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Shorting MACY's into the earnings :) I am Shorting MACY's into the earnings via PUTS for mid March. Overall brick and mortar retail has NOT comeback yet and NYC is a ghost town. Macy's is the next JC Penny's, they are not there yet but are due for a pull back. Momentum and Volume have been no where in sight over the last week for this stock and its sitting at a 1 year high.. I am no genius but I would assume that its due for a fall. to $12's maybe even $10's if the market over reacts. I am betting against the trend here so I am taking a less risky approach by shorting via PUT contracts for mid march which will give the earnings a chance to sell off. I am operating under the assumption that because of my above points, that the earnings will be a missed target. I picked up some $16.50 PUT contracts for Mid March.
NYSE:MShort
by TheStockMarketSniper
1
SPY Correction! Bearish Volume DivergenceAMEX:SPY The chart shows a decrease in volume over the past 6 trading days as SPY has surged to ATH's. I think not only is the market due for a correction but SPY/QQQ are demonstrating similar charts. Today I will be looking to enter some 2/19 386 Puts today. I will be looking for a possible bounce in the 388 range and if that fails then I think we see lower. If we bounce at 388 and reclaim 390 I will be out. As a swing trade I would like to see us gravitate to the LVN at 385/384 range. *Past 4 days of volume show two bearish days that each have more volume than the two bullish day. Something to keep an eye on, will be watching today's volume.
AMEX:SPYShort
by DOpeTrades
2
Cisco Put?Company Profile: Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA. The listed name for CSCO is Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE). Financials (Comparison vs Microsoft) Competitors: Zoom, Microsoft, Amazon Web Services There are 7 things I compare when researching stocks. I make sure I find at least 2 strong competitors for the best analysis I can give! I only post 1 comparison for the sake of time. 1. Return on Investment Capital 2. Price to Book Ratio 3. Price to Earnings Ratio 4. Net Margin% 5. Return on Total Assets 6. Return on Equity 7. Earnings per Share 1. ROIC Company: Cisco 2020 22.84% 2021 21.33% Company: Microsoft 2020 23.56% 2021 26.05% 2. P/B Ratio Company: Cisco 2020 5.18 2021 4.30 Company: Microsoft 2020 13.02 2021 14.02 3. P/E Ratio Company: Cisco 2020 17.20 2021 15.76 Company: Microsoft 2020 35.31 2021 36.04 4. Net Margin % Company: Cisco 2020 22.75% 2021 18.22% Company: Microsoft 2020 30.96% 2021 35.90% 5. Return on Total Assets Company: Cisco 2020 11.64% 2021 11.16% Company: Microsoft 2020 15.06% 2021 17.48% 6. ROE Company: Cisco 2020 31.37% 2021 28.83% Company: Microsoft 2020 35.31% 2021 42.70% 7. Diluted EPS (Recent Two Quarters) Company: Cisco Q4 0.62 Q1 0.51 Company: Microsoft Q1 1.82 Q2 2.03 Fundamental Analysis To keep things simple, I like this stock for a PUT due to their market competitors. They are in competition with some other big dogs in the industry who have better financials than Cisco in my opinion. After looking at their financials the main thing I noticed in comparison with Zoom and Microsoft was the NET MARGIN%. Cisco ranged from 22.75% to 18.22% while Microsoft (15.06 %to 17.48%). These were yearly comparisons and it tells me that Cisco isn't profiting as much as they could be compared to other market leaders. Technical Analysis Stochastic RSI: White line is above the green line which means price is overbought while also being in a resistance zone. Fibonnaci: Ranged from the potential "Current Resistance Zone" to the "New Support Zone". I'm looking for a retracement of the previous low being $43.72. I'm expecting a retracement of anywhere between 30% and lower. MacD Squatter: White line is still above the zero line but momentum is losing on smaller time frames. Current Price:$ After Hours $49.50 Strike Price: $45.37 and lower if lucky. Stop Loss: $55.11 Like, Follow, Agree/Disagree! Let's talk about it! - Amateur Robinhood Trader lol
NASDAQ:CSCOShort
by Redimere_91
WATCHLIST - WEEK OF 2/1 - 2/5QQQ broke the 20 day MA on Friday. Would love to see that level reclaimed for more upside in the market. Here are some levels I see for this week (note, these are intraday levels - not swing levels). Of course, this is just my opinion and I am not liable for your trading decisions. INO calls over 13.1 or 13.7 CRWD calls over 218.25 BYND puts under 177 JMIA puts under 54.3 If the market rallys this week then calls over 60 will work too PYPL puts under 232.6
NASDAQ:QQQ
by algrowithm
4
Short Selling Put OptionsI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. Short Selling Put Options When short selling put options, a question people ask me is, “Okay, Markus, how do you decide what strike price do you want to sell and whether there’s enough premium in there?” I made a put options calculator called “The Wheel Calculator” that I gave away as part of my recent class on selling put options (Theta Kings) that helps me determine just that. This calculator is now also integrated within The PowerX Optimizer Software as well. Using my put options calculator, I can enter a few different figures and it quickly lets me know if this stock makes sense to sell put options on. I started a small account with $25,380, and have continued to grow it substantially. This was all done by selling put premium using my handy put options calculator! So let’s take a look at a few examples using the airlines. Here’s how you can quickly compare if an option makes sense to sell. So United Airlines UAL , at the time of this is trading at $31.08/share. So I’m going to take a look at the April 24th expiration and the $20 strike price. I’m thinking maybe it would be a good idea to sell the $20 United Airlines UAL put option. So now that I have the strike selected that I would like to sell put options on, let’s take a look at the premium these options have. This will let us know if this trade actually makes sense. Right now, the Bid/Ask is $0.74 over $0.87. So I probably can get $0.80 for selling this option. This is all I need to enter in my spreadsheet, along with the expiration. With the needed inputs entered into my handy dandy put options calculator it tells me, “United Airlines can drop 36% and you’ll still be okay.” It has to drop 36% before we get in trouble. I think that’s pretty good odds in my opinion. The cool thing is that it also says that based on my account size, I should buy 17 options, and I would collect $1,320 in premium. So this means that per day I would get $110 in premium. That’s not bad at all if I can make $100 on just one position. And I like to have 4 to 5 positions in my account at any given time. So based on the number of positions I like to have, this means that you can make $400 to $500 per day collecting premium. I like this a lot because it means annualized I would make 87%! 87% is nothing to sneeze at, right? Short Selling Put Options — American Airlines So now let’s do this same thing with another airline, American Airlines AAL , and see how the numbers look. So like we did with UAL , I’m looking at what strike price in relation to where AAL is trading would it make sense to sell. For American Airlines AAL it looks like probably the $8 strike price would make sense right here. You always want to do it below the previously established low. So let’s take a look at American Airlines AAL . The price right now is $12.26. the options strike price, we said we’d probably have to look at is $8. Here we’re able to collect $0.35 per contract at the $8 strike price. And you see, I could actually, since American Airlines is so cheap, buy 41 options based on my account size. So 41 options and I would collect $1,444 in premium. This means I would get $120. That’s not bad at all. And you see, American Airlines AAL also can drop 35% and we would still be OK. We only get in trouble if American Airlines over the next 15 days drops more than 35%. Possible? Yes. This is why you should always be willing to own the stock. And this is why you want to make sure that you’re not getting in trouble. You need to adjust your position size based on your account. Here obviously, I don’t want to trade two airlines because if airlines are crashing, they probably all do. With that said, let’s take a look at Boeing AAL . Boeing Example I like trading Boeing. I'm looking at a Boeing AAL chart to see where might be a good level here to sell Boeing. Based on where AAL is trading at right now, it looks like $100 would be a good level to take a look at. Let’s first try a strike price of $100, shall we? For $100 we get probably a $1.55 right here, with Boeing AAL trading right now at $150. So if we were to sell the $100 put option on AAL , we are looking to make $1.55/contract. And you see, this means that Boeing AAL could drop 33%, so we’re good here. However, we can only buy three options. Why? Because Boeing AAL is really expensive. So if we would have to buy Boeing at $100, this is when it gets expensive, right? So you see, the strike prices here are much, much, much lower. This is where you see I would only trade three not to overextend myself. And that’s very important when you’re selling puts. You want to make sure that you’re not overextending yourself because otherwise, you’ll get margin calls. Margin calls are ugly. A margin call means that your broker tells you, “I want more money.” You want to avoid that at all costs! Because if you don’t have the money, you would have to sell the stock at a price that you don’t want. Usually, this is how you can wipe out an account. Anyhow, you see this is how we would only make $43 a day. Let me ask you, what would you rather make? $110 to $120 per day? Or $43 per day? I don’t know about you, but for me, these are better. So it’s very easy to quickly compare which options you should be trading when you’re selling puts. One of my favorite trading strategies right now is selling puts. This is what you have seen in the past few examples. My goal is to make $400 to $500 per day by doing so. The best days to sell puts is on a down day. On a down day, the VIX is usually shooting up and options premiums are higher. This is exactly what you’re looking for as a premium seller. For experienced options traders, selling put option premium in an environment like this can be a great way to consistently generate income, even if the stock doesn’t do exactly what you want. I hope this helps!
NASDAQ:UALEducation
by rockwelltrading
1