UltraPro QQQ. Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged betsIt's gone 10 days or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press.
Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally.
The main graph is for UltraPro QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ and it indicates, that major 82-Dollars resistance for leveraged bets on Tech sector has not been broken yet.
👉 NASDAQ:QQQ is a traditional ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, suitable for long-term investors seeking broad exposure to tech-focused stocks.
👉 NASDAQ:TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to deliver triple (3x) the daily returns of the Nasdaq-100 Index, making it only suitable for short-term traders.
Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged bets (yet).
Potentially everything can be clear in January, 2025 only.
GL y'all. Cheers, @Pandorra 😎
QQQ
BEAR-TRAP : GAP Reversal May Lead To Larger EPP FlaggingPay attention to the dual Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns in the SPY this morning and how the current GAP Reversal pattern may resolve as a base/bottom in the markets in early trading.
I believe the markets will shift from this early breakdown into a moderate upward (Flagging) trend.
Learning to anticipate these types of shifts in the market can help you plan and prepare for future price trend rotations.
Knowing the SPY is likely to attempt to base/bottom from a broader EPP pattern (moving into the sideways Flagging stage #2) suggests traders may attempt to prepare for a 0.75% to 1.25% upward price swing over the next 2 to 4+ days.
This aggressive downward selling aligned perfectly with my SPY Cycle Patterns. Now, this low may be the Base/Bottom I'm expecting to shift into the FLAGGING phase of the larger EPP pattern (#2).
Buckle up. This should be fun.
Looks like a BEAR TRAP in the making.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-15: GAP-Reversal Counter-TrendToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will GAP downward at the open and attempt to identify a base/bottom throughout the day.
I belive this move may represent a pause in the downward trend, shifting into a FLAGGING pattern as part of a broader Excess Phase Peak pattern.
If I'm correct, we are going to move into a moderate BUYing opportunity for the SPY/QQQ lasting into Tuesday/Wednesday of next week.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up a base/bottom off a very deep Phase #5 (Ultimate Low) of a current Excess Phase Peak pattern. This means, if we continue to get confirmation, that Gold and Silver will attempt to move higher and attempt to move into the Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (a move into a consolidation phase).
BTCUSD is current exhibiting a dual type of Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests a broader breakdown is in the works. Possibly back down to 78-82k. This could be a very big contraction event for BTCUSD.
Buckle up.
Happy Friday.
Get some.
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Special Update: Trump Win Sets Off Predatory Fed ActionsThis video highlights why I believe 2025 & 2026 will be filled with incredible opportunities for traders/investors.
Most people don't understand that the world's financial markets are connected through central bank policy and credit/debt operations. Global economies operate in some ways as interconnected economies, but many aspects of individual global economies are unique to their local economies, governments, and monetary policies.
Right now, we are living through what may become the "Great Decoupling Event," as I believe the actions of the US Federal Reserve and global central banks over the past 10+ years have created a unique situation for investors.
There has never been a time when global central banks attempted to coordinate around a global event (like COVID) in an attempt to spark economic activity. Usually, global central banks operate somewhat autonomously, depending on localized credit/debt/economic factors.
After the COVID crisis, I believe global central banks moved back into that mostly autonomous mode and failed to see the potential strength of the US economy - driving foreign currency values and debt markets crazy.
With Trump's second term "locked up," the data shows the money supply activity and expectations have changed (upward). The recent rate decreases by the US Fed were in the wrong direction. Now that money supply activity is moving aggressively to the upside, I think the US Fed will aggressively change its direction and begin to raise rates in early 2025 (or maybe even before the end of 2024).
This video attempts to show you why I believe an Anomaly Event is very likely before January 2025 and why I believe the US Fed is currently unprepared for what will likely come in early 2025 with Trump's inauguration.
If this trend continues, the Fed will be forced to fight inflationary trends again aggressively, which will most likely put extreme pressure on global credit/debt markets.
As a trader/investor - this should present some great opportunities for skilled traders.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-14 : Temp Bottom In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to continue to flag sideways and slightly higher after finding support in early trading.
Watch my video in detail. I go into a lot of longer-term price pattern detail and discuss the post-election setup of my Anomaly Event expectation.
As I see the markets right now, they have moved, and continue to move in a direction that is likely to present a very real moderate crisis event over the next 3 to 6+ months.
The stronger US Dollar is very likely to put pressure on foreign markets/debt related to the "carry trade" that was abundant before and after COVID. The Trump win is sending the markets into a Super-Predator mode (maybe I'll create a new video about this), where global markets, central banks, and global financial institutions may be at risk related to their long-term debt positions.
At this point, The SPY and the QQQ will likely slide into a consolidation phase (a type of FLAGGING related to the broader Excess Phase Peak pattern) over the next 3+ days. Then, I expect the Anomaly Event to start to take shape and for the SPY/QQQ to begin a downward price trend.
Gold and Silver are struggling to find a bottom as the US Dollar continues to rally. Don't expect any relief for metals as along as the US Dollar is rallying like this.
This is a predatory shift related to global assets and Gold/Silver are going to stay weaker for as long as this shift continues.
BTCUSD may rally up to $108k~120k if my research is correct. BTCUSD is in a "rally to the ultimate high" mode based on a very large Weekly Excess Phase Peak pattern.
Remember, everything you need to know is already on the price chart. You just have to learn to identify these patterns and spend some time looking around at various intervals to figure out what is going to happen next.
Get some.
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CHWY has this 39$ potential- 32.87 is a key support area, breaching it and chances of CHWY poking the 39 this month is weak.
- look for 35 call this week with profit target around 36.
- On a monthly time frame this can go to 39, but thats all depend on keeping with this
bullish momentum.
- Resistance are likely around 34.49, 36.72 and 39.56
500% gains SGMO BUY/HOLD swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, today let's review 3days price chart for SGMO.
Previously One of the titans of the biotech industry then fell out
of grace and dumped 95% off the highs from the prior distribution range.
🔸Currently decent recovery off the lows and also we got bullish
liquidity gaps protecting downside below 1.00 USD. currently trading
near 2.50 USD, however this is also heavy resistance so expecting
decent pullback to pickup liquidity below before the rally resumes.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for pullback to complete
near 1.00 USD. The target for the bulls is re-test of mid of the multiyear
distribution range at 5-6.00 USD, so this is 500-600% gains from the
recommended entry price at 1.00 USD. Keep in mind, this is a swing
trade setup also a 500%+ move in biotech industry may take a while
to complete, so this is a setup for patient BUY/HOLD traders.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ 2/3 to targetI've been tracking this CME_MINI:NQ1! cup and handle since the handle broke out last year. We are now 2/3 of the way to target and with the Trump pump seems ever more likely it reaches target. I still believe there are some nasty times ahead sometime after the 10Y3M fully uninverts, but in the meantime I'm looking up. 25,000 is the big target for the nasdaq.
GOLD WAVE 4 UNDERWAY final top 3200The chart posted ahs been my work and view of GOLD we topped into major wave 3 at the higher targets of 2824 plus or minus 50 . I turned rather bearish at 2763. We are now in the pullback and will post details for wave 4 low this will mark a nice bottom and we will see the LAST BULL MARKET WAVE UP into 3200 from this point I see a 1980 top and then The major crash similar to 1980 to 1982 . BTW I made my first windfall into the 1982 low in gold and silver at 26 yrs old I feel rather strong as to the similarities Regan =Trump
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-13 : Consolidation PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Consolidation pattern. I believe the SPY will continue to attempt to form a "rolling top" pattern over the next few days and attempt to move into my Anomaly event over the next 15+ days.
This Anomaly event is likely to prompt a fairly strong downward trend related to the recent post-election rally.
I believe Gold and Silver MAY HAVE found the ultimate low. It sure looks like Gold and Silver are attempting to base with a near-perfect Excess Phase Peak pattern Ultimate Low setup.
Time will tell. If gold and silver fall further, the rallying of the US dollar will likely be the cause.
I'm watching BTCUSD for a toping formation as I spent quite a bit of time going over the dual Excess Phase Peak pattern in BTCUSD. This is very interesting because it aligns with Fibonacci Price Theory very cleanly.
Today, it seems traders can kind of take a break from the markets. If my analysis is correct, today will be a fairly quiet Consolidation day - where price attempts to trade in a bit of a sideways price mode - searching for the next big move.
Pay attention to the BTCUSD chart where I highlight the 13:00 to 15:00 ET Flag Apex time. It appears BTCUSD may move into a volatile price phase near this time - possibly associated with some news or event.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-12 : Top/Resistance PatternToday's video is filled with great content.
Near the end of the video, I review the 11 SPDR sectors related to my deep research into my Anomaly price pattern.
Right now, I see the markets as very over-extended (overbought). I believe the markets will attempt to contact over the next 15-20+ days - setting up a base/bottom before a very late-stage Santa Rally sets up.
I've been very busy over the past few day and have a family member in the hospital right now. So, I'll be away from my PC for a bit today.
Remember, protect capital at all times.
I've been getting messages from people suggesting some traders are trying to go ALL-IN on some of these bigger price moves.
My suggestion more than three weeks ago (and even right now), is you should be in 85% CASH unless you can take the LUMPS related to trading through a hotly contested election event.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-11: Gap Potential In Trend ModeHappy Veterans Day.
Thanks to all the current and past service members who have dedicated so much time and effort to protect all of us from the evil in the world. If you have anyone in your family that has served in the military, please take a moment to call and thank them for their service today.
As today is a Federal holiday, I expect the markets to be somewhat muted in terms of trends.
We are still seeing BTCUSD rally higher as the Trump win delivers a clear mandate related to global crypto/blockchain opportunities.
We are still dealing with a market in a post-election rally phase. I believe this rally phase will diminish over the next 5 to 7+ days and move into the early stages of my Anomaly phase.
My research suggests the US and global markets are likely to move into a consolidation phase before attempting to move into a very late phase Santa Rally.
So, at this point, with the SPY breaching 600 in pre-market trading, I would suggest traders start to PULL PROFITS and prepare for what I believe will be a moderate consolidation of price over the next 5-7+ trading days.
Gold and Silver are still FLAGGING in an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. This is currently a bearish price trend - attempting to break higher to move into a rally to Phase #3 (consolidation).
We could see some big price rotation today if Gold and Silver break above the FLAGGING trend.
Buckle up.
Get some.
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How to PREDICT MARKETS! Tops and BottomsIn this video, I go over the following in great detail:
Predicting Markets with Williams %R, RSI, and MACD
Predicting market movements can be challenging, but combining the Williams %R, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicators can provide powerful insights for traders.
Williams %R measures the current closing price relative to the high-low range over a specific period, helping identify overbought or oversold conditions. RSI gauges the speed and change of price movements, also indicating overbought or oversold levels. MACD analyzes the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price, identifying potential buy or sell signals.
By using these three indicators together, traders can:
Confirm Trends: When all three indicators align, it strengthens the signal for a potential trend continuation or reversal.
Identify Entry and Exit Points: Overbought or oversold signals from these indicators can help pinpoint optimal entry and exit points.
Reduce False Signals: Combining multiple indicators can help filter out false signals, increasing the reliability of predictions.
Opening (IRA): QQQ Nov 15th 420 Covered Call... for a 415.50 debit.
Comments: After taking off my Nov 415 covered call in profit (See Post Below), re-upping here, but at a slightly higher strike (there are only five-wides available). The 420 is at the -87 delta, so this is less aggressive than I usually do (-75 delta call). However, I've already booked profit in the November cycle, so am fine with getting what is kind of a weak sauce ROC here with plenty of "room to be wrong," particularly with the elections coming up.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 415.50/share
Max Profit: 4.50 ($450)
ROC at Max: 1.08%
50% Max: 2.25 ($225)
ROC at 50% Max: .54%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out the short call on side test/IV expansion.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone,
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode.
I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally.
I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video.
I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern.
And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks.
As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life.
I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research.
I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves.
Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Can AMD hit 240 USD in Q1 2025? 100% BUY/HOLD for the bulls.🔸Time to update the AMD trade setup, this is a speculative bull flag
with pole setup in progress, with 100% upside potential.
🔸AMD massively trailing behind NVDA entire year in 2024, expecting
AMD to catch up next few months. Currently price action compressing
withing bull flag, based on measured move projection expecting price
target is 240 USD, so this 100% upside from the entry price for the bulls.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback to complete near 120 USD in December going into holiday seasons, limited downside beyond 120 USD. BUY/HOLD near 120 TP bulls is 240 USD, which is 100% upside. Expecting target to get hit in Q1 2025. good luck traders.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Fibonacci/Gann & 3-6-9 Chart Play: The TOP may be IN I was trying to identify if/how the market may be topping in relation to the post-election rally phase and started with a blank Daily SPY chart.
After drawing a few line of the chart, I started with an idea that Broad market pullbacks may be the key to identifying/timing market expansion phases (coupled with a bit of logic).
This video highlights this theory going back to 2018 and examines a number of price pullback trends as well as Fibonacci Timing structures related to Fibonacci Price Expansion blocks.
I think you will find this very useful as I continue to delve deeper into the 3-6-9 structure, polarity shifts (binary shifts) and trying to unlock the secrets of price trends/extensions.
Hope you enjoy...
Oh.. and it looks like the US markets are about to top if my research is correct.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-7 : Rally Pattern DayGood morning,
Although I would argue the post-election rally may already be moving into exhaustion, the SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a Rally pattern in Trending mode. So, I expect the markets to attempt a bit of a carryover rally phase today - moving into a Counter-trend Rally pattern tomorrow.
That counter-trend rally pattern suggests the markets will try to find a peak/top and roll downward into the close of the week.
Gold and Silver appear to be basing with a potential for another move downward today - retesting recent lows. Based on my estimate related to Fibonacci Time Cycles, I believe Metals is looking for a momentum base to rally off of. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for a big move upward in Gold and Silver over the next 4 to 7+ trading days.
Bitcoin is still in a Bullish trending phase after breaking into new highs. Today, I spent quite a bit of time going over the Excess Phase Peak pattern related to how the price is trending and what to expect.
It is critical to understand that the markets will move away from this post-election relief rally phase over the next week or so. Ultimately, what has changed is that we have a new POTUS with new policies and objectives in 2025. Right now, everything is still pretty much the same as it was last week.
Volatility is still high and I urge traders to stay cautious. The time for adding more liquidity will come after November 25-30.
Remember, the number 1 rule for traders is to Protect Capital. You can still trade, just trade much smaller allocation levels for now.
We are about to move into a period of moderate consolidation. Sit back and wait out this sideways trend. The real opportunity will come after November 25-30.
Get some.
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Accelerating Ahead: Is Now the Time to Invest or Should You WaitOverview: Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Current Price: $288.53 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Consumer Discretionary / Automobiles
Tesla has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $180.00 - $288.53
One-Month Range: $250.00 - $288.53
Support Level: $270.00
Resistance Level: $300.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: January 25, 2025
Dividend Payment Date: N/A (Tesla does not currently pay dividends)
Ex-Dividend Date: N/A
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 68.84 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $2.5 billion
TTM: $10 billion
Dividend Yield: N/A
Institutional Holdings: 55%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 65 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $260.00
200-Day: $220.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (TSLA): 68.84 vs. Industry Average: 20.00
P/B Ratio (TSLA): 15.00 vs. Industry Average: 3.00
EV/EBITDA (TSLA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 10.00
Tesla's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 30%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 25% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.5 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $20 billion
Current Ratio: 1.8
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – Tesla announced a strategic partnership with a leading battery manufacturer, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about Tesla's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Ford Motor Company (F): $10.55, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
General Motors Company (GM): $45.20, P/E 10.00, Revenue Growth 3%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $288.53 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $288.53 = $31.47
Percentage Gain: ~10.90%
Stop Loss (SL): $270.00
Potential Downside: $288.53 - $270.00 = $18.53
Percentage Loss: ~6.42%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.90% (reward) / 6.42% (risk) ≈ 1.70
Entering at $288.53 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $270.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $270.00 = $50.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $250.00
Potential Downside: $270.00 - $250.00 = $20.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $270.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $320.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $300.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $250.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
Tesla's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $288.53): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $270.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $270.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on Tesla's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.