Hey SPYLOVERS ! Enjoy the Bull Ride !!!! Election Week and Interest Rate Cuts Did Not Disappoint Us at All
The truth is, it was a very difficult week to predict price movements. However, out of the two possible scenarios I shared last week, Scenario #1 was the winner, and it was the one I had the most confidence in!
At this moment, the price is in "no man's land," meaning there is no historical price data on the chart where we can find a level for the price to hold or replicate its movement. In this case, I believe that, from here on, the price will move based on upcoming economic news or as we approach the date when President-elect Donald Trump will officially become the President of the United States (POTUS).
Let's enjoy this bull run that is happening—these are important times for the country, and we need to take advantage of those swings!
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis. See you next week!
Priceactiontrading
EURAUD: Bearish Setup Explained 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD leaves multiple bearish clues after a test of a key daily resistance.
The price violated a support line of a rising wedge pattern
and formed a double top on an hourly.
With a high probability, we will see a retracement to 1.642525
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CHFJPY: Pullback Trade From Support 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY has a nice potential to pull back from a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a falling parallel channel after its test.
With a high probability, the price will reach 175.9 level.
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NZDUSD: Bearish Rally Continues 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD may keep falling after a release of US fundamentals.
As a confirmation, I see a breakout of a support line of a bearish
flag pattern after a test of a key resistance level.
The price will most likely reach 0.6 level soon.
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USDCHF: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Earlier, I have already predicted a bullish movement on USDCHF.
I see one more bullish confirmation this morning.
The price successfully violated a resistance line of
a horizontal parallel channel on a 4H time frame.
The next goal for buyers - 0.87 psychological resistance.
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EURCHF: Classic Day Trade From Trend Line 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF may drop from after a test of a falling trend line on a 4H.
Testing that, the price started to consolidate within a narrow range.
Last candle clearly reflects a local strong bearish momentum.
The pair may continue falling at least to 0.973 support.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): More Growth is Coming Next Week
US100 nicely respected a recently broken horizontal structure resistance.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on that and bounced.
I think that the Index will continue growing next week.
Next resistance - 20460
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USDCHF: Bullish Trend Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is currently trading in a strong bullish trend.
After setting a new high, the market started to consolidate
within a narrow parallel channel on a 4H.
Its resistance violation signifies a continuation of an up movement.
I expect growth to 0.8693
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EURNZD: Overbought Market & Correctional Movement 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD looks overbought after a test of a key daily resistance.
The price violated a support line of a rising parallel channel
and a neckline of a head & shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame.
With a high probability, the market will keep falling at least to 1.788
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GBPAUD: One More Pullback Trade 🇬🇧🇦🇺
I see one more, potentially profitable pullback trade on GBPAUD.
The price formed a double top pattern on a key daily/intraday resistance
and successfully violated its neckline.
We see its retest at the moment.
The pair may retrace to 1.926 level.
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NVDA price bounced exactly at the green zone, around 115.25. WOWThe price bounced exactly at the green zone, around 115.25. WOW, do you remember my analysis of Nvidia from last week? I can't even believe it myself; it was incredibly accurate!
Every time I apply price behavior with price action, I always remember the words of my mentor, Al Brooks. He told me: "Just remember, Mike, price action is ALWAYS RIGHT."
I believe that it's the trader who makes mistakes, not the price action, because it will always be on the correct side.
That’s why I always recommend drawing trend lines, channels, and minimizing the use of indicators that might make you see something different. This way, you'll be more accurate in your decision when executing an order.
Going back to Nvidia...
There’s something about the last candle that has me a bit uneasy. This can be very misleading because the price HASN’T BROKEN THE CHANNEL YET! The advantage we have here is that the last candle shows a buying pressure wick, but it hasn’t fully broken out of the channel or shown volume yet. However, I still believe that Nvidia will likely break out at any moment because it bounced off my green zone, as we said in the previous analysis (well before), and it didn’t even reach the #4 sequence, which would have been at the channel’s support.
Now, we just need to wait for a breakout confirmation. But what will happen after it breaks out?
We’re looking for an N3 pattern.
An N3 pattern involves three movements:
#1 Breakout and New High
#2 Pullback and Rebound
#3 New Extreme
That simple.
Will it happen? No one knows for sure. The next step is the breakout, and after that, we let the price do what it needs to do so we can position ourselves for the next move.
Stay very alert this week!
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Brent oil and the global recessionConsidering the events in the Middle East and the possibility of the involvement of oil-rich countries, and on the other hand, the economic policies of the United States and the growth of emerging countries in the economic field and the increase in demand from the behavioral financial point of view, oil has the potential to reach the range of $125 per barrel and after that. It has the construction of historical prices in 2025.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Your Trading Plan For Today
WTI Crude Oil is testing a significant falling trend line on a daily.
To short that with a confirmation, pay attention to a descending triangle
pattern on an hourly time frame.
Your signal will be a breakout of its horizontal neckline
- an hourly candle close below 73.46.
Short the market aggressively or on a retest, then.
Targets: 73.07 / 72.85
Alternatively, a bullish violation of a trend line will be a strong bullish signal.
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EURAUD: Bullish Move From Key Level 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
Check a price action on EURAUD.
After a test of a daily key level, the price started to
consolidate within a narrow area.
The price bounced then and violated a resistance line of a falling channel
and a horizontal range.
The pair has a potential to continue rising.
Next resistance - 0.6165
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EURCAD: Classic Trend-Following Trading Setup 🇪🇺🇨🇦
Look at a price action on EURCAD.
After a strong bearish movement, the price started to consolidate
within a horizontal parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
A breakout of the support of the channel is a strong bearish signal that
signifies, a highly probable bearish continuation.
Next support - 1.4902
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BTC Lucky Number 7 !!! Get Ready for the Bull RUN!! But first...Lucky Number 7 !!!!!! Get Ready for the Bull-RUN!!! But first...
First of all, I want to clarify that all the checkmarks checked off are the predictions we have been making over all these months. Each checkmark is confirmation that the price behavior followed the analysis we conducted.
In this case, the breakout of point #7 was fulfilled, and this is the breakout I had been waiting for around July-August (point #3). But before we proceed, I want to clarify that for me, a valid breakout means the candle and wick are completely outside the resistance line! So, indeed, for me, this is a legitimate breakout.
BUT BEFORE THIS HAPPENS, WE HAVE TO SEE A SUPER IMPORTANT MOVE!!!!!
Within the N3 pattern, whenever there is a breakout, it is always followed by a new high, and then the price makes its natural pullback. We will look for the price to touch the new support level, rebound, and aim for a new high.
This is my N3 pattern, which I always look for after confirming a breakout.
So, let’s wait a few days to allow Bitcoin to rise as much as it needs to, make its natural pullback, and then buckle up because we’re about to see a strong bullish run.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.
Good luck!
-mike
Nvidia still in a sequence channel Indeed, Nvidia is respecting the sequence of the bearish channel and bounced at point #5, moving downward.
Now, even though Nvidia is dropping, it remains quite strong. Could we see a rebound at the following levels?
113.50 to 115.25 (marked in the green zone)
If Nvidia bounces at these levels I mentioned, we will very likely see a channel breakout in the coming weeks.
But! If the price surpasses those two levels I mentioned, we could very likely see Nvidia testing the blue GAP zone for the third time or approaching point #6 (channel support).
Let’s see what happens this week.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.