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Pricemovement

Who is in control??An important element of studying price action is often ignored, even though it is perhaps the most important one - at least for swing traders. WHO IS IN CONTROL OF THE MARKET AT THIS TIME? After all we all want to trade in the direction where the strength lies. In this example of USDJPY, note how large the recent bullish candles are. This shows momentum lies with the bears. Note also that these large candles close very near to the low of their range. This shows the lack of bulls. Don't miss the fact that the pullbacks are quite shallow - another pointer. See on the chart, the difference between the time taken by both sides to attain the same price points. None of this is pointing to a possible trade right away, but it does help to point you in the direction where you should be looking. Always use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more awesome content. What do you think about this post? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
Education
by Trading_Vista
FACTORS THAT PUSH THE PRICEHello everybody! Today I want to discuss with you a serious question - What factors are pushing the price? As you know, there is fundamental and technical analysis. Each trader himself gives preference to what to use in the analysis. And we will try to understand what pushes the price. NEWS The first thing that comes to mind is NEWS . News affects OUR WHOLE LIFE . The news pushes crowds of people to one point and forces them to flee from another. News is a strong factor. If the central bank decides something, it will be in the news and it will definitely push the market. If the president of the country has decided something, it is shown on the news and it pushes the market. If a person who decided the fate of an entire industry was fired, it will push the market and the price. Therefore, it is IMPORTANT to follow the news and, more importantly, correctly interpret the news and be able to predict the future mood and future actions of the crowd based on them. PATTERNS All traders see the same chart, but everyone perceives it differently. There are many reasons for this: someone knows more patterns, someone has more experience, someone understands better than another, someone has better discipline. And when one or another pattern appears on the chart, people start trading and push the price. You may have noticed that if no special picture is visible on the market, then the market is sluggish. As soon as a pattern emerges, movement begins. People entered the market. Can we say that patterns move the price? Or maybe someone is creating patterns on the chart to move the price? EMOTIONS We have already touched on this topic above, but it is worth noting separately. Emotions play an important role in everything. If the crowd is happy, the market is growing. The crowd is afraid - the market is falling. The crowd can be angry at the company or the country, close positions and thereby push the price down because of their bias.. The one who knows how to understand other people's emotions is able to predict the future actions of the crowd and make money on it. Think about it... SUPPLY AND DEMAND Classical works on economics teach us that the market is controlled by supply and demand. more precisely, the difference between supply and demand. If the demand is large, the price rises, if the demand is small, the price falls. The logic is simple: if people buy a lot, someone will start raising the price before selling, why not, because people buy. When people don't want to buy, the one who needs to sell will lower the price to lure the buyer, because you need to sell something. At the same time, it is important that there should always be both a buyer and a seller, otherwise the price will stand still or move slowly. When there is both a buyer and a seller on the market and a lot of transactions are made, the price moves quickly, volumes increase, so even strong jumps (GAPS) are possible. MANIPULATION Manipulation is the darkest, most hidden action from prying eyes. No one can say for sure whether it was manipulation or not. Can someone push the market? You often observe that the price reaches your stop, after which it immediately goes in the right direction, but without you. Many traders believe that manipulation can be observed in the market . Someone thinks that every movement is manipulation. What do you think? Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
10
An easy way to lower the risk profile of your stock portfolioThe correlation between Visa and Mastercard creates an interesting investment trick. I began this analysis not even looking for the correlation between these two companies' stock prices. But rather I was looking for some chart patterns using a stock screener. At the top of the list, these two companies emerged. As usual, I was going to go through the stock charts of all the companies in the list briefly to determine if they hold any chart pattern merit. However, as I scanned over Visa, and then Mastercard, I noticed they looked extremely similar. Weird. I then opened up Tradingview and put these stocks in. Side by side they look the same. These two companies have very similar price movements. No surprise, they are very similar companies. They are direct competitors. They are both big players in the global credit services market. Transacting trillions of dollars in total payments volumes per year. They’re both tech companies that connect the consumer and the merchant digitally for transactions. They have been seen as rivals for over a decade now. Neither Visa nor Mastercard are involved in extending credit or issuing cards. They work in a co-branded relationship with the card provider. That's why you will see their logos on your credit card but won’t see a full absolute Mastercard/Visa credit card. Visa is generally larger in terms of the transaction, purchase volume and cards in circulation. However, Mastercard growth has been picking up and may see a catch-up. Now let’s get back to the price movement analysis. I have split this up into three time periods and then done a Pearson Correlation Test. The first period is the matched IPO date to the current date. The next is the last 5 years and then the last 2 years. The reason for the three time periods is simple. I want to do a full IPO to current date analysis to get the full picture and long-term perspective. A 5-year analysis because if you look at the charts above, that’s when the volatility in the stocks picks up. The last 2 years, because if you look again at the charts above, some crazy price movements have been occurring in the last two years that do not follow the past 14-year trend. The closer to +1, the closer the correlation. March 2008 - Nov 2022: 0.83 Nov 2017 - Nov 2022: 0.92 Nov 2020 - Nov 2022: 0.90 As you can see from the above stats both of these stocks have a close relationship with each other. A higher correlation in recent years. Of course, correlation doesn’t mean causation. However, the fact that these two companies are very similar and direct competitors means that one could form a reasonable conclusion. Not that one stock is affecting the other price. But rather than investors see these two companies as very similar. Such that when they exit one, they exit the other. Unless there is a big reason not to. But as you can see from the stats above. The stocks have a close correlation over the last 14 years such that even if one says that, let, for example, Visa is going to grow faster than Mastercard, the chances are - Mastercard wouldn’t be far behind. Henceforth, this leads to an interesting investment tip: Let’s say you want to diversify your portfolio by gaining some exposure to the credit services industry. Since Visa and Mastercard are the two leading companies, you chose them. However, you only have enough money to invest in one. But you also want to lower the risk profile of your portfolio. Is there a way both can be done? The answer is yes, since Visa and Mastercard have such a close correlation and are very big established companies they will most likely follow each other in price movement. Also, since they are two different companies, you will be diversifying your investment and will be lowering your risk. So, you divide that last portion of your portfolio into two smaller portions and buy Visa and Mastercard 50:50. This will mean you get the exposure you are after, the returns as well since they have a close correlation, and the risk is lowered since they are two separate companies. Quite a cool trick is not it? I created three different portfolios. Each beginning with $10,000. I invested the full out in two of them into Visa and Mastercard. The last portfolio had a 50:50 split. I then calculated the standard daily deviation and the annualized standard deviation. Here are the results: Visa 100%: Start value: $10,000 End value: $137,295.57 Annualized STD: 29.60% Mastercard 100%: Start value: $10,000 End value: $151,466.00 Annualized STD: 32.30% Visa 50% Mastercard 50%: Start value: $10,000 End value: $144,380.79 Annualized STD: 29.50% As you can see from the above stats, once the two stocks have been combined the standard deviation drops by 8.67% and the standard deviation is lower than the two stocks individually. This means the risk is lower. However, yes, the final value isn’t as high as the Mastercard 100% the returns are higher than the sole Visa 100% portfolio by 5.10%. So, in other words, the risk has been lowered than if you had individual portfolios and the returns are higher as well. Of course, the returns aren’t as high as they are in the Mastercard 100% portfolio, but the risk is lower while still ensuring higher returns. This means the Visa 50% Mastercard 50% portfolio provides an effective way to reduce risk while increasing returns. However, one thing to note is the maximum drawdown was the lowest in the Mastercard 100% portfolio. The second lowest is Visa 50% Mastercard 50%. Highest in Visa 50%. So, ensure that if you are going to follow this strategy, there is more research to be done and it is best worked in a long-term investment strategy possibly combined with dollar cost averaging. To conclude, if you want to see a higher return while lowering the risk profile of your portfolio. It pays to diversify with similar correlating assets.
NYSE:V
by BlackbearTrader
EUR/USD----------> Sell Zone MISSED :/ Price was clearly fluctuating at the highs in order to accumulate more contracts in the ranges of $1.16928 through $1.16901. Eight Hours later, price comes back to the zone to possibly induce more longs, scare people out of the winning/loosing positions, or most importantly a stop hunt JUST to move back to its original price/path thus going down even futher just ABSOLUTELY blasting through long position Stops from the 28th of October. As of now, I can only see a retest at the ranges of $1.15848 through $1.15750 before moving down to $1.15214.
Short
by Clar_214942894312797
1
Gold sep ideaWith NFP numbers, gold found its breakout to upside with low job numbers and it literally exploded in few minutes before the numbers. But it reached to all-time resistance 1833 area and have significant resistance and need to have a clear breakout to confirm moving upside towards 1900. It might come back to the area of `1810 to take support with an extension to 1801 to find its support before moving up and can have a significant pullback. Anyways all in all final gold starts moving ..... DYOR and play safe
TVC:GOLDShort
by learntrading007
Is this the time for a break out? or Is this just a retest?Looking at the current pattern of ETH, we can see that ETH is currently making an Ascending Broadening Wedge in its price action!!! According to research, this Ascending Broadening Wedge has a 79% chance of breaking towards the upside and 21% for breaking towards the downside... On that note, we can be quite bullish overall as breaking toward the upside more or less is a 4 to 1 scenario. But, also on that note... Will we see the breakout now? Or Will we see a retest of the wedge first? To confirm this, we need to look at todays candle as to gauge the strength of ETH... If it is strong enough, testing and breaking the 0.618 FIB level ($3360) pulled from the ATH to the lowest level from last months dip would be reachable. On contrary, if this is just a test, and there's not enough powder to fire up ETH, I am predicting my green line as its next support test ($2880). The green line is a minor 0.5 Fib level from the last correction ($2441) to the current high ($3342). Comment down below which one do you think ETH will do?? Thank you for reading
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by ZombieGod11
BTC Mid-Term Price ProjectionThis sideways market has to break eventually. History says it will break to the upside. Right now, I'm hopeful that July will show a strong recovery and move up into the Resistance area around 45600 before falling back down to the Support level around 40200. At this point market factors could remain suppressed and continue to push BTC into another sideways trend. This analysis shows a new ATH by late October. This would be considered a Very conservative estimate and already places Bitcoin well behind schedule. If this projection fails then this means there is a total breakdown in the underlying structure of Bitcoin in relation to it's historical time frames and price projections.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by cldx
2
Watch out for this crucial phase in ETHUSD | 4hr timeframeQuick glance : On our previous analysis on ETHUSD , we discussed the Bears seemingly taking over. Although, the momentum was mixed, it appears that ETH might face some heat against it in the short term. Market in the last 24hrs ETHUSD witnessed a bit of selloff. The fall was not drastic, however the bearish momentum persisted. Today’s Trend analysis ETHUSD seems to be building a downtrend. Price is likely to face resistance from the BB midline. The decrease in the trading volume has not been encouraging for short term traders either. However, the narrowing channel of the Bollinger Bands suggests some stability. It could indicate a consolidation at current levels. Price volatility remained moderate at approximately 4%, with the day's range between $2403.20 — $2499.73. Price at the time of publishing: $2435.76 ETH's market cap: $284.44 Billion Out of 11 Oscillator indicators, 9 are neutral, and 2 points to 'SELL' signals, and none of them present a bullish view. Out of 15 Moving average indicators, 13 are giving a 'SELL' signal, and only 1 is giving a 'BUY' signal. Indicator summary is giving a 'SELL' signal on ETHUSD for the shorter timeframe. Volumes have remained low in the past 24 hours and on a decreasing trend. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The analysis is based on signals from 26 technical indicators, out of which 15 are moving averages and the remaining 11 are oscillators. These indicator values are calculated using 4Hr candles. Note: Above analysis would hold true if we do not encounter a sudden jump in trade volume . ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Any feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Mudrex
10
The Laws of Supply and Demand Affects the Price MovementThe Laws of Supply and Demand Affects the Price Movement 1. When supply exceeds demand, the price is more likely to fall. 2. As the price is falling, supply will increase, and demand will decrease. As a result, the price will fall faster. 3. At valleys, demand is greater than supply; therefore, the price is more likely to increase. 4. At peaks, supply is greater than demand; therefore, price is more likely to fall. 5. As the price trends higher, demand is greater than supply; therefore, price is more likely to go higher. Thank you for reading! Greenfield Remember to click "Like" and "Follow!" Disclosure: Article written by Greenfield. A market idea by Greenfield Analysis LLC for educational material only.
NYSE:BACEducation
by GreenfieldAnalysis
EURUSD - Understanding Candle developmentVideo Idea - To show that will Volume and Stochastic price movement and candlestick development can be predicted. (Also hours of practice) Objective Attempted - Predict candlestick development and where price will move for 10 Min Objective Observations - Blind, meaning without candles and stochastic difficult, but with those indicators it was easy. Objective prediction - Bullish movement EURUSD Objective results - Successfully predict movement til end of video. Other video to make from this one: Show how to use 3 Dip Stochastic to predict Bullish Price Movement Let me know if ya'll would like me to do a live stream of price movement prediction!!! Thanks and follow!!
Education
by CHART_GUYY
BITCOIN UPDATE - PARALLEL CHANNELDESCRIPTION RESULT from last previous idea: Looking at the updated trade progression of last post, it was observed that the Forecast failed to reach the proposed support line reversal at $8,956 which rendered the setup invalid . Meanwhile, we have been experiencing some tight price movements at the moment within the horizontal channel that brought it to the levels between $9,280 to $9,050 price range. if this trend continues like this, we might end the month at a high side with prices around $9,300 or on the low side with prices around $9,050. However, I'm currently watching for the $8,956 Horizontal Support Line (Green), if it gets crossed, then a Long position will be first priority. We believe this Bitcoin move to be a real reversal and prices can start to go up. I'm probably hoping that the upcoming month of August will be a bullish month for us all. What's your take? Share with us in the comments section below. Don't forget to like this awesome post here and follow @CryptoPrinceTrades on Telegram. Thanks you, Evans
by Obiakor_Evans
BEWARE PROBABLE VIOLENT PRICE MOVE - SPDR S&P 500 - SPY - DAILYWe have noticed that the market is up trending and whenever the price has evolved close to the blue line and the red doted up trend line, it was followed by very violent price change. Therefore, beware, as the price is at the moment evolving around the red dotted line. Besides, the price has shown also elastic movements, coming back again and again to its previous break points. Keep all those information in mind when evolving on this SPDR S&P 500 - SPY market.
AMEX:SPY
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
1