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Pumpanddump

SIVB: A Cautionary Tale for Investors Following Stock BloggersAfter SVB has failed, which has raised concerns about the stability of US banks, as recent news reports indicate, I have questions about the reliability of stock bloggers/vloggers. Especially those telling you about “the best growth stock to buy right now”, “this stock is down by 50%, is it a buy now?” First, I would like to remember these four key events marked in the chart: 1. On March 16, 2022, after the war in Ukraine had begun in February, the fears of rising inflation led the Fed to start hiking federal funds benchmark rate by 25 basis points for the first time since 2018. While FOMC stated that “The implications for the U.S. economy are highly uncertain, but in the near term the invasion and related events are likely to create additional upward pressure on inflation and weigh on economic activity.” 2. Additionally, on 13 June, 2022, S&P 500 slipped into the bear market territory by dropping more than 21% from its all-time record on 3 January, 2022. 3. On July 5, the spread between the 10-Year/2-Year US government bonds yield breached the negative area (until present), signaling to a potential recession. 4. Finally, on February 3, 2023, nonfarm payroll employment rose by 517,000 in January 2023, smashing the expectation of 185,000, and indicating the persistence of inflation as well as the possibility of rate hikes for longer periods. Beyond that, the unrealized losses of the total available for sale securities – which include T-bills and mortgage-backed securities – has nearly doubled during 2022. SVB reported unrealized losses for AFS securities of $2.533 billion as of December 31, 2022, comparing to $1.303 billion at March 31, 2022, with total assets of $220.355 and $211.793 billion respectively. Some of these losses are attributed to the tumbling bond market. Along that way, SIVB has tumbled so heavily. From my point of view, with my little experience, these losses of SIVB would have not made any buying opportunity, taking into account the previous events and the bank business model. However, many stock bloggers published so many articles advising to buy SIVB as, for example, “one the best growth stocks”, “safest banking stock”, “it is time to buy the dip” and so on, with a deep confidence in the management of the bank and its businesses. Eventually, SIVB trading is halted and “pending the release of material news.” No one knows now what is coming after. The question is now for those well-known stock bloggers, how did you not see that coming and why are you giving such advice of buying growth stocks in the middle of the rising recession likelihood environment at the first place? One answer that they might give you is that this advice for investors who seek to hold the stocks for 3 to 5 years or more, year after a year. Stock bloggers won’t stop publishing articles about “the best growth stock to buy right now” even if the great depression itself is back. So, back to the best advice of all time, do your own research and take nobody’s word for your investment decisions – especially those bloggers. If you are unable to do your research properly, avoid making investment decisions based on general ideas and do not buy or sell any stocks without sufficient information.
SEducation
by SamerHa
TSLA Kangaroo Market 3/1VIP Day for TSLA *DUMP & PUMP or PUMP & DUMP... Manipulation is Strong at these levels This Consolidation will end soon leading to continuation break-out or distribution Bullish Target $221.5 + Close above $224 will show Buyer Commitment Bearish Target: Close below $197 *POC My Patterns & Targets are on Chart Detailed Insight from: 2/28 TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see "Pump & Dump" -Final UTAD and Possible Continuation through Wednesday with Distribution. ****TSLA is BULLISH - do not mistake my bearish insights as a short confirmation *Daily Chart is very Bullish (The best moves keep going in the same direction) I Technical/Trend/Patterns: 200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220-$224 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 (MACRO-2-3 weeks) --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit if a new High is made (speculation) -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is low -contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish ) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement ) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
7
TESLA BUY the Rumor Sell the FactTESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday. Technicals/Indicators/Patterns: $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends (Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/Bearish (Long-Term Bullish) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap (0.618 retracement) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
2
XRP | Unlocking the Secret Bonus LevelWelcome XRP friends! Wondering where we're going? Here are some things to consider : As we come out of our US Thanksgiving Day food comas, we're looking at some decent gains on the most recent run BUT, you're asking if this is it? Honestly, I think it still has legs for the 0.45 area where we find resistance at the 200 EMA Look at the fork and see if it makes sense to go there, I think the Fibonacci's all suggest it's possible. Remember, XRP ALWAYS pumps before mad dumps and there's still a ton of overhead selling pressure if you look at the VPFR, Look at all the volume that went into the 0.50+ range before the most recent selloff. Check out recent statements by Ripple CTO regarding ETH looking more and more centralized as a result of much of the network relying on AWS servers. What a comedy show and Vitalik looks more tarded with each passing day. Bitty is also having plenty of negative light being cast, I can't see us NOT having more down. Anyway, see you at the bottom . . eventually
by FudBox
11
Doge coin .... Bart pattern The Bart Pattern is a meme way to describe a consolidation phase of the market whether it is the stock market or crypto market. It is a trading jargon particular to the chart technical analysis. There are many other names that refer to Bart Pattern including Bart Simpson Pattern, Bart Formation, Just Bart, Bart-ish Consolidation, or Bart Correction. The shape of consolidation resembles Bart’s hairstyle. Why Bart !!!! In the Simpson’s cartoon, Bart is a failure in school but a rebellious kid with the skill to prank others. These kinds of characteristics give a Bart Pattern a meme spirit with an idea that you got a prank! The positive Bart Pattern is the head with the correct position. This kind of pattern is lacking the volume to push the price upward. It then drops significantly due to a lack of volume trading. The negative Bart Pattern is the upside-down head. This kind of pattern is when the market sells sharply but realizes that the price is too cheap with sudden buyback to shoot up the price more than before. The negative Bart Pattern is the upside-down head. This kind of pattern is when the market sells sharply but realizes that the price is too cheap with sudden buyback to shoot up the price more than before.
by Baharmostofi
4
AMB : THE COIN THAT CAN DO 400% INCREASE PUMPThis update is not a normal trend update, and even not for those trading depending on short-term or levels trading. We did start last time to scan pump coins, and which coins have the most chance to enter into the new pump. We found out that AMB has a very huge chance to enter into a new increase that can bring AMB to 400% or above. There is no guarantee for this, but always interesting to find coins that have the most possible chance to enter into the pump trend. Coming time we will follow AMB, and see if that whale increase will come. Depending on our pump coins study, shows that not all pump coins go directly, but we found a pattern where we see which coins can have the highest chance to go, and AMB is one of these. It's good and nice to see if this coin can make the coming time a 400% or more increase.
Long
by Goldenbreakout
6
Hard fork and death wishes for LunaLFG has announced that a hard fork will happen and this hard fork my cause the price to pump up as people assume the volatility and the price would continue go upwards. This is a trap and the this price move to the upside will be followed by a mass sell off from investors taking profits. This may further harm investors. Luna has massive inflation and zero belief which has caused the legal team of Luna to remove themselves from the project. This further means that the project cannot double its market cap and continue to the upside as the believe only causes massive sell off and with the inflation makes it next to impossible for the market cap to double. Another problem is the illiquidity of the recourses in LFG recourses as they used their most liquid recourses to keep the stablecoin UST alive where as other recourses as staked in for example AVAX. LFG therefore does not have enough recourses to keep the sinking ship a float. In the next coming days would the airdrop of the new Luna cause a short increased belief on both coins followed by the same price movement as showed in case 1 and 2 in the chart. In the regulatory future may also the SEC increase regulations on stablecoins which further gives people less of an incentive to invest in Terra/Luna.
Short
by vf_investment
USDJPY: A New Crypto Pump Coin 🚀'It looks like buyers are making a play and solidifying that break above 140.00. There is plenty of upside room to roam for the pair with the next key resistance region being closer to the psychological level near 145.00. As much as Japanese officials are trying to jawbone to slow down the pace of the yen decline, it is nothing more than a speed bump still at this stage. With markets still sticking with the narrative of a more aggressive Fed and Treasury yields keeping the faith (10-year yields are up 4 bps to 3.23% today), the path of least resistance is still for a move higher in USD/JPY.' - ForexLive Article The USDJPY pump has been incredible to watch, with some referring to it as a crypto coin pump 😂. We have two options on how to trade it successfully: 1) We either wait for a pullback to sweep liquidity from the trendline to buy into the highs OR 2) We wait for the highs to be taken to sell down into the trendline liquidity. Those are my options, for now, we must sit on our hands because price is not in a desired location to trade. 🚀Thanks for your BOOSTS and support🚀 💬Send your comments and questions below, I'll be glad to talk to you💬
by AlkalineFX
16