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S&P 500 - Key Levels and Measurements (Bonds vs Yields vs Homes)Happy Friday!!! Starting with a BLANK chart, here are my key levels and measurements for the S&P 500 Earnings season is stable, more MAG 7 next week with AAPL, AMZN, META, MSFT Trump and Company are softening the trade war narrative quickly and the market is taking notice. Prices recovered nicely this week 5500 SPX is a key level for the bulls to push above - if done look for open space melt-up into 5700-5800 resistance If SPX rejects 5500 early next week we will be dealing with some more noise and intermediate levels 4830 lows will be absolutely critical to maintaining a long-term bull market. You will see why with this analysis. Last piece is talking about bonds vs yields and the current housing market in the US My belief is that yields stay sticky and home prices MUST drop to see any improvements in affordability Thanks for watching - have a great weekend!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
1
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID. 𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs. 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets. $NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by KobesyTrades
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting. You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward. Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance. As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty. I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled. I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week. Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver. I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today. BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range. It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months. Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
17
$GOOG Possible Demand Zone 155-143 Targeting 178 By earning!One of worst weekly candles and 3 bearish soldiers pattern made it extremely bearish but now entered the demand zone between 155 to 143 expecting accumulation into this range then possible bottom by mid of April then moving higher after earning targeting upper gap but we keep the target more secure by targeting 178 as closing trade. 161-164 is strong resistance . so the idea bye with weakness and accumulate during coming days with stop loss below 140 approx. Earning estimate 1.6 which is a drop from 2.4 last quarter by 30% - P/E at 19.98 EPS at 8.12 - Average analyst rating at 215 (+60$) from last close at 156. these fundamental make this idea is much likely to succeed. Good luck - please like and share . thanks
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by WinnerTrader99
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : EPP Flag Setup CompleteI created this video to highlight the current EPP Flag setup in the SPY/ES. It is my opinion that the market are about ready to ROLL OVER into a downward trend because of this current EPP setup. Once the FLAG forms (in this case a BULLISH FLAG), the next phase is a BREAKDOWN INTO CONSOLIDATION. It is my belief the current FLAG will prompt a breakdown in price - moving into a lower consolidation range. I'm highlighting this EPP pattern to help everyone learn how to use them more efficiently. Get ready. If I'm right, we're going to see a big move downward over the next 2-4+ days. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
32
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 4-24 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests we'll see similar price action today to what we saw yesterday. We will very likely see a little support in early trading today, followed by a moderate meltdown-type trend. I'm not expecting much to happen today - but we could get some news or other data that may prompt some type of bigger move in the markets. Yesterday evening, I shared an "Update" video with everyone. In that video, I highlighted some of my active trades. I've gotten a few messages from followers asking if I can share more data related to my trades. I'm sorry, but that won't happen in these FREE Plan Your Trade videos. I shared some of my trades yesterday to highlight how I had moved into a moderate Short/PUT position, trying to stay ahead of the bigger market trend. In other words, I'm not chasing the nickels. I'm setup to try to profit from the DOLLARS. Gold and Silver may stay somewhat muted over the next 48 hours. But, I do expect them to try to melt upward. BTCUSD appears to be setting up a BULL TRAP. I, personally, don't trust this upward price move because it is counter to the EPP price structure. I could be wrong. But right now, I just don't trust the upside move in BTCUSD, knowing the SPY/QQQ should move into a deeper MAJOR LOW in early May. Again, these videos are designed to help you build your skills and find your own style of trading. I really do hope all of you are benefiting from my continued work to deliver these videos. GET SOME... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
4
QQQ - Your guess is as good as mineMarkets are all over the place. I know ground breaking info. I don't think there is any clear answer to what is next. Even if Trump does reduce tariffs on China, they are still going to be some of the highest in recent history. However, it looks like Trump has flinched and China has the upper hand. That is just likely going to make Trump more erratic since his policies are emotional/ego driven and not strategic. Overall, there are likely some short-term gains to be have as the market likes to always push up when not in an panic sell. For now, the worst of the news is over and the low from the other week is likely going to be the bottom for the near future. I expect stock to continue this up and down until the tariffs work there way through the system and we see the true effect on the economy. We punched above the 20 day SMA yesterday and will likely test it for support today and tomorrow. If it holds, I wouldn't be surprised to see prices test the 200 day. Hard to know what crazy stuff Trump will do over the weekend, so we will have to see. Good luck and enjoy the ride.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Dr_Roboto
1
$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows: Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25 Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86 Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TazmanianTrader
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's pattern really showed up pre-market. Where was the rally today? It happened before the US markets opened for business. The SPY/QQQ had already moved up into my upper resistance area on strong buying overnight. I knew I had to run my father around most of the day, so I booked my profits this morning and tried to catch one little SPY rally (that didn't work out). So, I started taking some positions for next week's potential downtrend, and I thought, "How much risk am I taking on these trades if the markets continue to move upward?" I realized I would be taking about $1000 to $1400 in total risk, but my expiration date is near May 16. So my target for any profit really needs to be before May 10th or so. If the markets do what I expect, I'll be sitting back, watching my profits grow as the markets trend downward into my May 2 Major Bottom (I hope). I created this video to highlight the now partially confirmed inverted EPP pattern that setup the Ultimate High in early trading today. Now that we've completed the inverted EPP pattern, we should be looking for the ES/SPY/QQQ to move downward, shift into a sideways/upward price flag. Then, break down into the new Consolidation phase. Essentially, if my EPP patterns play out well, I timed my move away from longs/calls and into shorts/puts almost perfectly. Now, I just need to sit back and wait for the markets to make a move. This is what trading is all about. You can't kick the markets to do what you want them to do. You have to learn to take what the markets give you and fall in line with market trends. When you do that well, profits start to fall into your lap (if you are patient). Follow along as I break down these market trends and learn how to develop your own skills. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
April 23 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis April 23 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis EOD accountability report: +2325 on Eval, didn't trade funded Sleep: 10 hour, Overall health: :check: — 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 11:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy signal) B+ set up — 1:33 PM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal) B+ set up — 1:55 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 3:31 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal) Next day plan--> Short 48m MOB Video Recap -->
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
The Graveyard Of Hope!The Graveyard of Hope is littered with "Buy The Dippers." How many times can "Buy The Dippers" lick the stove before they finally learn their lesson not to believe anything Trumpchenko says? The Elona MAGA algorithm goes like this Over promise Under deliver Lie Declare victory Leave or Victim Blame Meanwhile, the economy falls into an economic recession/depression abyss! I am A political. I call it as I see it. My religion is Economics, Charts, and money. They don't lie! Click Boost, follow, and subscribe. Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help more people navigate these crazy markets. Don't smoke the hopium crackpipe. It will financially ruin you.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by RealMacro
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will continue to push higher, possibly breaking upper resistance near $550/493. As I suggested in this video, I believe the upward price trend bias will continue into Friday (4-25) and suddenly shift into a BEARISH price trend/bias early next week. The May 2-5 Major Bottom cycle low, my research predicts, will happen and should prompt a fairly strong downward price trend as we near the end of April and head into early May. Gold and Silver will likely consolidate a bit over the next 24-48 hours. So, this is a great time to pick lower entry price levels for LONGS/CALLS. Ultimately, I'm still expecting Gold to rally above $3750 before the end of May and attempt to target $4500++ before the end of June. BTCUSD is moving into a potential "INVALIDATION" phase. Although I'm currently estimating the probability of that invalidation at about 20-30%, it is still a valid price trend. I believe BTCUSD will shift into a downward price trend as the markets continue to unwind excesses through the May, July, and October lows, according to my cycles. The big opportunity for traders over the next 48 hours is playing the upward trend bias in the SPY/QQQ - then moving into a mode of preparation for next week's breakdown/downward price trend in the SPY/QQQ. So, play it smart. Follow the chart and don't try to be a superhero. Play what is in front of you and prepare for the bigger price swings headed into next week and beyond. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
$SPX Urgent! My <3 & My Soul: Slow Bleed Crash to 3k by Q4 26' Do be warned. Very important post here. I put my heart and soul into this. I made a video earlier and then it got deleted by accident, so I made a less happy one right after. I've got news for all the bulls and investors out there that feel they will be able to continue buying every single dip out there. Get ready for the dip that keeps dipping. Big names already cracking heavy. NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:NVDA to name a few. Big tech is getting cleaned out and layoffs are on the rise. Tariffs create huge amounts of uncertainty. I don't feel like this is rocket science. Buffet is all cash. 89% of Hedge Fund managers believe the US market is the most expensive its ever been and Tutes have been selling at the highest rate ever before. I think it's time the US finally gets a shake down. Bullish conditioning has been running rampant, and I've seen Social Media Accounts discourage charting and only paying attention to price action? Price action involves the entire collective, not just one Timeframe. Anyways, here's an overlay from 01' ... the only one I could find that matches. Says short 560 around May 7th and then take profits around 500 again. Let's make this a nice one. Calls till 560 into May then flip to Puts into June. From then short 530 every time you can. $450 is My first target after we break previous lows. I will update as we go. Have a good one yall.
SP:SPXShort
by TazmanianTrader
1
April 22st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** April 22st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** EOD accountability report: +325 Sleep: 3 hour, Overall health: tired **Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System** — 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 10:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 10:51 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 11:20 AMVXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (Triple signal) C+ set up 1:12 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal (Double X3 signal) 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 3:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 3:10 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (Triple signal) C+ set up
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by WallSt007
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-22 : EPP StructuresThis video highlights why the Excess Phase Peak pattern is so important for traders to understand and follow. Imagine being able to see into the future and to be able to plan/project price action in a way that is like putting together building blocks (or Leggos). That is what the Excess Phase Peak pattern represents for all traders. Once you understand it and learn to use it, you'll see how it presents very clear opportunities for you to plan and execute fantastic trades in any market. Fibonacci Price Theory, Energy Cycles, & The Excess Phase Peak patterns are really the core structures of price. Elliot Wave is fantastic for "after the fact" type of analysis. IMO, you don't really know how the EW count is truly structured until after the current major wave structure is complete (meaning you are 2-3 waves into the new (counter-trend) structure. Watch this video and try to think about how I'm taking the EPP patterns to learn to plan out opportunities for price based on STRUCTURE - not indicators or averages. This is how the markets work. Pay attention and GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BradMatheny
11
SPY Plan Your Trade For 4-22 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets are moving in a counter-trend mode and that we may see a Breakaway type of price bar. The current trend is Bearish. Thus, I believe the current Counter-Trend is Bullish. As many of you already know. I picked up some Calls off the lows yesterday after noticing a complete EPP pattern (Ultimate Low) setup about 75 minutes before the end of the regular trading day on 4-21. My opinion, overall, is that we are still stuck within a consolidation phase. But that doesn't mean we can't see the SPY/QQQ move higher (toward the upper consolidation high) or roll back downward (toward the lower consolidation low). I do believe we are moving into a moderate upward price trend over the next 3-4+ days where price will attempt to retest the 525-535+ level on the SPY, then ROLL into a top and start a sharp downtrend. This volatility presents an incredible opportunity for traders. Staying ahead of these trends is key to improved success. The SPY Cycle Patterns are fairly clear. We've moved into consolidation, and the price is very volatile. The Counter Trend pattern today may setup a 3-4+ day minor rally in the SPY/QQQ. But, ultimately, I believe the SPY/QQQ will roll downward into the May Cycle lows - just as I have been predicting for the past 45+ days. Don't get greedy. Play the immediate trend and learn to identify the EPP patterns on 5-minute charts. Today should be a very good day for traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Plan Your Trade Update For 4-21 : Waiting For The EPP SetupThis video is, hopefully, going to help many of you learn to use the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern more efficiently. For months, I've been trying to teach all of you to use this pattern to efficiently identify and trade some of the biggest price moves. Remember, price only does TWO THINGS - TREND or FLAG. These components are essential to the EPP pattern setup. First, price must TREND into a peak or trough. Second, price must pullback from the peak or trough. Third, price must move into a SIDEWAYS/FLAGGING formation. Forth, price must break away from the sideways/flagging formation and attempt to TREND into the new consolidation phase. Fifth, once the new consolidation phase starts, price will trend and flag within the consolidation range for a period of time - before... Sixth, price will attempt to break up or down to the Ultimate High/Low. This chart of the ES/SPY will show you how I used my analysis to "front-load" my positions before the Easter holiday weekend. I've been telling all of you the markets would likely attempt to move a little bit higher, trying to target 525-535 (if we are lucky). Then, price would roll into a topping formation and move downward towards my May 3-6th low (estimate). Last Thursday, I decided to throw on two positions to protect against any big news that may cause the markets to collapse over the holiday weekend. I picked up : 4 SDS CALL options @ $23 expiring on May 16 3 XLF PUT options @ $47 expiring on May 16 Both of those trades worked out perfectly this morning. I booked 2 of the XLF and 2 of the SDS for profits near 1030 AM PT. Lovely. Next, in between phone calls and loading up my car for a short trip, I noticed a beautiful EPP pattern setting up in the ES, and that EPP pattern has already reached what I believe to be the Ultimate Low. I tried to get into 2 SPY Call options @ $512 and held my breath to see if I timed the entry well. NOT. I took a $280+ loss on those two Calls. I waited a bit longer to see what price did, and after the price setup a base below $510 on the SPY, I loaded up on two more SPY Calls @ $510 and two SSO calls @ $67 about 70-80 minutes before the end of trading. The way I looked at it, I already had my downside trades placed from last Thursday, and I just added some upside exposure while my downside trades were profitable. I didn't know if the SPY would rally or not, but the EPP Ultimate Low setup suggested NOW is the time to buy. So, I kept both downside and upside trades active to protect my account overnight. The SPY rallied into the close, and I ended up making some nice profits off that EPP Ultimate Low. Now, I'm going to wait to see what happens tomorrow morning and try to BOOK my upside trades in profits while letting my longer-term downside trades play out into early/mid May. This is trading. The entire purpose of trading, like I trade, is to position for the best opportunities and try to catch the GIFTS the market throws at you as often as possible. Nothing is guaranteed, but price ultimately shows us everything we need to know. Watch this video to see if you understand the EPP Ultimate Low that prompted me to buy my CALLS today. If so, then you are starting to GET IT, and that is a very big step towards improving your trading skills. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
8
Noise, S&P Scenario, Gold BubbleThank you to the tradingview community for engaging and supporting my content. After another rough start to the week, we have a bit of a crossroads ahead for the S&P 1) We revisit the April 7 lows and poke lower with bear trap opportunities 2) We hold Monday April 21 lows and grind back up to gap fill and revisit 5400-5500 resistance 3) We go nowhere with a lot of intraday volatility and noise (between the April 7 low and the April 9 high) The markets are on high alert DXY Gold Bitcoin US Bonds vs Treasuries (yields rising) Trump is more vocal about threatening the FED or firing Powell and the concern is truly unprecedented Trade War pause is still ongoing, China is being vocal as well to make sure countries don't simply line up to support the US. For all of this to calm down, US and China have to play nice. China is likely able to hold the line longer than the US in the near-term Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
3
$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound. After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows. And then it bounced back lower 254 $ which is the 0.618 Fib Level. AMEX:TSLY is steadily trading within these 2 Fib levels and seems that it fails to break out of this pattern. The stock seems to build a base between 250 and 214 which can be a good place to accumulate the stock. With Elon distracted by DOGE affairs it seems we are missing any catalyst for this stock. So NASDAQ:TSLA fans can keep on accumulating here and wait for a breakout. But to all my NASDAQ:TSLA fans there are already breaks out in other large caps in progress. Look at $MSFT. More regarding NASDAQ:MSFT in the upcoming blogs Verdict: NASDAQ:TSLA accumulate between 214 – 250 $ if you need to. Else look for other mega caps.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by RabishankarBiswal
1