CADCHF: Bearish Setup Explained 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF reached a falling trend line on a daily last week.
Approaching that, the price formed a head and shoulders pattern on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken on Friday.
I believe that the pair will keep falling.
Goal for sellers - intraday rising trend line.
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Priceactiontrading
EURGBP: Trading Plan For Today 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP is approaching a key daily structure support.
To catch a pullback from that, watch an inverted head & shoulders pattern on 1H time frame.
0.865 - 0.867 is its neckline.
Wait for a bullish breakout of that (1H candle close above), then buy aggressively or on a retest.
Goals will be 0.872 / 0.8755
If the price sets a new lower low, the setup will be invalid.
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If It Looks and Acts like a Chicken, It's Probably a ChickenA foundational concept in "pure" price action trading that underlies all trading decisions is that price will never "exactly" repeat itself. What I mean by exactly is that
current and future price will never be 100% identical to past price. At first glance it may seem the same, but when boiled down to the lower time frames, you'll notice
that current price is ever so slightly, different from past price. This makes more sense from a philisophical point of view.
If the markets are a living breathing entity just like you and I, it makes sense that past price will never repeat itself to the perfect degree. Similiar to the way you
and I, as humans, will never be identical in terms of actions, thoughts and biological makeup when compared to past versions of ourselves. Now, if the price action
trader views the markets in this way, it can make a non-price action trader confused as to how a price action trader can profit from a chaotic entity such as the
market. Afterall, a price action trader solely uses price to analyze the future direction of price. Let me explain to you how.
We all know the phrase, "If it looks and acts like a Chicken, it's probably a Chicken". Meaning that if the characteristics of a chicken are there, well.... it's probably
a chicken. Infering that 100% confirmation that a chicken is in fact, a chicken, is not nessecary for a chicken to qualify as a chicken. It's the same in price action
trading. If your price analysis dictates that price will go up, even though there are some pieces of the puzzle missing in your analysis, your analysis qualifies as
legitimate analysis. Now don't get me wrong. Just because your analysis qualifies as legitimate analysis doesn't mean price will follow in suit. That's an entirely
different subject. The point I'm trying to get across in this post is simple.
Price Action analysis cannot be so rigorous that you must wait for a 100% replication of past price. Simply for the reason that past price will "never" identically
repeat itself. This pitfall of waiting for perfect replications of past price leads to the trader becoming overly conservative. Causing you to miss out on trades
that had sufficient analysis, but was missed out on due to the "misunderstanding" that past price repeats itself. So the next time your analysis states that price
should go up; don't let the inevitable nature of markets to never repeat itself stop you from entering that trade. Remember! If it looks and acts like a chicken,
it's probably a chicken.
I hope this helps!
Have a great day!
Ken
NIFTY 50, SHORT TERM PRICE ACTION!!"movement of prices, falling some strategy or a pattern(formed by psychology of buyers and sellers), makes up the price action"!!
i had previously brought up the trend of market, and market is yet respecting towards.
as previously said: INDIA is not in a recession. therefore nifty 50 is most unlikely to go below the support of 16700.
trend line is drawn, and check out the fibonnaci drawn from past two trading weeks, market has been respecting its levels very well.
its acting like a good support and resistance.
more updates will come on the same topic, stay connected!!!
Dow Jones Industrial not looking goodDJI = Dow Jones Industrial is not looking good.
200MA, 200EMA (which has worked as support before) and key level ~29 700 was tested and turned to resistance like it is seen on the graph.
Next target ~26 800 and if that gets broken ~23 000.
IF history repeats itself, then we might go test the 18 200 levels which happened last time 200MA turned to resistance ( 2008 )
This analysis is invalid if we break ~29 700-30 000 and get on top of the EMAs
When Fed pivots and start to print money again the markets will turn, and the markets are probably going to sniff that before it actually happens. I think it's sooner than we expect.
-Jebu
NZDUSD: Waiting For Breakout 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD is trading in a bearish trend.
After a strong bearish move, the pair is consolidating for 2 weeks in a horizontal trading range.
I am patiently waiting for its 0.5565 - 0.56 support breakout to short.
We need a daily candle close below that to confirm the breakout.
Next target will be 0.548
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GBPAUD: Your Trading Plan 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is trading on a key daily structure support.
To catch a bullish continuation from that, watch an inverted head and shoulders pattern on 1H time frame.
1.744 - 1.7465 is its neckline.
To buy with a confirmation, wait for its bullish breakout (hourly candle close above that),
then buy aggressively or on a retest.
Targets will be 1.755 / 1.7626
If the price sets a new low, the setup will become invalid.
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GBPUSD: Important Breakout! What is Next? 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks quite overbought:
the price action was steadily contracting within a rising wedge pattern
and the price just recently broke and closed below its support.
It looks like the pair will drop lower.
Targets: 1.133 / 1.122
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
$EURUSD | Some Relief Upcoming?For EURUSD, it's been nothing but a continuous downfall along with the GBPUSD but with a big "green candle" breaking lower Bollinger Band as well as the RSI levels being at extreme over sold levels, could this be pointing toward a reversal potentially? I think some selling relief is to come for the short term for the EURO and we may be looking at slight uptick before the prior resistance zone at the least.
Trade took and considered the "big green candle" my confirmation based on size and wick and also because it historically has bounced off of the lower bands standard deviation. Placed Stop Loss below Entry candle and Take Profit right before the prior resistance zone.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Important Breakout 🛢
With very bullish fundamentals, WTI Crude Oil broke a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern yesterday.
It looks like a bullish continuation is ahead.
Next resistances: 86.3 / 88.9
For entries, consider an occasional retest of the broken trend line.
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EURCHF Sell
List of confluences:
1: Rising Wedge Breakout
2: Trendline Breakout
3:Key Level Breakout and Change in Market Structure
When looking at the larger time frames, we can see that EURCHF remains in a strong down trend. We have also seen the market pull back which signalled a chance to enter in the direction of the bigger picture trend.
We have listed 3 reasons as to why we will be looking to short/ sell the pair. We are expecting a potential return of between 6.35% to 12.7% at 1 - 2 % risk per trade.
$XRPUSD | The Ride May Be Over.....For NowXRPUSD had a nice run up most recently, but with its break of the upper Bollinger Band along with over bought status at extreme levels, reminiscing February 2022, we may be looking to revert course. Currently under the 200 EMA as well and rejected off of the major resistance zone, I think a safe landing would be next major level of support for the time being. I waited until the confirmation candles following the Doji at the top to take this trade and am learning to be even more patient with my daily charts.
$USDCHF | Potential Stopping Point?With USDCHF at extreme overbought levels and rejection from the previous resistance along with the long candle stick, we are looking at a short for the Swiss Franc with a stop loss set above the entry candle and take profit below the 20 MA and 50 EMA right above the 200 EMA. I think for the time being we trade in this channel here highlighted by the blue lines, which designate a short term (DAILY time frame) support and resistance whereas the zones are more longer term. (WEEKLY time frame)
Learn How to Trade Triangle | Classic Price Action Pattern 📚
Learn how to identify a triangle.
The meaning behind this pattern explained.
Entry/stop/entry selection rules.
Real market example included.
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📉✌BTC 3OMin Short Position✌📈BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hi traders, first take a look at my previous analysis and positions.
💥Three Drive pattern💥
between now and the yellow area, you can open a short position in two or three steps.
If the price falls and reaches the TP1 level, you can risk-free the position.
TP1-2-3 are on the chart.
The optimum stop-loss is above the determined area.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
let me know what's your idea.
CrazyS✌
📉✌ETH 3OMin Short Position✌📈BINANCE:ETHUSDT
COINBASE:ETHUSD
Hi traders, first take a look at my previous analysis and positions.
💥Three drive pattern💥
from now, while now and in the range of the yellow area, you can open a short position in two or three steps.
If the price falls and reaches the TP1 level, you can risk-free the position.
TP1-2-3 are on the chart.
The optimum stop-loss is above the determined lines.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
let me know what's your idea.
CrazyS✌
GBPNZD SHORT
List of confluences:
1: Trendline breakout on daily chart
2: Rising wedge pattern breakout which signals trend continuation to the downside.
3:Key level breakout on daily chart.
4: Change in market structure from bullish to bearish.
We will be looking to sell this pair as it remains bearish despite BOE attempt to intervene in the weakening of the Pound.
Risk reward currently stands at approximately 9.13 to 1. So we could see a return of between 9.13% to 18.26 for this
particular trade if we risk between 1 - 2 percent of our account per trade.
Analyzing with PrecisionWhen it comes to price action trading, price analysis is at the foundation of our trading methodology. This analysis dictates all our eventual actions in trading. So seeing that price analysis is at the core of the price action trader's trading, we want to assure that we analyze with as much precision as we can. So how is that done? Let me explain how I go about making sure my price analysis is as precise as possible. To begin with, it starts with a "state-of-mind". A clear mind that can notice the subtle hints in price that sway our analysis. In order to achieve this state-of-mind, one must understand what a "hasty" and "impatient" mind is in comparison to a "calm" and "patient" mind. The impatient mind is easy to replicate. Try breathing with fast and short bursts; similiar to the breathing pattern one gets when sprinting. Notice the impatience in the mind.That although seems sharp, lacks the serenity in the mind that one has when they are not sprinting. On the other hand, the calm and patient mind can be glimpsed through remembering what your mind feels like on a Sunday morning, in which you have no work, scheduled engagements or activities you must attend to throughout the entire day. This serenity that you experience is the patient mind you want to adopt when analyzing price. With this state-of-mind comes an effortless yet powerful foundation which allows one to analyze with precision. It's quite counter intuitive that precision comes with such relaxation. So how do I acquire this skill you ask? Well, it comes with practice. If the ability we wish to achieve is a relaxed mind when analyzing, all we have to do is "take our time" when trading. However, this is easier said than done. The markets, especially on the lower time frames, tends to activate the "impatient mind". Where we are analyzing while literally having the same mental state as when we're sprinting. Are breathing shortens and speeds up in repetition. Breaking this habit may take time. But if practiced, anyone can achieve a patient mind whilst analyzing price. Start by changing your eating habits. Most of us tend to finish our meals in 5-10 minutes. An outcome of our busy lives and also a great example of carrying over our impatient minds into moments of the day when relaxation should come naturally. Begin making it a habit to chew your food 50 times before swallowing. As you slow down the pace in which you eat, notice the sense of serenity and calmness in the mind. Compare it to the quality of the mind when eating fast. There should be an obvious difference. After 3 days of implementing this habit, slow down other aspects of your daily activities to acquire the same effect on the mind. You'll begin to notice the connection between the mind and speed of activity. If you hurry the activity, the mind will follow. If you slow down the activity, the mind will slow down and become more relaxed, patient and serene. Upon testing this correlation and becoming more adapt to it, try it on your price analysis. Take your time with your analysis. Slow down your analysis. If time doesn't allow, decrease the pairs that you analyze or trade the higher time frames. If you do, you'll begin noticing the subtle hints in price analysis that perhaps were hidden from you while you adopted an impatient mind.
I hope this helps!
Have a great day!
Ken
BTC 4h updateBTC is trynna reach 17.5k this week, but a little retest upward is required as we're near to opening a new monthly candle... and also its expected to touch the LOW again (18155), and then retest upward, and then 17.5k & going bullish... but its really expected to reach the min target of 14-16k as future targets, this is gonna be the second tap of 17.5-17.7k on weekly chart so, I expect it'll be broken downward to the min target of 14-16k on the third tap...
Enjoy... :)
$DOGE | Finally reaching over bought status again$DOGEUSD 🐕 has finally reached overbought levels, that haven't been seen since mid-August. To put it bluntly it's been particularly quiet on the $DOGE front. We may have a SHORT opportunity here upcoming and my eyes are peeled on this near term resistance level on the 4hr and breakout of the upper band. Waiting for a confirmation candle as well as RSI to point downward before a move is made. Also remembering that $BTCUSD moves opposite of $DOGEUSD TYPICALLY. So if $DOGE is pumping then $BTC is stagnant or on the decline.
This is where patience comes into play.