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Psychology

Large EU bullish do we continue?Good morning traders! Yesterday was a great trading day, with many members in the community banking great % from the trades that were on offer! Shifting focus to the session today we are in a clear buying range, a sweep of the lows into discount would offer an excellent place to enter long. Alternatively a nice 5minute selling range would offer us the chance to enter short and "fill" the range yesterday before a long. As always trade safe EnvisionEJ.
Long
by EnvisionEJ
ETH-All eyes on all time highsGood Morning traders. Todays chart will be basic in nature at the narrative can be easily shown. If you have been following my forecasts you would have seen that I was calling for an impulsive move as we stacked orders and any pullback from the high would only be short term before a push higher. We didn't even get a pullback, it was just a push higher. The whales ate the the short liquidity. The next target is the ATH, this rally has been explosive so a pullback is always possible but with this momentum I can see the ATH being taken in the next 7 days (depending on how BTC reacts) As always trade safe. EnvisionEJ
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by EnvisionEJ
Formation of consolidation according to Wyckoff Phase 1 : Stopping the previously dominant trend. The offer prevailed. Decrease in supply is indicated by preliminary support (PS) and sales climax (SC). These events are visible on the charts, where widening spreads and high volume reflect the transfer of a huge number of shares from one speculator to another. As soon as sellers weaken, an automatic rally (AR) follows, consisting of both demand for stocks and covering short positions (two types of ogrok are activated). A successful secondary test (ST) in the SC area will show a decrease in sales, as well as a narrowing spread and a decrease in volume, usually stopping at the same level as SC. If ST falls below SC, either lows renewal or consolidation formation can be expected. The SC and ST minimums and the AR maximum set the boundaries of the TR. Levels can be drawn to help see the market as shown in the two accumulation charts above. Phase 2 : In Wyckoff's analysis, Phase B acts as a “cause-building” for a new uptrend (see Wyckoff's Law # 2 - “Cause and Effect”). In Phase 2, large players accumulate relatively inexpensive stocks in anticipation of a mark-up. The accumulation process can take a relatively long time and includes buying stocks at lower prices and checking for price increases by short selling (false breakouts). Typically during phase 2 there are multiple STs as well as upward actions at the upper end of the TR. In general, as TR develops to acquire most of the remaining supply, the majority of its interests are net buyers of shares. Buying and selling impart a characteristic up and down price movement to a trading range (flat). At the beginning of phase 2, the average true range is wide and accompanied by a large volume. However, as the professionals absorb the supply, the volume of the downward swings within the TR may diminish. When it turns out that stocks are likely to be depleted, the market is ready for Phase 3. Phase 3 : The instrument goes through a critical review of the remaining supply, allowing the big players to make sure the instruments are ready for growth. As noted above, a spring is a price movement below the TR support level (set in phases 1 and 2) that quickly reverses and returns back to TR. This is an example of a false breakout. In reality, however, it marks the beginning of a new uptrend after grabbing liquidity, delaying late sellers. In Wyckoff's method, a successful test of the supply, represented by a spring (or shake out), provides an opportunity for higher expectation trading. A low volume shake test indicates that the instrument will be ready to go long, so now is a good time to enter at least a partial long position. Phase 3 : There is a constant predominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by the promotion model (SOS) with widening price spreads and increasing volumes, as well as the reaction (LPS) to smaller spreads and reduced volumes. During phase 3, the price will advance to at least the top of the TR. The LPS in this phase is a great place to go long. Phase 5 : The instrument leaves the TR zone, growth is forming, as demand is under complete control. Shakes and more typical reactions are usually short-lived. New higher-level TRs, involving both profit-taking and consolidation by large players, can occur at any time in Phase 5. These TRs are sometimes referred to as "stepping stones" on the path to even greater ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support! info taken from WyckoffAnalysis
Education
by DeGRAM
17
Formation of consolidation according to Wyckoff Phase 1 : Stopping the previously dominant trend. The offer prevailed. Decrease in supply is indicated by preliminary support (PS) and sales climax (SC). These events are visible on the charts, where widening spreads and high volume reflect the transfer of a huge number of shares from one speculator to another. As soon as sellers weaken, an automatic rally (AR) follows, consisting of both demand for stocks and covering short positions (two types of ogrok are activated). A successful secondary test (ST) in the SC area will show a decrease in sales, as well as a narrowing spread and a decrease in volume, usually stopping at the same level as SC. If ST falls below SC, either lows renewal or consolidation formation can be expected. The SC and ST minimums and the AR maximum set the boundaries of the TR. Levels can be drawn to help see the market as shown in the two accumulation charts above. Phase 2 : In Wyckoff's analysis, Phase B acts as a “cause-building” for a new uptrend (see Wyckoff's Law # 2 - “Cause and Effect”). In Phase 2, large players accumulate relatively inexpensive stocks in anticipation of a mark-up. The accumulation process can take a relatively long time and includes buying stocks at lower prices and checking for price increases by short selling (false breakouts). Typically during phase 2 there are multiple STs as well as upward actions at the upper end of the TR. In general, as TR develops to acquire most of the remaining supply, the majority of its interests are net buyers of shares. Buying and selling impart a characteristic up and down price movement to a trading range (flat). At the beginning of phase 2, the average true range is wide and accompanied by a large volume. However, as the professionals absorb the supply, the volume of the downward swings within the TR may diminish. When it turns out that stocks are likely to be depleted, the market is ready for Phase 3. Phase 3 : The instrument goes through a critical review of the remaining supply, allowing the big players to make sure the instruments are ready for growth. As noted above, a spring is a price movement below the TR support level (set in phases 1 and 2) that quickly reverses and returns back to TR. This is an example of a false breakout. In reality, however, it marks the beginning of a new uptrend after grabbing liquidity, delaying late sellers. In Wyckoff's method, a successful test of the supply, represented by a spring (or shake out), provides an opportunity for higher expectation trading. A low volume shake test indicates that the instrument will be ready to go long, so now is a good time to enter at least a partial long position. Phase 3 : There is a constant predominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by the promotion model (SOS) with widening price spreads and increasing volumes, as well as the reaction (LPS) to smaller spreads and reduced volumes. During phase 3, the price will advance to at least the top of the TR. The LPS in this phase is a great place to go long. Phase 5 : The instrument leaves the TR zone, growth is forming, as demand is under complete control. Shakes and more typical reactions are usually short-lived. New higher-level TRs, involving both profit-taking and consolidation by large players, can occur at any time in Phase 5. These TRs are sometimes referred to as "stepping stones" on the path to even greater ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support! info taken from WyckoffAnalysis
Education
by DeGRAM
15
EU bullish through the Asian SessionGood Morning traders! Yesterday was a slightly choppier trading day, with a UK bank holiday. However things picked up later in the day once NY opened. Looking at todays PA was have had great bullish momentum in the Asian session. We are in both a 15min and 1hr buying range. However orders haven't been protected for this momentum to continue. A deeper pullback to the Asian lows and into the discount section of the buying ranges would offer and excellent place to get long with great RR before the high. I have also marked a range above, this was never mitigated and should we push through the high would offer a logical spot to enter shot/TP As always trade safe EnvisionEJ
Long
by EnvisionEJ
ETH stacked orders are food for whales!Good morning traders! Yesterday was a choppy day for me in the FX markets and ETH continues to develop. I have zoomed in the PA to give you a better look. The yellow markers are highs and lows stacked together. To the average retail investor these show where price has turned and therefore and good spot to place a stoploss. However to the big whales they see liquidity, plain and simple, places to fill orders either selling or buying. The longer the orders stack the bigger the move will be.... As Always trade safe EnvisionEJ
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by EnvisionEJ
A fresh week and fresh PAGood morning traders! Hope your weekend was good and your weekend reviews gave you insight into your trading last week. Looking at todays PA I still think we need to wait for further development. The large bullish move Friday left lots of imbalance behind and many unprotected orders. On the Daily TF we have now broken the downtrend and have moved to a daily buy range, this signifies a return to bullish momentum in the market. I will be waiting for further development before entering any trades. As always Trade safe EnvisionEJ.
by EnvisionEJ
Another week nearly done~Good Morning traders! Another week draws to a close! Yesterday was a stellar day in the markets for myself and other traders in our community! Looking towards todays PA, we can see the rejection from the daily range present (its still marked, because its still valid) Currently we have built bullish momentum through the Asian session. We new a bullish move was coming thanks to the LQ for higher prices marked. We have both a 1hr and 15min buy range pushing prices higher, I am expecting a retracement from this high, before pushing through later in the session before again selling off. This will provide many opportunities in the market (as we get most days) As always trade safe, EnvisionEJ
Short
by EnvisionEJ
Potential ETH Bearish move underwayGood morning traders! Yesterday we had a reasonable selloff, this was spoken about in my prior forecast. I expect this momentum to continue for a few more days before we again pop higher (also as forecasted yesterday) The market never moves in a straight-line and pullbacks and shakeouts provide more liquidity for larger moves. Orders continue to be built in the current area and an explosive move could be on the cards soon. As always trade safe, EnvisionEJ
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by EnvisionEJ
The Sleeping GIANT! EOS! There have been so many Positive thing going on EOS and yet, there has not been a major pump. Usually what this means is pure accumulation from Big players or whales. The biggest news is the Exchange that Block One has announced called "BULLISH" this exchange will be live this year, the date is still unknown. Also, The funding rate of EOS has increase, this is a bullish sign for EOS. China Ranks EOS as NUMBER 1 base on Speed of transaction and remember there are 0 fees with EOS. Remember, lets not forget about Bitcoin, if bitcoin consolidates or remains bullish then we can see EOS go to 9 dollars if not higher. (Not a financial Advice) EOS came out in 2017, it is still considered new compare to BTC AND ETH.
COINBASE:EOSUSDLong
by OmaOne
7
Could the bearish daily trend be about to continue?Good morning traders! I trust your week has been good thus far, yesterday offered some great trades with members of our team getting involved. EURUSD is still in a daily selling range and we have now had a mitigation of the daily range marked up a for few forecasts ago. Looking at the lower TF we are in a 1hr sell range and 4hr buying range. Price is currently in the discount of the 4hr buying range. A sweep of the Asian lows and mitigation of the edge money range would offer a great spot for a long, alternatively a move back to the highs and a selloff would offer great selling opportunities. Whatever does happen I will remain Neutral and trade the market in the moment. As always, trade safe EnvisionEJ
by EnvisionEJ
Bullish Mondays!Hello traders! I hope you had an excellent weekend and learnt as much as you could from the week priors pa. Todays PA is clearly bullish on the 1hr and the 4hr, so longs will be targeted. The daily is still in a sell range and we have moved up within the possible mitigation of the recent PA however we aren't over the premium of the move. To the left we can see the circled PA in yellow, which will need to be filled at some point, this fits with a long bias into the shorting area. Although we have both a 1hr and 4hr buying range I will remain Neutral and trade the PA as I see it at the time, this could lead to shorting opportunities should they develop
by EnvisionEJ
Trade the markets as you see themHey guys! Todays forecast is simple and clean, we are in both a 1hr and 4hr sell range. Both of these ranges have not been mitigated (BFI's haven't protected orders) As such I am expecting a retrace to the start of the current move down before resuming the downwards trend-Price may also only pull back to the equilibrium of the move which is something to be aware of. Alternatively a sweep of the Asian session lows and a 5min buy range would offer a reasonable entry long to fill the PA before continuing lower. As always Happy Trading EnvisionEJ
by EnvisionEJ
Can we create the strategy that can wining the market??Hi guys, im guaddi min homie. I will give you two options: 1. Have stable profits in the market on a regular basis 2. Get rich quick in a short time but potentially lose all your profits quickly You will definitely choose the first option,right?. You've heard a lot of people make hundreds of thousands of dollars a day, but that's just the surface,maybe make a profit today, but the next day they will lose more than your profit. In fact, anyone can make money from trading but there are quite a few people who make a steady profit. When people enter their trades on impulse, they can make a profit for a while but can't make a profit in the long run.If you want to be a professional in trading, you must create your own trading strategy. Are professional traders good predictors of the future??? That's definitely not the case. We think we have to learn a lot of this, a lot of that, this indicator, this candlestick pattern To be able to accurately predict the next direction of the market. And of course that's not the case. The key of succes trading is the trading strategy have a good RR ratio and reasonable winrate with that RR. Or perhaps, in some cases your win rate can be very high along with the profit is also very large. To create a stable trading strategy according to the price action method or indicator, the first job is to identify the trend. You can use moving averages or draw trendlines. You can refer to strategies on youtube, forums or create your own strategies with indicators, or simply just resistance, support,...Remember no one strategy can has a 100% win rate,like I said, the win rate is just enough and the RR rate is good. I have a position with 100 USD account, if I win I get 1.5 USD if I lose I lose 1 USD but the win rate of this order is 50%,For every 100 orders like that, my average profit is 25 USD. However in trading, we can raise 50% win higher or 1.5 USD profit to 2 USD profit. You can set a fixed stop loss for example 2USD ,5USD and set the take profit 1.5 times the stop loss.Your risk should only be from 2-4% of your account. Doing so, in the short term you may lose, but in the long term, you will definitely make a profit. I don't rate strategies with high win rate but low return/profit .I just need a strategy that has a 50% win rate with a RR ratio of 1/2 or 1/1.5 Your trading strategy may have a losing streak of up to 5 even 7, but your win rate is 50% with RR ratio 1/2.So in the long term you will never lose.Such losing streaks are extremely normal and you don't need to worry because you still have a long term advantage. I have met people who every time they lose 2-3 in a row the emotional side kicks in and they start trying to develop a better strategy, despite having thoroughly tested their strategy and knowing that It is very beneficial.Because they don't stick to that really good strategy. If you have created a really good strategy for yourself then congratulations, you have a formula for winning the market, all you need to do is be patient and patient,the ratio is quite high in the case that you should not break the trading principle(In cases, you will have to make decisions and those will help you to grow up), and remember just follow the trend. See you in my other posts, thanks.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn24937010
FOMO, The GOOD and the BAD! Good day everyone, this is my second psychology method. Today we are learning about FOMO. FOMO is another word for Fear of missing out. This means a couple of things in the mind of trader. "Oh my god, it keeps going up." "I am going to miss it" "Fudge it, all in" "I can make a lot of money if I go in." "It is going to the MOON!" When this comes to mind of a trader, it losses their train of thought. The strategy that they have been using just goes out the window. Some call it "Risk it for the biscuit." The worse thing about fomoing into a crypto or pair is winning it, this is because it becomes a habit and each time something pumps 100% or more they end up fomoing. The only problem is, what if it doesn't go higher and it just dumps so quick for someone to react. In the end of the day, you will lose a lot of money. You might get lucky but luck runs out. If you win by fomoing once or twice, then do not keep doing it. It was free money that the market gave you. Go back to your strategy and just call it an Anomaly. Example: The crypto you are looking at is called ACH, this crypto got listed to coinbase and it pumped over 1,000% in the last 4 days. What I notice in the crypto chat, is that many people, especially people new to the market wanted to get in even though it pump so much. ACH kept going higher and higher and I knew the fomo was kicking in. Seconds later, boom it dump. It dumped fast. As a patience trader, I wait for the best entry and even though I miss the pump, I still manage to get 50% from scalping. Remember this is not the only method you use to be a successful trader. There are many aspect to become one. Thank you!
COINBASE:ACHUSD
by OmaOne
6
Patience Patience Patience...As a trader of 4 years, I learned Many things, but the most important thing I learned was being patience. Patience is by far the hardest thing to achieve because from my point of view, I always wanted to be in the market. The excitement, the blood rush, knowing you can make money quick and fast. That was my psychology. This problem is not only me, but many traders as well. I have spoken to an abundant amount of traders and they always tell me "I can't miss this move" "I want to make money fast" "What if this is the bottom or what if this is the top" "I miss my entry, but I will just go in anyway." "I am bored." "Market not moving" When I started trading back then, I always had these comments imbedded in my mind as well. I always wanted to be in the market, I always wanted to make money fast, etc. But in reality this is not the case. I started to change my mindset of trading when I took a big loss, yes a big loss, not just any loss, a loss that made me learn my lesson. It all started 2 years ago, I was trading a crypto pair. I had my plan set up. I knew where I should long and where I should short. Days pass and the price was nowhere near my area of interest. The feeling of boredom, the feeling of wanting to be in the market, the feeling of "I might miss out" came. So I took the trade. Then the next day happened, boom, I took a loss. I was upset and without being patience enough to wait for the entry, I took another trade because I wanted to get my loss back and I couldn't wait to do so and the result was another loss. This is where it happened, after both losses, I waited for the pair to go to my ideal set up, It took weeks before it did. I wanted to see what would have happened if I just waited. When the pair was in my ideal spot, I took the trade. Days pass and the trade hit my Take profit. That very moment, I knew I had to be patient. As of now, Every Weekend, I mark my areas of interest from daily all the way down to 4 hour or even 1 hour. I have never taken a trade until it hits my area of interest. This made me a better trade. Remember there are many more aspect of trading than just being patience. This is just one of many important key elements of becoming a successful trader!
by OmaOne
Components Of The Most Effective StrategyComponents of the most effective strategy Things are indicated that can reveal the maximum potential of your strategy, or change it a little so that you are successful. Theory Do you have enough knowledge base about the market, terminal, competition, nuances, technical and fundamental analysis, your own capabilities to feel quite comfortable in the market? Objective Were you able to define your goal, what would you like to see from yourself in the future? Is it based on a constructive vision of the market? Economy Are your resources being used productively? Do you use money management and risk management in your strategy? Simplicity Are there things in your strategy that you do not understand or could not make out? If so, get rid of it. The strategy should be as easy and understandable as possible. Psychology Are there elements of psychology in your strategy? What are you doing to get rid of the human factor and bring everything into a state of consistency? Flexibility Is it possible to move resources within your strategy? Will you be able to quickly respond to the volatility, cyclicality of the markets? Speed Is it possible to quickly redirect your "forces" within the strategy? Do fundamental things, undefined responsibilities and forms diminish your ability to act quickly? Security Is it clear which information has to be kept secure? Do you spread your plans? Initiative Does the strategy allow you not to follow the crowd and stay ahead of the competition? Accuracy Are you focusing your efforts in those areas that provide the greatest opportunity? Commitment Does everyone feel a part of the initiative and passionate about achieving its goals? Or do just a few people “own” the initiative?
Education
by Lingrid
1
Major fundamental news affecting The PriceFundamental news in the forex market provides the greatest energy for price movement. Only often these movements are unpredictable. I have a news trading strategy in my feed titled "How to trade The News Correctly" , I recommend it to study if you have an aggressive trading style and want to earn even more on news 1) Employment figures The most important news event that all speculators and investors are guided by is non-farm pay. This news event increases several times, at the time of the news release, the volatility of the main instruments on which traders earn. The NFP usually comes out on the first Friday of every new month. 2) Balance figures An indicator characterizing the difference between the value of exported / imported goods and services 3) Speeches and minutes Last mention of key speeches and minutes such as ... 1) DOMC Statements and Press Conferences 2) Voting on MPC ratings and speeches by the Governor of the Bank of England 3) Press conferences of the ECB and speeches by the President of the ECB 4) Retail Sale figures the indicator characterizes the strength of consumer demand. Its growth indicates an increase in the production of goods, a strengthening of the economy and currency. Included in the calculation of GDP 5) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Reflects the shift in the cost of core consumer goods and services 6) Expected and Forecasted Figures on the way out news 1) Positively affects the strengthening of the currency when the actual figures after the release of the news turned out to be better than the predicted ones 2) Badly affect the strengthening of the currency when the actual numbers are worse than expected 7) Any kind of news that is spoken during these events has a very strong effect on all foreign exchange and not only markets. Traders navigate and trade depending on how they think a certain currency of the respective country can react. ❗ ❗ ❗ Constructiveness in trading: follow the news when trading and try not to open orders for half an hour, at the time of release and after the release of news for half an hour ❗ ❗ ❗
Education
by DeGRAM
2
Ethereum; A short psychological breakdown and review Disclaimer Please see chart for all text. This is not financial advice, this is a mix of intuition and experience breaking down the movement and chart. As a rule of thumb, trend analysis and chart work is all bullshit, period, end of discussion, no arguments allowed. In a similar way that the only gods are the ones man makes, the same for these chart patterns. There is no guarantee at all that any trend or channel is real. We are in a world of pure chaos, and attempting to "tame" or predict the chaos is foolhardy. Still, humans obey rules, even if they don't realize. I hope y'all can gain anything from this type of analysis, but my usual deep dive into the asset is coming soon for Ethereum! I own like $20 of ETH on coinbase, no other cryptocurrency at this time of posting (7/14/21). This is mainly because I do not currently trust any cryptocurrency exchange and don't really have the financial ability to invest heavily into cryptocurrency right now (nor can I rightly suggest doing so as it is clearly being manipulated in strategic methods). This is a repost from another Ethereum page, TradingView needs to figure out a way to condense listings of the same assets.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DoctorFaustus
2