21/10/2020 EURUSDYesterday's upmove signal possible continuation. But price action looks overstretched, thus I would expect at least a pullback, support before any further up move.
Above 1.1780 I will be long bias. Gd to wait for price to pullback to enter. Upper targets/resistance are 1.1854, 1.188. In the unlikely event of strong up move 1.1936 will cap high of day. Low risk sell level.
Below 1.1774, look for shorts to target 1.1746. 1.1726 should cap low of day
Profitabletrading
21/10/2020 SPX ES_F SPY Where next?Price is ranging with no clear direction. According to my system, price is in an uptrend on a monthly TF, but down on a weekly and daily timeframe.
Market is probably waiting for outcome of the stimulus talk to decide the direction.
I have identified the levels to trade on.
Above 3446.8 bias is to the upside, targeting 3467.4 (rejected by this level currently), 3488, 3498. 3518 should cap high of day, presenting low risk short level.
Below 3442, short bias, target 3430.8, 3416 and 3396. 3382.8 should cap low of day, presenting low risk long level.
19/10/2020 Silver - Expect down day today Based on price action, lots of resistance for silver. Thus my system points me to going short for today, though not discounting that we might see buyers at lower price levels.
Price now at 24.22. Price could sell from here or pullback to 24.41 zone which offers better R:R for shorting. Expect 24.68 to cap high of day - low risk sell level.
Lower targets are 23.948 and 23.766 with 23.5 as cap of low of day - low risk buy level.
16/10/2020 NZD Pullback possible but expect further downTrend is down on daily, weekly and monthly. Based on yesterday's price action, expect further down.
Wait for 0.6610-18 for good level to go short, with stop above, or build up shorts leading to this level, target 0.6560, 0.6524. 0.65 should cap low of day. I will not go long on this, but if you do, 0.6638-44 should cap high of day.
16/10/2020 SPX ES_F Don't be too happy bullsYesterday, SPX hit my support level and rebounded 40-50points. However my system says that the down move might be short lived. Current rejection off 3487 gives possible further down move, targeting 3476, 3452. If 3452 (yesterday's support) breaks, expect 3420. I will wrong above 3492. Above R will be 3506 and 3528, which should cap high of day.
Generating SRC ProfitsLet’s talk about SRC profits. We’ll talk about what they are, why you must have them, and how to generate them.
So let’s get started.
What are SRC Profits?
Lately, I'm seeing all of these YouTube videos showing claims like this where someone said, “I made $1,088 in profits day trading.”
Or someone claiming, “I made $1,253 in profits in three minutes.”
Wow, look at this: “32,625 pounds in only 24 hours”
And you know what? I believe that all these guys actually did these trades.
But here’s the deal when you trade, you’re going to have trades that just work out perfectly. Yes, there will be trades where you make a lot of money.
And for me, the question always is, are these SRC profits?
So let’s talk about this here, because if you want to trade for a living, you must be able to generate SRC profits.
So let’s take a few minutes and talk about this.
S – Systematic
So here is what SRC profits are.
First, it’s an acronym and the S stands for systematic.
Now, I don’t know about you, but I want to make my profits in a systematic way.
Yes, of course, you can make money trading Tesla if you’re catching it at the right time.
But you see, how exactly do you decide when to enter, and can you generate these profits again?
You know me, I like to trade what I see and not what I think. I keep a special mug on my desk that reminds me of this.
See, that’s why I use indicators. That’s why I have a trading strategy.
Having a systematic way means that we have a trading strategy that tells me exactly what to trade, when to enter, and exactly when to exit.
Sometimes you exit with a profit and sometimes, you do exit with a loss. Losses are part of our business as a trader.
In short, I have a system. I love to trade based on rules and not based on my gut feeling, because whenever I traded based on what I thought, it only worked for a little bit.
When I switched to trading what I see based on science, based on probabilities, based on rules, that’s when my trading turned around.
R – Repeatable
Let’s move on and let’s talk about the second point, the 2nd letter in SRC profits.
So the second point here is repeatable. Without a system, it will be difficult to repeat the profits. Now, think about it this way.
Let’s talk about Tesla . Let’s say that you caught Tesla when they announced a stock split on August 11th.
And let’s say during this run you made 30% in a matter of a few days, or maybe you traded options and you made 1,000% in a few days.
Can you do it again? Well, you see, if you rely on the next stock split then you might have to wait a few years.
Think about it this way, is it better to generate $10,000 on a single trade, or is it better to know how to make $500 every single week?
For me, I’d rather trade a system that’s generating $500 per week consistently than relying on the windfall profits.
Yes, these windfall profits will happen in your trading career we’ve just talked about it. And it’s nice when it happens, but I wouldn’t rely on it.
If you can generate $500 every week times 52 weeks, that’s $26,000. For me, that is better than being able to generate these windfall profits.
This brings me to the next point.
C – Consistent Profit
The next one is consistent profit. I want to make sure that I’m getting consistent profits.
Let me give you an example here. Would you rather have an equity curve like a EKG machine? Or maybe a nice steady line gradually growing from left to right ;)
What is an equity curve?
An equity curve is charting your account, of how your account is going. Now, I don’t know about you, but I wouldn’t want my equity curve to be like a roller coaster. Even if this roller coaster would make me more money I wouldn’t do it.
I would rather make slightly less money but still have my hair instead of pulling it out with that equity.
I’m not a nail biter but if I had this equity curve, this roller coaster, I would probably bite off all my nails. You know that there’s some traders who are doing exactly this.
Now that you know what SRC profits are and why you need them if you want to trade for a living, let’s move on and let’s talk about how you generate these profits.
3 Things You Need To Generate SRC Profits – Number 1
So the first thing that you need is that you need to have a trading strategy or trading strategies.
The strategies that I use are based on indicators and probabilities.
You see, I know exactly what to trade, I know exactly when to enter, I know exactly when to exit. I know my risk, I know my potential profit, and I know my odds of realizing that profit or loss.
If you don’t know my trading strategies yet, let me briefly mention them to you.
So my bread and butter strategy is the PowerX Strategy, and I have written a book about this.
During the pandemic I was trading a strategy called Theta Kings. This was perfect as the markets were crashing, along with the PowerX Strategy.
Now, another trading strategy that I’m trading here right now is a trading strategy called The Wheel. Anyhow, let’s move on.
2. To generate SRC profits you need to have tools
What is the second thing that you need to generate these SRC profits? Well, I am using tools that make my life easier.
You see, I know my odds. I know my probabilities, I know what to expect and I couldn’t do all these calculations in my head.
This is why I’m using tools like the PowerX Optimizer that helps me to find the best stocks and options to trade.
The PowerX Optimizer shows me for any given stock the signal, the position size, how much I should trade, how much money I can potentially make, and how long I’m in a trade.
All of this is important to me so this is why I love to have tools.
And for The Wheel strategy, for example, I use the wheel income calculator.
I've built a calculator that I’m using for picking the best stocks and options for The Wheel.
You see, I need to make sure that I’m getting the very best trades for my trading. I personally would never trade without the right tools. It’s like trying to compete in a Formula One race with a Toyota Prius.
I mean, nothing against a Prius, but you won’t win a Formula One race with it. And when trading your trading against some of the smartest minds in the world. Don’t bring a knife to a gunfight, have the right tools.
3. You need to have the right mindset
So finally, number three, what is the third thing that you need here? It is the right mindset.
What do I mean by this? You see, when trading there will be losses and you need to know how to limit your loss because otherwise these losses will be devastating.
Who knows what I’m talking about? You see, you need to know how to control your risk. Take care of your losses. The winners, they can take care of themselves.
Summary
Now, here’s something to remember that is super, super important. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
So super important and here’s why.
Good for you if you made a $1,088 in profits in day trading, or if you made $1,253 profits in three minutes. And you know what? Good for you if you made $32,625 during the coronavirus in 24 hours.
But let me ask you this, how much money did you lose before that? How much money did you lose right after you made these profits? Did you give it right back?
You see, I see too many traders being blinded by these windfall profits, by these, “Hey, look at me. Look at what I did” stories and they don’t see the full story.
This is why I’m doing this here to show you the full story.
When traders don’t see this full story, when they just see this “look at me” stuff, they start chasing these dreams and they lose a lot of money along the way.
You see, for me personally, I prefer SRC profits. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
If you enjoyed this article, feel free to leave a comment below and share it with anyone you think may find this helpful.
Amazing MEGA chart continuesAlmost a year ago I posted my "Amazing chart" and it's All time MEGA uptrend curve. It still perfectly glides by it. Well, almost perfect, if we do not count Covid break, but it is back perfectly sitting on top longest curve following it from the beginning of btc price counting.
You can see my previous chart in related ideas link.
What do you think? How long is possible to follow this mega uptrend curve?
EURGBP-The dumbest trade of all time???I'm not doing this seriously, but this should be a fun experiment.
I'm applying a brand new strategy here, trying to use the weekly and monthly levels.
It would be too crazy if this actually works out, but hey, you never know until you try...
Hey, before you scroll through and ignore this idea, just please check on the future price movements.
Again, if it works then it is just the craziest thing that you've ever seen in your entire life, right?
Sure it has high RR because the SL is like 4 pips and whatnot, but if I move the SL to the R1 pivot then it would have 5R, which is still pretty good.
The ridiculousness of Forex trading - CHFJPY missed opportunitySo I made a buy limit order on CHFJPY , made 1.55R, not too shabby.
Except that it didn't actually happen!
CHFJPY reached the entry price of the order, but it did not get filled for whatever reason!
Wish I could publish this idea on the 1-minute timeframe, to underline just how precise the price has reached the entry point.
Just something that I want to tell anybody who's maybe new to Forex trading, to just be mindful of situations like these.
Goodbye.
NZDJPY simple price-action trade ideaEntry @70.952
SL @71.065
TP1 @70.25
TP2 @69.877
Oh, and did you know that it's literally 12 am in my place? I didn't stay up all night just looking at charts, I watched a couple of gaming live-streams here and there.
Since I am kinda exhausted right now, how 'bout I keep things a bit short. Analysis details are all there for you to see.
6R trade, never successfully made one before, and that's just the TP1. Let's see what happens!
Good night!
$GBPUSD Flagging and Ready for HigherNice flag pattern on $GBPUSD, this would go along with the narrative of short-term dollar weakness. Some nice wicks to fill as we look left, and the momentum is up so we know that wicks fill when markets are in momentum. Could place a stop right below that flag pattern if your a longer term swing trader with forex like me, or look to smaller time frames for scalps.
Thanks for the support! If you have any questions, feel free to comment below! I will get back you all. Good luck!
AUDUSD price is now bearish after manipulationYesterday, a lot of currencies moved abnormally, in that they created a candle with a really huge wick. This must've been the manipulation after the huge shorts that were made.
Price is almost finished filling out the huge wick, and since other traders are gonna go long after seeing this huge up move, the market makers are gonna plunge the price down.
So that's my reason for going short on this trade, and I've already shown all the other stuff like TP, SL above.
Goodbye.
GBPJPY is diving downI saw a strong resistance line that price reacted to. It reversed 4 times, and this 4th time is definitely going to be the next bearish reversal move.
First TP used to be a resistance line, now it broke out of it. Chances are, once price reaches that level, it will bounce back, so that's my first TP.
Second TP is actually this week's close. Price, on a weekly basis, usually reacts one way or another to that close.
And that's all I got, good bye.
USDCAD just here to flexin' a winning tradeI first saw a priceline that market's been reacting to over and over again. This time, it seemed to act as a support line.
However, when I got in, I was lucky enough to already see that market grabbed liquidity from SL of trades going to against the support.
So, what time was it, guys? It's my time to win some pips of course.
When trying to move my TP, I saw an upper area of liquidity.
Price also reacted to that level several times, and I hoped to see that it happened again, and it did.
There was also a higher TP that I was considering, but after seeing the Area of Liquidity, I closed my trade as soon as price reached that level.
Made literally 69.420 pips on this currency today, guys.
Happy trading!
As long as BCH remains under 291 we are looking for HL shortsDisclaimer: This is not financial advice
In high leverage trading your entry is a matter of life or death, you need to have patience and to not let fear of missing out drive you into opening rushed positions. Map out your trades in advance and wait for the right entry. Our aim is to capture quick & safe profits, not to predict the future, this is possible only if we fight for a good entry. So if you're nervous and itching to open a position then take a few deep breaths and don't trade!
Bitcoin Cash looks weak here. We could be forming a giant bull flag that will take a while to break upwards but in the meantime we have broken 2 important weekly pivots so as long as we remain under 291 I'm looking for high leverage shorts. Price reacted to daily support area around 274-278 which is a good sign for bulls however I'm not confident enough to be looking for longs here because downward pressure is stronger right now. Therefore we wait for a retest of 291 or we short a retest of the 274 area should the price break down further.
Entry: 291 SL: 296 TP1: 275 TP2: 260 TP3: 244
USDJPY short opportunity...ish?Price conveyed a strong downtrend, then it created a pennant, which is a continuation pattern.
And if you look at a greater picture, you'd see that price created lower lows, and it was far from reaching the previous high.
SL is crucial for this trade. Since it's a pre-market trade, the pips spread can widen at the start of the trading week. USDJPY's spread is currently sitting at 10 pips, which is why I moved my SL 10 pips further than intended.
As for the TP, then I first copied and pasted the vertical line that showed the height of the previous downtrend, matched it with the recent reversal pattern, and there goes my TP.
The lowest low that the price made recently kind of matches my TP zone.
Price hasn't tested any levels near that low yet, I think this is a potential Area of Liquidity.
So the market can be very tempted to reach that level, I'd be fine if it is my TP.
It's nighttime guys, I'll go to bed in just a sec, so bye!
XAUUSD is going to choke itPrice is consolidating after a downtrend, which indicates that the price is going to continue moving downward.
To prevent my trade from getting stopped out, I first need to find an area of liquidity, which a line that's above the high of that consolidation period. You can see where I have identified it in the chart above.
As for the TP level, it's pretty easy to spot. Just look for the uttermost bottomed close that price established. You don't look for a WICK's end, you look for the CLOSE's end.
And that is it for today!
Entry: 1948.291
SL: 1960.085
TP: 1881.545
USDCHF risk-free trade for me, hahaI took a short trade, expecting the market to follow a bearish structure. And it did!
It made an uptrend, then it went up for quite a while, but now I am seeing a reversal pattern, and the fact that it hasn't broken the previous high just further confirms this potential downtrend
My entry price is just above this current high, which makes it a perfect opportunity for me to move my SL to breakeven. Because after all, the entry price itself is the perfect SL for this trade.
Still believing in a bear market guys, wish me luck!
Entry/SL: 0.91444
TP: 0.90460
Bitcoin going to make some correction or will make new highs XOHello Everyone,
We have seen a lot of activity of Bitcoin because it was deemed as real money by DC laws so masses purchased bitcoin and are now holding because it is digital gold (named) so my analysis is Bitcoin is in my top resistance and support area. The major resistance is at 11391 area and major support is at 9600 area but there are many internal supports that bitcoin needs to cross if it is planning to go to that area. A correction is a must after this massive pump according to supply and demand we have seen a lot of demand this week so there must be a correction.
Each time when previous resistance has been tested uptrend is in a critical phase, failure to cross the previous peak or unable to bounce the near support usually means that the existing trend is changing. Now bitcoin has made a new high that is 11394 if it fails to cross that resistance then surely it will retrace the path, nearest support is at 10832 which has tried to cross 3-4 times but failed to cross it thus giving us a good support area. An individual can take a long order whenever the price retests that support if the candle on 1 hour succeeds crossing that resistance, do not go for long order if the candle is unable to cross that support and makes a wig that exactly touches or is near support wait for the next candle if next candle crosses the previous candle high I would go long there with a stop loss that will be 3% down from support. Please do examine MACD and RSI before going for long I suggest this for every order MACD and RSI plays an important role in telling us about demand and supply so that can be of great help.
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Ichimoku Components -
Kijun - REDLINE
Tenken - BLUELINE
Senkou A - Upper Border of cloud when the trend is bullish and Lower border of cloud when the trend is bearish
Senkou B - Upper Border of cloud when the trend is bearish and Lower border of cloud when the trend is bullish
Chikou - The green color shadow of price moving 26 period back
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Ichimoku also gives a great idea that is the price is still bullish there are many signs of that like Kijun and Tenken crossover that happened few hours ago and still in motion, they are parallel that means the price is consolidation but major signs are still bullish. Another sign I want to talk about is the price is still above Kijun which means bullish until and unless it crosse the Kijun and closes below as well as the Kumo cloud, Price is above Kumo cloud which means the price is bullish and has 4 supports to cross which are TENKEN, KIJUN, SENKOU A and SENKOU B. Crossover of Senkou A and Senkou B is a little bit troubling me because Senkou B is above Senkou A which indicates us of a bearish sign but still bullish signs are a lot more than bearish signs so we can say that price is in the uptrend. Chikou line has also crossed the previous price line so that also means that trend is bullish.
If you have any thoughts regarding this idea or if I am wrong at any point, do tell me in comments :)