MMM Breakdown Possibility3M has been in a strong downtrend that I believe is just a long winded pullback but we're not there quite yet, right now things look bad to me, both short and long leading clouds are bearish on shorter timeframes with the long leading cloud about to change over to bearish on the weekly.
Puts
#AVGO - PUT Opportunity#AVGO is at all time highs recently gapping up however if you pulled the FLOW on Unusual Whales yesterday the 13th you quickly saw that the FLOW was 73% bearish with extremely large PUTS and Sold Calls being placed against AVGO for this friday's experation played the $600 PUT and already mid way through the day am up 170%
Apple stock price is too high imoApple is trading at overbought territory but it does not look like it’ll fall much. It has the most bullish chart of them all. It’ll take alot to make this fall. You’ll see it trade in a small range to consolidate. Puts could work at these prices but remember to switch back to long near $167.50-170. $AAPL
Like and follow for more
Roblox will fall nextRoblox failed to breakout of $130 multiple times and dropped back under $120. It tried twice to recover above $120 and failed. It’s showing weakness and holding near the 50 day line. If $110 doesn’t hold then it will fall, which I believe it will very soon. Short any rips. Go long near 92. $RBLX
If you like this then follow and give me a like, thanks!
$T - Chart analysis Dec 6 - 10$T - December 5th, 2021.
If T gets over the 24-24.26 area, it's good for short-term calls. The concern, however, is resistance at 25 and 25.58. If it goes above and fails from the 24-24.26 area, it's a good short till the 22.22-22.55 area. Then further continuation is expected below that.
Overall, short bias on this one.
Let me know your thoughts!
PUTS ON LOCK for #BABASo as we have seen this week with the delisthing of DIDI i would encourage any trader looking to jump into Chinese stocks to proceed with caution or tread water very carefully as this seems to be exactly what Winnie the XI wants at this point the best plays we can do to make money on CCP plays is PUTS or at least for me that is how i will be proceeding i know it's hard to resist trying to time the bottom of a play but no one likes being a bag holder or get cut by a falling knife either.
AAPL Short Side: A longer term Short PlayI'm expecting the high beta stocks to experience greater risk exposure with an index drop down to 15,100 to 15,000. With that being said, I feel comfortable and confident that AAPL will reach the potential target areas before the end of the year. Target areas are 156.60 to 141.00.
DUK Weekly Options PlayDescription
DUK has been working this patter that looks a lot like a head and shoulders, missing some volume indications. If so, the neckline has been broken here at 97.
As always, most patterns are not confirmed until they are already over.
The break through 97 is the signal for the entry, and also the stop loss for the position.
Using long puts to leave the downside open.
The level of the VIX right now is my primary concern in opening long option positions. I consider all of my positions risky, and manage risk accordingly.
Long Put
Levels on Chart
SL > 97
PT : 86
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
1/21/2022 95P
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
The January dated put is due to the limited amount of expiration dates to choose from.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
11/29 | QQQ | Watchlist #1 QQQ -387
(Below 387 for puts)
Price targets: $383, $375
Technical Analysis: QQQs has been in a linear regression channel for the past year so under 387 will begin retesting the bottom of the channel
Rationale: With increased news of a new covid variant, if QQQs continue to sell off, the plan is to buy and hold a $380 put for a month's expiration 12/24
Very Concerning Chart for the S&P FuturesWe are seeing a new variant concerning many scientists emerging in South Africa.
My opinion is leaning towards that this could be something much bigger than what the market may initially shrug off. I expect a very red day tomorrow as the implications for this are massive with the supply chain crisis and the labor shortage.
Be safe!
Can the Market Sell Off? These Indicators Say Maybe...AMEX:SPY , CME_MINI:ES1!
I was surprised to see in the indicators lining up in this way. If you look at the previous times I've marked on the chart, we saw some pain following a 0 cross of the top indicator in addition to the action in the lower indicator.
I think people may feel caught off guard leading to some volatility but if this is the case, I would be surprised to see a dip lower than what we just experienced. Although that is very possible at these levels.
AAPL Looks Tough to Call But Resistance is ClearThe behemoth that is NASDAQ:AAPL is going to report earnings October 28th. Typically, most stocks experience a "pre-earnings run-up" with most of the gains in the options contracts being made before the earnings announcement. That is particularly true with tech companies.
With that in mind, the resistance level is going to come in around 153. That will be the level to watch post-earnings.
VZ short put, Nov 19VZ is into a level of tested demand
Sold 42 DTE, Nov 19, 11.59% AROI, 4.24% from underlying price
Yield at strike is a decent 4.78% which is way over the US10Y hurdle rate by 3x
It's pushing below the Feb 2021 spike low, but it seems to be very passive selling to me the past 6 months.
Lots of back filling and retracing to push lower. Like a robot is just refreshing the offer lower.
Trend on the daily is absolutely Down.
But it's into Previous demand and 53.40 level is where I see -1 sigma value where algos could step in to buy.
I don't mind being long VZ outright, but I like the idea of bidding for 52.50 even better.
Because if it goes to 51.55 I split the difference.
It's a down day into new lows and that's the best time to sell put premium, so I did.
D short put 70, 42 DTESold D 70 strike, 4.2% from underlying for 11.55% AROI
42 DTE.
Dividend at the strike is 3.6%
I'm not in weekly demand here to initiate the trade, which would be proximal at 70.
But It has found some support at the -1 sigma range level and going sideways.
And since this is a Theta decay, there's no telling how long it can stay sideways and expire a put.
I've passed on many opportunities to grab 9 to 12% and thought price could move lower, but it just went sideways for 2 months, and left good premium on the table.
Not great, but not terrible either.
I'm thinking it gets stuck sideways at the 72.75 support level.
The hourly has pushed up and found top of the local range at 75.
So maybe it goes sideways for a couple weeks without going down to test 70, which I fully think it will.
I doubt it can stay much below 70 for a long duration over about 2 days because the dividend would be over 2x what the US10Y yield is at that point.
And I don't think the US10Y gets over 1.7 without the Fed coming in to smash it back down artificially.
OHI Short Put Nov 19Sold OHI short put 42 DTE, Nov 19, 28 strike
5.72% from underlying price, 15.52% AROI
Assignment yield at strike is 9.57%, so I'd be happy with that.
Price is reacting to a zone where buyers have rallied from before. So I'm just at the Nov 2020 lows on strike.
I think about if I would've just bought OHI last Halloween and held it for 10% cash payout. I'd be right back to par today on capital value, but 10% more cash.
UGH, I regret not being more aggressive last year.
If OHI doesn't stick the landing below 28, then I'm happy with 15% AROI also and an extra 5%
Already have a bag of OHI in the Rollover IRA, but this is a taxable trade.
I like the high dividend yield, but with the whole Evergrande bullshit and Debt ceiling FUD, I am reluctant to take outright long positions, as is probably every fund manager in the world.
Overall, I think it's an asymmetric trade to the upside where I'm being paid 5% extra AROI to bid.