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Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment. These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices. 📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000 Entry: $3,025 (already opened) Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels. Why This Short Trade Makes Sense: 1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience. A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices. 2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts. Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold. 3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times. If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon. 📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss 🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level) 🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone) 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Entry: $3,025 Target: at least $3,000 RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade. 🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade ⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens: If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold. ⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase: Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher. 📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high. 🟢 Plan: Short at $3,025 is active. Target: Below $3,000. Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
3
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-31, for a premium of approximately $5.40. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:IBMLong
by TopgOptions
BUY QUBT PUTS NOWWWW!!!!The quantum computing hype is real. Incredible short term gains and incredible mid to long term risk. Companies such as NASDAQ:RGTI and NYSE:IONQ have promising technological/industrial prospects that justify the excitement but NASDAQ:QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. is not one of those companies. They are not a quantum computing company as the name suggests. The same entity has changed their "business model" multiple times with each coming trend to no success. Before quantum computing they were involved with beverage distribution as "Innovative Beverage Group Holding, Inc.", selling printer ink, and they made a brief attempt at AI. Notes : - Iceberg Research discovered that the foundry Quantum Computing Inc. listed on their website and cited in a press release was actually just a small office building clearly incapable of producing TFLN wafers (or any sort of mass production for that matter). "In September 2023, QUBT told investors that the location for its “new facility is on five acres within the extensive 320-acre research park hosted by ASU”. However, the entire entire 2050 building is barely more than an acre, let alone Suite 107 in the building. At that time, production was supposed to start in the first half of 2024." I encourage you to read the full report (link below). - QUBT's revenue for 2024 was only $300K. Their market cap is currently $1.5 Billion. Technical Analysis While the fundamental analysis was enough to convince me to enter a put position, the TA is also promising. The "pump" caused by recent quantum computing hype is not the only pump and dump in QUBTs recent history. There are two very similar patters that have occurred since Jan 2018. Interestingly, the 50 SMA crossing above the 200 SMA on the weekly timeframe has signaled the peak of both movements. As for the current movement, the SMAs are expected to cross by next week at the latest. As you can see in the chart, the cross (and peak) are followed by a drastic rejection and then a retracement to the 38.2 fib level. As of today, price is currently between the 50 and 38.2 retracement levels. In the short term, it is possible that price will enter the volume gap created on 08 Jan and potentially fill up to $16.25. This break above the 38.2 fib level will be of key interest to anyone seeking entry into a short or put position. As you can see in the 2021 movement, price did indeed break above the level, fell short of retesting highs, and initiated a reversal and 78% drop. Only after this did QUBT retest and reject off of the 38.2 fib level and proceed to drop another 86%. iceberg-research.com www.globenewswire.com
NASDAQ:QUBTShort
by leexm
3