Profits
21/12/28 - Gold started its next bearish impulse Hey Trader,
please see my latest idea on Gold. We finally hit our target from our longs and based on the current price action I am confident with my second scenario for the midterm Gold cycle.
I am very confident that we will see prices way above 2000 Dollars, but before that I am expecting 1750 - 1640 area first in order to grab the liquidity we need for the last wave 5 in Gold in order to hit new all time high's.
I entered my short positions based on the knowledge that wave 2 needs to retrace at least 50% of the first impulse. As I saw this 3 waves pattern building up I decided to not wait and enter there in order to hold my short swing for midterm.
Please keep in mind: This idea represents just my opinion and my technical expertise.
I am open for feedback if its constructive and reasonable. Let me know what you think
For further informations please see below.
RT
DXY CAPITULATION PENDING A WEEKLY CLOSEAfternoon people,
Thanks for taking the time to check out my Technical analysis, much appreciated. Constructive comments are always encouraged.
DXY has enjoyed a lot of strength in recent weeks, strangely baffling seeing as since 2020 the supply of USD has increased by 30%+. There is now more Dollars in existence than have ever been, yet according to recent strength it would seem people still trust the Dollar. It seems like a recipe for disaster if you ask me. The dollar is weak, it has been since Nixon unpegged it from the Gold Standard, thus sealing its fate as a fiat currency. History shows us how it ends for "world reserve currencies", the cycle is around every 100 years. Guess how long the Dollar has been in power for ;)
Price attempted to breakout to the upside last week, completing the impulsive move from 94.56 to 96. However the .5 fib held and sellers stepped in causing a considerably big wick. Indicating buyers are struggling to break through the fibonacci levels that are acting as resistance. we closed with a huge wick on the weekly. I'm now waiting for a weekly close below the aforementioned levels to indicate a continuation to the downside. This adds further confluence to my idea posted earlier in regards to Bitcoin. It would seem Bitcoin has found its bottom and we should now be expecting Bitcoin to start moving towards my 233K targets.
Once DXY starts collapsing, the downside targets at the D ext. are 86 & 82 respectively.
It is my belief that we will be seeing the Dollar collapse as Bitcoin goes on its parabolic blow off top phase of the market cycle (something we haven't seen yet).
Regardless of how far Bitcoin goes, it needs a DXY collapse to do so. Similar to 2017. So far Bitcoin is inversely correlated with DXY. Observed today we can see weakness in the DXY has led to Bitcoins price rising and therefore the rest of the crypto market across the board. This is just the beginning. Don't be disillusioned, when Bitcoin does pullback, which it will. This will be a great buying opportunity. Be patient & ENJOY the show.
Remember to take profits as you go and scale out. We don't need to pick tops. No one ever went broke taking profits.
Happy trading,
Big Love
XAU USD 1783 to 1794After identifying strong structure on the 1 hour & 4 hour charts and seeing rejections in those timeframes
I decided that a possible scalp for longs would suffice as todays news was also quite neutral and did not have a large impact on gold.
With the green line representing 1-4 hour support levels, I identified key rejections on the 15 & 30 minute charts and entered longs with profits below the previous trade I’ve posted. Furthermore, high consolidation at 1788 after a strong push upwards from 1783 allowed me to get a key entry in the following trades. The consolidation tied together with DXY (dollar index) therefore drove my decision with continuing long.
Entry: 1783 TP: 1785
1788 —> 1790.88
1790 —> 1792.68
Why are my profit intervals so short?
- I keep my stops always above entry so that I can ensure profits while trading.
While I could have taken possibly 100-120 pips total, the first 2 entries were stopped but in overall profit. I would much rather ensure my investments stability and longevity through consistent growth over time.
A total of 60-65 pips were obtained @ 12-1am EST.
GoPro - Grab yourself a HERO10 with the PROFITSI read a post on tradingview talking about gopro awhile back, and I read a lot of good things. So much so, that I bought two gopro's for myself. The software was a little buggy, and the camera would overheat sometimes, but wow, it took some incredible shots. The motion stabilization technology they have makes for some insane shots. I've been watching this stock for awhile and I think it's gearing up for another run-up.
I've marked some key prices to watch for, but I really think we'll see this stock around $17 in Feb/March. I couldn't figure out how to explain what I was seeing in words, so I drew it out on the chart.
Anyone else seeing this possible run-up for gopro?? I think I'm getting ready to grab some options.
RUNE to outpace BTC by 6xLooking at RUNE/BTC on the daily we can see that since launch, RUNE has been steadily outpacing BTC through several upswings followed by minor correction and accumulation phases. These accumulation phases have lasted between ~100 and 150 days, the last three of which had RSI similar values before the next euphoric upswing. Today, RUNE sits at a similar RSI value and is around 140 days into its current accumulation phase and the MACD is turning bullish.
RUNE is poised to explode! Judging by its fairly consistent previous rallies, this baby can do an 6x multiplier against BTC in the next months!
XRP EXIT STRATEGY 21/22 BULLRUN Afternoon people,
I'd just like to say firstly thank you for all the support and for taking the time out of your day to consume my content. It's most appreciated.
Diving right into the charts here we are looking at the weekly chart for XRP. As we can see for quite some time we have been pretty much moving sideways, since we broke out and retested the 3 year trendline that had formed from the previous ATH. Price has been coiling up and the longer this goes on for the more violent the breakout will be. Going by the mechanics of the market cycle for XRP, I would be anticipating a parabolic move to the upside, in line with the majority of the market during this bull run. Since price has moved above the trendline it broke out of, an entire year has nearly elapsed and price is still nowhere near its previous ATH. Is XRP dead? hah far from it. The infants in this market and those who are impatient/emotional have lost faith in XRP. Not that you ever needed faith anyway, if you truly know what you're invested in. You know that time is on your side and all you have to do is position yourself the right way and wait. Historically in bullruns XRP moves last and it moves violently. Only once BTC hits it's top and begins to retrace, will XRP begin to move. Patience is key.
What we need to understand about XRP is that it is positioned to stand as the beating heart in the new financial system. When you think of Ripple you should think of Amazon. Ripple are going after all the money and will be to finance what Amazon is to everything else (lel). It is quite clear from looking at the charts, not even considering the fundamentals that have been appearing throughout this cycle. That XRP is heavily being manipulated. The SEC who's main function is to protect investors, have actually achieved the antithesis of this. This is all a show though, the SEC have been called in to stall the price of XRP whilst behind the scenes banks & financial institutions prepare. Soon the world will never be the same again and the new financial system will be here.
The case for XRP this bull run is a simple one and it is all programmed into the charts. The charts never lie and until they do, I will follow my exit strategy which I will include at the bottom. We know (as illustrated in the chart) that after XRP hits its ATH it drops 95/97% and finds its bottom after this percentage drop. This has happened twice in the past, of course past doesn't guarantee future performance. But until I see the charts show me something else, this is what I will follow. Keep this percentage drop in mind because it further strengthens the case for a 3 digit XRP this cycle that I will present later. (I know, I know bare with me).
Once the bottom has formed on XRP we can draw a fib from the ATH to the bottom to predict where price is going next. If you look at the 2017 run, once the bottom was formed you can lay out the fib and this presents price targets. XRP found resistance and support at the 1.272 & 1.618 before finishing its run with a move to the 2.272 (call it $3). After the ATH was hit there was a drop of around 96% to the bottom. At which point the fibs can be thrown on the chart again to plot future targets in the next bull phase of the cycle.
As it stands XRP still has it's previous ATH to overcome but once we see a close above this level, I expect a move to the 1.272 ($8), 1.618 ($27) & 2.272 ($242) during this bull phase. I initially believed that we would top out at $27 dollars and go no further, but upon further looking in to the charts. I believe that it's not only possible we hit the 2.272 as the top. It's highly likely. The factor which causes XRP to go parabolic to the 2.272 will be the result of the SEC case. I believe until we have a resolution we will be playing around the 1.272 and 1.618 fibs, but once we get the news. I expect a powerful move to mark the end of the entire bull market. Most coins at this point will already be in decline.
But doesn't a $242 XRP mean the market cap would be around 12.5Trillion. Isn't that impossible? Well market cap doesn't mean the same as it does in stocks for a start so using this metric as a limit to how far a coin can go is redundant. Plus it's very simple. Once the case is settled (at the height of the bull run) XRP will receive the clarity it so desperately needs. Once it gets this status, not only will all of Ripples partners go live with XRP, new investors will flood in and also XRP aside from BTC and ETH will be the only crypto in the space with clear definition. It seems a lot of money is about to pour into XRP and leave the disbelievers wondering how they didn't see it happen. They'll say we got lucky, we know luck has nothing to do with it. I expect us to get some sort of case settlement around the deadline date of 14th Jan. Worst case scenario is that we don't get the deadline and they push it back further. If this happens I expect XRP to stay above the 1.272 @ around $8. I call this one the launch pad. We will wait patiently to see how this plays out but know that as soon as the case is settled, XRP is off. Many will jump on the train too late, I have positioned myself in a way where I wont have to chase the market. I wait and let the market come to me. No emotions.
To further strengthen the case that XRP is going to $242. referring back to previous drops from ATHs. XRP bottoms out around the 1.272. It never revisits its previous ATH at any point whilst finding its bottom. Has illustrated on the chart. You can see that the only price point that allows XRP to fall by around 97%, has the 1.272 as the bear market bottom and still bottom out nowhere near the previous ATH @ around $3 is if we top at around 2.272 ($242). All the other fib extensions could be the top but it would mean either XRP falls below the previous ATH for the first time ever in its history. Or the drop isn't as deep as it has previously been in the last two cycles. These are possibilities to be considered and therefore my exit strategy accounts for this. For this to happen however, XRP would have to do something it has never done in any cycle ever. Again until the charts start lying, I will follow what they show me.
My exit strategy using 10K XRP example:
Split holding 50/50
Strategy 1
5K XRP
10% @ $4
20% @ $8
40% @ $13
30% @ $27
Strategy 2
5K XRP
1250 @ $10
1250 @ $15
1250 @ $20
1250 @ $25
Strategy 3
Upon a retrace from $27 (1.618) to $8 (1.272) I will buy back 50% of my original holding. This will have a sell target of $240 (2.272)
Bitcoin = 233K TOP
XRP = $242 TOP
So to clarify this is for educational purposes only. Don't forget to take profits and thanks again. Happy trading :)
Yours truly,
Chartster
Short Term Play 2 - PERLUSDDear traders,
Intro: My name is Hugo, I am 24 years old and trading crypto currencies since late 2017. English is not my main language, however, I will try to explain everything brief and clear. Be aware that I am still in the learning curve. Every idea I post is not financial advice and is only meant for entertainment purposes only.
Welcome to my new Short Term Play series.
This coin has experienced some pretty predictable price action is the past.
As you can see on the chart, Perlin has just broke and retested previous resistance on low timeframe.
In addition, you see a resistance line on high timeframe, which indicates a clear target to take some profits off the table.
I easily see this coin break ATH in the future, but for the short term I am personally taking profits here.
Let's see if this one takes off just like Tezos did :).
Target is in the chart.
Goodluck,
Doctor Hugo
My Trading Plan on GBP/JPY #LongMy Trading Plan on GBP/JPY #Long
I'll Long G/J around 152.700 - 152.640 , with Stop Loss around 152.400 . I'll exit the trade around 153.200 - 153.300.
The Risk/Return ratio is 1:2.7. Just sharing my Future Trading Plan for education purpose only. This is certainly Not a Buy/Sell Call. Criticism is welcome.
Note: Do your own analysis before taking the trade.
Silver updateat last we are so close to our final take profit. unfortunatlly ill have to end this run short as ive noted on a daily timeframe that the RSI has touched the over bought zone (70.00).
we may be able to pull in a bit more profit so place stop losses in profits accordingly and lets see what happens. either way 500000 ZAR is still good money.
look out for my bearish analisys dropping soon.