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Pullback

DXY (Dollar index) Retracement back up to 105.600Following from last week hectic week of news events, we had a nice end on NFP friday giving us a clear indication on what price wants to do. As you can see the dollar has been ranging on the higher time frame, generating liquidity and testing new possible highs however failed to do so. Scenario (A) - We have a strong bearish candle breaching the low of the range, breaking the structure to the downside. This hints that the dollar wants to move in a bearish trend and possibly want to take the HTF trendline below that was left from the previous rally. From this move, we have marked out new supply zones that we can sell from to continue this expansion. As of current price we have entered a nice (4hr) demand zone that has previously caused BOS to the upside this can allow us to buy back up towards the supply above. Already we see a nice reaction within the zone as well as price accumilating so we can possibly look for nice buys on monday once we get a CHOCH on the LTF's. We will then target the 13hr supply zone above as thats our main POI for a potential sell setup to form. Scenario (B) - Is that price continues to the downside and fails this zone to sweep the liquidity below. As theres a lot of asian lows and engineering liquidity, price can easily take this to tap into the daily demand which is a better zone to buy from to target the supply above around 105.500. My confluences for short term dollar (DXY) buys are as follows: - Price tapped into a 4hr demand that broke structure to the upside. - Wyckoff accumilation is starting to formulate due to the slow movement inside the zone. - Imbalances left above from NFP news event that price needs to come fill. - If price wants to continue in this bearish trend it must retrace back to the supply above. - Liquidity from the previous low has also been swept (which is the bottom of the range) - enough liquidity to possibly cause price to retrace back up to 105.600. P.S. From last weeks DXY breakdown (29/10/23), My scenario (A) played out how I expected as price respected my 7hr supply zone that I marked out and melted perfectly from that zone which caused price to break structure to the downside. I am temporarily bearish on the dollar so our next POI's to continue this order flow will be at the 13hr supply or the extreme (7hr) above.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
2
US500 expecting a bounce? Here are my thoughts.US500 (Daily Chart) I'm expecting a bounce to ~4260/70 area. Here's why. Looking at the AVWAP (Blue lines) from the January 2022 highs and October 2022 lows, we were bound to see some level of support here. I've been saying this for some time now that we'll reach at least 4100. Given the strong confluence of support around this area (the AVWAP and the horizontal level), I'm expecting a bounce from here. The target for the bounce would be somewhere around the 4260/70 area. If you look at the previous rallies in this correction they're both ~4.7% from the lows of the down moves. If we consider this to be the low of the move, ~4.7% lines up with the 4260/70 area along with the white trend line and potentially with the 50EMA as well, by the time price gets there. What will determine if this rally will stick or not will be the volume behind the moves. If you look at the volume in the previous rallies you can see that the volume was decreasing quite a bit and rose again as the price began to move lower. If this rally is to be sustained, we're going to need to see volume and broader participation from the market, otherwise, if/when we get to the 4260/70 area we'll see the next leg lower. Of course, there will be levels of resistance along the way such as the 4170 area and the 4210 area. As always, be sure to DYDD and be sure to manage your risk.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by HaseebKhan_90
#EURGBP buying opportunityHello, traders. Let's examine the EURGBP chart, where the price is currently completing a pullback to the broken short-term bearish trendline after a change in market structure towards the upside. This provides us with an opportunity to position ourselves in alignment with the higher time frame. When you review the Daily timeframe, you'll notice a bullish impulsive move that has occurred. Since reaching the recent high, we've been experiencing a bearish corrective move until yesterday. The price reached a critical support area and formed a bullish engulfing candle, which closed above the high of the previous doji candle. This suggests that the bearish momentum may be coming to an end. Following the formation of the daily bullish engulfing candle, on the 4-hour timeframe, we observed a downward move. The price retraced to approximately 50% of the previous day's candle and approached the 200 EMA. These factors provide significant confluence for considering a buy position from this area. Furthermore, the price is currently testing the daily pivot area. Since the price opened above the pivot and is now testing it from above, this indicates that the price may continue its bullish momentum.
Long
by mohemati
3
TSLA watching for 255-253 again todayThis move is highly unsustainable for NASDAQ:QQQ - I called a bull run this morning @ 10 AM. We are up +2% almost on AMEX:SPY SP:SPX AMEX:DIA - watching for pull back now on buyer weakness and reality setting in. But why TSLA? Why not NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:AMD ? TSLA had "bad news" today With a market pull back, TSLA will get smacked the hardest. Maybe even back to 250. Risking $40 on 0dte to potentially make $200. High R/R. I ran out of minds so posting here.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by kingdips
2
Last Down Week for Stocks. Last Up Week for the Dollar.Traders, The dollar is now starting 12 weeks of green. You can see that today it has touched the top of its channel and that has acted as resistance. Additionally, the RSI shows that the dollar strength is now over-extended. I smell a pullback coming very soon. Possibly before the weekend. The SPY (which correlates in part with other major indexes) has this Head and Shoulders pattern in play. Target down is 410. But as I questioned in one of my last videos, is it possible that the target down will be cut short - held up by the 200-day sma which closely correlates with the bottom of my channel? This will act as a huge area of confluence and give the SPY good support. It is possible that the SPY is held up from falling further at this point and this makes sense when looking for clues from our dollar chart. A fall in the dollar would likely correlate to a bounce in stocks. I believe it is reasonable to conclude that stocks will end their pullback soon and we can expect a bounce upward at either the channel bottom OR our target down of 410. Though, I am not sure that the SPY will maintain its posture within the ascending channel, I do not believe this is the end of our upward movement and blow-off top in the stock market ....YET. Best, Stew
TVC:DXY
by stewdamus
BTCUSDT Looking Bearish in the Short TermMultiple indicators have signaled bear as well as overbought conditions for Bitcoin on the 15m chart. This makes sense because Bitcoin has just experienced a pump within a short period of time. Usually, this means a retracement will follow as market participants will be compelled to take profits which means selling in the shorter term, a potential dip may be an opportunity to buy as we are likely to go higher in the longer term. All TradingView ideas are meant to be for educational purposes only.
Short
by AutomatedTradingAlgorithms
4
🟥 Divergence on NAS vs Stocks above 200D - cautionI have spoken about this since begining of the year but now it materializes nicely. The market has never survived narrow niche rallies and this has never been the characteristic of a bull market. As you see the Nasdaq Composite has started to pull as the percent of stocks above their respective 200 D Moving average is well below 40%. To be confident that we are really oversold I would like to see the TVC:VIX go to above 25 on this pullback. Caution is advised.
NASDAQ:IXICShort
by TintinTrading
HPAL - At Support - Pullback TradeI identified this stock as a probable candidate for a breakout trade (Refer to the previous post linked here) And we did see a breakout and run up to 540-550 levels. Now the stock has come back to the breakout level, the previous resistance area which now would serve as a support area( 455-463) and this week a hammer-like candle is also formed in the support area, portraying a good opportunity for a pullback trade. The structure of the stock is still very positive and this could be a great risk to reward swing to positional trade. The initial target is recent highs i.e. 540-550 and the further target is around 600 levels. Close below 450 would negate the trade.
NSE:HPALLong
by manuagarwal21
2
$US500 SP500 forecast.Here's what I'm looking at. I still think $4100 is on the table for a bottom. Reason being, there's multiple levels of confluence there. 1) If you take the AVWAP from the Jan 2022 highs, it comes to around $4100 2) It's a horizontal level 3) It's roughly the measured objective of the Head and Shoulders break down 4) It's also coming in around the 0.618 fib level. Of course there will be levels of support along the way, one being the current $4260 area. This $4260 area is also a confluence of support with 1) It's a horizontal level on the weekly 2) The 200EMA on the Daily chart 3) The AVWAP from the recent March 2023 lows. Either we see a bounce and recovery from here ($4260 area) or if we break lower we'll see 4100. For now, I still think $4100 may be the low for this correction.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by HaseebKhan_90