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Pullbacks

NZDUSD: Ask 2 ?'s "Where Should Price Go & How Can It Get There"With Jason out of town I’ll be pulling double duties helping out with the morning War Room as well and today I had about six potential trades on my radar. I typically don’t actively trade on Monday’s but I will be keeping an eye on the NZDUSD for multiple trading opportunities. Bigger picture I’m still looking for a chance to short this pair once we retrace to our previous support level, but currently we put in a nice base, which was broken above and could provide as a good place to get long if the market were to retrace to that level. . Sort of like a 2618 type of move. Whenever I make my predictions about the market I don’t just ask myself “where is price most likely to go?” I also asked myself “How is price most likely to get there?” These simple questions have often given me the opportunity to catch the move before the move. Obviously a lot can happen, but I always like to start off my week with a plan of “what to look for” that way I’m dialed in. What now? Well now I sit back and see what the market has to do. Remember as traders it’s our job to react, not to tell the market what it “will” do. If you get the chance check out my Interview on Brandon Clay’s Trading Story website talking about my trading story & setting up a plan of action for you trades tradingstory.com Best of luck this week traders, and let me know what you think about the interview. Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
Long
by Akil_Stokes
28
EURAUD: Got the breakout, now Looking for the pullbackAlthough I don’t day trade on Monday’s I have a handful of pairs on my radar for my swing trading portfolio. Multiple patterns on the EURUSD, a few setups on USDJPY, NZDUSD and of course the chart above on EURAUD. We were watching this pair last week for the bullish breakout and now that we’ve gotten it, the next chance to hop on would be at a pullback. Looking on the hourly we also have a potential bullish bat pattern setting up as well which lines up with what my top down analysis is telling me. If the buyers want to maintain control over this pair then we shouldn’t see a dip below that 1.48 level as that even handled number would be a cheap price to reinvest. I’m expecting a busy week in the markets so be careful out there. Lots of news coming out, especially between Tuesday & Wednesday. Good luck this week traders and if you didn’t get a chance to this weekend, make sure you check out my latest YouTube video talking about market Psychology & why we see the movements that we do. www.youtube.com Akil Stokes Chief Currency Analyst www.TradeEmpowered.com Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
Long
by Akil_Stokes
19
NZDUSD: Measuring the Pullback for a Structure based ShortWe placed NZDUSD on our radar during yesterday's Live Room session and have been tracking it ever since. I apologize in advance, but the analysis that I did on this pair is somewhat advanced so I'm not going to attempt to duplicate what I shared with you in last night's Syndicate video. Honestly speaking it's a lot clearer on the 13 period range bar charts (as you can see in the link attached at the bottom). Following the I.P.D.E. process that I shared with you guys on Monday, I've come to the conclusion that until shown otherwise, i want to get short Kiwi. The difficult part was determining where. Initially I had 3 killzones (with in the larger potential reversal zone) that sparked my interest but as this pair ebbs and flows, i'm starting to get a clearer idea of which zone is the one I want to keep my eye on and execute the trade if given the opportunity. To determine my killzones I've used a combination of Fibonacci retracements, extensions, inversions and harmonic moves. I say given the opportunity because, having price action enter the zone or level isn't enough. I still need to find a reason for entry and I won't know if or when that will happen until we get there. For now all I can do is wait, watch and be ready to pull the trigger if it does. Good luck in the markets today traders! tradeempowered.com
Short
by Akil_Stokes
28
GBPUSD 4 HOUR SHORT LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY WITH GBP BECAUSE OF THE ELECTION WHICH IS CAUSING THE POUND TO DEPRECIATE. PRICE BROKE OUT OF THE RANGE LAST WEEK AND IT IS NOW LOOKING TO RETEST THE RANGE LEVEL (SUPPORT TURNED RESISTANCE). THIS IS A TEXTBOOK TREND CONTINUATION PATTERN (BREAK,RETEST,CONTINUATION) IF PRICE MANHES TO RETRACE BACK UP TO MY SELL ZONE I ALSO HAVE 2 FIB CONFLUENCES WHICH ARE THE 38.2 AND 50 FIB LEVEL. TARGET BACK DOWN AT SWING LOW WHICH IS ALSO A PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL.(1.46000) ALSO PRICE SEEMS TO BE APPROACHING A DYNAMIC RESISTANCE (20SMA)
Short
by remelthomas
GBPCAD 4 HOUR LONGPRICE AT AN IMPORTANT KEY LEVEL AND JUST BOUNCED OFF THE RESISTANCE TURNED SUPPORT FORMING A DOUBLE BOTTOM. ALSO THIS KEY LEVEL IS IN CONFLUENCE WITH THE 0.5 FIB LEVEL. GBP AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS IS EXPECTED TO COME OUT BETTER AT 2.2% AND THE REASON WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT IS BECAUSE THE BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND) SAID THEY'LL BE MONITORING HOURLY EARNINGS DATA. IF THIS DATA DOES COME OUT GOOD WE SHOULD SEE SOME DECENT STRENGTH IN THE POUND. A BREAK OF THE COUNTER TRENDLINE WE COULD EASILY REACH TO THE SWING HIGHS AS I BELIEVE THE UPTREND IS STILL VERY MUCH IN TACT.
Long
by remelthomas
Price and Indicator Analysis In this chart I used US 30 Year Treasuries weekly chart to explain how price and indicator analysis work. I cover the basis of divergences, pullbacks, throwbacks, and exhaustion spikes. Pullbacks (red) are seen when price and indicators such as RSI have diverged for a great length (wide divergence) or when you have weak divergence top comparing price and RSI. Throwbacks (blue) have the same effect, however show up when you have a bottom divergence or exhaustion spike. If you notice wide divergence tops or bottoms more than often develop a stagnant price pullback/throwback. This is important to understand for timing purposes with instruments such as options. When you have a weak major divergence top or bottom, there is usually a strong pullback/throwback occasionally surpassing the original price top / bottom. Exhaustion spikes often happen after strong pullbacks and pullbacks that price sideways for a long duration. Exhaustion spikes are difficult to call bottoms or tops because they can lead to large price moves. To find an exhaustion bottom it is best to look on a much smaller time frame for strong angle divergences. For TYX I am waiting to see a rapid price movement to the downside or a divergence signal with a lower bottom in price and a rising divergence indication.
T
by QuantitativeExhaustion
19
ABBV too early to tradeMany traders like to trade IPOs and new stocks as the volatility is considered to offer good opportunity. But as a technical trader I find it difficult to trade a stock for which there is less than 5 years data. There is a limited history of how the stock reacts to events - which makes them difficult to analyse. In the case of ABBV a pattern is now beginning to emerge. The trend is clearly up with deep and frequent pullbacks. For a longer-term trader positions would spend more time in negative equity than positive so we would by-pass this one. However, this stock may well settle down into a more simple pattern to trade (i.e. a more linear trend) at a later date. For now, however, it is not possible for me to make a good, informed decision. Not every breakout is an opportunity.
NYSE:ABBV
by iAnneTrader
SRE continues uptrendSRE has been a good long opportunity since breaking above the $72 zone. On the weekly chart the 50ma has acted as support throughout the trend. While the pullbacks on the weekly have all been within the normal parameters they have been a little more cumbersome to trade on the daily chart. The last two deep pullbacks both dropped to test the 200ma and figure 100 before bouncing back up. Now that area is cleared and, after earnings were released on 4th November, the bullish move continues. A buy opportunity for SRE if you are happy to accept possible pullbacks.
NYSE:SRELong
by iAnneTrader