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$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
SP:SPX
by TazmanianTrader
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $. But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains. But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RabishankarBiswal
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-25-25: Rally PatternToday's Rally pattern will likely prompt a fairly strong recovery (upward) price move in the SPY before the markets turn/rollover and head lower again after reaching a top. I see this move paired with the Metals cycle patterns, which suggest metals will move downward. I believe this will be the result of stronger USD price levels, which will translate into an initial SPY rally phase (driving the price higher) and then rolling over into more selling. Ultimately, I believe the lows on Wednesday or Thursday will be the immediate base/bottom for this breakdown phase (near 587-593). I'm not getting overly aggressive related to today's RALLY pattern. I don't believe the markets have the momentum to rally very hard today and I believe we'll see a ROLLOVER type of move today - resulting in more downward selling. BTCUSD is usually tied to the QQQ/NQ related to price action and the breakdown of BTCUSD may put additional pressure on the QQQ/NQ today. So, get ready for a pretty volatile day. My estimate is price will ROLL DOWNWARD after a moderately strong open. Then, get ready for some volatility. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-24-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to make a Breakaway move. I believe this breakaway will be to the downside after watching the rejection near the 609 level on the SPY play out and the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2+ days. However, if the breakdown I suggested (above) does not happen, I suggest the markets continue to FLAG SIDEWAYS into a FLAG APEX near the end of this week. The SPY's trend is such that I see it either breaking down hard over the next 2-3 days (confirming the Excess Phase Peak breakdown) or stalling back into the FLAG formation and reaching the Apex near the end of this week. That means traders need to prepare for one of two major price events: a continued major breakdown or a consolidation/reversion back to the 605-608 level within a sideways FLAG. What I expect is a breakdown in price. That seems the most logical. But, after watching the markets continue to flag sideways over the past few weeks, I know the markets can stay illogical for longer than I can try to short this top. lol Gold and Silver look ready to rally. This could be a huge upward move and very powerful for skilled traders. BTCUSD looks ready to break downward. And I think a breakdown in Bitcoin would be timed with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ as well. This is going to be an interesting week. Start off by letting the markets try to settle today (for the first 10 to 30 minutes). You can't kick the markets to do what you want. After watching this moderate pullback in pre-market trading, we need to see how the price will attempt to trend. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
CELH Breakout: Can Buyers Hold the Line?CELH closed the week slightly above its IPO AVWAP on the highest volume ever, signaling significant short liquidation and a potential market sentiment shift. The immediate resistance at the $36 range aligns with a key consolidation zone, adding weight to its importance. With the weekly RSI approaching 50—historically a pivot point—a breakout above could strengthen the bullish case. The volume spike indicates not only short covering but also potential new buyer accumulation. The SMI crossing up from oversold and the stock reclaiming the anchored VWAP above the 200-week moving average further support the strength of this move. What’s crucial now is whether CELH can attract real buying interest above $36 once short-covering subsides. If this level holds, mid-$40s could be the next target, with significant resistance around $50. Ideally, I'd like to see a low-volume pullback that confirms new buyer support, suggesting a trend reversal rather than a short-term bounce.
NASDAQ:CELH
by MysticMads
$QQQ Support and Resistance Areas?QQQ had a big bearish candle on Friday. If you look left on the chart there were 2 comparable recent days. On Dec 18, 2024, and Jan 7, 2025, both lead to further downside. On Dec 18, the decline before a rally was about 5.3% and the Jan 7 decline was around 4.9%. Friday’s decline was about 2.4%. “If” those declines are any guide, we could expect another 2.5% to 3% additional deterioration. Which portends a pullback to around 512 to 510. Think of those as areas of concern, not a prediction. I have also drawn in horizontal lines that “may” become areas of support or resistance. In addition, we are touching an area of upward sloping line (area) that has defined a series of higher lows over the last 4 weeks. In summary, it is a good idea to have an open mind about any outcome over the next few days to weeks and simply look at these areas to see if they do indeed end up being turning points. One more point, this is an index fund and as such looks at heavily weighted stocks. We are likely in a period of picking individual stocks that are leading and using this index simply as a guide to overall market health. I hope that helps.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update : BREAKDOWNIf you've followed my research over the past 90+ days - you were ready for this move. If you were positioned for this breakdown, many of you should have seen decent profits or green in your accounts. I'm so happy and proud to have helped many of you prepare for this move. Stay cautious into the close as we may see more selling pressure drive prices lower. Remember, everything I do is about helping you become a better trader. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-21 : Top Pattern Counter TrendToday's Top pattern in Counter-Trend mode suggests the markets will attempt to move downward, seeking a new support level, then find a base and attempt to roll a bit higher. I don't expect a big breakdown to take place today, but the YM is already struggling to maintain support - so we may see the ES/NQ break downward if the major markets continue to weaken throughout the day. I do expect the markets to move into my Major Bottom pattern over the next 3-5+ trading days. So, overall, I expect the markets to reject these recent highs and attempt to move downward. Gold and Silver should continue to rally with Gold trying to break above $3k and silver trying to break above $35. Bitcoin is moving into an early stage Excess Phase Peak flagging formation. This should prompt a fairly solid rally phase for Bitcoin over the next few days/weeks. If my longer-term research is correct, the recent new highs will be rejected and price will roll into a double-bottom type of setup between now and the end of March 2025. I suspect traders are not prepared for this move and will continue to try to BUY any dip they see over the next 30+ days. My only advice is to play the short-term trends and avoid position or swing trading too heavily. The markets are going to become very volatile over the next 30+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-20 : Rotation PatternSorry for my delay this morning. Everything is fine over here - just a bit hectic this morning, and I had to drive my son to his work at 530am - which interrupted my plans. OK, so here we go. This video helps to organize my analysis/thinking into more clearly presented data for my followers. I use the Fibonacci Price Theory as a basis for all my analysis. On top of that, I use other techniques (anchor bars, my SPY Cycle Patterns, and my custom indexes) to help identify when and where opportunities exist for the best trades. I've been getting comments related to my labeling these videos as Bullish or Bearish which may go against the primary trend direction presented on the charts. So, now I've added a TEXT LABEL that tells you what every chart is doing on a Short, Intermediate, and Long-term basis. This will help all of you follow my analysis/thinking going forward (I hope). Today's Rotation Pattern suggests the markets will slide into a sideways price rotation phase. This rotation could be a stalling pattern after the recent rally to new ATHs. I'm still very cautious of a breakdown/pullback in trend after this move higher. As I keep saying, I don't believe the markets have sufficient momentum to continue a massive rally phase. And I really believe this new ATH level is a BULL TRAP - setting up longs to jump into this rally mode before a bigger pullback/breakdown takes place. Gold and Silver are struggling to move higher with a fairly broad rotating range - but they are still pushing higher. I believe Gold and Silver will make a big move higher over the next 30+ days. So, be prepared for volatility - but stick with long trades for metals as I believe Gold will rally to levels above $3100 very quickly. Bitcoin could be shifting into a new Excess Phase Peak pattern off recent lows. The FPT trends for Bitcoin are still BEARISH, but we are starting to see a base setup that may become a new Excess Phase Peak low. Watch this video and please comment if you have any questions. Again, sorry for my delay this morning. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-19-25: GAP Reversal Counter-trendToday's pattern suggests a morning GAP will lead to a price reversal in a counter-trend type of mode. I read this as a potential that price will initially struggle to find a trend. Eventually, when it does identify a trend mode, I believe that trend will strengthen into a reversal of the current upward price trend. Normally, Counter-trend patterns invert. So, what I would have expected as an uptrend would turn into a downtrend. But, the markets have moved into a very consolidated price channel near recent highs and volume has diminished strongly. Because of this type of setup, I believe an aggressive breakaway or breakdown price move is pending. Price will attempt to make a move - and when it does, it should be explosive. My continued research, which I share with you in this video, continues to suggest price will stall out and revert downward. We'll see how things play out over the next few days. Gold and Silver are back near recent all-time highs. Stay cautious of a breakdown in metals associated with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ. BTCUSD is still struggling to make a move. As you will see, I believe the dominant trend is to the downside right now. In short, we are standing at the edge of a cliff regarding price action. At this point, we either grow wings and soar higher or fall downward - hoping for a soft landing. Buckle up. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year. It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout. We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days. I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out. My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week. One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY. Buckle Up. When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move. My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23. These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025. Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events. The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price. I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025. Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns. I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength. The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days. Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody, Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US. US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind. Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell. This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US). I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead. Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly. Thank for watching.
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver