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Psychology

My Trading StrategyFirst of all it is always best to have a trading strategy before entering a trade as I have made many mistakes in the past with margin trading and I found this way is the most effortless and least straining psychologically method. As I believe this is a huge growth industry, currently I use a Ledger, which are readily available and a great way to store your currency. Replacing the popular margin trading with the more stable 'growth over time method' is safer and won't have you checking your phone every two minutes, checking prices.. For reference currently I plan on holding my cryptocurrency for 20+ years, and passing the ledger onto my family or my kids, for their benefit at the time. I put the most emphasis on the psychological aspect as most trading does take a toll on your wellbeing and state of mind, while simply riding the ups and downs of the market is very satisfying. Constructive criticism / feedback encouraged! Buy and HODL!
BITFINEX:ETHUSDEducation
by Bixley
6
EURJPY psychology can we accept that 1% loss ? so this breakdown shows 2 outcomes and what is possible in both situation and your trading psychology behind both sets up ? can you accept this 1% loss knowing that this trade shows and lines up with the higher time frames ? and seeing how we got there with some strong momentum would this put you of this trade ? biggest issue behind trading falls from your emotions we wouldn't take this trade if we haven't risk correctly or we haven't respected what the markets give us or we revenge trade after taking loss after loss accept any outcome and train your mind to cut your looses and ride your winners happy trading :)
Education
by LucasMatthew
GBPAUD trading corrections and understanding the middle sectionhi guys so a quick lesson on trading corrections if we can confirm a middle section within a pattern this has a higher probability on what price will do next we then filter on the lower time frames for a tighter entry we only trade in probability and we accept any outcome with any trade we place and having the right psychology we make you a better trading in the long run :) hope you all have a great new year guys and girls stay safe :)
Education
by LucasMatthew
Thinking big picture - BTC AnalysisHey there, I will say, that compared to so many on this platform, I won´t dive into all these technical indicators this time and will keep it very simple, yet so much more exciting. So we have been consolidating between 6000 and 8000$ for a few weeks now and had mostly sideways price action. On this chart you see trend-based fibonacci extension using the past bearmarket of 2014-15 by connecting the high of 1200 and the low at 152 on the Bitstamp exchange. As you see you get a almost perfect prediction of the 19980 top in 2017 with some key support and resistance levels for the past bullmarket and bearkmarket of 2018. We are now hovering at a key level, the 5.618. As you might know, the 6.18 levels tend to be one of the, if not the most important levels of fibonacci retracements and extensions. Not only that this level is of high significance but further we now touched the highly psychological and technical area of around 6000$. I will not call for a bottom, but I say with the utmost confidence that the price levels we are at now, are extremely important regarding technical analysis. If you are open for more information about how to draw and use these lines, please check out my YouTube channel "Enlightened Trading". Also there you will get a deeper perspective on other charts which I have been looking at. So don`t miss out. Wish you a happy new year and to make some gainzzz, personally, physically and financially. All the best, Enlightened Trading
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EnlightenedTrading
Market Cycle of EmotionsI'm feeling depressed, angry, and doubtful about my BTS position. I can feel the emotion creeping in. I can feel the thoughts coming on: "sell now, you can find another coin. This coin is dead." In the cycle of market psychology, it could be the time for me to buy more. If BTS was at .20 I'd probably have a million and one emotional reasons to buy more. We have retraced 98% from ATH. What an opportunity! Horizontal lines are support levels. Who knows? Good luck.
POLONIEX:BTSUSDLong
by jjjk00
3
AUDCAD | LONG | Update v1.3My grandpa taught me to buckle up and let the ride be what the ride may be. Sometimes we can all leave on a journey together and end up at the same destination but with different outcomes. We are now 50% into our profit target. .92 has been the level of interest for many weeks and there really isn't much more to say then the man holding the tail and a leg of the same elephant will have two different perspectives. What the hell does that mean? All these fan boys posting every which way the market farts . Pick a side, always scalp in the same direction of your longer term view and never underestimate the power of simplicity. Folks, there is no holy grail, with proper money management and patience, we as retail investors can and will prevail. Stay fluid ya'll
Long
by theyfollowme
The Trading Psychology behind the Market MovementsWe all make winning and loosing trades but we tend to ignore our losses and we celebrate when our trades are profitable. We are not good or bad traders because we're able to predict the future by using Technical Analysis. We all make winning and losing trades just because of probability. Some of the traders out there can really use Technical Analysis and get a good percentage of the market future directions but they're just a few. The rest of us must use other strategies to be a winner. The most important thing in trades, in every market, is to understand the basic Psychology behind the price movements. I can follow a bull trend if I believe that everybody else or the majority will do the same. I start to sell when I see that the majority does the same. We follow the Mass. The point is "Who starts a Bull/Bear Market?" We do. The bigger is your share of the market the more successful you can be. The reasons behind that are multiple and sometimes difficult to understand. The Crypto Market isn't different. All the traders, big or small act because of the same reasons that drive any other market. The peculiarity of the Crypto Market is just that the kind of fundamental that is represented by the tokens/coins, is a technology, a new technology that will change completely the way we exchange goods and services in our economies. Knowing that most of us Hold the coins/tokens because we believe that the idea/project/white paper behind the token/coin will probably represent the standard in the near future. Now, how about BTC and Altcoins? BTC is the God in this market or at least we were used to believe so. This means that if the price of BTC rises, the prices of the other/major Altcoins will most probably rise. This used to happen just because people believed that if BTC rose all of us would have thought the same (bull market is on, so we can buy at any price now because all the rest of us will do the same). ...but something has already changed.. Today we observe different price movements of the major and some minors Altcoins just because people started to see that this is possible and so, even though BTC price moves sideways and almost flat a price rise in other coins is possible. What is the problem? Lots of people hold the coins to wait for a big price rise. The volume traded is too little to ignite a bull run. Only BTC has, at the moment, the very big share of the market capable to ignite a huge Bull Run. What shall we do? WHEN BTC PRICE MOVEMENTS MAKE YOU BORED LOOK AT SOME OTHER COINS FOR SHORT TERM OPPORTUNITIES. YOU WON'T BE DISAPPOINTED. JUST FOR THE SHORT TERM... TEZOS, XRP, STELLAR, LINK, CARDANO, COSMOS, BAT ARE SOME OF MY FAVORITE. This is not an investment advice. Do not trade according to this article. Be good and enjoy your life regardless of what BTC price will do. Cheers
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by RobRobin
The Secrets to Forex & Why You're the Wrong Type of Loser (pt.1)This is a 'many-part' educational series to help turn smooth brains into folded brains. The series reveals the true power of the social and psychological factors shaping markets. This is abstracted from 7,000 hours of research in markets and finance and is a synthesized thesis between my research, John Boyd's work on strategy and adaptability, and David Bohm's theories on emergent behavior. The endstate for the reader will be vastly improved risk management, and novel methods for reducing uncertainty. Part 1: Why 85%+ of Retail Traders are the Wrong Type of Loser The true holy grail of markets.. the risk-free rate of return asset, doesn't exist (even perpetuity coupons aren't risk-free). Risk or uncertainty permeates all aspects of our reality. Managing risk is a fundamental component of all business, law, politics, military affairs, sports, etc. It is essential to any form of competition (which markets are). Virtually every element of any strategy employed anywhere involves risk management. It's more than just money... its everything; your relationships, your happiness, your experiences. Your ability to manage risk and uncertainty will positively correlate to your future quality of life. Why? Because we can't see the future, but we live into the future. Thus, no matter your wealth or political power, uncertainty is still your master. Fear of uncertainty drives your psychology, the psychology of other individuals, organizations, and even nations. And what these entities do, affect you. Even at subconscious levels. Those that fight uncertainty, do so at varying levels of competence. In the world of derivatives, and for our interests its sub-class: forex, speculation against uncertainty shapes most of the price discovery experience visualized on your favorite candlebar chart. What happens on your chart on higher timeframes is the result of speculation; even those with carry trade positions are still speculating about rates and central bank decisions. The only people who aren't speculating are insider trading, which is illegal. It's illegal to not speculate... Make no mistake, in the world of speculation, those that fight the best battles, are the ones who fear uncertainty the most and go to the greatest lengths to conquer it. But we already determined that you can't conquer it, you can't see the future. So what does a 'best battle' or 'meeting halfway' even look like in trading? What do you call a loser that doesn't always lose? Let me stop for a second. You're probably thinking: 'this is obvious, no one wants to lose money, everyone is afraid of what they don't know, the future is unknowable, etc' 'How does this help me make money?' First, you need to understand what you are in this game called Markets. In this oddly balanced game, those with the most to lose often have the biggest say. And vice versa. You are the vice versa, the retail trader. Retail traders comprise 4 categories that often overlap, ie: people who usually do not have a professional background in investing/trading, or a professionally relevant education, or professional connections as a major client or data access, or a high networth. Your competitors are the opposite (they are all those things and more): the winners, the market makers, the whales, the money printers, the ones with the biggest say, the old money, the 'smart' money, whatever cringy title you want to give them. Commercials/institutions/fund managers/portfolio managers/pension managers/etc.. These guys are speculating about the future, just like you. But their speculation is what shapes price discovery and market movement, YOURS DOES NOT. This means that whatever you think the market does or should be, DOES NOT MATTER. Your fibonacci, does not matter. Your head and shoulders shampoo/pattern, does not matter. Your sup/res lines, do not matter. Your moon cycles, do not matter. Your RSI/MACD cross, does not matter. The only thing that matters, is what these commercials/institutions think. That's it. If they think that this head and shoulder on the 4h EURUSD matters, then it matters. If they think the moon cycle this month matters, then it matters. If they think communism is good for business, then it matters... etc. It's exactly as irrational as you might think. Now, with their fiduciary responsibilities, they do have to justify their picks. So moon rune interpretation is usually off the table. But guess what. These guys, despite their immense wealth, their research teams stocked with specialists with PhDs, and all the instant access to prime data in the world.. they still lose. They lose all the time, and they lose big. Eye wateringly big. The vast majority are barely winning 60% of the time, if even that... That's why many are offloading into 'less competitive' money-making opportunities; like underwriting, checking accounts, or alternative investments. Competition itself is too much of a risk for their uncertainty appetite. You have to applaud their level of greed. But to stay on target. Whether your technical system is profitable or not is often a factor of the fitness of your indicators with whatever strategy the commercial is using to execute entry implementation (or combination of models or commercial strategies). And when a few of their models/strategies are losing, it makes it even harder to win at this game (or in those instances, your system might win, whilst you rejoice at the amazing ability of your moon cycles to predict the future). But let's back this up, did some of you notice something off? 60%~ ... That's actually not bad. A trader who's experienced at losing (and yet making a profit in the long run) would kill for an average position win rate like that. Instead of thinking, "how do I avoid losers entirely" Stop wasting whatever brainpower you have. Start thinking, "how do I minimize my losers?" The losing positions are always going to happen, no matter your system. All edges fade, and even a mythical system that won 90% of the time will weaken over months or years. But if you learn to master the art of 'losing,' the overall win rate of your positions can AFFORD to be low. In many cases, it could even be less than 50%, and you could still make a living as a trader/investor. The best and brightest, the commercials and institutions, are barely going 60%. What makes you think you can do better? Does it mean all hope is lost? Not even close. It simply means that you need to focus less on your directional/positional bias strategy (the winrate), and more on your risk management strategy. You have to become the right type of retail trading loser, the 15%~ or so that retail brokers survey as profitable. These guys are losing 40%, 50%, 60%, even 70% of the time, and some of the them are still making big money. It's counter-intuitive but they are the guys winning at losing, and turning that into a living. Your ability to survive losers.. to adapt to uncertainty , is the first secret and the most important step into the weird world of profitable derivative trading. Okay, so you might be thinking: "Again, obvious. Isn't that just 2%? Isn't that just low margin? Only trade Majors? 100 pip SL?" If those were the first things you thought, then we still have a very long way to go. Fortunately, this is just the introduction. See you next week for part 2: 'time as the dominant parameter, fair value, and the 'center of gravity.
Education
by CountofCoins
GBPJPYhitting demand zone fibonacci support area ________________________________________________________________________________________ Golden Trading Rules: Big movements take time to develop ________________________________________________________________________________________ I'll be happy to read your opinion and ideas, and if you like the idea, please give it a like for support, thanks Remember, we are speculators, not investors ;) Have a profitable day Telegram Contact: t.me Supply And Demand Strategy
Long
by Aidin_Jabarpoor
1
Trading MindsetWELCOME TO WORLD OF TRADING Hi everyone, what I am about to talk right now is concerned with trading psychology. Everything that I am about to say right now is also a crucial aspect of my psychology and mindset that is fueling me to write this for you guys. Hence, we can deduce one thing from this. Psychology is the most important factor in deciding your future as trader. I will be honest upfront with you guys. So you’ve been introduced to the world of trading by your friend, family or anyone that doesn’t matter, so you’ve been told how the guy next door is making thousands of dollars with just few hours of work while you out there hustling yourself to exhaustion and making just about to survive your month doesn’t seen fair right? And exactly this guy has results to show for it to make you believe how if he can do it anyone can. Or you’ve seen couple of stories, Instagram post, Facebook post promising exponential gains in a few hours. With that said I want to address 2 main problems associated with trading which I believe are significantly important to understand before you step out there or if you’re already out there and struggling. 1) Holy grail in trading (a way or a method that will promise you returns on daily basis) Holy grail in trading what is it and does it exist? To answer this question, I want you to ask yourself a question first: why you are trading and what do u want to achieve from it Now that you’ve asked yourself that kindly note if the answer to these questions is (firstly: I want to accumulate wealth as soon as possible and drive a luxurious car next month. Secondly: I only want to find a way in trading that works 100% and gives me return on my investment daily) If these are you believes I am afraid to say you have work to do on yourself not on your system of approach of trading. Financial markets are a world of chaos there are millions of possibilities out there every day (imagine you just focus on 1 possibility consistently every day, where will that take you in the next coming years think about it) There are successful traders out there, trading and making living out it (the so-called narrative only 5% of people can make money in the markets) where’s the difference? The difference lies not on support was breached, trend line was broken or respected but on their mentality and mind set these people very well understand how market moves and work but be cautious they will never follow the market: no one in world has the intellect and memory to remember each and every tick movement of the market these people are focused on themselves and their performance in the market. They know exactly when to trade and when to stop trading. The approach of such people is not irregular but systematic and disciplined. To sum it up financial world is a world of chaos with billions of possibilities (FOCUS ON THE ONE THAT MAKES SENSE TO YOU AND COINCIDES WITH YOUR PERSONALITY AND ROUTINE) anyone can trade Weather your doctor or an engineer or just a high school student provided you are consistent, disciplined and motivated (YES UNDERSTANDING OF MARKET MOVEMENT IS VERY CRITICAL BUT YOU DON’T HAVE TO FOLLOW AND TRADE EVERY MOVE). 2) More importantly your Mind set (psychology) Now if you remember I asked you 2 question in the beginning 1st paragraph. If you focus on the fundamentals of that question, they are based on you and your way thinking (NOT ON YOUR METHOD OF TRADING LIKE I STRESSED EARLIER THERE ARE BILLIONS OF WAY OF MAKING MONEY IN THE MARKET STICK TO SOMETHING U BELIEVE IN ) I myself have been trading for almost 1 year am I a millionaire? No, I am not (and I say it proudly) I too was introduced in a conventional way just like many of you are. But trading (IS NOT A GET RICH QUICK SCHEME) (THIS NEEDS TO BE OUT THERE) but rather a skill set and unregulated chaotic state of mind that needs correction and discipline of execution which will I guarantee you results which brings me to my final and most important point YOU ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT PART OF YOUR TRADING JOURNEY Focus on yourself (yes u do need to understand the dynamics of market and its movement but alone with that I’m sorry to say you can’t achieve what u hope to achieve Let’s do some simple math’s in term of percentage shall we to give you an idea what I’m talking about Account size USD % return on investment USD ROI Account size X10 USD % return Usd ROI 1000 2 20 10,000 2 200 10000 2 200 100,000 2 2000 100000 2 2000 1,000,000 2 20,000 Don’t exhaust yourself trying to get rich fast as possible that won’t work at least not in the long run focus on getting solid return percentages first weekly, monthly, yearly consistently and get a job to build yourself step by step don’t rush the process and always believe in yourself give me a like if you agree
Education
by Danialhassan
1
Market cycles applied part 2. June & December bubbles.Let's assume 8950 was the top, or very close to it. Just to be prepared in the eventuality people that shorted at 8800 ish are not going to get liqudiated. Never know... Want to have a look at BitconnectCoin previous bubbles or in other words months of June & December. 1- June 2011 2- December 2013 3- June 2014 4- December 2017 5- December 2018 6- June 2019 What we can extract from these 6 examples (or 8 with dec 2013 *3) > When it dumps, if this was the top (I believe it is), it probably sees a large retrace (EW 1 rule). EW says 0.786 at least. Can be slighlty less. > Bitcoin dropped 11% at 6k and 22% at 8.4k, next dump 33%? That would bring us to 6000 exactly. > Where to re-enter exactly? This is for me to know and you to find out. Re-shorting around 0.786 is a pretty good RR, above 5... > People keep falling for the same stuff. Every body sees the same chart. I don't get it. Too obvious... Rince and repeat december 2020 maybe. > Bottom 900 to 1800 not sure where exactly yet... On the bubble chart denial it at the top, on the wall street cheat sheet denial is in the middle. Careful you talk about the same thing when you use that term. Honestly, they are in denial during the entire bear market. We should use different names. This:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MrRenev
28