29/10/2020 #EURUSD Obviously bearish but patience is keyYesterday EURUSD tanked quite a bit. If you have been following my tweet, you should be warned. 500 pip movement I see coming, given during last weekend.
Yesterday's very bearish candle signal more downside coming. But I sense (yes sense) that we should have a pullback 1st (price did stall yday later in the session)
Thus you can either play the pullback(go long) or wait for pullback to happen to short or of cos, if it doesn't pullback, to trade the breakout.
Price now ranging in my orange zone for past 6 hours.
If 1.1741 breaks, look to target 1.1711, 1.1677. In the event of heavy selling and 1.1637-47 trades, look for rebound to go long.
If you want to trade the pullback, 1.1773-87 will be a zone with possible reaction to go short, targeting the below levels.
1.1813 should cap high of day. Almost unlikely it will trade, as it will give a bullish engulfing candle on a bearish candle yesterday. I will definitely go short there.
If you want to trade the pullback, probably on break of 1.1755 with stops at low (1.1741). Upside is little - 30pips imo
Profitabletrading
28/10/2020 #DAX30 Looking for more sell but open to pullbackLots of selling yesterday (27 Oct) for #DAX30 #FDAX, closing at the lows.
Selling pressure still on but there might be possibility of pullback. A lot of room to play for the pullback.
12162-86 will present a low risk short zone with purple lines 11940, 11986, 12050, 12110 resistance along the way.
If 12162-86 does not hold, 12230 should cap high of day.
Below targets are 11828, 11720. In the event of panic selling, 11490 should cap low of day - low risk buy level.
28/10/2020 #SPX #ES_F looking for more sell, till I am wrongYesterday (27 Oct) #SPX #ES_F closed at the lows. It is still ranging now. Normally if we are to pullback, it should come quickly from open, but not so yet, thus probably we will sell in Europe session. But do note that 3402-3406 is a valued area of yesterday, there is always a probability we might pullback to there. That will present a low risk short level.
Purple lines 3382 and 3390 are probably R. If you want to trade the pullback you can trade level to level, but as per my plan, the upside (above the blue zone) is limited - 3412 and 3420.
Below support are 3364.8, 3350.8. If 3323.8 hits, it should present a low risk long level.
27/10/2020 SPX ES_F Let the sell continueMy post yesterday was titled "Let the crash begin?"
Probably will be more apt without the ?
We had a 100pts downmove then a pullback of 50pts. I still see further down; as I tweeted yesterday, no news is bad news.
Blue zone is usually my buy/sell level.But given the large movement yesterday, I actually put in an orange zone.
Be short below 3406 target 3382.8,3360-66 and even 3318. 3272, if we somehow reach there, will offer low risk buy level.
Do nothing between 3413.6 and 3424. If price pullback to this deeper levell, 3424-28 is the level to hold. If rejected, lower targets as mentioned above will be in play.
I will only want to look for longs above 3428, targetting 3448. 3458 should cap high of day - low risk sell level.
27/10/2020 EURUSD - where next?EURUSD has been ranging for the past 4 days, rather wide swings.
For now, EURUSD looks support above 1.1806 but I cannot ignore the possibility of further down move if 1.1806 breaks. Lower support at 1.1780-88, 1.1764-68, 1.1748. 1.1734 should cap low of day, presenting low risk buy level.
If 1.1824 break, we might see 1.1842, 1.1876. 1.1898 should cap high of day, low risk short level.
26/10/2020 EURUSD Possible pullback dayFri 23 Oct we had a down move, supported and a rally to close the day. However price is overextended and according to price action, we should see another pullback.
Below 1.1836 go short, target 1.18080-14. 1.1780 will act as strong support, thus I expect a strong bounce from there. If support breaks, 1.1758 should offer low risk buy level.
Above 1.1850 can be a level to go long, targeting 1.18860 and 1.1896. 1.1914-24 zone should offer strong resistance, capping the high of day and offering low risk sell level
26/10/2020 ES_F SPX Let the crash begin?Price still ranging, in balance. 3 things which could affect the next move in SPX are the earning announcement, elections news, stimulus talk.
On a broader picture, as per my tweet last week, I am seeing a set up for a bigger correction coming before end of year.
Anyway for 26 Oct, look for longs only above 3460, targeting 3474, 3487. 3504 should cap high of day, offering low risk sell level.
Below 3452, bias is to the downside, targeting 3426, 3400. 3382 should cap low of day, offering low risk buy level
23/10/2020 #FTSE Based on yesterday's daily candle close with rejection off new lows, price action looks bullish.
Bias will be long above 5791, targeting 5822, 5839.4, 5858 and 5879. 5896 if hit will present low risk short level.
Below 5778, bias will be to the downside, targeting 5744 and yesterday's low near 5722. 5682 should present low risk buy level.
23/10/2020 EURUSD Where is the bottomEURUSD - bullish on monthly and weekly but bearish on daily timeframe
We have pullback yesterday and price is coming down as I type this.
We might find a support today but till then bias is down.
Monitor 1.1830-38 for a possible pullback and rejection down, targeting 1.1798, 1.1780, 1.1766. 1.1742 should cap low of day, presenting low risk buy level.
I will only look for longs above 1.1838, targeting 1.1852 and 1.188. 1.1908 should cap high of day, presenting low risk sell level
22/10/2020 NASDAQ trying to find a bottomNASDAQ still in consolidation. Stimulus news still in play and that will move the market. Personally I think the lows are not in yet.
Price at the lower end of range, but need a clear break.
I am short bias below 11698, targeting 11590, 11504, 11410. In the event 11370 trade, I see it as low risk buy level.
Above 11710, look for longs, targeting 11796, 11892. 11924 presents low risk sell level
22/10/2020 GBPUSD - looking for pullbackPrice rallied yesterday but hit strong resistance. Expecting a pullback for today. You can either trade the pullback or wait for pullback to go long.
I will look for longs above 1.3148, targeting 1.3176, 1.3232. 1.3324 will be strong resistance but if 1.3376 trades today, I will sell it with low risk.
Below 1.3130, trading the pullback to short to 1.3054 as 1st target. Break of that should see 1.3024, 1.3006 trade.1.295 will cap low of day for low risk buy
21/10/2020 EURUSDYesterday's upmove signal possible continuation. But price action looks overstretched, thus I would expect at least a pullback, support before any further up move.
Above 1.1780 I will be long bias. Gd to wait for price to pullback to enter. Upper targets/resistance are 1.1854, 1.188. In the unlikely event of strong up move 1.1936 will cap high of day. Low risk sell level.
Below 1.1774, look for shorts to target 1.1746. 1.1726 should cap low of day
21/10/2020 SPX ES_F SPY Where next?Price is ranging with no clear direction. According to my system, price is in an uptrend on a monthly TF, but down on a weekly and daily timeframe.
Market is probably waiting for outcome of the stimulus talk to decide the direction.
I have identified the levels to trade on.
Above 3446.8 bias is to the upside, targeting 3467.4 (rejected by this level currently), 3488, 3498. 3518 should cap high of day, presenting low risk short level.
Below 3442, short bias, target 3430.8, 3416 and 3396. 3382.8 should cap low of day, presenting low risk long level.
19/10/2020 Silver - Expect down day today Based on price action, lots of resistance for silver. Thus my system points me to going short for today, though not discounting that we might see buyers at lower price levels.
Price now at 24.22. Price could sell from here or pullback to 24.41 zone which offers better R:R for shorting. Expect 24.68 to cap high of day - low risk sell level.
Lower targets are 23.948 and 23.766 with 23.5 as cap of low of day - low risk buy level.
16/10/2020 NZD Pullback possible but expect further downTrend is down on daily, weekly and monthly. Based on yesterday's price action, expect further down.
Wait for 0.6610-18 for good level to go short, with stop above, or build up shorts leading to this level, target 0.6560, 0.6524. 0.65 should cap low of day. I will not go long on this, but if you do, 0.6638-44 should cap high of day.
16/10/2020 SPX ES_F Don't be too happy bullsYesterday, SPX hit my support level and rebounded 40-50points. However my system says that the down move might be short lived. Current rejection off 3487 gives possible further down move, targeting 3476, 3452. If 3452 (yesterday's support) breaks, expect 3420. I will wrong above 3492. Above R will be 3506 and 3528, which should cap high of day.
Generating SRC ProfitsLet’s talk about SRC profits. We’ll talk about what they are, why you must have them, and how to generate them.
So let’s get started.
What are SRC Profits?
Lately, I'm seeing all of these YouTube videos showing claims like this where someone said, “I made $1,088 in profits day trading.”
Or someone claiming, “I made $1,253 in profits in three minutes.”
Wow, look at this: “32,625 pounds in only 24 hours”
And you know what? I believe that all these guys actually did these trades.
But here’s the deal when you trade, you’re going to have trades that just work out perfectly. Yes, there will be trades where you make a lot of money.
And for me, the question always is, are these SRC profits?
So let’s talk about this here, because if you want to trade for a living, you must be able to generate SRC profits.
So let’s take a few minutes and talk about this.
S – Systematic
So here is what SRC profits are.
First, it’s an acronym and the S stands for systematic.
Now, I don’t know about you, but I want to make my profits in a systematic way.
Yes, of course, you can make money trading Tesla if you’re catching it at the right time.
But you see, how exactly do you decide when to enter, and can you generate these profits again?
You know me, I like to trade what I see and not what I think. I keep a special mug on my desk that reminds me of this.
See, that’s why I use indicators. That’s why I have a trading strategy.
Having a systematic way means that we have a trading strategy that tells me exactly what to trade, when to enter, and exactly when to exit.
Sometimes you exit with a profit and sometimes, you do exit with a loss. Losses are part of our business as a trader.
In short, I have a system. I love to trade based on rules and not based on my gut feeling, because whenever I traded based on what I thought, it only worked for a little bit.
When I switched to trading what I see based on science, based on probabilities, based on rules, that’s when my trading turned around.
R – Repeatable
Let’s move on and let’s talk about the second point, the 2nd letter in SRC profits.
So the second point here is repeatable. Without a system, it will be difficult to repeat the profits. Now, think about it this way.
Let’s talk about Tesla . Let’s say that you caught Tesla when they announced a stock split on August 11th.
And let’s say during this run you made 30% in a matter of a few days, or maybe you traded options and you made 1,000% in a few days.
Can you do it again? Well, you see, if you rely on the next stock split then you might have to wait a few years.
Think about it this way, is it better to generate $10,000 on a single trade, or is it better to know how to make $500 every single week?
For me, I’d rather trade a system that’s generating $500 per week consistently than relying on the windfall profits.
Yes, these windfall profits will happen in your trading career we’ve just talked about it. And it’s nice when it happens, but I wouldn’t rely on it.
If you can generate $500 every week times 52 weeks, that’s $26,000. For me, that is better than being able to generate these windfall profits.
This brings me to the next point.
C – Consistent Profit
The next one is consistent profit. I want to make sure that I’m getting consistent profits.
Let me give you an example here. Would you rather have an equity curve like a EKG machine? Or maybe a nice steady line gradually growing from left to right ;)
What is an equity curve?
An equity curve is charting your account, of how your account is going. Now, I don’t know about you, but I wouldn’t want my equity curve to be like a roller coaster. Even if this roller coaster would make me more money I wouldn’t do it.
I would rather make slightly less money but still have my hair instead of pulling it out with that equity.
I’m not a nail biter but if I had this equity curve, this roller coaster, I would probably bite off all my nails. You know that there’s some traders who are doing exactly this.
Now that you know what SRC profits are and why you need them if you want to trade for a living, let’s move on and let’s talk about how you generate these profits.
3 Things You Need To Generate SRC Profits – Number 1
So the first thing that you need is that you need to have a trading strategy or trading strategies.
The strategies that I use are based on indicators and probabilities.
You see, I know exactly what to trade, I know exactly when to enter, I know exactly when to exit. I know my risk, I know my potential profit, and I know my odds of realizing that profit or loss.
If you don’t know my trading strategies yet, let me briefly mention them to you.
So my bread and butter strategy is the PowerX Strategy, and I have written a book about this.
During the pandemic I was trading a strategy called Theta Kings. This was perfect as the markets were crashing, along with the PowerX Strategy.
Now, another trading strategy that I’m trading here right now is a trading strategy called The Wheel. Anyhow, let’s move on.
2. To generate SRC profits you need to have tools
What is the second thing that you need to generate these SRC profits? Well, I am using tools that make my life easier.
You see, I know my odds. I know my probabilities, I know what to expect and I couldn’t do all these calculations in my head.
This is why I’m using tools like the PowerX Optimizer that helps me to find the best stocks and options to trade.
The PowerX Optimizer shows me for any given stock the signal, the position size, how much I should trade, how much money I can potentially make, and how long I’m in a trade.
All of this is important to me so this is why I love to have tools.
And for The Wheel strategy, for example, I use the wheel income calculator.
I've built a calculator that I’m using for picking the best stocks and options for The Wheel.
You see, I need to make sure that I’m getting the very best trades for my trading. I personally would never trade without the right tools. It’s like trying to compete in a Formula One race with a Toyota Prius.
I mean, nothing against a Prius, but you won’t win a Formula One race with it. And when trading your trading against some of the smartest minds in the world. Don’t bring a knife to a gunfight, have the right tools.
3. You need to have the right mindset
So finally, number three, what is the third thing that you need here? It is the right mindset.
What do I mean by this? You see, when trading there will be losses and you need to know how to limit your loss because otherwise these losses will be devastating.
Who knows what I’m talking about? You see, you need to know how to control your risk. Take care of your losses. The winners, they can take care of themselves.
Summary
Now, here’s something to remember that is super, super important. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
So super important and here’s why.
Good for you if you made a $1,088 in profits in day trading, or if you made $1,253 profits in three minutes. And you know what? Good for you if you made $32,625 during the coronavirus in 24 hours.
But let me ask you this, how much money did you lose before that? How much money did you lose right after you made these profits? Did you give it right back?
You see, I see too many traders being blinded by these windfall profits, by these, “Hey, look at me. Look at what I did” stories and they don’t see the full story.
This is why I’m doing this here to show you the full story.
When traders don’t see this full story, when they just see this “look at me” stuff, they start chasing these dreams and they lose a lot of money along the way.
You see, for me personally, I prefer SRC profits. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
If you enjoyed this article, feel free to leave a comment below and share it with anyone you think may find this helpful.
Amazing MEGA chart continuesAlmost a year ago I posted my "Amazing chart" and it's All time MEGA uptrend curve. It still perfectly glides by it. Well, almost perfect, if we do not count Covid break, but it is back perfectly sitting on top longest curve following it from the beginning of btc price counting.
You can see my previous chart in related ideas link.
What do you think? How long is possible to follow this mega uptrend curve?
EURGBP-The dumbest trade of all time???I'm not doing this seriously, but this should be a fun experiment.
I'm applying a brand new strategy here, trying to use the weekly and monthly levels.
It would be too crazy if this actually works out, but hey, you never know until you try...
Hey, before you scroll through and ignore this idea, just please check on the future price movements.
Again, if it works then it is just the craziest thing that you've ever seen in your entire life, right?
Sure it has high RR because the SL is like 4 pips and whatnot, but if I move the SL to the R1 pivot then it would have 5R, which is still pretty good.
The ridiculousness of Forex trading - CHFJPY missed opportunitySo I made a buy limit order on CHFJPY , made 1.55R, not too shabby.
Except that it didn't actually happen!
CHFJPY reached the entry price of the order, but it did not get filled for whatever reason!
Wish I could publish this idea on the 1-minute timeframe, to underline just how precise the price has reached the entry point.
Just something that I want to tell anybody who's maybe new to Forex trading, to just be mindful of situations like these.
Goodbye.