to wait until this confirms a higher low and then short it around March 12th-13th, But if you like making real money on weekly options with high risk here is what to do. Not Financial Advice. To follow this chart, just pay attention to the thick black arrow - that is my forecast/path that price action will take. The thick red and green arrows align with the black arrow. Read below to see the exact levels and pivot dates I am looking for. - PANW will likely pullback some more to 276-290 (-4% to -9% from current price: 302.40). This will happen fast - by March 5th End of Day (3/5/2024). So IF it doesn't gap down Monday, I'll be buying a few Mar 8 295 puts for ~3.40 and then looking to sell for over 7.00 Tuesday 3/5 before the close . But if it gaps down Monday 3/5 (which is possible), I'll be holding off on this swing and waiting for my chance to swing long. Hard stop loss will be a break above 306 at any point, if it breaks above 306 that is first near-term bullish signal, if it breaks above 315 it will confirm it has started next bullish leg. - After the small pullback to expected range of 276-290, PANW will make its last bounce to around 327-338 (depending on where it bottoms in current down leg, this is a possible +16% to +22% bounce coming). Once I sell my Mar 8 puts on 3/5 before close, I will immediately buy Mar 15 300 calls - the premiums should be around 3.00-5.00 at this point but it will depend on where it bottoms exactly. The bounce will last through 3/11-3/12, so I will be looking to sell half my calls at 327 (for at least 27.00) and then sell the other half around 338 (for at least 38.00) *** After this bounce to 327-338, the real downside will begin. I will send an update with my precise target when we see how this plays out and at what levels it bottoms and tops in this path/forecast, but my estimate target is 210-240 by end of March to Early April (Potential for a 100 point drop!!). I'll be going big on April 19 puts when this bounces to the 327-338 range. Stay tuned for updates along the way.
NASDAQ:PANW
by JerryManders
394
SasanSeifi 💁‍♂ PFE /DAILY ⏭ $28 /$30Hey there,✌ NYSE:PFE In the daily timeframe, as observed, the price is currently fluctuating within the $25 range following a prolonged downtrend. The long-term trendline has been broken, and we can consider the following scenario: if the demand range is maintained, the price may experience positive fluctuations up to the $28 range. Then, if the $28 ceiling is breached and stabilizes above it, we may witness an upward trend and a new higher HIGH beyond the $28 ceiling. The desired targets in the long term and potential trends are also indicated in the attached image. The $25 demand range is crucial for the envisaged scenario. Moreover, if the price penetrates below the $25 range, the likelihood of further correction increases. This is not financial advice. Always do your research before making any investment decisions.❗ Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌ if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
NYSE:PFELong
by SasanSeifi
Embracing Uncertainty: The AUDCAD Resistance Saga - A Battle of In my analysis of AUDCAD, I pinpointed a specific area marked by ultra-high volume, suggesting a potential retest of this zone. It's worth noting that such areas are typically revisited in the majority of cases, prompting the question: am I anticipating weakness in this currency pair? Maybe, maybe not... Let's delve deeper. Examining AUDCAD on the weekly timeframe unveils a potentially bullish scenario. Two weeks ago, a down bar with low volume hinted at minimal selling pressure. Last week's bullish engulfing candle further reinforced this sentiment. Should the bullish trend persist, my immediate resistance level stands at 0.90640, potentially leading to retests at 0.93500 and even 0.95000. On the daily chart, an intriguing observation arises. Despite a widespread up bar indicating "No Demand," Friday's price action continued its ascent, defying this technical signal. Such behaviour strengthens the overall bullish narrative in AUDCAD, suggesting sustained upward momentum ahead. However, the 4-hour chart signals potential weakness. An up bar with ultra-high volume closing mid-range indicates selling pressure. The last 4-hour bar of the trading week confirms this with a downward trend. In conclusion, which direction will this currency pair take? My prediction leans towards an upward trajectory, contingent upon confirmation of strength from the weekly and daily charts. Upon breaching the resistance level, I'll be vigilant for signs of testing or absence of supply, particularly focusing on low to ultra-low volume across the 1-hour and 4-hour charts. Conversely, if prices retreat from resistance and trend lower, I'll be on the lookout for indications of no demand or upthrusts, especially across the hourly and 4-hourly charts.
by one-good-trade
EurUsd treads in a Gray area preceding April NFP 📌What a Trading day.. a Continuation followed by a sharp selloff. The continuation was called out here at ShrewdCatFx and the Selloff was punishment to late buyers I suppose. NFP data tomorrow will likely take us for a ride as It typically does.. Direction? I'm leaning for more upside despite our weak Daily candle closure today. Why? I like the optimistic remarks by the fed this week and the market ate it up. Yes we've pulled back dramatically leading into NFP data tomorrow but the weekly candle is still bullish and US30 stock index is at a nice support level(after pulling back all week), suggesting a Risk-on Friday. 4hr timeframe, wild week with dramatic selloff to begin followed by massive move up with USD data and speech Daily timeframe, Buyers rejected as the Thursday Daily candle closes a shooting star candle that coincides with a Daily resistance level 1.08372! The Weekly timeframe, price is respecting 1.07652 so far this week but we still have NFP which could cause a lot of volatility Monthly Range!
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Optimistic Market on remarks by Fed Chair, J Powell ♦️The Market is Flying with Optimism after ADP data was better than Forecasted, Services data missed forecasts but Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he does not think that inflation is reversing higher. The monthly candle has flipped bullish along with the Weekly candle as price has done a complete 180 from our initial selloff early in the week. Yes, we dropped to begin the month but it was the first day of the month and each monthly candle has a top and bottom wick. The tuesday daily candle closed back above the weekly level 1.0765. The wednesday daily candle dropped slightly and retested 1.0765 prior to blasting to outer space. That is one mighty candle and trading against itis not impossible but will require extra monitoring. We observed some very nice volatility today as we completely blew through the daily resistance zone 1.079 and are currrently testing daily resistance level 1.08372. The asian session 4hr candle closed above this daily level 1.08372 and we may keep flying . If not, and we come back down to earth, then I anticipate a retest of 1Hr support zone 1.0833 prior to more significant buying pressure. London may just shoot up to the next 4hr zone then pullback as we transition into New York Open is another scenario that could play out. We may observe some volatile ranging prior to NFP on Friday. It's important to look left to see what zones are most relevant for the new days trading. the prices I like for the upcoming sessions include 1.08429 1hr zone, 1.08524 4hr resistance zone, and 1.08330 1hr support zone.. safe trading
Long
by ShrewdCatfx