Trade setup: GBP/USD analysisThis trade setup is very simple and justifiable due to numerous confluences, the short term target is 1.26555 which is alignment with the 61.8% fib level as well as a potential right shoulder. 1.27000 proved to be a key barrier which candle couldn't close above, 4HR candle created a huge spike but then closed below to attract a potential short order with a tight SL and maximum reward.
Psychologicalroundnumber
Trade Update: EUR/USD analysisUS fundamental on CPI remained unchanged, this was a pivotal macro indicator which large investors were waiting for, sentiment, therefore, remains more at ease, from a technical perspective price tapped a key liquidity barrier however we rejected this zone with an evening star reversal pattern then a 4HR bearish engulfing candle closing below a minor trendline signifying large downside pressure, its likely that price could rally to targeted zone of 1.25000 then potentially extend to a psychological level of 1.20000
Trade setup: USOIL short term perspectiveah sorry, I wasn't impulsive enough to give my perspective on this trade setup, but we've had a sudden move to the upside, however, we rejected a key long term trendline as our 3rd drive, also 4HR candle spiked and closed below 53.00 as a shooting star, ideally if we could get further spikes into the highlighted region we could enter for short trades to the targeted D extension which is at a key psychological/support level.
-Risk reward is great as usual with a 1:4 ratio
XRP/USD medium term perspectiveprice couldn't completely penetrate the key $0.45 price region as of yet, recent weeks price has been consistent of lower highs and lower lows suggesting that bulls have been shaken off and sellers dominance is present. Price is currently retracing to a manipulative zone, however, we could expect further downside price action towards targeted regions, ideally first fill the $0.36 price barrier in which was previously tested.
Trade setup: XAU/USD analysisprice is currently trading at the highs of $1340, an obvious head and shoulder reversal pattern has been formed, and candlestick is forming a potential C pattern at the key barrier before possibly rallying towards targeted zones of $1320 and then lower towards our D extension price region.
- Risk reward is great, as usual, is 1:3
BTC medium term perspectivePrice extended to the highs of $9000, however, was not able to sustain this level as price clearly has been trading sideways around the psychological level of $8000. With singular wicks hitting both the highs and lows, however, the head and shoulder pattern could elude to the fact that reversal may be imminent. Bear in mind that from the new monthly highs price has been creating lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently retracing to the highlighted price region of $8200-$8350 at a key fib level, due to the fact that BTC is very volatile and therefore entails very manipulative wicks, wait for shorting the BTC at the highs of the wick to the targeted D extension fib level of the price region $6400.
Trade setup: continuing EUR/GBP analysisif the 1HR candle closes below that wick we can wait for a retest of that trend in addition to 0.89000 being a key psychological level
to consider adding an additional short entry, the price may then rally towards our targeted areas of 0.88400 first then 0.88000
apply good risk management to your trades!
Trade Setup: GBP/AUD analysisprice has created its 3rd drive into the highs of that dynamic resistance price region that price previously tested. IF 4HR candle can close as a Doji suggesting indecision and potential rejection at the key trendline we could see price form a new higher low? and correct to the 1.82000 level (61.8% retracement zone) before accumulating buying orders to break the key trendline and reverse to new highs
- SL is set higher than our previous wick rejection, if price breaks above the resistance and closes above, it's likely that price could rally towards our long term targets of 1.85000
Risk reward ratio is 1:2
4HR Trade setup: DXY analysisprice has rejected the 96.50 zones with 4HR candle wicks, price is showing momentum to the upside to form a potential new lower high, if price rejects the key trendline a new lower low could be formed towards the 96.00 key level, however, if the trendline is broken a deeper retracement could be formed towards the highlighted region before price rallies to the downside.
Weekly Breakdown: GBP/AUD analysisIf weekly candle rejects key daily support of 1.81000 formed by our previous swing low with a Doji candle suggesting indecisive behaviour.It is likely that price could reverse if the price breaks the trendline with a bullish engulfing candle, targets of 1.85000 being a psychological level also in confluence with 61.8% fib level. More importantly, key fundamentals out this week for GBP which could be the catalyst for GBP potential upside momentum.
USDCAD SHORTTérmino de los 5 ciclos alcistas y esperando rompimiento del bajo anterior para empezar a buscar operaciones en corto. En temporalidad de 1H hay una fractalización bajista lo cual nos da una confirmación adicional para poder pensar en operaciones de venta. Tomando en cuenta esa zona de rompimiento, buscaremos una entrada en un nivel psicológico.
GBP/USD BEST SETUP EVERAnalysis for GBP/USD :
*-Broke triangle,
*-Downtrending with LH & LL,
*-Broke the 1.3 support zone,
*-Is going to retest the resistance at 1.3 which aligns perfectly with the trendline,
*-Daily & Weekly showing strong bearish momentum,
*-Moving averages downside crossed on daily & weekly,
*-I have put a sell limit order but you can wait for some candlestick patterns to form at 1.3,
*-Next target? Next support key level at 1.28,
Have a blue week ahead and #tradesafe
USDCHF H4 Bullish Bat at 1.0000 psychological levelBullish bat pattern coincide with my demand level and also at 1.0000 psychological level.
Will not place pending order just yet as I want to look out for more confirmation signals.
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EURUSD 4HOUR CHART - KEY ZONE FOR POTENTIAL SHORTSI haven't had a lot of interest in the $EURUSD higher timeframes this year mainly because we've been dealing with an extended period of consolidation. In fact, all 3 of my trading opportunities have been pattern trades or short-term day trades on the hourly timeframe and lower.
Until we break out of our range & I get a clear idea of which way i believe the market is likely to go, I'll continue looking for similar opportunities & a current level that is on my radar to look for potential short opportunities is the structure zone between 1.1285-1.1324
CAD/CHF - Time to pull the trigger!My apologies for such a saturated chart.
For me, this bullish trend is ending very soon. We can see that the price is losing strength as it approaches to the weekly resistance. It also got over the 0.76 just for 20 pips and immediately reversed. Zoom in on last pullback and pay attention to the volume traded. You can see the bearish candles have more weight and for me this is a signal that the price is already getting into a bearish zone! Inside the upward channel we can find an ascending wedge which is also another reason to think price can strongly reverse.
Also check ADX is showing that the trend is losing strength and RSI almost breaking its upward trend.
This all is happening in the 78.6% level (red Fibonacci levels) of the last downward impulse which make me think we might be facing the formation of a new downtrend so we are going to place our (first) target on the 50% (blue Fibonacci levels)which is casually a psychological number 0.74
So, why the massive stop?
I strongly believe price must reverse very soon but there is still a chance for an unexpected last impulse which I am going to use to keep going short in order to get more profit.
Keep in mind that counter-trend trades are highly risky and adding more trades when price is not reversing as expected makes it way more risky!
I hope my analysis is useful for your next trades
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EURAUD - Quick bounceIn his way down the price just draw a descending wedge. It might be bouncing after it hit the 0.618. In this case, the first target should be the psychological number 1.60
Also check +DI and -DI on their way to cross and RSI heading upward in a channel.
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USDCHF - About to confirm the Elliot 5th waveIf you check the weekly chart, you will notice that the 1.0000 has been a very strong level over the years. If the bullish trend breaks the 1.0000 it will be strongly going towards the weekly resistance trend line extending the fifth wave and confirming the bigger fifth wave (weekly)
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CADCHF 60M Looking for price to respect trendline + round numberWill be on the lookout for price to hold at the
trend line + 74.00 major price change confluence.
*NOTE* If price doesn't hold and breaks lower next area of interest to go long will be ~.7370
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USD/CAD Finding Support at 1.3600Sorry for the delay in updating the USD/CAD trend analysis! As you can see, the channel trend is clearly broken though now and the question is what is next for the pair, does it find new support and go higher, or is a counter-trend forming?
On Wednesday, oil prices shot upwards, which led to a selloff in USD/CAD. For most of that day, the 1.3600 level was the basis of resistance, and USD/CAD ended the day 36 pips lower. However, the selloff was short-lived, as by Thursday, the previous session's high was reached. It is also of note that the price opened below the 1.3600 psychological resistance and was able to close above it, on Thursday. Friday actually found support at the 1.3600 level. I think this is signalling that a new support is shaping up, and could be a buying opportunity in the expectation that the trend continues moving upwards. And this is all in the context that USD/CAD has been trading well above its 9-day moving average, even with the selloff on Wednesday. While I think it might regress downwards in terms of the rate of upwards trending, USD/CAD is still clearly in an uptrend.
I would look to open a USD/CAD position at 1.3638 with a stop loss at 1.3595 and setting the first half of take profit at 1.3690.
Please let me know whatever feedback or comments you have!