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Weekend BTC Hedge - use PUT spread!Trend reversal or correction? Over time, the situation in the bitcoin market should become more clear-cut. However, it is now possible to buy a hedge against a price decline with the PUT SPREAD. Flash Idea: To reduce the amount of risk, we choose the nearest expiration date of September 3. After that, we buy a 47 000 PUT option (we have to pay an estimated premium of $19 for a minimum transaction fee of 0.01BTC), and to finance this trade, we might sell two PUT 44 000 options (each with an estimated premium of $9). This would hedge our last flush idea of BTC rising to September 24 for a week. Risks: As the idea is to sell two PUT options at 44 000, after the price crosses 41 100 marks, the possibility of a loss arises.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DeltaTheta_Research
1
Nifty Possible BreakdownYou can clearly see a divergence in RSI and Nifty chart. So anytime selling can come, I advice that to be on the safer side, the moment a 15 min candle closes below the ORB range a put option can be considered to buy or an call option can be considered to sell. But for more aggressive traders if nifty breaks the yellow trend line you can initiate a trade and we can see the levels of 16575 to 16600. But keep i min that the resistance on 1664 is very strong and market has previously seen reversal from this level and it can again show a reversal so let this level pass. . . . . . . . . . . . . *Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line , option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by vashishthviraaj
1
MRNA Low Risk Short PositionMRNA is hillariously overbought, with stochastics, EMA's, bollingerbands, MACD, and RSI on the daily chart all showing prime conditions for a short position. Here's the chart showing those indicators: I am going to be watching this on Monday and throughout the week, looking for a short position entrance. I played it on Tuesday for a nice $50/ share short with similar technical indicators. Hoping to duplicate that again this week. Might go debit, might go credit, not entirely sure how I'll play this yet. IVR is somewhat high for a credit trade, and since they have earnings coming up, I imagine that will continue to increase. For that reason, a debit trade might be the winner here. That said, if IVR collapses, that will hurt my trade. Still formulating the exact plan, but I am going to play MRNA short in some capacity. I am anticipating a retracement to the $300.00 / level in the short term at $250.00 in the next few months.
NASDAQ:MRNAShort
by PureDelta
5
NVDA Crash Coming? Big Sell Opportunity? 600 incoming??Ive been looking into two stocks recently, NVDA and SPY, and they both look extremely overbought. I mention SPY only because NVDA is apart of the S & P 500, Ill upload my SPY short analysis soon. However if you look into the weekly chart on the left it has broken out of an of what appears to be an already overbought channel. This channel dates back to 2018, where the MFI indicated overbought before a major dip under the 200 MA. Looking at where its at now, its above the channel where it was deemed to be oversold in 2018. Looking at the daily chart on the right NVDA has been riding up the Bollinger Bands for the past month at an almost unsustainable rate causing the bands to have a range from $610 to $770. This is dangerous for the stock so all traders should trade with caution. the MFI has just flipped downward which shows the money flow is starting to decrease, as well as the stoch RSI. The stock is also getting far from its 50 MA which is at $635 at the time of writing. Lastly looking at the fib retracement have broken past the 1.618 level. From 540 in May it has went straight up breaking threw 7 levels only retesting the .786 level at $625. Not to mention its up over 100% over the past year and even more since the corona crash. I predict the 1.618 level wont hold for long and we should see a $650 NVDA in the near future, that is where we topped on April 15th, the 1 level on the fib retreacement, and around where the 50 MA should be soon. If it doesnt hold strong on that level we should be retesting the .786 level where it showed strong support flipped resistance before breaking through. If it doesnt hold around the 625 area then it appears the strongest level of support is the .5 level around 593. This could take a few weeks to develop. Trade with caution!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by anamaly
20
AMC Resistance Battle!!Hello Community! When looking at the 2hr TF, AMC has made a very strong bullish move since today's open. It is currently at a major resistance which can be seen in the chart. We need to end the day above this line to continue the bullish momentum. Typically once S/R is broken decisively the market will usually retest the S/R zone before continuing in the direction of the breakout. Let's see if this plays out to be a massive fake-out or if this is the prime area to short. Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and comment. It'll be greatly appreciated! This is not financial advice. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect! Simplicity Wins
NYSE:AMC
by rnaofs
2
Prepared for S&P500 correction with Buying PUT optionI've closed every other position, staying in cash and playing for SPX correction because: 1/ SP500 RSI falling down 2/ Strong trendline broken 3/ Selling Volume increased My strategy is simple: BUY SPY Jun30' 415 PUT for 3.85db, because VIX is realive low SIZING: only a little of my CAP is used for this binary play. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing ABOVE the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 50% of position. Take profit strategy: selling about ~38cr (x10). Of course I'll not wait until expiry...! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by TanukiTrade
2
LESLIE'S Puts and Sales Leslie's is a retail company who has recently been abused with an overload of puts and insider selling. Insiders have sold an estimated $425840216 of shares with some key individuals such as the CEO selling 20% and 24% of his shares. Common theme is most insiders sold 20-24% of there holdings. There as been decreases in calls and major increases in put options. Marketbeat states that Traders acquired 12,669 put options which is a 6500% increase. The company has recently beaten some earnings forecasts such as its EPS and revenue. Note. Leslies is currently in a channel between 50 day SMA and support level and the stock is dominated by Institutions ownership with very little retail ownership.
NASDAQ:LESLShort
by Mikey_Scali
1
RBLX dipped back into the channelI am into RBLX because my kid keeps asking me to buy him coins in the game. I figured I could help him earn some coins (lol). When institutional investors started buzzing about it more after it's first earnings, I had a hunch it would soar. Well it happened and now it's cool down time as indicated by lower volume. I think that price will retrace to about $96 before dropping more. I am a novice charting queen aiming to be right. This 4hr view shows the highlights, but drilling down to the 1hr chart may help you see a more familiar to determine your entry and exit strategies. Once more price action takes place, I hope to see when RBLX will rise again (summer 2021).
NYSE:RBLXShort
by mommymiles
3
YTEN OPTIONS 3.7M FLOAT / INSIDERS BUYING/ 1/2 OF ENTERPRISE VALAll, I highly suggest buying call options here. Just get ones further out and pay the premium. If you are unsure just buy a equal amount of PUTS with it then drop the opposing side once dropping. This has huge potential here. If you took enterprise valuation at face value this stock has 60% upside. Conservatively speaking lets even say 30%. With call options clearly that 30% is about 200% if hit correctly. See below for more details. Personally going with a combination of 1&3 due to market being horrible etc. Enterprise Valuation: 0.397 (1.0 being at value, over 1.0 overvalued, under 1.0 being undervalued) (so WAY undervalued right now) Float: 3.77M Short Float: 0.5% (literally none) Short Growth: -58% (shorts leaving the stock probably noticing the chart etc and undervalued) CASH TO DEBT RATIO: 6.2 (THATS really good) Option Method 1 1) Double Call to Put Ratio 2) Release Puts or Calls once direction is established Option Method 2 1) Long call option heavy buy 2) Set stop loss or scale in if it drops (next drop isnt too far) Option Method 3 1) Long call option light buy 2) Scale in once trend breaks
YLong
by DigitalData
Avoid Unprofitable Options ! - GME ExampleHello everyone, this is an example of how to detect unprofitable options BEFORE you take the trade , to better your chances. We are all doing this (trading) for our own personal reasons, so we need to make sure we succeed. I see many people want to SHORT GME, some other people suggest they buy PUT options on GME ---> This is a MISTAKE! Because those options are considered not probable to generate money. In this example of GME (notice this is LOG CHART), you can buy a relative short-term put option for 41 days, but as you can see, to make 2 points of your risk you need the price to crash to a price of $50 within 41 days. Why is it not profitable? It costs 34.3, so you need the price to move down 34.3 dollars to be break-even, then another 34.3 dollars to 1 point of profit, and another 34.3 dollars to make 2 points of profits. All this within 41 days... price could stay flat on a range of 160-255 and only then crash... Assume that you fantasize about a 3 point profit on this PUT option, do you see the purple line? this is where the price needs to get so this fantasy will be true. HIGHLY UNLIKELY to happen. So just avoid it! Now, we will check the long-term option, maybe it gives us better results... If we look at the long-term put option for 97 days, to make 2 points of profit you need the price to crash to 6!!! So just avoid it! It is fair to say though, that the longer-term put option, if someone thinks that a crash will happen testing the price of 45 within the next 3 months, he has a play of 1 to 1, that could be profitable. But you can clearly see, that once you get that 1 to 1, you better snatch it and grab it because you are probably not going to get more $$$ from this trade. Currently, the options on GME are not worth it (unprofitable), because the implied volatility is very high (150%+), they are very expensive.
NYSE:GME
by ZoharCho
9
ROKU still bearish to 240...Yes... I know... ROKU has been running this week but guess what, it is still in the massive downward channel! ROKU bounced heavy off the long term trendline support and is now at a very interesting spot...which happens to be the downward trendline resistance! This will be a great short opportunity into tomorrow if ROKU rejects resistance at ~338 (.5 fib) My downside targets will be: PT1: 304.34 PT2: 282.94 PT3: 241.03 (on break of long term trendline support) In the unlikely event that I am wrong and ROKU continues its bullish run and breaks resistance... Upside targets will be: PT1: 352.58 PT2: 373.80 PT3: 400 (Psychological resistance) Happy trading!
NASDAQ:ROKUShort
by stockmankam