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Significant Moving Averages positions in the S&P500 weekly chartThe 200-SMA of a weekly chart is probably the main indicator of a secular bull market. It's almost never breakdown, except if a crash happens, and then prices usually come back quickly to the uptrend. Or, the other situation, when an extended bear market begins, and in that case, prices will remain under this MA for a while and the battle around it lasts longer. A common pattern that happens in the first several months of a bear is that the prices meet the weekly 200-SMA, they then pullback to the 50-SMA and, after that, we finally have the breakdown of the 200-SMA. This can be noticed in some previous bears, like in 2001, 2008 and in the 1970s. If we take a careful look at the present S&P500 weekly chart, we will see that this pattern has being built in the last months. Prices did approach the 200-SMA, they then did a pullback to the 50-SMA, and now they're facing difficulty to resume the uptrend, the 4200 level is being almost a Great Wall, not to mention that the yield curve has been inverted for 10 months now (this usually predicts a recession within 6 to 18 months). I think that the bear move is the most probable outcome for the next months. So, for that, I consider that we're now at an excellent point to start trading a major bear move. It is important to try to catch the beginning of such a move so we can collect the greatest possible asymmetry. That’s why in the next few days/weeks I will be very attentive to bearish trading signals in the stocks, and, of course, I will post here any trades that I do. PS: An spoiler: I’m feeling the energy sector (XOM, CVX) has the potential to give us bears a lot of joy. But that is yet to be confirmed.
SP:SPXShort
by thessia_
QQQ: Must React As Soon As Possible.• QQQ corrected to the 21 ema again, after filling the previous open gap at 322.08 (open since Aug 22, 2022); • It is ok to see QQQ losing strength after reaching this key resistance, however, in order to maintain the bullish bias, the 21 ema must act as a support; • If don’t, QQQ could easily seek the next support level, which is around 310, and this would frustrate the mid-term bullish bias; • The trend is still bullish because QQQ isn’t doing lower highs/lows yet, and now it is right at the 21 ema again. There’s no bearish reversal signal on QQQ yet; • On the other hand, there’s no bottom signal as well. QQQ must perform a bottom as soon as possible as it just reached its 21 ema in the daily chart. Only then, we’ll see a confirmation signal that the bull trend will resume. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
SPX: Dangerous Correction - What's Next?• The SPX has been correcting since it hit our target, the technical resistance around 4,170, but it seems it is stabilizing above the 21 ema; • We set this target on my previous analysis (the link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual), before the SPX confirmed its bottom, when it was still below the 21 ema in the daily chart; • Now we see a bullish reaction above the 21 ema, which is a bullish sign, however, the 1h chart suggests that a bullish reversal won’t be that easy: • The SPX is struggling to break the 21 ema, which is working as a resistance level, short-term speaking; • If this resistance works, and we see a top sign confirmed, the index could correct to lower levels, like the 4,049, the next support line in the 1h chart; • In order to see a bullish continuation to the 4,200 it would be good to see the SPX breaking the 21 ema in the 1h chart, and doing a clear bottom signal in the daily chart as well; • For now, there’s no clear bullish reaction, so let’s wait for more confirmation. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
Long Trade in IRDMIridium Communications is a telecom stock in a clear uptrend. Shares have more than doubled over the last 12 months with clear support at the 50-day moving average. The dashed white line on the chart highlights the area I have been watching - the HKEX:62 price level. This has been a key area of support and resistance and a likely place for IRDM buyers to step in and support the stock. The 50-day moving average is here as well which should give additional support. This is buyable here with a sell stop at $60.
NASDAQ:IRDMLong
by rossgivens
Long GBPJPY ideaAs we have UK CPI on Wednesday this long could be just an intra-day punt. Looking for a drop down into the imbalance and then a sweep of the recent swing high. There is a double bottom just below the entry hence why I am not really bullish. The news could be used to sweep those lows and maybe a pushed further down. Going to stay nimble. The USDJPY held up today, while the EURJPY and GBPJPY made an attempt to drop. IF we get direction in the UJ I'll use that as my lead for how much to bet on the GJ
Long
by Macrobriefing
GBPCAD - NEW BREAKOUT 📈Hello Traders 💖 On The Daily Time Frame The GBPCAD Broke The Major Key Level (Support Becomes Resistance Level) and he Broke The Resistance Line ✔ Currently, The Price is testing 1.68195-1.68603 Support Level for Creating a new Higher Low 📈 If Price Stays Above The Key Zone, GBPCAD Can Continue The Bullish Move 📈 ----------- TARGET 1: 1.69930🎯 TARGET 2: 1.71650🎯 ___________ if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
Long
by Hsan_BenAhmed
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