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$QQQ Longer ViewpointNASDAQ:QQQ is lagging behind AMEX:SPY and has not reclaimed ATH ' yet .' Looking at the weekly time frame, we can note that NASDAQ:QQQ has been bouncing off the trendline that started back in JAN 2023. It has touched and bounced off that trendline 3x so far: -MARCH 2023 -OCTOBER 2023 -AUGUST 2024 Each time it bounced, it ran for approximately 100pts + and took roughly 124 - 140 days before consolidation and/or a correction / retracement / pullback occurred. From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:QQQ will attempt at All Time Highs (ATH) at $503.52 again. We have to be conscience of the divergence between AMEX:SPY and $QQQ. AMEX:SPY has already made a new ATH while NASDAQ:QQQ is lagging behind. If ATH is broken on NASDAQ:QQQ and price move similarly to the last two weekly trendline bounce, then price could reach $528 and some change before possible consolidation and/or a correction / retracement / pullback occurred with a timeline of around mid-December. Failure to reclaim and/or break ATH can cause NASDAQ:QQQ to return back to the trendline. This is NOT financial advice but an opinion.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SADnation
$SPY OVERIVEW ON THE MONTHLY TIME FRAMEAn overview of AMEX:SPY from a technical standpoint. This does not include any fundamental / economical consideration. AMEX:SPY has been in this rising channel since 2020. Each wave / rejection from the trendline / channel caused a 10 - 12 month directional move 100pts +. AMEX:SPY is at the top trendline / channel again. Could see an upward continuation of price in an attempt to hit $600. Failure to break through $600 could start the retracement / correction / pullback over the next 10 - 12 months back to the bottom of the channel / trendline. This would put AMEX:SPY at around $500, give or take 20 - 40 pts. This would be in alignment with what some of the more well-known analyst / economist has been stating about 15/20% correction. Reason for the margin of error is the last two waves moved an avg of 140 pts. $500 is a key level psychologically and from an algorithmic point of view. $600 is also a key psychological / algorithmic level as well. If there is a break of this level, market could see another 20 - 40 pts topside move before consolidation and then possible retracement / correction / pullback. This is NOT financial advice but merely an opinion.
AMEX:SPY
by SADnation
1
10/4 Nice rebound. Can we crash now? Overview: The AMEX:SPY opened Friday significantly higher than Thursday’s close, forming a bullish hammer candle and edging closer to its all-time high. This week closed higher than the previous week, though the previous week did see higher prices. The NASDAQ:QQQ mirrored the S&P’s action, showing similar price movement. BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into its ETH ETF, while other major players remain on the sidelines. One critical trend to monitor: Bitcoin has historically struggled to hit new all-time highs or maintain upward momentum when the Global Liquidity Index is in decline. Unfortunately, the index has been falling for the past 19 days. You can learn more about Global Liquidity Index and add it to your chart: The CME Fed Watch Tool has now removed the possibility of a half-percentage point rate cut in November, replacing it with a chance of no rate cut at all. Currently, 2.6% of traders believe there will be no rate cut in November, while 97.4% expect a 1 basis point cut. Even with a rate cut, it will take time for liquidity to flow back into markets. By the time that happens, Bitcoin may hit its bottom for this cycle, signaling the start of a new bullish phase. Be sure to have cash ready for that opportunity. BTC Technical Analysis: W: BTC’s price is nearing the Bollinger Band Moving Average (BB MA) at $62.6k. If Sunday’s price rises by $456, it would close at or above that level, offering temporary hope to bulls. However, a more critical level to watch is the previous weekly close at $64.1k. D : After a significant pullback from the bull trap, daily resistance is set at $63.3k. Breaking that level will require significant momentum. 4h & 1h: No clear signals on these timeframes. In a limbo. Altcoins Relative to BTC: APT and TAO have remained stable over the last 5 days, showing no significant declines after BTC’s bull trap. Shorting opportunities might arise soon. Bull Case: Looking at the past 28 days, we see a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. As liquidity eventually enters the market, more capital could flow into crypto, pushing prices higher. Bear Case: On a broader scale, since the start of the year, the market is still showing lower highs and lower lows, suggesting bearish risks are still present. Fear and Greed Index: 40.78 – Back to neutral.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EvgenCapital
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-4 End Of Week Wrap-upWhat a great week overall! My SPY Cycle patterns worked fairly well to target buy/sell zones 4-7+ days in advance and really provided some much-needed guidance for traders this week. I've been getting emails and messages from many traders telling me how my research and SPY Cycle Patterns have changed their lives. It sure makes things easier when you have this level of information about the future of price trends/ranges, right? As we head into the weekend - let's take some time to help those around us that need our assistance. After the recent Hurricane, I'm sure people within your reach need a little assistance. Remember, this is when we, as Americans, need to stand up and help fellow Americans. Be safe, and see you on Monday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
$ENPH In Uptrend Channel?Enphase has been basing for about 10 months after a severe selloff in 2023. That base has been wide and loose until the June – July timeframe where it has tightened up and appears to have established an uptrend channel. I will be looking for a reversal in the coming days to weeks as it is likely that it will head back to the top of the channel. Should it start moving up from here, it could be about a 17% move back to the top of the channel. All TBD. Maybe this one should be on your watchlist as well. Note that earnings are coming up in 3 weeks. Maybe it rallies in front of that event?
NASDAQ:ENPHLong
by jaxdog
2
10/3 Bye Bye cryptoOverview: Unemployment dropped to 4.1%, slightly lower than the expected 4.2%. September’s jobs report revealed a 254k increase in hiring, well above the forecasted 150k. This means there's now a reduced chance of a double basis point rate cut in November, which is bad news for risk-on assets like crypto. The CME tool now shows a 92.5% chance for a single basis point rate cut, up from 47% just a week ago. Next week, CPI and PPI reports will be released, which will be crucial for gauging inflation. Meanwhile, BlackRock continues its dollar-cost averaging into both BTC and ETH ETFs, while others are either selling or staying on the sidelines. Fun fact: at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, an interesting event occurred. Someone placed a market buy order for BTC, causing a 0.38% price spike. The volume for that minute was 196 Bitcoin, worth around $12 million at a price of $61.5k. Since the candle was green, it suggests more than 50% of that volume was buying pressure. Did someone purchase $7 million worth of Bitcoin? While that large order initially triggered a brief buying spree, just an hour later, the price began to dump. This shows either whales aren't fully in control of the market, or $7 million isn't enough to sway it for long. BTC TA: W: BTC remains steady at the same weekly level, with no significant movement. D: Similarly, daily price levels remain stagnant. 4h: MACD and RSI continue to climb from the bottom, indicating potential for further bullish movement. However, the overall market sentiment, driven by geopolitical and economic news, may hamper this upward trajectory. 1h: BTC has seemingly found support between $61.9k and $60.1k. However, the chances of an upward breakout appear slim given the macroeconomic conditions. Altcoins Relative to BTC: Yesterday, we suggested shorting SUI, which proceeded to collapse 13%. Bull Case: BTC bounces off its current support level and recovers to $63k. Bear Case: Economic data may reveal that inflation is here to stay, and the Fed won't cut rates as quickly as the market hoped. Even when the rate cut comes, it could take months for the economy to adjust. Additionally, the Global Liquidity Index continues to decline despite rate cuts from both the U.S. and China. Fear and Greed Index: 36.11 – Fear. When this indicator moves into fear territory, we often recommend buying blue-chip altcoins, even for short-term traders. It's wise to keep a separate long-term investment account. Remember the saying: Be greedy when others are fearful. Prediction: BTC and the broader crypto market may continue to decline.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EvgenCapital
Understanding Excess Phase Peak Patterns In More DetailThis video helps traders identify and understand Excess Phase Peak patterns in more detail, particularly in relation to current market trends. Remember, these patterns are the constructs of all price action/activity. So, if you can learn to see, understand, and trade these patterns, you should be able to pick apart any chart - on any interval. What's most important is for you to build your knowledge and understanding of price data. Price is the ultimate indicator. Indicators and other systems are great to help you see and understand what price is doing - but PRICE is the real RAW SOURCE of all data. So, learning to understand better what price is doing is critical to improving your skills and trading abilities. Hope this video helps. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
FX:JPN225Long
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-4 :Up-Down-Up Pattern (Counter)Today's pattern is an Up-Down-Up in Counter Trend mode. Thus, I expect to see and Dn-Up-Dn pattern today. This pattern reflects today and the previous two days - as Down - Up - Down in range. Overall, I expect today to be rather muted in terms of total range. Price should stay muted, sideways and drift downward overall. Additionally, I believe the markets will be attempting to settle into support headed into dual base/bottom/momentum rally patterns setting up this weekend. I believe these patterns reflect a momentum shift that will launch the markets upward next week. Gold and Silver will melt-upward today - likely attempt to settle the week near weekly highs. BTCUSD is struggling to start forming a base near the 59k-20k levels. It will likely take 4-5 days for BTCUSD to actually build enough momentum to roll out of this basing pattern. So, today is a day to prepare for the weekend and for next week's trading activity. Sit back and take it easy today as price settles into the weekend's shifting momentum. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
AAPL: 25% Correction / Liquidity Gap at $175🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12H price chart for AAPL/Apple. This is advanced technical trade setup based on historic price fractal. 🔸AAPL currently entering distribution at the top stage with distribution defined by the ABCD fractal. Same price fractal was observed in the market in Dec21/Jan22 before a subsequent 25% market correction in AAPL. 🔸ABCD ongoing distribution defined by range highs at 230 USD and range lows at 205 USD. Once we complete the ABCD structure expect a sharp mark-down in price / correction from point D into point E near 175 USD liquidity gap / open gap will drag price down. 🔸Recommended strategy AAPL traders: Advanced traders may short AAPL / buy May 2025 LEAP put options. No valid strategy currently for the bulls, it's best to wait until liquidity gap gets filled later in Q1/Q2 2025 before buying low at/near 175 usd. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by ProjectSyndicate
16
ES Setting Up Excess Phase Peak Pattern - Stay Cautious Today.This price volatility has setup some very interesting price patterns on the chart. Particularly multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns on the ES chart. My analysis suggests the ES must attempt to find support above the 5738 level, otherwise the ES (and NQ) will likely attempt to move downward into the #3, #4 and #5 stages of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. This short video highlights how to use the Excess Phase Peak Patterns for your trading. Stay cautious today. Price is very volatile and it is likely that we are seeing capital react to external news (again). Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BradMatheny
2
TSLA: 125% gains Best Level to BUY/HOLD 🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for TSLA. Currently a mixed package overall with limited upside potential, I don't recommend entering any buys at current price. 🔸Ongoing accumulation since May 2023, significant lows printed in April 2023 / 2024, so I'm tagging April 2025 as a potential reversal for TSLA / bottom buying near range lows totally makes sense. 🔸Accumulation range defined by range lows at 175 usd and range highs at 255 usd. premium prices below at 145/165 and above at 280 and 305 usd. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback based on measured move projection set to extend further down towards 175 usd. currently trading at 250 usd, no entries recommended on buy side. This is a trade setup for patient traders. may take more time to develop. conservative target is 350 USD, so +125% gains off the lows. 🔸Finally, check out the TSLA related story below and let me know in the comments section if you'd like to get more updates like this. Don't forget to follow/like/comment, this is much appreciated. Year 2030. Tesla coupe safely lands on Mars. Exploration mission starts in April 2030. ▪️ In this fictional tale in 2030, Tesla founder Elon Musk and his wife Grimes make a historic landing on Mars, marking a new era in space exploration. ▪️ Upon arrival, they establish a settlement called "New Teslaville," aiming to turn it into a sustainable colony for future generations. ▪️ Their first day involves setting up essential infrastructure, including solar panels, an oxygen generator, and a Mars rover. ▪️ The next day, they plant a Tesla flag on Mars, signifying humanity's first successful landing on the red planet. ▪️ On day three, Musk shares a heartfelt message about the importance of space colonization for humanity's survival. ▪️ After a successful first week, they receive a message from Earth, indicating the start of the "New Mars Era" and their status as the first Martian settlers. ▪️ The couple ends their week by enjoying the Martian sunset in a Tesla coupe. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
23
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-3 : Reversal Rally DayOver the past few days, I've posted 4-5+ videos highlighting my SPY Cycle Patterns and how these help traders plan and prepare for future price action/trades. Today's Reversal Rally pattern should prompt a moderately strong upward price move in the SPY/QQQ. I'm expecting the SPY to attempt to rally up into the 572-573 range today - maybe a bit higher. The QQQ may attempt to rally up into the 487-489 range today. Gold and Silver are working through a Temporary Bottom pattern today. This pattern usually starts with a moderate downward price move (setting up a base) and then rolls upward. So, I expect Gold to attempt to move back up to the 2680-2685 level today, and I expect Silver to rally up to the 32.12-32.25 level today. BTCUSD is stuck in the Excess Phase Peak setup's downward (rolling base) pattern. This rolling base will likely take more than 2-4 days to resolve before we'll start to see BTCUSD move into the FLAGGING stage of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. This suggests BTCUSD will struggle over the next 4 to 7 days before resolving into a moderate uptrend (the FLAGGING stage) - leading to a make-or-break price move sometime near October 15-19 or so. That make-or-break move could be huge depending on how BTCUSD resolves the end of the FLAGGING phase. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
10/2 Friday will decide your crypto fate.Overview: The AMEX:SPY opened lower than yesterday's close, continuing its bearish trend, but managed to recover and end the day in the green. However, the MACD on both the daily and 4-hour charts shows a bearish divergence, indicating potential weakness ahead. Tesla took a significant hit, dropping by 3.5% and ranking among the day's biggest losers. NASDAQ:QQQ also saw a decline, though less severe, as it isn’t facing the same pressure from all-time highs as other sectors. Tomorrow, the FED will release the latest initial jobless claims data. If claims come in below the expected 220,000, this could indicate an improving labor market, which would make it harder for the FED to aggressively cut interest rates. So, if you want that rate cut, maybe submit that jobless claim! BlackRock ended its 7-day Bitcoin ETF buying streak, selling $13.7 million worth of Bitcoin today. This is roughly half of the largest amount they have sold in one day, which was $38.9 million. BTC TA: W: The situation remains unchanged from yesterday. BINANCE:BTCUSD is still sitting below critical levels that could have shifted the trend to bullish. Geopolitical tensions and a strengthening U.S. job market are likely to keep the weekly candle in the red. D: Wednesday's candle formed a red doji, with both the open and close below the crucial $61.4k weekly level. Early Thursday price action briefly touched this level before pulling back, confirming it as a resistance. The MACD and RSI are still working through the aftermath of the divergence seen during the bull trap, showing no signs of trend reversal. A short-term pullback to the $62.5k-$63k level is possible but more evident on lower timeframes. Neutral. 4h: RSI is in the oversold zone, and the MACD histogram shows the downtrend is losing momentum. It took significantly less volume to push the price lower to $60k, suggesting a potential short-term bullish move toward the BB MA at $62.5k. 1h: London traders triggered a mass sell-off in the last two hours, pushing BTC down 1.46% and rebounding from the $61.4k resistance level. Have you copied these key levels to your chart? The next question: Will $60k hold, or will it break in the next few minutes? Alts Relative to BTC: Major altcoins like SOL, NEAR, and ETH have all broken their lows and are heading toward their early September levels. TAO and FTM, which performed well last week, are not immune, declining by 7%. Only SUI is holding steady for now, but for how long? Bull Case: If Jerome Powell reports on Friday that inflation has cooled, it would confirm a slowing economy and pave the way for further interest rate cuts. This could spark the 6th bull wave, sending crypto prices soaring once again. Bear Case: This week could continue to see prices fall further, potentially marking the end of the 2024 crypto bull run. Fear and Greed Index: The index stands at 36.22, well into the Fear territory. Historically, when the index dips below 40, it's a signal to start buying some blue-chip altcoins, even if you're a day or swing trader. We recommend having a separate account for long-term investments. Remember: Be greedy when others are fearful. Prediction: If we can dodge the bullet of World War III and the market remains unaffected by major macro events, we could see a correction to the $62.5k-$64 k level. Opportunities: Short the last standing king of altcoins - SUI.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-2 End Of Day Review.For those of you following my research and SPY Cycle Patterns, this video helps to understand where we are within the SPY Cycle Patterns (and also the GOLD Cycle Patterns) while providing context and information related to future trends. I suspect the price will follow my "Buy Here" and "Sell Here" levels very closely, as this week's price rotation seems very clear. Most traders should have no problem trying to understand where opportunities exist after the recent Harami and CRUSH patterns collided into one bigger downward sweep of price. Over the last few days, the Israeli/Lebanon conflict became a focal point, and prices reacted to this news. Now that the issue seems to have passed (a bit), the markets will return to doing what they do. Watch this video and post any questions you may have. The rest of this week should be a great opportunity for skilled traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-2 CRUSH Pattern UpdateThe SPY is searching and seeking support early in trading today. I believe this attempt to find support will fail, and the price will continue downward, attempting to find lower support. Watch this video as price attempts to identify direction and trend. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
$CMG Ready to Add a Quick 8%? NYSE:CMG has quite a few technical indications that it is getting ready to make a measured move to around $63 a share. Longer term $70 seems to be an area where this upcoming move may encounter quite a bit of resistance. See the chart for notes. I am looking at this as being a “W” pattern and while the right side of the “W” is shallow, I think it qualifies “in spirit.” You can see the measured move I have put on the chart. And we have a series of higher lows and now a flat base to launch it’s next move from. If it fails here the stop should be below the most recent higher low, around 56.80. I am long $CMG. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
NYSE:CMGLong
by jaxdog
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-2 : CRUSH Pattern TodayPlease take a minute to watch this video related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and today's CRUSH pattern. Although I expect the markets to find support over the next 2-3 days and resume the rally higher, today's CRUSH pattern will likely prompt the markets to sell downward, looking for support. I've clearly laid out the rotations I expect for the SPY/QQQ, and Gold/Silver in this video. I've also shown why I believe BTCUSD will struggle to move away from the $57k to $61k level over the next 10 to 15+ days. It is likely trapped in a rolling base/bottom pattern, moving into the Flagging stage of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. The markets are struggling for direction right now, but I believe the outcome for the SPY/QQQ is still bullish and I believe Gold and Silver will make a very big move higher into the end of this year. Bitcoin is another story. It is searching for support and may break downward if this Excess Phase Peak pattern unfolds correctly. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4