Get started

QQQ

Arch up to 120 till the end 2025?So what is Arch Capital - its not an investment bank or fund or something else - lets say insurance company. Why its so attractive for me right now: Some financial highlights Robust Profit Growth: In Q3 2024, Arch Capital reported a net income of $978 million ($2.56 per share), up from $713 million ($1.88 per share) in Q3 2023, marking a 37% increase. Increased Premiums: The company saw a 20% rise in gross premiums written, reaching $5.44 billion in Q3 2024, indicating strong demand for its insurance products. Enhanced Investment Income: Pre-tax net investment income grew by 48% to $399 million in Q3 2024, reflecting effective investment strategies amid favorable market conditions. Improved Combined Ratio: Arch Capital achieved a combined ratio of 80.8% in Q1 2024, down from 82.2% in Q1 2023, demonstrating enhanced underwriting efficiency. Book Value Growth: The company's book value per common share increased by 5.2% to $49.36 as of March 31, 2024, indicating solid financial health. ANR recommends mstly buy and medium target is near 120
NASDAQ:ACGLLong
by gorgevorgian
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-8-25: RALLY patternPlease take a few minutes to watch this entire video. I spent quite a bit of time trying to explain to all of my followers why the markets are struggling to find a trend and why the volatility has been so excessive over the past 3+ months. Simply put, the markets are trying to reprice a Trump Economy (changing from a Biden economy). In my opinion, the new Trump economy will still be decent/good - but there will be changes and the US Fed is still trying to borrow based on past data - which traders no longer believe is going to be valid reflecting future US economic/policy actions. Thus, yields are rising as investors demand MORE PROTECTION against unknowns. And, THAT is one of the primary reasons why the US Dollar and Yields are really driving most of this market volatility. Again, simply put, investors/traders are unsure of what the future US/global economy looks like (specifically with Trump suggesting he is going to "streamline" the US government/agencies, and fix the US BLOAT). To many people, that is a big unknown. I do believe today's Rally phase in the SPY/QQQ, as well as the Rally phase in Gold, will resolve to the upside. Yesterday's move was, IMO, another "washout low". We'll see how things play out today and see IF we get a RALLY move in the markets. Bitcoin rolled downward right at the dual Flag levels - just as I suggested. Now we'll see Bitcoin roll back towards recent lows - trying to identify support, or break downward - targeting the $72k I suggested would be the next lower level. Get some. Stay ahead of these markets and remember to trade efficiently (BOOK PROFITS). #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
$DATS and $HOTH largest two gainers of entire stock market todayImagine two +360% vertical stocks 🚀🚀 while rest of the market crashes Imagine no more, that was reality today! Today's 2 trades were the hottest two stocks of the entire market NASDAQ:HOTH and NASDAQ:DATS with buy alerts before they went up 363% and 376% on over $1 Billion USD volume each Now you know where all the bulls went today 📈 This further proves our strategy is able to generate big wins no matter the market circumstances! 🖐️ 5 Buy Alerts - 5 Wins yesterday ✌️ 2 Buy Alerts - 2 Wins today Perfect week so far, let's keep it going!
NASDAQ:DATS
by ProfitTradeRoom
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-7-25 : Counter Trend BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the markets will move upward (counter-trend) in an attempt to move into the RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase closing out this week's price action. I suggest traders prepare for what may become a fairly explosive upward trend over the next few days - but stay fairly cautious as unexpected news may derail price trends a bit. We are still moving into the early 2025 liquidity flood - where traders who pulled capital away from risks in late 2024 are starting to move back into the markets. We are also moving into Q4:2024 earnings data (in about a week or so). So there are still lots of opportunities for big trends. I'm watching to see if the markets attempt to move to new All-Time Highs again - which I believe is a highly probable outcome. If my research is correct, we are going to move into that RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase very cleanly today and tomorrow. Gold and Silver are moving higher again - which is great to see. Today is a RALLY day on my Gold Cycle Patterns. Could be a great opportunity for skilled traders in Metals this week. Bitcoin has reached that DUAL FLAGGING zone. In other words, stay cautious at this point. Volatility will likely increase for Bitcoin and I believe the most likely outcome will be to attempt to move back downward after reaching this dual flagging zone. We'll see what happens next. Remember, we are just starting 2025, so you have lots of time to try to identify opportunities throughout the year. Your goal as a trader is to find the best opportunities to BOOK PROFITS. The more you are able to BOOK PROFITS, the more likely you are to GROW YOUR ACCOUNT. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPX JAN 7 2025| READ DESCRIPTION |Here we need to understand the power of money & risk management.If it goes to 6200 from here then our RR is just 1: 1.08 . The RR is the heart & soul of a trade. One should be discplined enought to understand this & if you are not getting minimum 1:2 & I have used the word minimum, then there is no point taking that particular trade. You need to think what if a trade goes against me? Always be open to both sides understanding the RR If you are not following RR & rules then this business will eat all your wealth You mind is actually the most powerful thing in the world.
SP:SPX
by THECHAARTIST
33
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-6-25 : Inside BreakawayToday's pre-market RIPPER RALLY somewhat invalidates the "Inside" part of any Inside Breakaway pattern. But, this rally mode in price validates what I've been suggesting for more than 3 weeks now - that the markets would settle after the new year and start to move into a rally phase before the Presidential Inauguration event. Today's rally in metals and the SPY/QQQ suggests traders are eager to see the Q4:2024 results and are starting to PILE INTO the US equities markets after a very volatile end to 2024. Even though 2024 was a banner year for the SPY (up over 20% YoY), December was very difficult for many traders. Aren't you glad you listened to my advice and moved to 80-85% CASH back on October 25 and avoided all this chaos? As we start this week, I want to warn you that trades will be fairly quick in terms of "making up for lost ground". I believe quite a bit of the market's movement will take place overnight and pre-market. We'll still see some trending throughout the US regular trading session - but I believe the bigger moves will take place after hours in most cases. Remember, foreign capital will be pouring into US assets for safety and security over the next 3-6+ months. Gold and Silver will act as a hedge against perceived risks and I believe Gold will make a rally attempt above $2800 in early 2025. Silver.. Well, Silver is about to see an explosive move to levels above $35 in my opinion. Bitcoin is still struggling to break away from this sideways price range. I believe the real struggle will materialize in about 24 to 48 hours as Bitcoin reaches an overlapping consolidation phase (almost like a Flag Apex). This is where I believe big volatility will hit for Bitcoin. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
1/6 Weekly Watchlist + NotesIndexes - SPY had a really interesting start to the year this past week. For starters, we went 2-1-2d and hit magnitude on Thursday before seeing price retrace back through all of the weeks previous range before making new weekly highs, and closing green. We now have 1-2-2U potential on all indexes, as well as a LOT of names off my scanner. Its also worth noting that we poked through previous month lows on all indexes before seeing a reversal back into previous range. This now opens up the potential for outside months on all indexes (AKA engulfing bars) which will be evidenced by our weekly setups triggering the 1-2D-2U and targeting the previous month's midpoint on all indexes to trigger the SSS50% rule (Which essentially says when you break one side of previous range and then retrace more than 50% of the previous candles range, you are now closer to taking out that other side than you are to reclaiming the side that was already taken out. It doesn't necessarily mean price is more likely to go to the other side, but it does mean that there is less room to the other side than their is to the one side broken, which means it is fundamentally less difficult to achieve since it would require less effort from one group (in this case buyers) to reclaim one side vs the effort it would take the other group (Sellers) to reclaim the level broken already. This week it is evident we have all the setups and evidence needed to start heading back towards ATH on the indexes, but it will depend on whether we can actually take out previous week highs, and then remain above them. Simply put, if price is above previous week highs, we are seeing an attempt to reclaim the previous weekly highs all the way up to ATH. If we break above previous highs and fail to stay above, then we are seeing a failed attempt from buyers, and we can look to target previous week lows. If inside week, we just rely on what is happening each day to see where daily participants are attempting to take price. If price is stuck inside previous week range, trade something that isn't. The watchlist for the week will include the best bullish setups, and also looking for relative weakness in what is currently a strong market (as evidenced by the majority of stocks on all indexes being green on the previous day and week). Bullish: NYSE:LUV - Big hammer daily that took out a lot of daily pivots below on friday. Hammer week as well, but having mother bar issues on the week as well as M being inside despite large drawdown Friday. Sort of expecting a big move or big fail this week. NASDAQ:AMD - Revstrat hammer week at M/Q Exhaustion level NASDAQ:SMCI - 2-2U weekly to counter M going 2D. Daily BF looking to expand. (played this 2 weeks ago for downside, now we have evidence to go long back through range) NYSE:NET - 3-2U W to target ATH NASDAQ:MSFT - 2-1-2U D to trigger W hammer 2-2 to negate monthly 2-2 rev. Daily PMG as well Bearish: NYSE:KO - 3-1-2d shooter D, 2-1-2 W, 2-1-2 M. 3 Actionable signals that could all trigger and hit targets easily this week, if not all on Monday alone NYSE:DG Revstrat shooter W to trigger monthly 2-2D. Nice weekly Broadening Formation NASDAQ:DLTR - Failed 2U Week that triggered SSS50% rule. Looking to quickly drop back through previous range to take this month failed 2U to 3. DG also looking weak so slight industry support here too. Neutral: NASDAQ:AVGO - 2x Inside week. No daily AS, but seemingly making a new BF within the combined range of the 2 days after their recent ER. Weekly participants lacking control since then and currently showing evidence of sellers trying to take out LOD from ER gap up day. Can trade this either way since compound inside bars typically result in outside bars following.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Alanger17
1
Where is the Stock Market Heading? Forecast & Analysis thread!Where is the Stock Market Heading? 📈📉 Stock Market Forecast & Analysis🧵 In this thread, we’re breaking it down for you: -TA on TVC:VIX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM TVC:VIX -Economic Data -Insights & Predictions Let's dive in friends! Not financial advice NASDAQ:QQQ Monthly Chart analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -We are above 9ema and smoothing avg. Most importantly we are still within our Williams Consolidation Box which is my personal strategy I use with the Wr%. As long as we stay within the confines of this Box we will continue to climb higher on the Q's outside of pullbacks. Weekly Chart Analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -Held volume shelf -Wicked back above 9ema (BULLISH) -Ascending triangle patterns Measured Move has not been realized yet. $580 -Created a Hammer Candle which is a reversal candle found at the bottom of downtrends, pullback, or corrections. Had a Normal 6% Pullback and bounced hard around the S/R Zone. Everything I'm seeing is BULLISH going into CES2025 week and I believe we continue back to ATH's! TVC:VIX First up we have the Volatility AMEX:SPY Index which spiked up due to the FED dropping a FUD Nuke on the markets heading and causing the largest one day volatility spike in 2024. But, as you see below we have fallen in line since that day. We have created a bearish flag pattern and broken down through the base and should continue to flush lower. Keep in mind 60-70% of breakouts (either direction) come back to retest the point of the breakout area. Could see this happen with FOMC minutes being released this Wednesday. AMEX:SPY Monthly Chart analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -We are above 9ema and smoothing avg. -Wicked off previous resistance flipped into support Most importantly we are still within our Williams Consolidation Box and thriving! $650 2025 PT! Weekly Chart Analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -Wicked back above smoothing line -Created a Hammer Candle right above 9ema Had a Normal 4.35% Pullback and bounced hard around the S/R Zone. Everything I'm seeing is BULLISH going into CES2025 week and I believe we continue back to ATH's on the SPY! AMEX:IWM As I've stated in other posts the CAPITALCOM:RTY typically runs and plays catchup to the SPY and QQQ towards the end of bull runs and before the big corrections or crash comes. Weekly Chart Analysis: -At the bottom of an uptrend channel -Sitting on a massive volume shelf -At a massive S/R area -At the retest point for the Multi-Year CupnHandle breakout! With a Measured Move up to $306. Thats the same measurement of the CAPITALCOM:RTY catching back up to the $SPY. ECONOMICS:USCIR - Core Inflation Rate YoY Inflation is dead and falling like a rock! I don't hold any weight into what the FED was saying about inflation when he was the Grinch and spreading FUD. The FED is always to slow to do what is needed to be done and right now that is to continue to cut before things in the economy start to break due to higher rates. They raised rates to SLOW and they are choosing to cut rates to SLOW! What I'm seeing is we will continue to fall with small pockets of bounce backs in inflation on the overall down trend to sub 3 then sub 2 as you can see on the chart with the yellow levels. Overall Economic numbers are very positive and have been beating what the experts have been forecasting in December. We have some more data coming out this week and we will see if that trend continues. Like I said in a separate post, the FED has been talking about a boogeyman and spreading FUD but the DATA and NUMBERS show the BOOGEYMAN isn't REAL! Thanks for reading friend! If you enjoyed this analysis and forecast of the markets please like/ follow/ share if you feel I deserved it! ALL SOCIALS/ LINKS IN SIGNATURE BELOW AND PROFILE.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RonnieV29
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade: Learning A or B Trading StylesYesterday, after the GDP Now data hit, I received a number of messages related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work in comparison to big news data (like GDP, JOBS, PMI, & Others). Let me try to explain one simple thing to all of you. The SPY Cycle Patterns are based on GANN/Fibonacci Time/Price cycles. They DO NOT correlate or predict price movement based on NEWS EVENTS or other extraneous data. The SPY Cycle Patterns are, in essence, the core price expectations related to time/price cycles WITHOUT EXTERNAL NEWS EVENTS. They represent what price is likely to do without any big news, economic data, or critical major event taking place to disrupt the Cycle Pattern. So, it is important for traders to understand what I call the "A or B" type of trade setup. Price is always attempting to reach new highs or new lows - ALWAYS. Failure to reach new highs means price must roll downward and attempt to reach new lows. Failure to reach new lows means price must roll upward and attempt to reach new highs. It is that simple. Price is always attempting to break above previous critical highs or lows - ALWAYS. Thus, once you understand this as a basis of price structure/movement, then you can begin to apply more advanced patterns (Fibonacci Price Theory, Excess Phase Peak Pattern, Others) as an additional layer to price structure in an attempt to understand how price dictates all trending/movement. Now, one must also understand when price attempts to break levels (high or low), it can REJECT at those level (after breaking to new highs or lows). This is what I call a "Washout" pattern. Rejection happens when a new low or high is reached, but the price FAILS to continue to trend in that direction. For example, if price were to reach a new higher high, then reject, this would be an example that strong resistance exists at/near the previous high level - causing price to FAIL to maintain that new high price level. Thus, I would expect price to move downward after REJECTING at the new high levels (see above). The reason I'm trying to teach you these price concepts is because I want you to learn to make better decisions - not learn to just "follow along". You have to learn to understand price and understand how price moves related to opportunities. That is what trading is all about - anticipating price moves because of what you are able to discover on a price chart. Get some. Happy Friday. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Crypto & IWM Leading the way higher!At the beginning of the month, I anticipated a necessary pullback due to the red barrier on the Wr%. While I accurately predicted the pullback, I underestimated its severity and was slightly off on the timeline. As a swing/long-term trader, I'll accept minor discrepancies in the degree of severity and timing. In a previous video and subsequent write-ups, I emphasized that Crypto CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , and AMEX:IWM , CAPITALCOM:RTY would lead us out of the DIP. This week, we are witnessing exactly that! Crypto and the Russell 2000 are bouncing back stronger than NASDAQ:QQQ and $SPY. In my 2025 preview, I discussed how AMEX:IWM has lagged behind since its peak in 2021. Before this bull market truly ends, we need a catch-up rally where the Russell launches itself at the SP500. I believe we will witness this in 2025, culminating in a blow-off top similar to 2021, followed by a significant correction crash. Not financial advice.
AMEX:IWMLong
by RonnieV29
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-2-25 : Inside Pause PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stall a bit after the overnight reversion move. If you were following my research, you already knew I was expecting the markets to rally a bit over the past 3-5 trading days. But that didn't happen as the low liquidity end of year trading prompted another downside price event. In my opinion, this was all due to a lack of market liquidity. When there is very low liquidity, the MMs can move price more easily as the number of buyers and sellers drops (creating a wider price spread). It is also the type of market environment where FLASH CRASH types of events can take place. Now that we are into early 2025, liquidity will deepen (more active traders) and this will result in a possible reversion event (upward) in price leading to the Inauguration event (IMO). Just like I've been suggesting over the past 2-3+ weeks. Gold and Silver are recovering nicely. I believe Gold and Silver will move back towards their recent highs over the next 30+ days. Bitcoin is still struggling just below $100k, but I believe the ultimate move for Bitcoin will be a retracement to the downside before finding support near $72k and then starting a bigger rally above $120k. In 2025, I've made a commitment to do more to help more traders. I'm working on new TIMING tools to assist in developing better analysis for everyone. If this research/work plays out well, I'll try to make these new tools available to everyone. Remember, trading is all about managing capital, expectations, and risks. If you are still struggling with your trading - follow my research and learn how to time/execute better trades. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
2024 is a wrap - time for 2025 outlook - let's go2024 will be a memorable year -23% gains -Mag 7 + Semiconductors + Bitcoin all contributing nicely -PLTR was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 (impressive 340.48%) As always, 2024 wasn't in a straight line up, though it felt like it at times VIX had #1 and #2 largest single day moves ever (Aug 5 and Dec 18) April was a sticky inflation pullback month August was a Bank of Japan deleveraging weekend scare FED dominated the catalysts with guidance, narrative, and wait and see between employment and inflation data 2025 will bring new president, new policy, new Republican power. Many were excited about this but there are still checks and balances and markets need more reassurance than hyperbole. I plan to look at income plays and trading plays were buy and hold. Whatever I do own equities and ETFs wise, I want protection just in case the market isn't as straightforward and bullish like it has been since Oct 2022. Happy New Year - thanks for watching!!! See you in 2025!!!
TVC:US10Y
by ChrisPulver
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-31: Top PatternHappy New Year Everyone, Today's pattern is a TOP pattern. This suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally in early trading, attempting to identify a resistance level and then rolling into a TOP type of pattern. I don't expect the markets to fall much after reaching the top/resistance level. I expect it to be more of a stalling type of price action after reaching resistance. Gold and Silver will likely attempt to confirm a base/bottom near recent lows. I don't expect too much movement in metals today. Bitcoin moved below recent support, then rejected back to the upside. If this support fails, Bitcoin will move strongly to the downside over the next few days. As we move into 2025, capital will start to rush back into the markets in early January. This low-liquidity phase will end near Jan 5 through Jan 8. Be prepared for price to attempt to revert back into normal 0.5 to 1.25% price ranges - consolidating as liquidity increases in the markets over time. Remember, the first half of 2025 will be very volatile - so buckle up and get ready for some big price rotation in early 2025. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Daily Price Consolidation - End of 2024SPY (S&P500 ETF) is currently in a short-term consolidation price pattern (end of December 2024). SPY price needs to hold and rally above $583 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern. Support Prices to the downside are: $583, $577, $569, $555, $532. Resistance Prices to the upside are: $592, $600, $604, $613, $626. Several Key Events will be occurring in the USA, January 2025: -CES 2025 Conference (week 2) -Inflation Data (week 2) -Stock Market Earnings Season begins (week 2 to 4) -New President taking office, potential law changes (week 3 to 4) -FOMC Press Conference (week 4) Note: Any of the above events can cause stock market volatility and override technical charts. Date: 12/30/2024 pm
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts