Short AMDI see a retest of 19.18 on the fib chart. The bottom bollinger band is showing 19.59 on the one hour chart. Right now, the bollinger bands are separating giving us a sign that it could drop. With the markets with high volitily, and the FED speaking Wednesday I would be careful how you play this one.
1. Target 19.59
Put
FIT Put PossibilitiesTRADE TIMELINE 12/10 - 12/14
12/08 - POSSIBLE OPTION PLAY heavy watch
FIT 12/14 4.50 PUT dip buy 0.02 (0.04)
IV 74.38% Volume 384 Open Interest 333
----->"Throw a couple bucks at it" purely gamble play
This optionable stock moves like dry grass wildfires....
Why this play?
NOTE - Everything below the green diagonal boxed line is profit.
MACD - This indicator is opening south after a prior rejection
NEWS - Of course, sell the news, buy the rumors...and this case may be no less different, it will be a gamble play
RSI - hovering but moving south, indicating to me that this stock is not done selling off
EFI - Very stale movement, almost horizontal; not where this indicator wants to be
EMA - These 10 and 20 day EMAs have been rejected in the past, hard! (Sept 19-21) This pattern from the past tells me that history will repeat itself, especially since FITBIT has been trying hard to stay relevent and has been unable to do so (technology, competition, other brands establishing their footing in this space).
*Let's see what happens*
DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. These are merely my thoughts and possible moves; i enjoy watching these stocks validate my process or slap me across the face lol. If you are in need of professional assistance with your trades, don't look here. I am not that guy.
BAC i missed this put opportunity!!TRADE TIMELINE 12/01 - 12/14
I wanted to share this missed put play i charted. it was on my radar, i simply was looking elsewhere. Time to find another one.
12/01 POSSIBLE OPTION PLAY
BAC 12/14 26.50 PUT 0.12
IV 32.58% Volume 41 Open Interest 726
The market is giving away put money, and won't stop....
At the time of this publishing, 12/11/2018 2:55PM, this option is now worth 1.92 !!!!!
As we all know, $0.12 = $12.00 and $1.92 = $192
GE No Floor in SightTrade Timeframe - 12/10 - Jan 04
12/7 - POTENTIAL OPTIONS PLAY
GE 01/04 $6.00 PUT dip buy $0.06 ($0.15)
IV 71.58% Volume 99 Open Interest 202
Why?
Regarding the dip buy - There is opportunity to get this option at a discount due to mid-day movement and slight optimism as we saw nov 28 - dec 3, but then the option fell back into profit PUT levels. Idea is to "set it and forget it" for the dip buy. $6.45 is the next realistic floor. News also is negative in general.
MACD - Already crested north in the last several days, and is now on the verge to move south
EFI - Momentum has shifted dramatically, and its movement is turning south, showing pessimism
RSI - Although this is an oversold stock, there is nothing in the near future to hold up the RSI
EMA - There is nothing that shows a reversal, and resulting Volume is consistently in "Sell" mode
*Let's see what happens!*
*DISCLAIMER* - I am not a professional trader or stock broker. These are merely my thoughts typed out. If you need professional help with your trades, look elsewhere, not here. Good luck and happy trading.
$ICC Put limit order placed. #ichimokukinkohyo #timetheory $ICC looks bearish here looking at the 1D and 240m time frames. PUT order placed. See chart for details.
FIT and seemingly woes to come11/13 - POSSIBLE PLAY
FIT 11/16 $5.50 PUT 0.11 IV 87.61%
Volume 434 Open Interest 1,627
Add to this the lawsuit, may help push the PUT along
AAPL your turn to fumble??11/13 POSSIBLE PLAY
AAPL 11/16 $175.00 PUT 0.13 IV 53.41%
*what's scary is the 200EMA is lurking just below*
however grim news out of Japan RE: AAPL may play here and drive the option to a whole nuther level south!!
*Let's see what happens*
*DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. I do this playing around with my own money. Seek professional brokerage help for all your needs.*
Potential 10% drop in RDS.ALast 2 weekly forecasts were reached. Now a drop in price is suggested on the monthly. Option pricing isn't great based on the suggested duration and leaves a small margin for error. Could be a play to buy puts if earnings estimates miss tomorrow.
Bullish Trade of the Week Part Two EA credit spreadWell the Big Hands knew we were looking to get into SO this week so they took the market down and kept Utilities strong...I take full responsibility for this !! ;) ;)
No matter EA IVR % just posted 100 and the new Call of Duty will be in full swing come XMAS time 72d 100/95 p cr spread looking for 1.40
Tasty stats 65% POP 82% P50 theta .50 with a delta of 9.32
Bullish Trade of the Week selling put SNAPIf Pandora was a good candidate for a buyout then SNAP surely can be scooped by the big dogs in the Tech space . Selling a Dec21 6 put for .60 Tasty stats POP 57% P50 70% theta .48 Willing to take the shares at this price and sell calls against especially with current IVR at 91%
SNAP: Crackle & PoopA silly bet I made with my friend turned into an extremely profitable venture with SNAP down every week since July. Looking to buy more and continue to hold put options with $5 strike expiring Jan 2019. As long as there is no trend change on the weekly Ashi candles, I will continue to hold this to expiration.
$SPY $SPX $ES1! Another ATH this year - earnings season strong!I reviewed my previous SPY analysis and made a few crucial mistakes. Do not follow my previous spx, spy ideas.
I spent more time studying the charts, the VIX and the products inside S&P 500. I'm expecting another all time high this year before a larger correction.
Here is the chart and targets I'm quite confident with and will be playing. Follow along for updates.
I'm expecting the correction to start end of Nov or early Dec. I'm betting on 26-29 November.
Good luck!
PS. If you see my other SPY, SPX, ES Analysis on Trading View. Ignore it. I've closed older ideas.
PANIC - AMD Initiates Fibonacci Retracement Phase 2AMD -7.03% has formed a sharp downward triangle on the 1h chart (looks like the beginning of a Gartley). Lots of sell strength, only people buying are the ones who missed the pump and think they are buying the dip - BIG MISTAKE. Proof? Check out the Accumulation/Distribution , and you will find the beginning of a new peak, a new era if you will...
AMD -7.03% historically initiates a pump and dump ritual every decade or so. What is interesting this go around is that AMD -7.03% did not make it quite as high, which in my opinion is a good thing for the stock overall (shows that people's expectations for AMD -7.03% , although overblown, are factoring in irrational exuberance). If this thing follows the historical trend (confirmation bias has a tendency to instantiate the past) we could go down as much as half value from here, to around $15. I would like to see AMD -7.03% stabilize around the $20 mark, which would be a first for the stock, and a very healthy sign long-term.