Dax daily: 15 Jul 2019 Friday's price action ended prematurely, soon after the session opened and Dax fell by some 80 points. Following was a sideway movement and closing in the middle of the intra-day range. Today we open with an ascending gap which might soon be closed.
Important zones
Resistance: NIL
Support: 12 277
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Today's analysis will be slightly plain as Dax doesn't provide many clues for any further development. There is one notable support level nearby and this is laying at 12 277. There is no resistance to pinpoint, statistics idle and the price action is dull too. We wish you all a good start to this trading week and be safe in the markets.
Proptrading
Dax daily: 12 Jul 2019 This is the last analysis of the week. As expected, Dax initially declined yesterday and closed the gap. Buyers entered at our support but didn't last long. After some 35 points, buyers were overpowered by sellers again. Following was a retest of 12 328 level which was broken out by some 16 points before buyers flexed their muscles. Today we open with an ascending gap, which is already closed at the time we write this.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 500
Support: 12 291
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
After today's open, Dax started its downward momentum quite strongly. The first hour already has a range of some 60 points, which is unusual. Beware of some trend reversal signals. We have a nice support zone a 12 290 where we might find some buyers. In any way, it's better to be less aggressive in the long direction today.
Dax daily: 09 Jul 2019 Yesterday's session was very nice from our point of view. As we highlighted, Dax first went up to close the gap at the resistance level of 12 564. The price then reversed exemplarily and the high intra-day swing was formed as well. Today, Dax opens with a descending gap and so far, the momentum indicates the retest of the support level laying at 12 391.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 504
Support: 12 391, 12 329
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Right now, we are in the gap territory formed between 28 Jun and 01 Jul. For this reason, we anticipate a move towards 12 391 where we could find some buyers. If the support level of 12 391 doesn't hold bearish momentum, then another suitable buy zone is at 12 326. On the other hand, if bulls dominate the market from the beginning, it is likely the price will bounce off the 12 504 for some nice correction. If that doesn't happen, the probability of breaking yesterday's high is still least likely, with only 9% chance of this happening.
Dax daily: 04 Jul 2019 Welcome to the last analysis of this week. Tomorrow's analysis will be skipped due to a national holiday. Yesterday's statistics for breaking Tuesday's high was successfully passed. Dax rose all day and closed near its intra-day high. Today, we open with a smaller descending gap.
Important zones
Resistance: NIL
Support: 12 597, 12 543
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
The statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high is 90%
Macroeconomic releases
USA - National holiday of Independence day
Today's session hypothesis
Today's plan is pretty straight forward. Just as yesterday, we have an increased statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high, hence all the trades have a clear target. We could find some buyers at 12 597 or even lower at 12 543. In case bulls are aggressive enough, it is likely they will start aiming higher right from the beginning of the session.
Dax daily: 03 Jul 2019 Yet another session without a gap. Sellers attempted to retest prices from the last week, yet to no avail. It was just around 12 475 when Dax turned around from its slight downward correction and eventually closed where it opened the daily session.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 600
Support: 12 391, 12 428
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
The statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high is 83%
Macroeconomic releases
09:15 - 10:00 CEST - Eurozone PMIs
Today's session hypothesis
We'll base our today's analysis on the fact we have a higher statistical probability of breaking yesterday's high. Thanks to yesterday's close, the odds incline the price might go higher, beyond yesterday's high. Our statistical application indicates that such situation happened in 83% of historical occurrences. This is a strong indication that plays for bull traders. Should this scenario happen, we estimate that 12 600 could be targeted as well. If not, the price decline towards 12 475 or even lower towards 12 428 is likely in a reverse situation.