PYPL
The PayPal 90 Day Bitcoin ChallengeOne of the reasons most investors (I'm talking long term investors 3-5-10 years out) lose money is they have no Plan, no Strategy, and no boundaries. Many that start out with a plan and strategy get emotional during periods of volatility, such as this weekend, and tend to sell out at the wrong time, only to buy back at higher prices resulting in portfolio erosion.
The most important aspect of investing is having a plan, strategy and boundaries. So before we get into the challenge, lets take a look at the broader picture, set our broader targets, and then devise a plan to invest for the long haul.
As we tell our members, without a plan and strategy to execute, you are simply a ship on the ocean without a rudder and with no course or direction floating on the ocean to nowhere.
First we start with Target Levels and reasonable Time Frames:
IF you see someone calling for a 100k target and they are using a daily chart or even worse yet a 4 hour chart all I can say is run forest run. For 3-5-10 year time frames we look at no less than the weekly, but for purposes here we are using the monthly.
Starting with the broader trend line it is reasonable to see Bitcoin 100k over the next 2 years. Also reasonable to see 250k over the next 5 years IF the trend continues. I say IF because we have no idea of what the future beholds, but clearly the trend is higher, and we want to stick with the broader trend.
We are also likely in a broader 5th wave of the multi year market cycle, so maybe we exceed 100k in the next year, maybe we don't. I don't know, you don't know, the furus on TV don't know, but it is within reason for Bitcoin to hit 100k over the next several years, based on the overall trend.
Now we set a Plan:
Ohh golly gee, Goldbug is once again buying the highs. Yeah ok where are all the trolls that for two year critiqued my 13,500 purchase or the 4500 purchases not to mention a few others in between? Who wouldn't want to own Bitcoin at 13k now, or even the prior high at 19k? Those prices are Likely gone, I say likely because you never know.
What I want to do here is build up a position for the long term, and I don't give a crap what happens on the daily let alone 4 hour chart, I am thinking long term here. I also want to limit my exposure. I am not going to mortgage my house or blow up my credit cards to buy a position that may or may not work out. However I do have excess spending cash every week, you know that money I spend on Starbucks, going to dinner, buying stupid crap.
So my plan is to simply reduce my spending on crap, maybe it is only $50 a week in your case, maybe it is $500 a week, either way I am going to put half of my crap spending into the market here for the long term. So how do I do this? I form a strategy, and what is nice is PayPal has made it so easy to do now.
The Strategy:
My strategy is simple to start, so if you are new to Bitcoin and have been wanting to get in but are afraid to buy the highs, or simply want to increase a current position that you already have, or add another strategy to your others, this is a simple strategy using PayPal's easy access to buying Bitcoin.
I am going to buy $30 a day at the end of every day for the next 90 days regardless of price here. Not going to use any charts, not going to think about it, just simply going to buy ever day and will track how it does. After 90 days if I feel comfortable I will continue but we need to set boundaries otherwise we are just blindly buying.
Boundaries:
As long as Bitcoin remains under 60k I will continue to add. Above 60k I stop adding Bitcoin but continue to accumulate cash and sit. Once Bitcoin hits 100k or is close to it, I will trim out a percentage of my position. Above 60k, I will then only buy % pullbacks that are pre-determined.
Am I going to get rich doing this? Probably not. Am I going to build my wealth over the next 3-5-10 years implementing this simple plan and strategy? Well even if Bitcoin goes back to 10k, which is doubtful, I will have more money than if I spent it on useless bull crap that I do every day. So I am cutting into my discretionary spending which has a long term value of zero, and putting it into something I believe the value will go up.
PayPal:
PayPal makes buying Bitcoin easy and effortless. No longer do you have to go through all the crap we did pre-2019 to buy some Bitcoin. You can buy as little as $1.00, but with the fees, $25 is where I want to be. So if you can't do $25 a day, do it weekly, or monthly, or you adjust the strategy and boundaries to suit your style of investing.
For years we mentioned once mainstream is able to buy easily it will be a game changer. We are seeing the evolution before us, yet still people get overly excited because Bitcoin pulled back 20% in a day. Though they are long term, they get cold feet and blow out their entire portfolio many of them. Then when a Big pullback does not evolve, they are left buying at levels higher than they sold, and this leads to portfolio erosion.
For example you had 10 Bitcoin, saw a 10k pullback and blew out your position at 34k. Sure you have 340k in cash, but what if Bitcoin breaks higher from here and does not pullback to 24k? What if it pulls back and you get cold feet and stay in cash. Next thing you know Bitcoin is at 40k and you go from cold to hot and buy back in. Rutt Roo you can only buy 8.5 Bitcoin and you now eroded your portfolio 30%. Do this over and over you could ride the whole move up and miss out on some huge gains. Why? Because you had no discipline to stick with your long term plan.
Believe me this happens more often than you think. The sidelines of the trend are full of those attempting to time the market with their long term holdings and slowly eroding their portfolio. Why? Because they had no Plan or Strategy.
I had a plan and strategy for buying a new Harley Davidson Road Glide Ultra with the Stage 4 kit and upgraded sound system. I bought 1 Bitcoin at 4500 just for my new bike. Had I went out and bought the new bike on payments or cash, I left all that money on the table. My target is 60k, I will have enough to pay taxes on Capital gains, buy the bike and a little cash left over.
My point is I decided my long term goals are more important than my short term desires. Decide for yourself if your desire to spend on useless crap is more important than your long term goals? Cut this by 25% even 10% can put you on the path to making you wealthy in the long term. In an age of instant gratification it can be tough, so here is a good way to form a great habit and put you on the path to wealth. Takes approximately 66 days to form a habit if we do it for 90 days, hopefully those that take the challenge will continue.
Being successful in long term investing starts with having a Plan, strategy, and the discipline to stick with it. PayPal has made it so easy to do with Bitcoin and others, and that is why I am putting out the PayPal Bitcoin 90 day challenge . Join if you want, modify it to suit your means, tell your grandma, share with friends, and in 90 days we will check back in and see where we are at. I think most will be surprised, to say the least, at how a little modification to your daily spending, can result in long term gratification.
Mark the calendar March 20th to see how we do, and of course we will track this for our members.
The reason I am putting this out there is I continue to get the questions "where should I buy?" The first question is what is your goal! Long term goals start with a long term plan. IF you are long term stop watching the 4 hour charts, stop following these Furus shilling crap coins, buy quality, buy often, forget about price and focus on the broad term.
Thank you PayPal for making it easier to buy and sell than other sites out there. I am going to continue to accumulate as mentioned above for longer than 90 days, but if you can do it for 90 days, you likely develop a good habit that may not make you a Bitcoin Billionaire, but will put you on the path to being wealthy in the long term.
Also track your trading results, see if you beat the returns of DCA daily over the next 90 days. If not simplify your strategy!
PYPL Daily - Cup and Handle possibly formingPay attention to this on the daily throughout the week - cup and handle trying to form. Also this stock has been on an absolute rocket this year and nothing seems to be stopping it. Now, with the addition of $BTC to the Paypal platform, look for it to continue running.
No position as of now. Will look for LONG calls this coming week.
PayPal SHORT swing - PYPLPYPL stock is reaching BIG RESISTANCE around $253. It is a good opportunity to realize your profits before a possible correction. If you want to short, the target price for SHORT profit is $207. I recommend PayPal price around $200 as a good entry-level to BUY this stock if you want to hold it longer. A price of around $180 should be perfect to jump on the train with a bigger position.
PYPL LEVELS:
$253
$242
$207
$200
$180
12/23 WATCHLIST + MARKET OUTLOOK (Warning!)** THIS IS PURELY MY OPINION AND I AM NOT LIABLE FOR YOUR TRADING DECISIONS **
Very interesting day today where even though we GOT the stimulus bill, the market did not seem satisfied. We remained under the major support (now resistance) trendline in red, which has served as support since the coronavirus low. There are 2 reasons this may have happened: (1)There is a big possibility that the market had fully priced in a large stimulus package, and is now asking "ok, what else can you feed me?" OR (2) Investors are scared of the covid mutation making its way through Europe.
Regardless of the reason, it is a particularly dangerous time for this to be happening because if you look at the put-to-call-equity ratio, it dropped to pretty much all time lows as soon as the stimulus bill was announced. This means that market participants are overleveraged on calls and expecting the market to continue going up (being greedy). While this is not a sell signal by itself, if the market starts to correct, we could see a big long squeeze as investors panic and offload their long positions. I would save the PCCE graph to your watchlist and check it frequently. It is essentially the chart that tells you when to be greedy vs. fearful according to the old adage: "When others are fearful, be greedy. When others are greedy, be fearful." A normal PCCE level is roughly indicated by the 2 white lines I've drawn on the graph.
My bias going into tomorrow is neutral. However, the market doesn't care about my opinion and will do what it wants, and I will trade what it gives me!
The watchlist from yesterday went absolutely nuts. Highly suggest finding your favorite setups and focusing on those. Don't worry about missing a play! There are opportunities every single day.
WATCHLIST 12/23
Recall that my trading style is short scalps and intraday options. These are not swing levels.
ZM calls over 409.1
BABA puts under 255.4
BLNK calls over 49
PENN calls over 96.65
PYPL calls over 244
SQ calls over 243.4
MRNA puts under 123
NVDA calls over 531.8
WKHS calls over 23.45
TWLO calls over 374.7
NFLX calls over 527.6
NASDAQ:PYPL Paypal stock price forecast, Buy, Target 335PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL)
Trade : Buy
Entry : 220
Target : 335 (115, +52.27%)
Stop : 183 (-37, -16.82%)
Posted on Tuesday, December 15, 2020
Note : PayPal stock is expected to rise higher. Even though I don't know how high it will go, I think it will go very high. Resistances (targets) could be 273 and 335. Support could be 183 and 160. As digital payment stocks, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Square (NYSE: SQ), Visa (NYSE: V) and Mastercard (NYSE: MA) also look very good. Perhaps, they will get people's attention in 2021-2022 again.
Buying Bitcoin on Paypal: Is there an arbitrage opportunity?In this video I look at the spread between the price of Bitcoin on Paypal and BITFINEX:BTCUSD on other exchanges. Is there an opportunity for profit in that difference?
What you'll find by the end of this video is the true meaning of "mass adoption" in cryptocurrency...
PYPL - Monday 11/23 Triangle BreakoutVery bullish breakout formation has been formed, giving PYPL the perfect setup for Monday morning. On Friday I sold my 11/27 $200 calls to secure profit, but I'd like to buy them back ASAP.
We need PYPL to keep above 190 and push past the 0.5 fib at 194.8. This will send it up the gap and above 200, hopefully using the 0.618 fib as the new support.
First price target: 200
Second price target: 207
Supply & Demand Trading Analysis 11/22/2020With the strong bullish momentum dissipating, the signs of a reemergence of mass hysteria with wave 2 of covid arriving, numerous stocks a far distance away from major moving averages, big institutions adding more hedges to their portfolio's, these stories appear to ring the same tune prior to the crash in march. With a majority of stocks failing to reach new highs or inside supply zones, here are some stocks showing signs that a reversal to the downside is imminent.
MU
- A strong trend to the upside, however volume appears to diverge with price, a textbook bearish signal.
- Inside a major daily supply zone + strong rejection attempting to break above zone.
- Far distance away from 20ema on daily chart. Pullbacks resulted every time during similar prior occurrences.
- Entering a short position if price begins to break lower level of daily supply (59.44)
BIDU
- Price recently bounces of 200ema while inside a monthly demand zone.
- Price is showing consolidation, preparing for another strong move to either side.
- Looking to BTFD if price drops back to 200ema within the monthly demand zone.
MS
- A market top appears to have formed a market top on daily chart after failing to break above supply zones
- Will enter short position if price breaks below $57. Strong indication price is reversing.
- A triple top appears to have formed when analyzing weekly chart.
- A sharp rise in price with decreasing volume and far distance away from ema's = perfect pullback conditions
KSS
- Keeping an eye on how price moves this week as it appears to be forming a bull flag while attempting break above daily supply zone.
- If price moves in predicted pattern, will enter a short position as price enters circled zone. Black trendline is the top of monthly downtrend, expecting a rejection as price approaches.
PYPL
- Price in consolidation in middle of a 4 month trading range. With market conditions showing signs of a market ready to sell, I expect a breakout on the downside.
- Will look to BTFD if price breakouts out, entering demand zone along with 200ema inside zone resulting in high possibility price will use 200ema as support.
CNK
- Price rejects off 200ema after touching ema for the first time in 2020.
- If price begins to rise back into weekly supply zone AND with decreasing volume, will enter a short position in circled zone as it tests both a major supply zone and 200ema resistance.