Numerico ( NWC) Nwc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio >2.5
Nwc is a weak asset but it is good for daily trading. Nwc is not good for investment but great for short time trading
Pumpanddump
EURUSD: First red day into the new weekHello traders and welcome back to my channel, as always don't forget to support my work with a like and comment, and follow me for more updates and markets templates!
I always repeat it in every post I share, my analysis are not a forecast and/or prediction regarding where the market can go, I'm not interested in gambling, neither in knowing the direction of any market. My goal in trading is to extract money from it, I wouldn't care much about anything else.
What I draw (lines, arrows) are not directional move, but the current setup I'm looking for, in the day, so do not be surprised if I go long on tomorrow :)
Thanks for understanding and hope this can give more value to your analysis as well.
Let's start!
EURUSD may start an interesting process, we can see all the week breaking down potentially going to complete the 2 weeks pump and dump, or in the week itself, this market can setup for a weekly dump and pump, starting from Monday. For a better understanding let's analyse day by day to see the logic behind each possible move during the week.
Starting from the last week we can see almost all the week trending higher, the first lower low into the LOD happened on Thursday, which is currently a potential anchor point for a pump and dump into this current bearish scenario!
Monday, the opening range of the week pushed a little bit higher, breaking out and quickly dumping back down.
Tuesday opening, the market kept going lower, breaking through the LOD (Monday low) going in consolidation till the end of the day, triggering breakout short traders and closing the day in breakout.
Today, the market went lower and looks like still dumping with a great momentum.
Now.. let's talk about the thesis.
1. Bearish:
this market can easily stop the traders long form the last Thursday, considering a great bullish move from that level, eventually reversing during the upcoming days or keep going lower, who know, we may see this market completing 2 week pump and dump scenario, back into the previous weekly low.
2. Bullish:
although today I'm not interested in counter trending this market, I don't exclude a potential dump and pump in the current week if the market will start consolidating around the previous Thursday low, not gonna happen today but we can see such a scenario by the end of the week.
Remember, today FOMC, I don't think I would like to expose my capital in a such a dangerous volatile market!
Entry criteria:
As I said, currently I'm not interested in counter trending such a strong down move market, at least not today and not before news release.
I can think about a scalp short if the market will retest at least the current high of session, consolidating around that level for 30 to 45min before to see a potential 25+ pip scalp in the session.
However, during the upcoming days we can certainly see better opportunities, but I decided to share it, because EURUSD look pretty clean to me!
Gianni
Dumping the Pump: $TRUMPAll technical and macro aspects of this token line up with a pump and dump and the recent market structure confirms this.
Backed by the imbalance around 18$ which also coincides with our 78.60 Fib Retracement, Im joining the dump!
MEXC:TRUMPUSDT
EURUSD: First red day up high into the high of the weekHello everyone and welcome back to my profile. I don't typically share templates every day, because I'm trying to select best opportunities that can move fast during the further 1/2/3 days.
Please do not forget to support my work with a like, and comment if you have similar or contrary opinions to understand as well your point of view.
EURUSD is actually up high into the high of week, high of month, high of year, it's January and is the first month of the year, is the opening range of the year.
There is a great chance to see a reversal market from the current level, if it's going to setup correctly.
However, as I always say, I'm not here to predict any directional move, because I'm a professional trader and I don't do entertainment with trading, trying to gamble my money in useless predictions. What I'm always looking for, are setups, which they repeat over and over again.
To understand better the logic behind my thesis, let's have a deeply look into the week..
The previous week, overall, the market has been trading long, higher high on Wednesday for a 3 days dump and pump into the week, I wouldn't counter trending such a strong market.
Monday, opening range of the week, the market broke the previous weekly high and stayed in breakout. Other times frame traders and big players are involved.
Tuesday the market pullback on the previous weekly high, eventually stopping out breakout traders long from that level, closing kinda as an inside day, which I consider part of the consolidation process up high.
Wednesday, the market broke higher, breaking out the HOW, HOM, HOY, closing back inside the range and closing as a first red day, which typically it can be a short signal if setups correctly during the further days.
Today, the market triggered short in, and overall is consolidating into the yesterday LOD.
Thesis:
My main view, currently, is pretty short, the lower low of today can a be a sign of weakness for this market, Trump speaking on schedule, market it may be very volatile today, that's why I decided to don't be involved in any market position.
The news release can obviously dump the market quickly straight into the LOW, or we can have a retest of the HOW for a consolidation and dumping during the next week (last week of the month).
If the market today breaks lower, tomorrow I will be looking for a sell high opportunity targeting the current LOW.
What about a bullish thesis?
Once again, I think that predicting is pretty silly and gives you 50/50 of chances to be right. What I'm describing is the possibility to identify a short setup in a market condition that can offer it.
A long thesis, would be absolutely still valid.. why?
Yesterday after the higher high in the daily, weekly and monthly level, the market dumped down into the low, and went in consolidation. I cannot exclude a 2/3 days dump and pump for a range expansion to the upside.
That means that I would be willing to take a long setup if the long thesis builds up.
I will be updating this post until I think the template will be valid.
Gianni
EURUSD: First red day in a broken down marketHello everyone and welcome back to my channel, please do not forget to like and comment my work, it's very supporting for me!
Let's start saying that I'm not here to predict the market, my view is only about the setup I'm looking, predicting is 50/50, trading specific setups can be a 90/10 opportunity.
EURUSD is currently in a kind of template which I saw several times in the past, the is breaking down, sellers are controlling the market and potentially by Thursday and Friday we can see a weekly pump and dump completing.
But let's analyse the full week to have a better understanding of the logic behind this potential move.
The previous week the market has been breaking down every day, and Friday place the most recent high and burst into the low of week.
Monday was pretty much consolidating into the LOW, not really something that can be interesting.
Tuesday the market triggered breakout long traders and pumped back up into Friday HOD, stopping their short breakout.
Wednesday, until CPI release, the market consolidated at the high of the week, eventually trapping volume up high. CPI stopped hunt trade who were shorting, closing the day back inside the initial balance (high low range of the week), and especially as first red day!
What's my thesis?
My main scenario is a short one, trying to complete the dump phase in a weekly pump and dump scenario. Obviously, not necessary we can see a strong move back into the low of week, but it can also stop and consolidate above the opening range high (HOD of Monday).
How would I enter this market?
USD news are scheduled on calendar at 8:30am NYT, I will be watching for a buy low setup after news release, specifically I will be looking for reversal pattern into the HOD.
What about the long view?
Of course, as I said, predicting a move is just silly, predicting is just like gambling, a long move obviously can happen and I can be willing to take it a session scalp if the market drop vertically down into the yesterday LOD, consolidating into the level till I will get any reversal configuration (Buy low opportunity).
During the upcoming hours I will be updating this post!
Trade safe!
Gianni
GOLD: Day 3 breakout traders long up high, NFP day!Hello everyone and welcome back to my channel, please don't forget to support my hard work, and feel free to share your observations if you have any, sharing is the key of improvement!
Gold, since the beginning of the week is creeping breaking higher, potentially trapping volume up high for a great, amazing sell off by the end of the day, completing the weekly pump and dump scenario.
To understand better the logic behind this forecast, let's analyse the week and remember two very important things!
1. I'm not trying to predict the market, my observation is not regarding any direction move, but I'm underlining the SETUP I'm looking for, more probable and profitable for the day.
2. I would never take any trade before NFP release!
Let's see deeply the week:
Monday, opening range of the week, established the high low of week, placing a peak formation high and a peak formation low.
Tuesday, eventually broke higher and dumped back down into Monday's high, consolidating just above that level, typical of trend trade template.
Wednesday a long setup went through the high of week (HOW) and as well broke higher the previous HOW, the trend trade setup was identified as a dump and pump in the day itself.
The day closed back inside the daily range, and a peak formation high was in place.
Thursday, the market pumped again into the HOW, breaking higher and triggering for the third time breakout traders long in the market, closing the day out of balance (out of the previous weekly boundary).
Today, Friday, the market retested again the HOW, essentially is still in breakout and still trending higher, but this kind of behaviour, where the price action is mostly "creepy" and not really strong trending, is very similar to past scenarios already happened where NFP cleaned all the traders long which they didn't take profit or still holding hoping for more profit.
How can you take advantage of this?
I want to see the market consolidating up high till the NFP release at 8:30am NYT, looking for a sell high opportunity.
If not, because the market can be really volatile during this day, after the news I can be looking for a short continuation.
What about a long thesis? Can the market keep going higher?
The answer is, absolutely yes, the market can explode in the long direction, forecasting is just the same as gambling.
So, the real question is, which setup do you have and which setup are you hunting!?
In the next update, I will share the potential 2 setups for the day
Gianni
GOLD: Dump and pump from last Friday?Hello traders and welcome back to my channel, please support my analysis if you find it helpful for yourself and don't forget to miss out further charts, suggestions, observations and updates!
Gold looks like potentially going to complete a dump and pump started on Friday, but to understand better the logic behind this template, let's analyse the full week!
The previous Monday and Tuesday established the high low of the week, in fact Monday is the opening range into the new week and Tuesday the initial balance.
Wednesday, the market broke out, triggering long breakout traders in the market, closing out of balance (long traders are now potentially driving this move)
Thursday, from Asia session I could see a strong bearish move joining the market, closing the week out of the opening range and as well as a first red day, which is a potential short signal if a sell high opportunity is identified.
Monday, during the Asia session I saw a great short setup going to pulling back into the previous opening range high, retesting the same area in NY session and triggering as well short breakout traders in the market.
Note and focus on NY session, it placed a strong swing high and swing low which creates our box where money are above and below that boundary.
Today, the market consolidated inside this box, breaking higher just before the beginning of NY session.
What's my thesis?
Obviously I never predict the market but I let it to setup first, however my main thesis is currently LONG, because it can be a clear weekly template of breakout/pullback/continuation above the previous Monday's high, which is a template that I saw many times during the past months!
To take advantage of this template, I would like to see a market dumping down at least into the London low, consolidating till news release at 10am NYT for a buy low opportunity, back to the previous HOW.
Regarding the short, do not forget that Friday was a first reda day, yesterday it placed as well a lower low and it could preparing for a further move down if the market today will place and locked a HOD, consolidation for a session scalp pump and dump.
Before news release, I will be updating this chart!
Gianni
From Moonboys to Bag Holders: The Bitcoin SagaAh, the Anatomy of a Mania , the chart that keeps on giving! Bitcoin chilling at GETTEX:97K in the ‘New Paradigm!!!’ zone? 🚀💎🙌 Translation: everyone’s sipping on hopium smoothies and thinking they’re financial geniuses. Spoiler alert: they’re not. 😏
Next up? Bull Trap Boulevard—where FOMO warriors jump back in screaming ‘TO THE MOON!’ 🌕 only to realize they just bought the top... again. 😬 Then we head straight to Capitulation Carnival, where wallets cry louder than the people who said ‘I’ll never sell!’ 🤡 And let’s not forget the VIP afterparty at Despair Dungeon—population: bag holders. 😭
But hey, don’t let me stop you. Ride that red line, champ! 📉 I’ll be waiting at the mean reversion party with my popcorn. 🍿😎
Volcon has been brewingWith all the attention towards FFIE & other ev type manufacturers...
The chart looks like a possible buy low situation.
This company has completely shit on it's investors. Scalped a little once or twice this year already but could 2025 be a solid run??
I personally think we have seen most of the gains large caps will get before an eventual crash. Now is the time for small caps to do damage.
Sold 60+% of my CETX last night and will be buying into these low cap crap stocks carefully.
Also have my bags packed with MBIO!!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
Pnut/UsdtBINANCE:PNUTUSDT
🔽 **Support Levels (Fear Zone)**:
- The current price of 1.099 is acting as a **support level**, meaning if the price holds here, it could stabilize or rise.
- **Support levels** are where buyers tend to enter, seeing the price as a good deal.
- But since you're saying the price is in a "fear" zone, it's a bit uncertain right now. If the price **falls below** 1.099, here are the next support levels that could be crucial:
📉 **1.0553**, **0.8000**, **0.7545**, and **0.5000**.
These are the potential prices where the market might find new buying interest. Below these levels, the price could **drop further**, signaling a **bearish** trend. 😨
---
🔼 **Resistance Levels**:
- If the price holds at 1.099 and starts rising, the next **resistance levels** are key areas where price might struggle to move higher:
📈 **1.353**, **1.4443**, **1.598**, and **1.888**.
- **Resistance levels** are where sellers often appear, preventing the price from going higher. If the price reaches any of these levels, it could be a point where the price gets "stuck" or even reverses downward. 💪
---
**How to Approach This:**
- If you're **bullish** (hoping the price will go up), you'd want the price to hold above the **1.099 support**. If it goes higher, the next resistance levels could provide opportunities to **take profit** if you're in a position.
- If you're **bearish** (hoping the price will go down), then the price **dropping below 1.099** and holding at a lower support level would indicate a continuation of the downward trend.
Remember, this is just a **technical analysis** and **not financial advice**! 📊🔍
---
BITCOIN: First red day, on DAY 3!Hello traders and thanks for your constant support, please do not forget to like and comment the idea, it's very helpful and supporting for my constant work and progress.
Bitcoin, it's currently establishing a template of pump and dump that I really like and already traded many times in the past few years, on several instruments. There is a good chance to complete the full pattern of pump and dump during the upcoming days.
But let's see the overall weekly situation to understand better the thesis behind.
Let's start quickly to say that the current week is INSIDE the previous weekly high low, meaning that I do not see weekly higher time frames involve in this move, as well because today we don't have any major red news on calendar, I would consider a potential short entry only an intraday position.
Monday is the opening range of the week, it triggered HOD and LOD levels, closing in breakout short, inside the previous weekly high low range, shorts traders were involved in this specific day.
Tuesday the market dumped back down into the low of Monday, failing the attempt to break lower, still we have shorts involved and potentially now trapped into the low of the week.
Wednesday, day 3 of the week, we can see a three days dump and pump completed in the week, shorts from Monday are stopped out and long breakout traders are in the market, but once the HOW has been reached, is really important to understand the behaviour of price on that level.
Thursday, long traders attempt in three pushes to break higher, basically consolidating up high and closing the day down, as a first red day.
Today, Friday, the market placed a lower low into the yesterday low of day (which it could represent a weakness in the market) and currently pumping up into the current high of day / most recent swing high in the market.
THESIS:
-Short: this is my main thesis right now, I would like to see the market consolidating up high into the current HOD, starting breaking down in NY session for either a session scalp pump and dump, targeting LOD, and eventually trailing to further levels as breakout level of Tuesday high (because breakout traders long entered the market without any retest of that area), eventually closing of Tuesday and as well low of Wednesday, all these level can be very reactive.
- Long: as always, I'm not here to make forecasting or prediction, but I'm only looking for setups in specific templates that play out over and over again. Bitcoin can still keep breaking higher giving a long trade back to the HOW, where the beginning of the dump started.
In the next update, I will be showing the intraday overview.
OIL: Three days breakout traders long in the market Hello traders and hope you are doing good! Today I would like to analyse deeply this market, trying to understand the logic behind my thesis. Do not forget to support and comment my idea, nothing change to you, but is really supportive to me.
Overall, OIL looks like potentially going to complete a two weeks dump and pump template, and especially today with CPI and OIL major red news on calendar, it can be pretty interesting, but let's go deeper.
The last week, since Wednesday the market drastically dumped down, breaking on Friday the low of week and closing the day/week in breakout, with short traders in the market. Now, typically, depending on the behaviour of price, the market can keep going breaking lower or reversing if volume is trapped down low, as it happened in this specific scenario.
I would say then, that the low of week can be locked and it may start the reversal process, going to stop short traders from Wednesday.
Monday, in the new week, the market placed a higher high (because it broke the Friday high of day), closing the day as first green day, which is a strong signal of market reversal.
Tuesday, volume was trapped almost all the day below Monday closing price, and a dump and pump session setup pushed the price even higher!
Wednesday, today, market kept breaking higher, potentially higher time frames long traders are driving this move.
Let's discuss about the thesis, as you may already know, I do not predict the market, but I just show what it can be (as per my criteria) the highest probability setup, setting for the day.
The long thesis, which is my current and main view, targeting the previous HOW, could be really interesting if the price will dump down into the low placed in London session, consolidating till 10:30am OIL news release for a buy low long trade setup, which I will be really willing to take.
However, the market can consolidate up high into the current HOD/HOW, for a short scalp back into any higher level long, for example low of London or yesterday closing price, but I will be updating this analysis every hour from the beginning of NY session 8am NYT.
Remember, I do not predict any movement but I only trade setup!
See you later every one and let me know if you need any clarification!
US30 Closing first red day on the NFP dayHello traders and thanks for reading and supporting my idea!
US30 is actually building an interesting template and today it could complete a weekly pump and dump template. But to understand better the logic behind this template, let's analyse day by day what happened this week.
Monday, sets up the opening range of the week, the high low of the week is now in place and overall it was a dumping day as you can see during NY session time.
Tuesday expanded the range to the downside, closing back inside the range at the end of the day. That's our box of the week, money are lying above and below these extremes.
Wednesday nothing really interesting happened, considering that the price stayed inside the range almost all the day, slightly retesting the HOW just before the end of the day, closing the day in breakout, which is very important because now, breakout traders long are in the market and potentially driving this move.
Thursday consolidated almost all the day up high into the HOW, every attempt to break higher failed, eventually trapping the traders long in the wrong direction, stopping them out at the end of the day, closing the market as first red day and with breakout short traders involved.
Today, Friday, I can see the market placing a lower low into the low of day, which potentially reinforce the weakness of this market, and it's currently consolidating/coiling just below the closing price.
Overall, we are inside the previous weekly high low range, so I will be targeting the current LOW if the short scenario is identified.
As always, the template can give a thesis but a setup can drive the move, the following notes will explain better both the scenarios.
Gianni
OIL: Day 3, market in breakoutLooking at this chart, I can see a great potential to complete a 2 weeks dump and pump scenario, which it can end up today with the OIL major red new on calendar at 10:30am NYT.
But let's analyse this market, trying to understand what and why specific moves can happen.
Starting from the last week, Monday was a dump day and Tuesday slightly expanded the range to the downside.
Most of the week just consolidated down low without achieving to push the price lower, and Friday it was the first time in the week where we could see the market pushing higher, breaking the high of day. It doesn't necessary mean that something was going to change in the market, but for sure now also long breakout traders are involved.
Friday as well, closed in breakout short, placing the new low of week.
Monday starts the new week and we could see the price retesting the LOW, is now important to understand the behaviour of price once the market reaches levels of interests and this double bottom formation into the previous LOW it may locks the low for the entire week.
Tuesday typically expands the range, which it happened and closed in breakout long.
Today, the market looks like coiling into the current high of day/how of week and I won't be surprise to see a parabolic move!
I currently have a better long thesis pushing up back into the previous HOW, however, I cannot guess how the market will behave during the NY session.
I cannot exclude that price can break down starting a reversal process during Thursday and Friday.
For the long view I would like to see the market coiling into once of these level marked
For the short view I would like to see a market breaking down, pumping back up into the HOD during NY session for a short scalp trade.
I will update the post during the day :)
Have a good trade and for any question feel free to ask!
Nwc analysis Nwc usdt analysis
Time frame daily
Price has hit to green line
So, I guess decrease 20%
00 ready for another quick pump or leg?I think we are ready for a quick pump and dump.
Yellow bar is POC
Red is VAH
Purple line is VWAP
Possible we pump to above 12 cents AKA 2X
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
GOLD: First green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: this is my main scenario at the moment, but let's review the current template to have a better understanding!
Monday triggered weekly breakout traders, placing a higher high on top of the high of the week, before starting dumping down into the previous opening range high (which is Monday's high of day)
Tuesday, the market mostly consolidated into the current low of week, attempting to push lower, failing and closing as a first greed day.
Today, the high of day and other time frames are triggered in the market, with major red new at 10am NYT this market can keep going parabolic, or eventually starting a 2/3 days of dump and pump to complete by the end of the next week the weekly dump and pump template.
Short: right now, a part for a potential 3 session scalp, I do not see any further down move for the day, it does not mean that during the week it won't build a short template. For better clarification, I will be updating this post in a daily basis.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
XRP | ALTCOINS | What Happens AFTER the PUMP?BINANCE:XRPUSDT
I'm a notorious hater of XRP; BUT I will admit to still trading it from time to time. I bought in at about 62c, and saw the price at $1,3 yesterday - pity I didn't sell. However, I definitely will now 😂
XRP has one, and only one trading pattern - pump and dump . The pump happens over 2-3 days, and ten the dump starts lasting 3-5 weeks. THE WORST THING you could do, is buy at the climax of the pump. This is because we KNOW how LONG it takes for Cripple to reclaim previous highs.
If you haven't already, I wouldn't look to buy here. There are other altcoins with much better upside potential and who move much better than XRP such as FET, RUNE, DOGE to name a few.
More on that here:
HyveHyve usdt analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio >2.5
First target 0.016
Final target 0.55 👈👈👈
Be patient
SILVER: First green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: This is currently my primary view, Monday placed the opening range of the week, dumping down into the previous LOW, closing as well out of balance. Tuesday consolidated below the LOW, until it started breaking higher at the end of the day, placing a peak formation low in Asia session of Wed, which printed as well a higher high into the Tue high of day. Potentially this market is staring now the frontside move, and in this specific moment, the low of Asia, or closing price are the level I will be looking for a buy low, if a setup is presented after 8:30am CPI news release.
Short: I'm not really interested at the moment in shorting this market, however, the current high of Asia can be a level of reaction for a short scalp
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
GBPJPY: Day 3 breakout traders long!Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2 ✅
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout ✅
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: this is currently my main thesis at the moment, the market itself is still inside the previous weekly range, but in the new week is pumping higher making constantly higher highs and higher lows. Day 3 breakout traders long is a signal that depending on the template can explode in the direction of the trend or reversal. However, yesterday the market closed out of balance and today it can still keep going higher targeting the previous HOW, completing then 2 weeks of dump and pump template. Today, Asia placed a higher high into the yesterday HOD and is currently retesting the most recent low. FOMC and other news are in schedule for the day, but if the price will consolidated around the current level, I would be willing to take this long opportunity for 100+ pip.
Short: at the moment I'm not interested in the short scenario, unless the market will pump back up into the closing price of yesterday, consolidating for a short trade opportunity which I will consider only a scalp, eventually back into the current LOD.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Dogecoin Just Barked ,Thanks to Elon & Trump’s crypto magicMusk & Trump: Dogecoin’s New Favorite Hoomans?
In a landscape where cryptocurrency trends often intersect with political drama, both Bitcoin and Dogecoin have seen notable price movements leading up to the US presidential election. Bitcoin has rallied to within 5% of its all time high, while Dogecoin, defying the general altcoin downturn, surged almost 12%. This surge followed Elon Musk’s endorsement and the coin’s growing association with Donald Trump’s campaign.
Dogecoin’s Rise and the Musk Trump Link
Bitcoin’s upward trend is mainly driven by technical factors and larger economic conditions. On the other hand, Dogecoin’s momentum can be traced to its ties with Elon Musk and Donald Trump. After Musk’s appearance at a Trump rally in New York, Dogecoin’s price jumped by 16%, hitting $0.167 and marking the highest percentage gain among the top 100 cryptocurrencies for that day. Musk, known for his strong support of DOGE, proposed a “Department of Government Efficiency”—cleverly abbreviated as D.O.G.E . making the coin a playful symbol for Trump’s campaign goal of reducing government spending.
Musk’s impact on Dogecoin is well-documented, particularly during the 2021 bull market when he frequently mentioned it on Twitter. Recently, he fueled further excitement by tweeting a meme of himself with a DOGE avatar, invigorating Dogecoin’s community. Paul Howard, a senior director at crypto trading firm Wincent, stated, “DOGE is now closely connected to the US presidential race due to Musk’s endorsement and his presence at Trump’s rallies.”
Prediction Markets, Dogecoin & Trump’s Chances
Dogecoin’s rise isn’t happening in isolation. The correlation between Trump’s campaign progress and Dogecoin’s price growth has been magnified by prediction markets favoring Trump’s chances in the election. On Polymarket, blockchain-based odds for Trump’s victory have risen from 61% to nearly 66% in the last week. This Dogecoin-Trump link, strengthened by Musk’s involvement, brings a speculative edge to both the meme coin and Trump’s campaign, both driven by their nontraditional popularity and social media narratives.
As Trump’s odds improve, some believe Dogecoin could keep gaining attention if Musk’s D.O.G.E. proposal picks up support. Although the department idea is only theoretical, it has resonated with both Musk and Trump supporters, injecting a novel and ironic rallying point into the 2024 campaign.
Market Reactions and Future Implications
Dogecoin’s recent rally shows how influential prominent endorsements can be, even amid a sluggish altcoin market. Once considered a “joke currency,” DOGE now has serious investors betting on Musk’s ongoing support to maintain its relevance. While it remains well below its peak of $0.7 in 2021, Dogecoin’s current five-month high and unique position in the political limelight could attract more attention leading up to Election Day.
For Bitcoin, the focus is on its tendency to rally after elections, as new market entrants often surge in during these periods. If BTC’s current “bullish setup” resembles late 2020’s conditions, as Sigel suggests, it may reflect crypto’s changing role during political transitions and heightened speculation.
Overall, the intertwining of political narratives with cryptocurrency prices signals a noticeable market shift. While Bitcoin remains relatively stable, Dogecoin’s speculative value fluctuates with the influence of key figures. Whether gains are driven by Trump, Musk, or broader market forces is uncertain, but one thing is clear: in the unpredictable world of crypto, politics and social popularity have become key factors in shaping market dynamics.
OIL: Three days breakout long on the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout ✅
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: that's my primary thesis, let's analyse the current market condition.
- Monday opened with a huge gap breaking through the previous low of week, establishing as well the high low of the new week (opening range).
- Tuesday, it almost consolidated the full day, not really interesting in terms of trading activity.
- Wednesday, the market performed the first breakout of the week, breaking the HOW, triggering long traders in the market and closing out of balance (an interesting signal)
- Thursday closed again out of balance, long traders are potentially driving this move.
- Today, Friday, the market has good chances to go reaching and targeting the closing price of last Friday, why ? because traders shorting the beginning of the week are still in profit and stops are placed above that level. After PMI 10am, if the market will setup for a buy low opportunity around the current level (yesterday HOD or London low), I will be willing to take this trade.
Short: at the moment not really into this scenario, but however, the market could retest the current high of day, failing for a reversal, day 3 longs in the market it can reverse for major move, but I repeat, the current setup is potentially long!
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
