This Is How GBPUSD Will Likely Move In Coming Months | Be Ready!I have published this idea to give you a general view of how to look at GBPUSD in the meantime ..
Please do consider that this is an estimation of how price might move, given the current conditions and market outlook and that may change and it's not stable..
A confirmation must occur before determining every leg of the moves shown on chart, and confirmations of lower timeframes is obligatory..
This is the general view of what we might expect price to do.. make sure to hit a FOLLOW to get updates and confirmations right away💥
What's your view on this pair and DXY in general?
Projection
🔥TYPES OF FIBONACCI TOOLS🔥
There are several types of Fibonacci tools that are commonly used in technical analysis, including:
📊FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT
Fibonacci retracement levels—stemming from the Fibonacci sequence—are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur.Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used.The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points.
📊FIBONACCI EXTENCION
Fibonacci extensions don't have a formula. When the indicator is applied to a chart, the trader chooses three points. The first point chosen is the start of a move, the second point is the end of a move and the third point is the end of the retracement against that move. The extensions then help project where the price could go next. Once the three points are chosen, the lines are drawn at percentages of that move.Extensions are drawn on a chart, marking price levels of possible importance. These levels are based on Fibonacci ratios (as percentages) and the size of the price move the indicator is being applied to.
📊FIBONACCI PROJECTION
Fibonacci projections are mainly used to get the possible target levels of an ongoing uptrend or downtrend. It
is drawn by joining three points unlike Fibonacci Retracement which has just two points- by joining the lowest
and the highest points of a pre-defined.In order to draw the Fibonacci projections for an asset in an uptrend, we need 3 points:
👉Swing Low - that is the point from which the actual trend started.
👉Swing High - the point at which price started to retrace.
👉Low of the ongoing price correction.
Fibonacci projections provide potential good levels to book profits. The important Fibonacci projections levels
to watch out for are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.
📊FIBONACCI EXPANSION(SIMILAR TO PROJECTION)
Essentially, Fibonacci expansions allow us to project how far a potential price move is likely to travel. This price move is typically considered an impulsive price move, in the context of Elliott wave. That is to say that it will typically follow a corrective phase and thus form a new trend leg in the direction of the larger trend.In that way it is very different compared to Fibonacci retracements. Unlike Fibonacci retracements which measure an internal retracement against a larger trend leg, a Fibonacci expansion measures an external price leg.
CONCLUSION
It's important to note that the use of Fibonacci tools in trading is just one aspect of technical analysis and should not be used in isolation.
I myself use Fibonacci regularly but I also combine them with technical key levels and with the price action patterns on top of that.
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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SPY PRICE ANALYSIS - ANOTHER VERY VOLATILE WEEK Hello All!
Expect some crazy volatility this week due to all the economic data thats coming out. Currently i'm only playing scalps on movements that i see. I do expect the market to go down further going into the next coming months but it will take some time- so dont over trade and end up blowing your account.
Bitcoin Volatility Is Building #2 (Price Projection)Thgis is an Update to the Original Idea. The targets remain the same i just had a short term bearish flip last week but now that we've reached the short term bearish target i think we will continue onto the Bullish Path of the main idea.
We have a major square-up near 20k that's yet to be filled and we have a 3 line strike on the 4HR at the VAL Bearish Target. If all goes to plan we should fill the square very soon and afterwards we could go all the way back down, or we could form a right shoulder and continue to make new highs.
Chainlink looking for a bullish run of $13 by late October Bottom reached possibly on the weekly chart. May see a retest of $6.40 in the next few days. Futures look promising for chainlink if all goes well we should see $12.80-$13 by late September or Mid October. no technicals here just pattern observations. Good luck and happy trading!
LUNC Weekly Bearish Cycle Projection ProgressionWe've come a long way from the top of the previous projection (marked in light orange) and are now 78% of the way complete. From the looks of things we are setting up to make another push to the downside in relation to the projected price action; especially as the DeFi sector within crypto continues to underperform the rest of the market.
Ethereum Marketcap Looks Ready For A 100 Billion Dollar DeclineAlongside some Bullish outlooks for some of ETH's competing coins like XRP and LTC and TRX I also do believe that the ETH value of these coins will significantly rise in the coming months the cause of this rise in these coin's ETH pairs would imply that either: The USD Value of those coins go up significantly, ETH comes down significantly, or a combination of the 2. I do believe that it's more than likely going to be a conbination of the two but that the biggest factor would be the fact that ETH will come down significantly.
What to look out for here is a Break of the trendline,if it breaks through the trendline it will also be bearishly breaking down from a Bearish Consolidation Structre and will be below the 200 Week Moving Average which would most likely result in atleast an over 100 Billion Dollar decline all the way down to the next major support of $12.90B
I have been tracking multiple macro instances of the chart hinting towards ETH collapse and they can be viewed in the related ideas tab below.
EURUSD - CURRENT SENTIMENT ANALYSE , DXY #EURUSD
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EUR is slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is that the dollar is starting to weaken quite a bit. As of today, due to MARKET RISK being ON, all MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going up a bit. If more rate hikes happen, it will definitely affect the US dollar in a big way to strengthen it.
- Definitely according to the MARKET STRUCTURE EURUSD can go up to the high RESISTANCE LEVEL. At the moment, there is a slightly UP SIDE BIAS in the MARKET for EUR. According to that, EURUSD can go up to 1.0080 LEVEL. And after that, if the MAIN CHANNEL is BREAKED, the EURUSD PRICE can go down to the 0.9541 LEVEL, if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going UP. So keep an eye on it.
US10Y Elliot Wave Analysis (fun might be over) **WHERE DO WE START**
At this point it is nearly unarguable that the move up form the Covid lows looks impulsive, meaning we are in some sort of a new bull cycle.
In the past, since US10Y's inception back in the late 1970s the path it followed had a downwards trajectory that made new lows after each bull cycle was done. The US10Y would then correct those lows over the next 2-4 years or so and retrace to .5 fib or .618 fib of the previous high. It did this every single time, however in 2022 it is acting very different. For the first time in history since inception the US10Y blasted through the .618 fibonacci retracement of the previous top which was in November of 2018.
My view was bearish for most of this year since we were coming up against strong resistances, however since the price pierced through them all with little effort and continued up makes me lean bullish on the Macro outlook.
**TRUNCATION**
Truncation (definition) - What is truncation in trading. In most impulses, the fifth of the Elliott waves extends beyond the extremum of the third wave, but sometimes the fifth wave may not reach the end of the third wave . This phenomenon is called truncation or truncated wave.
The next event I need to go into is the truncation of the 5th wave down that took place in August of 2020. Truncations are rare events in Elliot Wave Theory and require very careful analysis to ensure the count is not something different. It is more likely to see a truncation in very volatile environments, and Covid crash of 2020 was undoubtably one. This truncation does not show up on US05Y or US02Y leading me to believe the actual bottom on US10Y was in August of 2020 and NOT in March of 2020. However this doesn't change the current count, just some clarification for those using Elliot Waves.
**WHERE ARE WE NOW**
Since the bottom we see an impulse up of which waves (1) and (2) are complete and wave (3) is in progress currently finishing it's 5th subwave. I expect the price to come to 4% or even 4.5% before the likelihood of a pullback for wave (4) becomes highly likely. The wave (4) retracement should be relatively large pulling back to .236 or .382 on the fibonacci levels from the top of wave (3). The price could come down to 2.75% - 3.5% on US10Y depending on how high wave (3) ends up going, although wave (4) pullback is allowed to go as low as .5 fib which could bring the US10Y down even below 2.75%, but I must say I find that unlikely considering how bullish this move up is coming to be.
**LIKELY PRICE PATH**
What's beginning to look clear is that after we finish wave (4) in a 3 wave structure down or perhaps a triangle formation (common in wave 4 pullbacks), we are still going to need to complete the impulse sequence and start a wave (5) up. Yes, I expect US10Y to hit and possibly go past 5%. Once there we have a completed wave 1 on a Macro outlook since the crash of 2020. I will then expect government treasury bond yields to enter a short term "bear market" and correct the entire move shown in the chart as red ABC down. This could then be last great pullback... and an opportunity to buy a house at a very affordable rate. Why? Because once this ABC that will correct this entire bull move up is done, we should see continuation in rising interest rates in a new bull cycle up. A 5 wave Elliot impulse is not a complete sequence, it should be followed by a 3, 7, or 11 wave down correction. Typically retracing to .5 or .618 on fibonnaci retracement levels and continue up again in a minimum of 5 waves.
**CONCLUSION**
The era of cheap rates might be coming to an end, and 2020 covid crash might have marked a long term bottom on treasury yields.
Cheers,
APPLE vs The Theory of Relativity My charting focus revolves around Elliot Waves with Fibonacci Relationship. We can clearly see a beautiful 5 wave impulse move from the low of 2019.
This move should follow by a 3 wave correction of which we already have an ABC, the correction is good in price... but it's lacking in time. Too quick of a move down to correct a 3 year rise. Therefore I would expect another wave down to be in a form of a 5 wave impulse for C coming down to 50MA on monthly average, or in a form of a 3 wave move for a Y. The reason I mention the 50MA on a monthly timeframe (orange line for perspective on this daily chart) is because Apple has a tendency to retrace back to the 50MA every so often and hasn't done so in over 3 1/2, so I retest is coming due. A bounce or reversal in this area will be very likely.
This is a bearish count; therefore would be invalidated if the dotted white line is broken to the upside. I lean bearish, supported by the overall outlook of indexes which I can see continue to the downside in months to come.
The company can be great and it can make great products, but in the end... we all have to respect Gravity.
Not a financial advice.
Cheers,
Chainlink continues bearish trend $3.96-$4.20 possible future for Chainlink if support can't hold on second pump to $7.50 area. Long outlook possible retest $9 if this holds pump to $12.
#Stellar #XLM #Cryptocurrency daily logarithmic time-frame:
A triangle formed with lower highs and and same level lows known as support area.
meanwhile with eye on 4h time-frame, If today's price candle closes under the support area go for short with 0.12 as Stop loss and 0.067 as first TP. Trail the second TP, if there is!
Nostradamus 101: BTC EUR 1 year aheadI made this observation for myself to see what a year in crypto really looks like, let's see how right or wrong one can be, tread carefully. Personally, see it going to 30k, but that is speculation. Safe trading.
#Theywillwanttoflushthemarketbeforerealadoption
#Nothingiseverwhatitseemswhenbigmoneyisinvolved
Divide it all.
DOA trading Strategy - SPY#SPY - For my long term people!
I know a lot of yall are asking me about my personal long term positions.
When I did my last long term projection of SPY back in March 2022
I said that SPY will hit $390 before June
We hit $383 May 2022 then bounced hard ✅
I've been out of my long term since March 2022 most of you probably remember that I've been shorting the market since end of March 2022 when we caught the 2nd drop from double top back in March.
I'm getting ready to enter on my long term if we hold at $360-$365 area
From what I'm seeing now, we are currently getting ready for a 3rd impulsive wave, and just finishing the corrective wave.
We should hit $360-365 before end of September
Then if we hold, I'm going shopping for long term!
Ethereum Bull run incomingI believe the value of Ethereum is due to rise, it's currently consolidating around 1700-1800, 1700 seems to be a level of resistance, judging off its recent price points along with May-July last year when it was at similar levels. Those levels are factors in my analysis as once it touched those prices, it quite quickly formed green candles without much resistance, whereas now, Where I have placed circles on the right side of the screen, it struggled to rise and got pushed back down. With the current tests being run for the merge on the test net and the merge planning to go ahead in early august, it should hopefully give ETH that momentum and liquidity it needs to pump.
Chainlink , Where do we go from here????Holding resistance as support @ $12 range. If this fails, It is possible to hit $7-$8 for support. Currently sitting at the bottom of the right shoulder. Could we have a nice W pattern setup? Can we recover to $30? Watch the current positioning, if this drops below $12.50 we can grab our scuba gear!!!