Enter on a logical level, move to 8,800 -> 9,000 possibleToday bar is likely to end up as a pin bar. It is to be expected, bitcoin was in a contraction phase and November crash created strong Ichimoku cloud upfront. On top of all that, sudden upward movement happened to leave 3rd deviation Bollinger Bands, which is statistically more frequent on cryptocurrencies but still increases pullback probability by a great margin.
I recommend avoiding trading against the trend. My personal setup is to enter on a logical level based on Volume Profile. Reaching a low volume area, however, is not a signal by itself. Price action signal should appear on the level. Another pinbar would be most comfortable to trade, but something like outside bar appears, I will take it too. I'll update the analysis when we reach the level.
I will be rating all my analysis this year. This setup will be considered successful if we reach the lower rectangle and open a successful long position based on price action with a minimum of 2:1 ratio
Good luck
Profile
USDCAD accumulation setup After nice rotation around 1.308 - 1.309 followed by strong buying activity i expect that market will be continue in uptrend.
For that reason i will be waiting for pullback to this area for long trade.
I think that those buyers will become active again and they will start pushing the price upwards again from 1.3089.
Happy trading
Dale
Lloyds Bull Pennant / Descending WedgeBoth patterns are bullish, whichever you choose to interpret it as. Additionally, there is decreasing volume as it reaches its 200ma on the daily. Lloyds has been very well behaved when it comes to chart patterns over the past year.
MACD crossing down is a reason for concern though.
Morning Ideas July 19 2019 E-Mini/E-Micro SP500Hey traders,
I got shaken out of my long briefly yesterday, only to re-enter (at a worse price). The position is in the green and will continue to add to it because I want to get paid if the hypothesis is correct.
Volume is good overnight and a ledge at the top, indicating we are not done going higher yet.
Look forward to seeing you guys in class at 930.
ETHBTC Short SETUP Margin BinanceSince Binance added Margin to there platform, we can Short position to reduce your profit.
Since ETHBTC is in a Downtrend, there is a nice potention short Setup on the 30 min timeframe.
See the volume cluster and the breaking down of the support. This support was a strong one the last year.
My opinion, when the price go back up, we have a potentional setup at the Support became resistent level.
Entry short arround 0.24800
Bitcoin is just BALANCING! No Reversal is ahead!Bitcoin is just correcting its very long inventory. No need to worry for longer-term holders! It is just substituting weak-hand longs for stronger ones!
Based on profiles from week 25 to week 27 of 2019, we've had an aggressive buying by short term traders which is very evident in week 25.
In week 26, we got an excess high due to high liquidation by these day timeframe traders as approaching heavy resistance around $14000 level.
During week 27, very short-term traders started to buy the dips and this pushed the prices higher. However, since this bounce occurred by weaker hand money, as it is evident by "poor low", it was unable to reach previous high at $14000. Note that the auction to the downside is NOT COMPLETE due to lack of a good base for this bounce!!!
I expect the current week bitcoin liquidation will continue to the prominent POC of week 25 where a major support by longer term holders is laying at around $9100. Go long there if you witness a solid strong base. The targets are previous high at @13800 and (if conviction is strong) $16800.
NZDCAD Volume clustersHere is the most significant levels for this week on NZDCAD.
I expected on this levels oportunity go short.
Both of this level is based on volume accumulation setup.
From price level 0.9247 followed strong sell off, this is why i expected that strong sellers will be fight about this price.
Happy trading
Dale
BTC potential targets aboveI am currently looking for indication the next move will take us to the 61.8, possibly 78.6 fib
The 61.8 fib lines up with current level and size of earlier candle 3240 - 3470
Looking at volume profile I have orders to add long if we retouch the 3240 support or wick to 0 fib at 3200
I already have a short open from 36 so will keep a close stop on long, 3160-3180 but will be monitoring the price if it drops to that level
Magenta dashed lines are just rough support / resistance lines
Grey boxes are order blocks from last year
Purple and Blue vertical lines are just guides for candle height
EURUSD Volume areaRight now is two parts of the Volume Areas... One without volume that was created by rapid motion up. The effectiveness of the Volume profile suggests that this area should be filled in the future. But for my is not so interesting this area.
Other one Volume area which i call " MASSIVE VOLUME " area is more importent for me. Because there was the accumulation of orders through a large movement up which mean... There is strong buyers and i want be on the side strong buyers and waiting for pullback in to this area.
If you want more information about VOLUME PROFILE check my last offer !!
USDJPY Intraday Strong resistance has changed to good support. Pretty heavy volumes got accumulated around the 113.06 area. Then a really strong buy-on started. When the price makes it back to this level I expect a reaction, because those strong buyers are most likely to defend their buying positions and to push the price upper again. The biggest Volume in chart is your the biggest advantage before BIG players...
USDJPY long levelsI said it at the beginning of my book – indicators are quite useless. Big institutions don't care about them. Also, standard indicators work only with "price" and "time". For that reason the information indicators provide are always delayed.
Novice traders need to accept the fact that there isn’t a magic combination of indicators that would make good and profitable trading system.
Only Volume profile can show you TRUE Support and resistance. Because combinate more information about how market iniciated moved. Watch my intraday levels from my Members section..
Take profit = 10 pips
Stop loss = 12 pips
Happy trading
Dale
NZD/CAD short from 0. 8767This trade idea is based mostly on a Trend setup. There is a strong downtrend on the NZD/CAD right now. In such case, I look for volume clusters that were created within the downtrend. Such a volume cluster as around 0.8767 shows us that sellers were adding to their selling positions there and that they continued pushing the price lower from this area. When the price makes it back to this area again (pullback), then those sellers are likely to defend their positions and push the price lower.
Another confirmation of this level is as Support becoming resistance Price Action setup. Quite near our short level, there was a pretty strong rejection of this level in the past – marked in blue. This indicates that it was a strong support in the past. When the price went through this support then it became a resistance.
There is one more thing about this level which I like – it is the pinbar candlestick (I marked it in the red rectangle). This pinbar shows us aggressivity of sellers, which again confirms the idea of a short trade from 0.8767.
Trend setup - Volume cluster This trade idea is based mostly on a Trend setup. There is a strong downtrend on the NZD/CAD right now. In such case, I look for volume clusters that were created within the downtrend. On the biggest volume cluster are more likely to respond by correction. This is reason why i wait for returning market to this volume cluster. How i set profit and target can you read in my NEW BOOK.