EURJPY / D1 : Possible end of wave 3 to retrace back to 1Of course the projected waves are speculative and requires the prices to react in the spotted zone which a multi wave cluster zone.
If the prices actually blocks there we will then probably have a two wave retracement and the overshoot pattern will very likely form a head a shoulder pattern to extend the correction to lower levels and pbly reach wave 1 overlap before being long again in the trend for a fifth final wave.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Pro-indicators
SPX / D1 : consolidation already over ? Not really !Today's surprising rally that followed the weekend with what headlines tried to explain as Korea's redemption and "less expensive" damages from Irma !
Well.. call it however you want to me it fits in two words > stop hunting ! This might be the only actual fuel to this unexepecter price surge that came out of nowhere.
Anyway the right question to ask yourself is not why... it's where ! Where does that lead us ? Are we heading toward new historical highs ? Is this a buy signal ?
I'll try answering those questions with my usual setup !
First, Sinewave : it's showing early REVERSE signal.. ! Don't overestimated this... early signals are just warnings, they can be invalidated as long as they're not validated and trully ploted on the chart. But still.. reverse cycles are very risky to trade against... so bulls needs to be veeeery cautious here.. cause if it actually reverses here it generally means that we'll wrong foot them and go sharply bearish.
Then Momentum : curve is bearish (lower lows and lower highs) so basically supports are less likely to hold than resistance.
Finally the price level : We're now testing a pullback from the broken support trendline plotted from subwave 2-4 bottoms. Broken support is by definition a resistance. On Elliot perspective, all I can forecast is eventually an extended flat correction... with a limit target of 138% retracement of A wave.
Conclusion :
Despite all I can read here and there.. I can't support any bullish scenario. Simply because both Sinewave and Momentum tend to plead for a trap. The price level is still under a resistance trendline. So it's impossible for me to defend market calls ! All I need to short this market is to wait for it to reach momentum overload signaling or to see any candle reversal pattern under the resistance levels identified.
So... I'm already short, I'm not going to re-inforce agressively, I'll simply stay in and wait for a signal confirmation to go fully leveraged. Patience and anticipation... I know what I want to see on charts, if this happens I'll short again, if not I'll trigger stop losses if the market manages to break above the subwave 3-5 resistance trendline. Anyway I think the next few days will be crucials. I'll update the idea whenever I'll have new price infos to help clarifying which way will become the most probable.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
SPX / D1 : Final re-inforcement before big drop or invalidationThis is it, I'm not taking the last short reinforcement here, after shorting the top and the bearish breakdown, this pullback is really unexpected but to me it still looks like a great opportunity to put more money into this thing rather than being scared of bulls taking it over again.
Of course this scenario comes with an invalidation level... and I also gave you my target. In this case Sinewave is totally supporting the short positions, and clearly highlights the end of the bullish trend that happened right after Trump's election.
Those who are familiar with my ideas will notice that there is no elliott count on this one.. just to show you that you can basically use everything to find your support and resistance levels to trade on.. but to me Sinewave will always be the key element with Momentum to confirm !
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
DAX / H3 : Ending diagonal to terminate wave corrective C ?Reagarding the current counts, I think the most probable scenario would be an ending diagonal to terminate the corrective wave C. I suggested before this was too early to buy eurozone with a very bearish potential on US equities.
US now tends to validate the bear scenario, and of course EU struggles to hold its supports. Plus Sinewave never showed any bull signals and on the opposite showed sell continuation cycles. All tends to confirm this bearish continuation on DAX. We need further price development to confirm the ending diagonal but that's the early scenario I'm no waiting for.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
USDJPY / M1 : Longterm pleads for a bull trend reversalThe analysis shows off that the long term bear trend of USDJPY 0.07% may have come to an end on this bottom and the reversal time is now triggering.
We may have finished the first wave impulse of this new bullish trend . So we are now retracing to find point 'b'.
This subwave is in-trend and can be bought with low risk. Of course as we're consolidating... wave 'b' can be sold in counter trend.
Which means that buyers need to exit under resistance and can't hold their trades too long...
This analysis suggests that in order to hold longs for long term, this would need to wait for subwave 'c' to be reached.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'm pretty new to TradingView so I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
USDJPY / M1 : Longterm pleads for a bull trend reversalThe analysis shows off that the long term bear trend of USDJPY may have come to an end on this bottom and the reversal time is now triggering.
We may have finished the first wave impulse of this new bullish trend. So we are now retracing to find point 'b'.
This subwave is in-trend and can be bought with low risk. Of course as we're consolidating... wave 'b' can be sold in counter trend.
Which means that buyers need to exit under resistance and can't hold their trades too long...
This analysis suggests that in order to hold longs for long term, this would need to wait for subwave 'c' to be reached.
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'm pretty new to TradingView so I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
DAX / H4 : Ending Diagonal to terminate this impulse ?Just as the DOW count revealed, the DAX 0.76% may be creating an ending diagonal formation on fifth and final wave of the current count that started upon Trump's election and fueled the price without a single retracement (as 2 & 4 were both flat corrections ).
Anyway we might be reaching a market top as suggested and as we didn't have any retracement and that this wave was basically based on promises that will less likely come afterwards.. I anticipate that we should have a profound 50% retracement of this wave. Maybe more if we have some catalysts in the meantime.
For agressive traders, there is still one subwave count to finish in this possible ending diagonal as subwave are supposed to be in ZigZags. So we have wave A, now retracing to B point that we should reach soon, that leaves us with a C wave to look for before considering agressive shorts. Generally we use the fibo extension of 78,6% of previous wave as target... you have it on the chart !
For less agressive ones, of course waiting for the wedge to break down. Remember that ending diagonal breakouts generally creates strong movements with extended 1st wave impulse as first A retracement wave. So there's plenty of room to go close this Macron gap I guess ! That will be Target 1 for ;)
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'm pretty new to TradingView so I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
GOLD / D1-W1-M1 : MultiTimeFrame Analysis with Elliott+SinewaveTook me quite some time to build this up but the result shows a very clean sceanrio here ! Everything tends to correspond between each different timeframe and so the forecast is even more likely to occur.
It shows that on the biggest timeframe, gold has made it's 5 wave impulse and is now retracing in 2 impulses. The first have been completed and we clearly see it confirmed by multiple timeframe sinewave signals. We're now working on the corrective wave of this rectacement ( the A to B wave ). Which normally plots as ZigZag and tends to be the case here. Looks like we've made the first impulse of our sub ZigZag ... working on the corrective wave (that appears to be a barrier triangle on daily chart ). The next move should be a 3 wave bullish impulse reaching out to 100-127% extension of the previous wave. Completing this will give us our B point of major count that we will the sell for the second corrective wave of the monthly corrective count. It can seem messy... but hold on, zoom in and take the time to read ! You'll have much clearer sight of what would be about to come ;)
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'm pretty new to TradingView so I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators