ETHBTC days away from 1day chart goldencross.Here we see the monthly logarithmic chart for the ethbtc pair so the impending golden cross is not shown here. It is only a few days at most away from crossing and we can see here on the log chart that the ethbtc chart’s priceaction is well above an inv h&s pattern and likely has validated the breakout of this pattern even though we haven’t reached its full measured move target just yet. We can also see how price action is now poking a monthly candle above this monthly bullflag in white here. I think it is very possible for ethbtc to continue pumping past the 1day golden cross on its way to hitting both of these chart pattern’s (bullflag and invh&s) targets. However there is such huge anticipation for Ethereum switching over to proof of stake that there is a high probability since the date for it has been announced so far in the future, that it will be a buy the rumor sell the news type of event that pumps up until the event then dumps the week or day of. The one possibility that could keep this from being a sell the news event however is If enough people post predictions that it will be a sell the news event…in which case if everyone in the herd is expecting a sell the news dump it could even continue to pump day of. For now though, it seems the overall sentiment believes the switch will lead to a pump so sell the news has a higher probability at the moment. That could change the closer we get if more and more analysts and youtube personalities start warning of a sell the news event. Quite the paradox really lol. In the short term however I think continued upside after the golden cross is likely, but if we dump on the day it switched to proof of stake the golden cross can still easily be a fake out that flips back into a death cross soon after, so it’s wise to stay vigilant. *not financial advice*
Proofofstake
Bullish scenario for Eth/Usd; Rallying into the Merge As long as we stay above $1500; preferrably finding support at $1800; I'm keen on the idea of strength up into the multiple confluences around $2600; and into the 15th September Eth Merge event
~~Multiple Confluences:
~Eth Futures Gap (on CME Weekly chart)
~0.618 retracement level
~1.618 extension of the recent dynamic down leg
~roughly around the 50% level of the 2yr Range (2020-present)
~fundamental bullish driver being the upcoming Eth Merge; which should take place on the 15th-16th September.
Note: If it does pan out like this, and if we rally sharply into the Merge mid-September; i'd be sure to take profits there: 'Buy the rumor, sell the news' type of idea.
The Fork of Thrones - Will the Merge Fracture the ETH Ecosystem?The much anticipated (or dreaded if you're a miner) "merge" coming in Sep 19th will officially move the Ethereum ecosystem from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake. Justin Sun seems to see the opportunity for this event to sow some chaos within his competition by supporting ETHW and ETHS coins on the Poloniex exchanges as of this week.
- ETHW and ETHS is similar to ETC (Ethereum Classic) in the sense that they are hard-forks of the original ETH chain - which means that if you had money in a wallet during the time of the fork, you would have gotten copied coins of it there, too. (Free money!) FYI, if you had your money on an exchange during that time, however, the coins go to them, not you.
- ETC has had many issues in the past, including having gotten 51% attacked, which is probably the worst thing that can happen on any given chain. These new projects (with more likely to emerge as a result of miners looking for work after leaving ETH2) will also be vulnerable to similar attacks just because the smaller size makes it easier for hackers to target.
- A lot of developers and artists were chased off ETH due to its high-gas fee problems last year, and it's unclear if they're going to be going back, or if the foundation has any strategy of addressing this problem in the near future. (Right now the ecosystem is dominated by talks of speculators talking to other speculators about speculation - which usually is a bad sign for a project's long-term prospects.) ETH has many issues to contend with, even if the merge is successful. (Sharding and scaling issues are planned for 2023, not in September, btw - it's unclear whether or not this upgrade will have an impact on the high fees.)
- Crypto's biggest sell during a recession - staking rewards - is not available on Bitcoin, since simply doesn't have the mechanism to do so. The rivalry between the two coins right now revolves around the pros/cons of PoW vs PoS, but keep in mind that on PoW, mining power = voting power; on PoS, money = voting power. Aside from Tezos (XTZ) and a few other niche projects, most coins do not offer on-chain governance so the results of voting will always be unclear and vulnerable to manipulation/misinformation.
It's going to be a crazy year for both crypto and the general economy so hope people are prepared. Good luck, folks. 🤞
Staking Rewards: The Best Hope for Crypto During the RecessionNews of record high inflation and the federal reserve's plan to increase interest rates this year has a lot of people worried that a recession (probably on a global scale) is coming this year. After over a decade of constant growth in the US stocks and real-estate markets, we're finally going to see the bubble pop. GDP is down, governments are broke, and
I would argue that the "craze" of the last few years in stocks, housing, and even NFTs were driven by low-interest rates that encourage people to speculate rather than save - the act of buying "useless" NFTs, in a way, makes "sense" when compared to the alternative - earning almost nothing on savings and CD accounts. (The crypto "crash" we see in the last few weeks is a result of "crypto-curious" money exiting the space - most of which run in parallel to the fiat markets as a whole.) As interest rates get higher and higher over the next few months, however, that script is likely going to get flipped on its head.
If the crypto industry adapts fast enough, they can take advantage of the fact that the banks are still dragging their feet in terms of offering better interest rates - staking rewards are currently outperforming the savings rates of most banks by a very wide margin and is a much easier sell to the average person out there just trying to protect their money. (The idea of buying NFTs of apes and rocks as your future nest-egg will start to sound more silly as time goes on, I think.)
In a way this marks the end of the speculative-NFT era for the crypto industry, and possibly the end of the dominance of the proof-of-work model itself. Prior to the big "crash" a few weeks ago, many proof-of-stake coins Tezos (XTZ), Chainlink (LINK), Cardano (ADA) saw blips of independent movement as the rest of the market continued to tumble. If this trend continues over time (since these projects are actually offering something of value to its users - interest and real returns) we may start to see lesser-known contenders in the space rising to the top of the charts. (Ethereum is currently in limbo right now, at least until they finally do their ETH2/Consensys/"merge" in August - they've taken outsized losses this week due to the come-downs of the NFT craze.)
As mentioned a few times before, Bitcoin may be in big trouble because the thing people are going to be looking for - interest rates - isn't something they're able to offer on any level, especially after the market goes into a downturn this year. All those years the mining community spent blocking money supply and block size upgrades may finally come back to bite them - the "flippening" may already be on its way. (And Ethereum too, if they fail to adapt to the new landscape - time will tell.)
A Few Notes for Crypto Winter First-TimersThe crypto market is in "free fall" today, as some of you may have heard. Decided to write something from the perspective of someone who's been through a few "crypto winters" over the last 8 years or so.
mirror.xyz
--
I feel like a million years old writing in this tone - though everyone in crypto knows that a week in this industry is equivalent to a year in “normal” time so being inside crypto-lala-land long enough does warp your sense of time. (The last few years of insanity in the world itself doesn’t help too, of course.)
But it’s also true that I've been through 3 crypto bull/bear cycles at this point (I was in the ETH ICO in 14’ - divested most of it since then, for the record) and may have a useful perspective to some - not that these dips don't hurt, but I was relatively fortunate to have survived the last few ones through a combination of planning ahead and a few strokes of good luck. But I will say again what I say to almost everyone: crypto is a 3-4 year play at minimum, and you need to have the patience to wait at least that long. Life is short, yes; but at the same time it’s also very, very long.
The first few hype cycles (14-16') I literally wasn't aware of anything because crypto was just an obscure, zany idea back then and people held them largely for fun. There were no exchanges - or ones you’d want to trust your money with, anyway. (Mt. Gox, yikes.) The easiest way to get Bitcoin was to mine them yourself or find some guy on the internet who you could exchange it with a pizza or some other type of bartering deal. My wallet was worth so little at the time that I forgot about it and almost lost my private key, in fact. 🤣
The second one (16-18') I worked "regular" jobs and did dollar cost averaging so I didn't have to touch my investments for day-to-day needs. I cashed out only when I needed it, for emergencies and unexpected expenses. My decision to sell was need-based, rather than speculation-based, in other words. (This one did really pay off and I wish more people would do it, honestly.)
To prep for the "winter" today I've spent an excessive amount of time doing research on projects that are focused on utility and community-building…and re-allocated my portfolio accordingly. I may have made a few mistakes but after being burned a few times I think I’ve gotten better at picking assets that will survive for the longer-term. The market is still in free-fall so we'll see if that pays off.
As a general observation, I’ve seen lots of projects go through problems that many would consider catastrophic - but survived out of sheer perseverance. There were a few projects started with great ambitions but eventually found success by finding and refining their niche. Finding product-market-fit isn’t easy - these things do take time to figure out, even on a human level. (You can see glimpses of potential future successes when people “buy the dip” during downturns - a sign that enough people care about the project to help it stay afloat.)
I have never, however, seen a project start off as a money-making scheme then successfully “pivot” onto making something useful later. Like a song that people find catchy, projects usually start and end the same way; with the same chorus, and the same tone. If you’re still holding onto those hype coins, you may want to look at your portfolio a little closer this time because if the team isn’t actually working on anything serious there’s a good chance it will never come back up ever again. (Although I gotta say, the way Ethereum Classic was able to continue to scam people despite its protocol layer being completely compromised was impressive in its zombie-like way.)
I gained a lot of respect for the Ethereum team during the last few drops because they seemed unconcerned and continued to do what they love - building tech. That and they had the support of a development community that genuinely cared about the product enough to keep it afloat during the “hard times” - the #1 resource of any project, in my opinion. But the hype of 20-21’ really brought in a lot of grifters into the ETH ecosystem and the gas-fee problem really toxified the culture there, which I think its unfortunate. (Bitcoin leaned hard into the scarcity model and might be beyond repair at this point.) We'll see if the bear market + Consensys/ETH2 merge will fix that - at this point implementing the tech itself should be a pretty straightforward process - but culture is much harder to fix once it goes sour.
If people are hanging around each other solely because they think they might rich, when the money’s gone it doesn’t take very long before they start turning on each other. In both Bitcoin and Ethereum we saw the raw ugliness that came from the Proof-of-Work scarcity model - which incentivizes selfish and toxic behaviors in ways that even its founders couldn’t have anticipated. As Ethereum moves away from Proof-of-Work and into the worlds of Proof-of-Stake, is this the end of the Proof-of-Work era for crypto? Let us hope so. (The military dictatorship in El Salvador, which dared to make Bitcoin its reserve currency is in danger of defaulting now, by the way.)
For the record, I own 0 Bitcoin - I sold them off a few years ago after seeing how they’ve basically given up on making any meaningful improvements on the protocol itself - gated off by an off-chain governance process controlled by a small group of miners out there. If you’re comfortable with that setup by all means, but hope you at least understand what you’re getting yourself into.
-- What Comes Next? Interest Rates and Proof-of-Stake --
Last time it was Crypto Kitties, this time it was Bored Apes - in a weird way the way we talked about crypto tech hadn't really evolved much since then - probably why 2021 became the era of the (adjective)-(animal) NFTs, rather than a triumph for humanity itself. Web3 was supposed to be about scalable partnerships, not about cattle auctions of imaginary animals - but somehow we all collectively missed the point of why the technology was created to begin with.
Some ideas in Web3 that I think still has some long-term potential: "useful" Proof-of-Work , Proof-of-Storage , the metaverse , DAOs, Proof-of-Identity , decentralized video , and of course, NFTs - after it becomes more “useful” to everyone. What these projects all have in common, though, is that they’re not quite production ready and are all in their alpha/beta stages right now. Great potential and great upside? Yes - still, yes. Are we there yet? No - not even close.
Despite the hype, the tech behind crypto and Web3 systems haven’t evolved that much in the last few years - mostly because Web3’s biggest issue right now isn’t technical, it’s organizational/cultural: for the blockchain to have any use, the community needs to convince everyday businesses and people to adopt practices like ledger validations, using wallets for building social profiles, trackable and authoritative reputation/action/credit scores, etc. - all which are doable now on a technical level, but needs the cooperation of multiple organizations working in tandem with each other.
Since crypto doesn’t deal with physical assets directly, it needs to validate itself through the utility of a service that is actually tangible to the average person out there. Most of that involves bridging social/cultural/industrial divides that Web2 companies never dared to cross. There’s a lot to be unlearned first before we can move onto the next phases of the crypto experiment itself.
For now, though, there’s one obvious “utility” that I’ve been saving for last - interest rates from staking rewards. What makes this crypto cycle different from the others is that fiat systems and many government institutions around the globe are in big trouble this year: Bitcoin/crypto was “invented” sometime after 08’ as a direct response to the economic crisis then - but has largely existed in a 0% interest rate environment up until now. When interest rates start going up in fiat - possibly to 1970s levels, even - we have no idea how the coins themselves are going to respond.
As the federal reserve continues to increase interest rates in response to inflation (they have no choice at this point), the general public’s attention will undoubtedly shift from a speculative mindset to a savings-based one - as it typically happens during recessionary times. Mortgage and loan rates have undoubtedly risen, but the banks have been slow to offer higher savings rates to people as a whole. Who’s actually paying out interest rates right now? Crypto.
If the banks continue to drag its feet, coins that offer staking rewards (Tezos, Ethereum , Algorand, even Cardano) actually have a real competitive advantage to what fiat is offering right now. One number is higher than the other number - it’s pretty straightforward and an easier sell than trying to get people to buy animal jpgs, honestly. If crypto adapts faster than the banks do this year, this may actually when people finally begin to see the “utility” behind the technology itself.
-- A Fork-in-the-Road - Which Do You Choose? --
22’ is likely going to be an insane year for more reasons than one: we’re going to face economic, social, and political turmoil all at the same time, with crypto mixed into that chaos somewhere in the middle. But a reminder that money is relative - a market crash isn’t necessarily a bad thing if the result is cheaper goods on your money, and visa versa.
The truth is that most people have been losing money every year even during these “good times” - the feeling of numbers getting higher in your bank account means nothing if the goods you pay for is rising higher than what you earn. So we already know that holding fiat is already a loss, and the one thing that made it worth it - stocks and housing - is about to tumble now, too. Crypto doesn’t need to be perfect, in other words: all it needs to do is prove itself better than fiat, which, in theory, shouldn’t be too hard to do as the Bernie Madoff 2.0s start emerging in the wake of a growth market gone sour.
Whether or not crypto will go up or down during the recession this year has been a long-standing debate within the crypto community, and only time will tell which way it will go. But there’s basically two different ways to look at it -
When the economy goes into a recession, so will crypto, because:
- Buyers of crypto and stocks are more overlapped than not, and the two asset classes have historically always moved in parallel.
- The idea that Bitcoin/crypto is a hedge against inflation has not panned out as hoped.
- During recessions when budgets become tighter, people are less likely to put money into speculative assets, like crypto.
- Crypto existed in a 0% interest rate environment for the most part and if you take that away, so will the momentum behind it as well.
Or - when the economy goes into a recession, crypto will go up, because:
- Total crypto adoption is ~10% of the world, at best. Still lots of room to grow.
- Crypto adoption tends to be higher in countries with severe inflation - the loss of confidence in the banking and financial systems (which is happening already) often forces people to consider alternatives.
- Staking rewards currently offer more interest than the banks and will be very appealing to some people as they shop around for competitive interest rates.
- Bitcoin was created in 08’ financial crisis as a response to the problems leading up to it, so the emotional response to the next downturn will likely be more pro-crypto than not.
So there’s a fork in the road here, and people HODLing crypto right now will have to make a choice regarding which path they want to take. I suggest that people take a hard look at their portfolio in the upcoming months and think about what they’re comfortable with and how they think things will unfold over the course of the next few years.
The good news is that regardless of what happens, the inflation-fueled 1970s era was known for a lot of structural uncertainty but it was also the period of good music/art and great social change - something that I think will be a boon to the long-term health of the NFT markets as a whole. I get that we live in a very anti-social era right now, but at the end of the day, crypto is money, and money is about people. You can’t make real money unless you make some effort at understanding how people think.
There’s plenty of reasons to think that the industry will do well in the long run, but it will take a lot of work to get there. If the community puts in the work, it will succeed because the opportunity is still definitely there - if not, it will fail. It’s pretty simple, really.
Good luck and good fortune, folks. If you need me, I’ll be working on my next project, Teia Surf, in building the types of incentive structures that had always been the dream of Web3. As a lot of the veterans of the crypto industry would say - the best time to build, is now. 🤞🍀
Proof-of-Stake Makes Their Move: Is Bitcoin In Trouble?This might be somewhat of a controversial take, but for a while I've been warning that Bitcoin's long-term prospects may be in trouble - a lot of it has to do with how the coin's community distanced itself from utility and business cases and leaned hard into the "store of value" idea during last year's hype.
- The idea of "store of value" applies to all money and is not really a competitive advantage: all coins store value by default.
- Bitcoin's block size limitation and efforts to make improvements on the protocol have largely been thwarted by the mining community who prefers the scarcity model and don't want things to change.
- Bitcoin failed to rise in response to inflation like gold did: the "Bitcoin is good for inflation" thesis did not pan out in the last few rallies for alternative assets.
- Bitcoin's recent attempts at defending their interests through the political system (Brad Sherman vs Aarika Rhodes, El Salvador) isn't getting the results that many of its supporters hoped for. And more people are starting to realize that its governance processes and scaling solutions are done off-chain - which clashes with the idea that the coin is completely decentralized.
- Despite its attempt at differentiation, the data suggests that people buying stocks and people buying Bitcoin are often overlapped heavily, ever since it became much easier to acquire crypto assets through mainstream sources. Bitcoin's name-recognition may end up hurting them in the long-run since it's likely to go down with the fiat market as a whole.
As inflation remains high (a record 8.6% in May in the US), the financial industry is starting to talk more about interest rates - during recessionary times people tend to favor reliable interest returns rather than speculation plays. As a result of this we see that crypto coins that offer staking rewards (Tezos - XTZ, Algorand - ALGO, Cardano - ADA; soon to be Ethereum - ETH and Chainlink - LINK) are starting to gain some momentum.
Given that the banks have been hesitant to raise interest rates on their savings mechanisms (though they don't seem to have any problems raising interest rates on your mortgages/loans lol) the value that proof-of-stake coins offer in DeFi have started to look much more appealing. If these trends continue, the "flippening" may be sooner than we thought. (But not in the way that most thought it would go down - it may not even be Ethereum, if the merge doesn't go as planned over this summer.)
Proof-of-Stake Coins Are Now Winning Web3. Can Bitcoin Survive?Along with the "decoupling" event that happened on Friday, Ethereum's announcement of the ETH2/Consensys/Merge coming up in August is likely to create some waves in the crypto space as the date approaches - not only will it affect the ETH ecosystem itself, there's a chance that it could have significant ripple effects on the tokens minted on top of it as well.
Over the years there has been, however, a general trend towards Proof-of-Stake systems gaining more favorability, especially among DeFi projects - because of its greater efficiency and ease of use. After the merge, Bitcoin may be the only project left on the charts that is using the Proof-of-Work model - what does this mean for Web3 and crypto spaces longer term?
ETH2 "Merge" to Come in Aug. ETH/XTZ Rivalry Renewed?The Ethereum Foundation announced a soft-deadline for the long-anticipated ETH2/Consensys/"Merge" - which will move ETH's current proof-of-work systems over to proof-of-stake.
DeFi and finance people tend to prefer PoS over PoW as an economic engine since it's more similar to how the banking industry operates. It also had the added benefit of being more secure, energy efficient, and easier to understand.
The ETH team may have been feeling the pressure to do the migration sooner than later due to high gas fees having chased a lot of the developers and artists in the ecosystem off the chain - but may have been bogged down by speculators and miners who did well during previous runs and don't want things to change. The migration to PoS this summer needs to be smooth and without incident if the coin wants to maintain its long-term lead.
But since they're dealing with legacy PoW systems that may or may not lead to complications down the line (on top of the politics of it all), we don't know how things will actually turn out. ETH's validator systems (XTZ has a similar system called "Baking") currently requires a massive 32 ETH investment - of which you have to sign a waiver agreeing that there is no definitive date where you might see your money back. In theory, post-merge the initial validators *should* be able to withdraw from the system but if this happens en-masse it could potentially spell a disaster for the project as a whole. A lot depends on how the ecosystem develops post-merge. (Though there is - to be fair - the potential for interest rates to shoot up in order to compensate for its loss.)
Another worry for ETH is what will happen to the price post-merge - in theory, the system itself will "burn" its money supply to keep prices high, but in crypto utility coins and speculation coins are often correlated in an inverse manner. The team reassures investors that their money is safe, but given the new and unprecedented nature of this "merge", there still are no guarantees.
In the meanwhile projects like Tezos (XTZ) - which has been proof-of-stake from the very beginning when it was proposed in 2014 - have been making moves both in the Web3 space and in the markets - one of the few coins this week that managed to remain in the green. It's also one of the chains that artists, developers, and businesses have flocked to after ETH's gas fees started becoming untenable, and we see signs that lesser known projects like these are starting to become more "viable" in recent months. Tezos' protocol was designed specifically for stability - it doesn't require hard-forks for upgrades, offers staking rewards (4.63% on Coinbase for merely holding it - ETH2 currently offers 3.675%), and has historically always had low gas fees, even during the craze of last year. Many people - especially in the arts and NFT spaces - have noticed and have migrated over. (e.g. https://teia.art, objkt.com.)
The two chains historically have always had a rivalry of sorts, back when Ethereum decided to go with PoW, whereas Tezos decided to go with PoS as its Layer-1 from the very beginning. Tezos has remained mostly quiet during the bull runs of the last few years, but as the merge date gets closer, we might start to see this old rivalry re-emerge again.
Tezos (XTZ) Continues its Rally: The Future of NFTs and Web3Tezos continues to beat the markets (both in crypto and in fiat) as of this week, growing as much as 20% in the last 5 days while most other assets continues to slump. This growth is being driven by increased transactions and traction - particularly around the NFT marketplaces.
A more detailed look at the history and growth potential of the chain.
teia.surf (Curation Layer built on Teia)
teia.art (Version 2 and re-brand of Hic et Nunc)
objkt.com (One of the biggest NFT platforms on the Tezos ecosystem right now - recently formed a partnership with TEIA for cross-platform interoperability.)
butterfly scenariobutterfly harmonic pattern:
AB=0.78 XA
BC=0.88 AB=$1.13
0.23 XA=$2.22
0.38 BC=$3.98
0.38 XA=$4.47
0.61 BC=$8.76
0.61 XA=$13.87
0.78 BC=$15.35
0.88 BC=$21.44
0.78 XA=$31
0.88 XA=$50.2
1.41 BC=$123
1.31 XA=$161.8
1.6 BC=$246.8
1.27 XA=$320
1.41 XA=$620
2 BC=$883
1.6 BC=$1682
2.24 XA=$1968
ADA this is what POS projects doBack to launch price of 0.4010 back in 2018.
This is a staking project, you cannot stake millions of ADA unless they cheap.
This gives a second chance to those who dont understand or never knew CARDANO objectives in 2018.
Expect the same for MATIC / POLYGON / HI DOLLAR and other proof of stake projects 1 USD a coin is more feasible to stake.
OXEN - the most unique monero fork with a functioning product? Microcap. Development is steady. Launched as PoW in 2018 but has transitioned to PoS. Not wild on that, but might be good to hedge bets. Staking offers an attractive return mostly fueled by being rewarded a chunk of new emission in exchange for locking up supply - fairly standard, right?
Here's where it starts to get interesting.
Oxen is the token behind two unique, working-today privacy applications: Session and Lokinet.
Session is a signal-alternative that is entirely decentralized with messages being processed by the nodes that are staking oxen! It has a desktop app and is on mobile as well. Somewhat buggy on my phone at times, but works today and development is continuously improving. They have voice calls in beta right now almost ready for release, for example. Group chats can be formed. Disappearing messages, media can be sent etc.
Lokinet is a VPN-alternative service. I need to look more into it, but it does work. You can pick different "Exit nodes" similar to tor and use it to either browse lokinet, ".loki" sites that are only accessible on Lokinet similar to .onion addresses that are only available on TOR, or you can browse the so-called "Clearnet", or normal internet. Your data and requests are encrypted and hopped between several nodes such that your exit node does not know your origin IP.
This is incredibly interesting to me because TOR, while around for a long time and functional, relies on altruism for their node infrastructure (i.e. they rely on people running exit nodes out of the goodness of their own heart at a loss, essentially) - I think it is completely unsurprising then that TOR has historically and continuously suffered from malicious-exit-node-related attacks. With Lokinet, but financially incentivizing good behavior and potentially punishing bad, it will hopefully lead to less attacks along this vector.
Currently, starting a node requires staking 15,000 oxen, or $9000 at current writing. However, you can use rented hardware for $10-15/month and this is suitable specifications for the node, and it will generate ~200 oxen/month - meaning the return far outweighs the operations cost. Yes, $9000 is high but this is only for FULL node operators. Users may group up with up to 3 others including the operator and split up their contributions to the 15,000 reward. The node operator who maintains (or pays for) the hardware usually takes a 5-15% premium on the rewards to pay for the operations cost. This premium is subject to market demands and fluctuates as it is set by the operator upon node creation. But someone with only $900 for example could still find a node to contribute to and instead make ~20 oxen/month so node participation does not price many people out unlike many other projects. The development team has adjusted this 15,000 oxen amount in the past and, I assume, if Oxen were to go to new highs they would lower the contribution amount. This is interesting because it means someone with 1 node now could end up in a future where they have enough oxen to run 2 nodes. This can occur over time naturally even without node staking requirement changes, i.e. 15,000 oxen will be accrued via rewards over a ~6.2 year period anyways.
With all variables frozen, a $9000 node (15k oxen) run solo would cost you around $120-180 per year (hosted/rented) or potentially less if you maintain your own physical system, but yield ~2400 Oxen for a USD value of $1440. $1440/$9180 = ~15% annual return if you sold all your rewards. "With all variables frozen" is an incredibly important, and unrealistic, expectation for the future as number of stakers and price per coin will undoubtedly fluctuate considerably over the course of a year, but this still provides a basis for which to compare the return compared to other traditional investments. Other hidden fees in this example that aren't included are network fees on the oxen chain (currently so low they are negligible) and exchange trading fees if you are forced to sell through a centralized party (could add up but likely still <$20).
Node operators and contributors do have the ability to sell rewards as they get them, which is an important consideration when factoring in future price performance.
I have used both Session and Loki personally and I'm impressed. It's astonishing to see dozens if not hundreds of crypto projects with shittier products, or even no functional product, with 10x the market-cap of Oxen. I don't think this can last.
My one major complaint: oxen itself needs more utility to attract/maintain value over time. Currently you need it to run a node and the rewards are attractive, far outpacing the server costs necessary even when paying for hosting. However, as a user, Oxen is really only used to either reserve a unique username on Session, or "buy" a ".lokinet" domain from the network by burning a set amount of oxen based on how long you wish for the domain to remain active/in your control. It can also be used to generate a vanity address.
The rates are currently quite cheap on the so-called "Oxen Name Service":
Session ID: 7 OXEN
Wallet Address: 7 OXEN
Lokinet Name 1 year: 7 OXEN
Lokinet Name 2 years: 14 OXEN
Lokinet Name 5 years: 28 OXEN
Lokinet Name 10 years: 42 OXEN
Considering 42 oxen at current price is $25-26 bucks coming out to ~$2.55 annually at the time of writing, this is all relatively affordable. The interesting part is when you purchase these name services, you don't pay a node operator - the oxen is burnt and removed from the circulating supply. The goal of the project from a macroeconomic standpoint is to have enough users such that the burning from name services can offset or even outpace the emissions produced by the network. I think this goal is ambitious, which is why my "One major complaint" is that oxen needs some more utility.
But this project is on the right track IMO, and oxen @ $4.50 would mean a ~250 million mcap which is modest by crypto standards especially considering the inflationary environment the USD is experiencing. It will be interesting to track this one. There isn't many PoS projects that are focused on privacy, and the volume especially looks interesting as it used to be <100k for months and suddenly has gone up to 500k+ since March 23rd. I smell a market-maker.
Let me know what you think of oxen in the comments, and I hope you enjoyed this write-up. If you did, please consider giving a follow, thumbs up, or share with someone. It would mean a lot to me :)
(Not financial advice and all that.)
HI DOLLAR to be KING OF THE PROOF OF STAKES COINSHi Dollar
in Only 180 days into Launch Phase, has seen very similar ABC and almost identical chart as Cardano showed 4 years ago.
Question is does Hi Dollar stay low at current price 0.129 all time low yesterdayfor as long as ADA did for 2 years.
Hi dollar have 3 active GIGA Staking pools to participate in with massive APY for stakers supporting the Hi Protocol to be the most scalable, adoptable and no cost fees platform out there, with many other features.
LETS GET HI - see the Hi Dollar social sites and platform for more information on how to stake and be a member with Hi Benefits.
AVAX USD RALLY RETRACE PART 22 Bullish targets at resistant levels 100 and 120 possibly all time high 1.47 plus.
Big retrace after ATH or resistance levels with further continuation of wave 2 to 1.618 Fibonacci Support.
This is where investors will or should after the sell off get in for the Proof of Stake project to really build up the stock for APY HODLing.
This will be a very long consilidation of support, there are only 270 mill in supply, aprox. double ETHs Ciculating Supply
This project has potential but there will be big losses for the early buyers if they dont sell off, competition for these AVAX will be huge and low cost purchase is smart money.
NXT to da mooonThe parent for ARDOR and the grand children for IGNIS
Nxt (NXT) uses the blockchain to create an entire ecosystem of decentralized features, all of which require the Nxt currency. Instead of modifying the original Bitcoin source code, as many altcoins have done, Nxt developers wrote their own code in Java from scratch. While Nxt is a public blockchain, licenses for private blockchains based on its software are also available for purchase.
Rank #466
Coin
On 7,255 watchlists
Nxt Price (NXT)
$0.07748
4.92%
0.000001387 BTC3.39%
0.00003183 ETH7.18%
Waves due for a reversal soon $20 possiblewaves.tech
Launched in 2016, Waves is a global open-source platform for decentralized applications. Based on proof-of-stake consensus, Waves aspires to make the most of blockchain, with minimal carbon footprint.
Waves technology stack can benefit in any use cases that demand security and decentralization — open finance, personal identification, gaming, sensitive data and many others.
Proof-of-Space-and-Time - The Upcoming Race for Storage SpaceIf you're looking for a long-term investment with a potentially high upside, the CHIA Network (XCH) has been slowly gaining ground in the crypto sphere among a few enthusiasts out there.
Originally founded by the creator of BitTorrent, the CHIA Network has an entirely different validation system from Proof-of-Work (PoW) or Proof-of-Stake (PoS) and uses an algorithm called Proof-of-SpaceTime (PoST) to validate transactions.
The cryptocurrency markets -- particularly in NFT and metaverse-related projects -- is facing a big issue right now: the lack of effective storage systems for decentralized platforms. Many of the currently "minted" NFTs have URLs that point to a basic web server, which creates a vulnerability in the crypto ecosystem that has largely gone unaddressed. For now, the images that you see on many platforms are alive and well, but as companies and project leads start to exit the space, we're going to start to see a lot more broken links show up on something that was *supposed* to be permanent on the blockchain. (There will probably be a lot of people who will get very mad when this happens is my guess, but there is no company to sue for damages, in this case. Blockchain!)
Decentralized storage systems like Filecoin (FIL), Storj (STORJ), Inter Planetary File System (IPFS) has its maintenance requirements as well (it's not automatically permanent as some believe), but because its systems are decentralized, it makes it much easier for people to pass the torch onto successors if necessary. It might seem like a small thing, but it's actually a big difference compared to the usual way of someone paying for web hosting using a single credit card, which can often be unreliable and legally complicated to enforce.
Yes, that would mean that even the URLs on popular NFT minting sites are in danger of "disappearing" completely. But don't worry -- that doesn't necessarily mean that the NFT that you bought is worthless -- yet. Given that there's so much money behind many of these platforms at this point, they're not likely to let it go to 0 -- the way this can be "fixed" is to migrate or modify these NFTs into a more permanent form later on. Whether or not the minting platforms decide to protect their customers or leave them out to dry is yet to be seen, but the option to solve this problem is at least there. (And would become the new standard thereafter, I'm guessing.)
Right now the high gas fees on ETH make either option too cost prohibitive -- but if the ETH 2 upgrade goes as planned, a "re-minting" process may become a thing. Or the ETH team themselves might allow for the URL to change, as long as the change itself gets recorded in the blockchain as well. Either way, the demand for hard drives and storage spaces is likely to go way up, especially as NFTs start to introduce video elements to its ecosystem over time. (NFT platforms typically avoid videos because the file size requirements are huge compared to single-still images -- but we do live in a world where video is what everyone comes to expect.)
This is a problem with a solution already there, except that people aren't aware that the problem exists yet. This is usually a signal that it's a good time to buy. XCH is likely to get more popular *after* proof-of-storage solutions such as FIL and STORJ become more commonplace since people will be looking at all the storage spaces they have and possibly look to be making some extra money -- it's a way to diversify one's resources, if anything. Why not?
ALGORAND - Against BTC staking staking & staking
Algorand (ALGO)’s main aim is to drive low-cost cross-border payments. Being a PoS protocol, the network needs stakers for security and transaction processing. Unlike Tezos, it uses the pure proof-of-stake (PPoS) consensus mechanism. However, it still requires stakers to run full nodes.
Furthermore, there are third parties who support ALGO delegation. Staking rewards on these networks range between five and ten percent annually. Note that the rewards are influenced by the platform used. For example, those using Binance Staking enjoy an APY (annual percentage yield) of 8%.
Rank #20
Coin
On 373,858 watchlists
Algorand Price (ALGO)
$1.86
0.93%
0.00003045 BTC1.30%
0.0004137 ETH0.54%
ALGORAND against USD POS coinstaking, staking and staking!!
the creator
Silvio Micali is a professor of computer science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and the founder of Algorand. He is a recipient of the Turing Award (in 2012) for his fundamental contributions to the theory and practice of secure two-party computation, electronic cash, cryptocurrencies and blockchain protocols. This makes him one of the foremost creators of crypto in the world.
Rank #20
Coin
On 373,858 watchlists
Algorand Price (ALGO)
$1.86
0.85%
0.00003044 BTC1.29%
0.0004137 ETH0.66%
Ontology - One of coin that build on NEOThe ONT chain also helps negate transaction network fees by generating and distributing free Ontology Gas (ONG) to ONT holders based on their holdings.
stakes ONT and you will get ONG
Ontology further provides additional features such as smart contracts, cryptographic identity proofs (ONT ID) and tokenized data (DDXF) that can seamlessly be transferred between different blockchains.
one of good staking in proof of stakes.
you can get as high as 17% on exodus.
Rank #113
Coin
On 138,585 watchlists
Ontology Price (ONT)
$1.10
1.25%
0.00001782 BTC1.18%
0.0002439 ETH1.04%
Solana Ascending TriangleTechincal Analysis
We have formed an ascending triangle, which puts the measured move around $320.
A re-test of $210 could be a good potential entry.
Fundamental Analysis
Solana is both a cryptocurrency and flexible platform for running apps.
High transaction speed : it can transact 50,000 transactions per second; unlike Bitcoin which can transact 7 per second or Ethereum that can transact 13 per second.
Fees : while Ethereum has its second layer which eliminates gas fees, Solana will still be cheaper and more efficient due to the extremely high speed.
Proof of history : PoH ensures that a blockchain is very fast but at the same time keeps its security decentralized.