SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-10: EveningStar Island PatternThroughout the past week and a half, I've been watching the markets as I prepare for what I believe will be a sudden and fairly aggressive Deep-V setup between 2-10 and 2-13.
Yes, that means RIGHT NOW we are sitting on top of a potentially aggressive type of FLASH market move to the downside.
Will it come from news, or someone's comments (think Fed comments or news), or will it come from some other source - if it shows up at all.
I'm sticking to my Deep-V analysis because I have no reason to believe it is wrong. We may see a mild type of Deep-V pattern, but I believe it will happen anyway.
So, as we move into this week's trading, I want to urge everyone to stay very cautious of a potential FLASH breakdown into my Deep-V type of price activity.
As you may get trapped into longs and feel comfortable entering some solid bullish price trends/trades, be aware that this FLASH breakdown (Deep-V pattern) may still be lurking behind what appears to be a solid uptrend (for now).
Gold and Silver are falling - which is perfect for my Expansion Phase rally to $4400+ (gold).
Bitcoin is stalling - preparing for a breakdown.
This is the time to prepare for the rest fo 2025. Follow my research to know when you JUMP INTO the markets for greater success.
Get some.
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QQQ
CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it.
If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it.
Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH.
It's not going to happen soon.
My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030.
Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend.
Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT.
It's time to get real about your trading and investing.
If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck.
At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts.
Get some.
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$QQQ Wedging on the 65 Minute Chart (VCP)NASDAQ:QQQ is clearly in a wedging pattern. These types of patterns “usually” resolve in the direction of the larger trend. In this case that trend is still up.
This is a news driven market now so anything can happen. I have an alert set at both the top and bottom of the wedge lines. I do not plan to short this market, but should it break down, I may want to reduce my exposure. And if it breaks to the upside, I may add more exposure.
I am giving my observation of the market. Nothing more.
$CWAN Ready to Break Out of The Flat Base?
NYSE:CWAN is a name most of us have never heard of. They serve hedge funds, asset managers, and insurance clients with Analytic software.
It looks like it is in the process of putting in a higher low. It has regained the 8 and 20 EMAs and the MACD has turned positive. It can still go either way. There is overhead resistance at both the upper horizonal line on the chart and the now downward sloping 50 DMA (red).
I have an alert set on the upper resistance line around 29.50. Should that trigger, I will go to a lower timeframe like a 5-minute chart to see if I can get a good entry. My stop, if I take the trade would be on a close below the 20 EMA (green). Making for a tight and good risk reward trade. I do not set targets, but I do think it has a chance to get back up to around 32.00 – 32.50. Which is around a 13% gain if that were to happen.
If you like this idea, make it your own trade that fits your trading style.
$QTUM Maybe Trying to break out of This Wedge (VCP)I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing.
It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern. I went long more shares as indicated above in anticipation of a break above the declining upper trendline. It also is supported by both the 8 and 20 EMAs and has consolidated to get more inline with the 50 DMA (red).
If you like it, make the trade your own and make sure it fits your trading plan.
Look at the fund holdings in “More About Fund” link supplied by TradingView. Here are some of the names you might recognize: NASDAQ:KLAC NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:RTX NYSE:BABA
From Defiance ETF Website:
QTUM
Index Description: The BlueStar® Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Index (BQTUM) tracks liquid companies in the global quantum computing and machine learning industries, including products and services related to quantum computing or machine learning, such as the development or use of quantum computers or computing chips, superconducting materials, applications built on quantum computers, embedded artificial intelligence chips, or software specializing in the perception, collection, visualization, or management of big data.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG.
First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted.
Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now.
Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time.
That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning.
And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens.
Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours).
My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future.
I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities.
Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me?
Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning.
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$TAN Is This Getting Ready for a Stage 2 Breakout?Clean Energy (Solar) has been in a downtrend since January 2021! Every time it looks like it is setting up for a stage 2 breakout, it has broken down. Will this time be different?
Here is what I see on this chart.
TAN
was in a clear downtrend until mid-December 2024. Then it challenged its previous high from the beginning of December. That failed BUT, it seems to have found a bottom as here we are in early February, and it has not sunk any lower than the December lows.
I am optimistic that we may be ready to enter a Stage 2 uptrend. However, it has work to do. The first step is to get up and over the 50 DMA (red). Next it needs to break the Downtrend line. It also needs to put in a higher high and finally put in a higher low. As I said, it has work to do.
Having said all of that, I have an alert set just over the 50 DMA where I will look for a good entry where I can put in a tight stop should I decide to make the trade. IF, it is going to enter a sustained uptrend it “could” be a big winner. All TBD.
These are my ideas, if you think it makes sense for you, please make it your own trade that fits within “your” trading plan.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Carryover PatternAs many of you know, I'm still expecting a breakdown in the markets leading to my Deep-V pattern on the 9th and the secondary Major Bottom on the 10th.
Why haven't we started to move downward yet? I really don't know. I suspect the markets are being pushed higher by Market Makers trying to crush the shorts (premium).
Either way, we'll know how this is going to play out over the next 5+ days.
If I'm right, we'll see the SPY break downward towards 580-590 over the next 5+ days.
The QQQ should move down 510-515 throughout that same breakdown (possibly a bit lower).
I expect Gold and Silver to also move downward if this breakdown in the SPY/QQQ happens as I expect. Metals tend to move downward when the SPY/QQQ makes a sudden impulsive breakdown move.
Bitcoin also appears to be poised for a breakdown event.
It seems that all the indexes and symbols I follow in the morning video are already standing near the edge of a cliff, just waiting to jump off.
I urge traders to move into a protective mode (protecting open longs and hedging against any breakdown event) over the next 5-10+ days.
We'll eventually see another bounce/rally off some lows, but right now, everything looks ready to JUMP (off the cliff).
Get Some.
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Golden Pocket March Rally? Downside Gap Fill by 2/28? $SPYA break of the current High would invite a straight shot to the 1.61 Golden Pocket Above. Anything Below leaves room for Election Rally Gap Fill. Keep an eye on the fib. Don't try to be a HERO inside of the box. Wedge forming. March may lead to a large decline. Be wary.
Weakness in $TSLA when $QQQ and $SPY are strongAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. The NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 50 Day SMA and the next stops are the 100-Day @ 330 $ and then the next stop is the 200-Day @ 280 $ . For all the Fib Retracement fans check out for the levels 0.786 @ 345 $ and 0.618 @ 293 $.
In contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are making new ATH and holding on to the gains. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. But long NASDAQ:TSLA when it reaches 200-Day SMA.
t-bonds x alt season.t-bonds are primed for lift-off.
we just witnessed the largest decline in the history of the treasury. since march 2020, t-bonds have looked like they’re in a correction. most are calling it five waves down, signaling a deeper bear market. but they’re seeing the surface, not the structure.
i'm building a case that says otherwise.
the five-wave drop from all-time highs? that wasn’t the start of the bear market.
it was the end of wave c in an expanded flat that began in 2016.
most think the t-bond bear market started in 2020.
i’m saying it started in 2016,,,
and if i’m right, it just ended.
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as the market prices-in future interest rate cuts, fueled by artificial suppression of gas prices and inflation stabilisation, t-bond values will climb throughout this next year.
normally, stocks and bonds move inverse to each other.
not this time.
this time, they move together. 1:1.
why? because the us dollar is about to get wrecked.
quantitative easing is coming back.
liquidity will expand.
the global liquidity index will rise.
the way we make that happen is by crushing the dxy.
---
tldr;
- rate cuts incoming
- making t-bonds go up
- quantitative easing
- nukes the dxy
- making stocks go up
- risk-on environment returns
- risk assets go parabolic
- alt season is triggered.
🌙
750 dolla spy.gm,
wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today.
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fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish.
but i’m bullish.
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here’s exactly why:
-quantitative easing is coming back.
-rate cuts are on the horizon.
-the us dollar is depreciating.
-economic expansion is inevitable.
-the artificial intelligence boom is just getting started.
---
while most people fumble their bag up here, drowning in fear, we look for significantly higher prices into 2026.
---
ps. i left out upside targets and timeframes because none of that matters at the moment. only the structure does. if you like the structure, use it. don't give me any credit. i don’t need it.
if you make a dolla this next year, donate a tenth of it to someone who needs it more than you. the universe will handle the rest.
🌙
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-6-25: Counter-Trend RALLY Today's pattern is a counter-trend Rally pattern. I read this as a downward trending type of rally phase/bar.
Much like yesterday's rally in the markets. Today should be just the opposite - a downward trending bar.
I believe this is a move downward setting up the Deep-V pattern which should hit early next week.
I suggest traders prepare for a rollover-topping pattern near this upper resistance area and prepare for the markets to move downward - seeking support.
Gold and Silver will likely move downward as well if the market does roll over, as I suspect. Gold and Silver tend to move downward when the markets shift into a downward trend.
Bitcoin is trapped within a range (again), and it appears that over the next few days, it will attempt to move downward with the markets.
Again, the next four to five days will be a do-or-die type of move. I've been telling all of you this Deep-V breakdown will happen for more than thirty days, so I'm watching to see if it really does happen.
Either way, it is now a bad idea to take some profits near these highs in preparation for any potential breakdown.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade : Where's The Deep-V Bottom?I created this video to help illustrate what I believe are nearly perfect setups of multiple Excess Phase Peak Patterns over the past 30+ days in the SPY and QQQ.
It is incredible how these patterns continue to form/setup in a broadening sideways price channel. If we didn't know to look for these patterns, we could easily mistake this volatility as some type of longer-term buying opportunity.
Remember, if my research is correct, we are going to see an almost immediate reversal of the trend over the next 48 hours - leading to a Deep-V set up in the early few days of next week.
I've been wrong before, but I really do believe this Deep-V downward trend is about to happen.
I believe some news event over the weekend could send the markets into a minor panic-type selloff.
Additionally, I believe the disruptions related to what is happening in DC and other areas may be enough to send the markets searching for support.
Recent earnings have not been fantastic, and we are moving into a relatively complacent Q1:2025. So, I still believe we are moving into a broadening "megaphone" price range on the SPY and QQQ.
One thing is certain right now: In about 4 to 7 days, we'll know whether my Deep-V base/bottom pattern call (from more than 30 days ago) was accurate.
Buckle up, folks. This is when things get really interesting.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 2-5-25 Update : Rally PatternRight now, the markets continue to struggle to move higher. We are seeing a solid upward price trend, but I'm watching the MNQ and metals for any signs of weakness.
At this stage of the market's price action, I'm cautiously waiting for the ROLLOVER to setup.
My patterns suggest we move into a Counter-Trend Rally phase tomorrow (which would be a downward trending bar).
I believe the end of the trading day may see a very solid Long-Squeeze (trending downward) today.
And, as of right now - I'm just sitting on my trades, waiting for the Rollover to happen.
I would not suggest taking any big long trades right now unless you are prepared for the risks.
Sometimes, this is what trading is all about.
Looks like things are going to get very exciting over the next 3-5+ days.
GET SOME.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-5-25: Rally PatternFor some reason, the first video I created did now complete the UPLOAD to Tradingview. Don't know why.
I waited more than 60 minutes for it to upload, then gave up, saved it, and uploaded it to another location so you could access it. Check my profit for more info.
This is a short video highlighting why I believe the markets will rally a bit in early trading and then roll over into a strong downward trend through the end of this week.
Gold and Silver should continue to try to rally higher.
Bitcoin is about to break downward - targeting 80-85k
That is the short update today.
Get some.
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Nov 1, 2024 Pre-Election Modeling UpdateThis video highlights the work I did on November 1, 2024 using my ADL predictive modeling system. We are now 3+ months past the Nov 1, 2024 modeling date and the SPY SPDR sectors are showing various stages of completion related to the ADL predictive price levels.
Some are higher. Others are lower. Some are right in the middle of the predictive ranges for Feb 15, 2025.
The reason I'm providing this update is to keep you informed of the variance in longer-term predictive data and how new updated data shows the SPY should stay somewhat solid above 570-580 over the next 60= days while the QQQ may fall to levels near 495 to 470 over the next 60+ days.
When you are attempting to trade, the best information you can get is something that helps you identify what is likely to happen in the near future.
Predictive modeling is all about using current data to try to predict future data ranges and actions.
Get ready; the next 3+ years will be incredible for skilled traders.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Feb 4, 2025: Rally PatternToday's rally pattern will attempt to provide some relief related to the recent breakdown in the SPY. Overnight, the ES/NQ rallied to FILL THE GAP. So, today, I believe the SPY will attempt to rally back above 600-601, then stall out and consolidate.
Today may be a "GO GOLFING" day in the markets.
I would not advise anyone to get Uber-Long in the markets right now. My research suggests the markets will roll downward near the end of this week - seeking the DEEP-V bottom/base I've predicted near 2-10~2-13.
Gold and Silver should attempt another rally phase over the next 3 to 4 days. I expect metals to continue to rally into this expansion phase, and I'm initially targeting $3200 for gold.
Bitcoin is trapped in a big Excess Phase Peak pattern that I believe will resolve into a breakdown price trend.
The Deep-V and other breakdown patterns, which my cycle research says are pending, will drive Bitcoin downward, possibly targeting the $72k levels again.
Today may be a relatively FLAT type of Rally day. So, play cautiously.
Get some.
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