QQQ
Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024
Based on the provided levels for the NQH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets:
Weekly Pivot: 17847 Current Price: 18000
Upside Targets:
First Target: 18090
Second Target: 18348
Third Target: 18605
Downside Targets:
First Target: 17731
Second Target: 17560
Third Target: 17378
Trade Plan:
Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (17847).
Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (17847) or if the price breaks above the current price (18000).
Targets: Target the upside levels of 18090, 18348, and potentially 18605.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week.
Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (18847) or the current price (18000).
Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (17731) or the current price (18000).
Targets: Aim for downside targets of 17731, 17560, and potentially 17378.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels.
Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade.
Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.
QQQ: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the QQQ pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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QQQ Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 435.48
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 429.45
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 431.06
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 423.50
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ pull back done or another leg down?QQQ had a bad week last week after trying since February to break long term resistance of the Blue trading channel. There was a lot of momentum but ultimately after being squeezed between resistance of the blue channel and support from black channel midline, it was time to take profit for the big guys. Clearly, inflation readings and uncertainty about interest rate cuts were the main factors.
A hard sell off last week to establish a clear down channel with the biggest selling on Friday. Using the channel from August to November last year and with some minor tweaks, you can see that it ended Friday right on the support line.
Another thing I was looking at were several of the most recent pullbacks over the last few years. You can see them overlayed on the peak of March 21st. Going by them, QQQ has already come close to extent of the smaller pullbacks.
In my limited experience, these two indicators are usually a good sign for a rebound this week. The RSI is also in the oversold range and in line with other bottoms. The rebound could just be a short-term rally in the down channel like back in Aug and Sept last year with another leg down in the coming month or so. Or we could see a new attempt to break out of the blue channel.
Either way, I was brave enough to open a few positions Friday before the close. Hopefully I don't regret that.
$FSLR Entering Stage 2 Breakout?NASDAQ:FSLR I have been watching FSLR since Feb 27th earnings. It has been whipping around in a range but in doing so it has managed to keep putting in Higher Lows. The pure definition of an uptrend. They reported earnings again on May 1st and beat expectations. Their guidance was simply in line with future estimates. However, they have gotten several upgrades to Buy or Outperform in the last 2 days, most in the $220 to $250 range.
I have started a full-sized position today with a stop just below the lower band of the current consolidation. “If” the market holds up I expect that FSLR will outperform and could easily run 20% to 30%. Only time will tell.
For a true breakout to happen it will have to get above that flat line on the current flat base. However, I like early entries closer to the 20 EMA. If you decide this trade looks good to you, please make sure it fits your trading rules. My idea but your money.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
$XBI Breaks Out of DowntrendAMEX:XBI I put this trade on yesterday morning as it broke above the short term downtrend line. However, I closed it near the end of day as the whole market was giving up its gains. (I did make a small profit).
I am now back in it again as it regains the 20 EMA (green). My stop is just below today’s low which also corresponds with the 20 EMA.
It looks like there “could” be resistance in the area it is trading today. I think if it can get over yesterday’s high, we could see it test the 50 DMA in red above. That is about $4 above where it is trading currently. All to be determined.
I did have a trade idea on this back on March 17th. Link to that idea below.
The chart I am using is the All-In-One LevelUp tool available here on TV. Check it out.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Opening (IRA): QQQ September 20th 430 Short Put... for a 4.34 credit.
Comments: Adding a rung out in Sept at the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging Into the Q's. I already have rungs on in June, July, and August ... .
Will naturally back-track into shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Opening (IRA): QQQ July 21st 380 Short Put... for a 3.90 credit.
Comments: Starting to tip-toe into Q3 (July/August/September) contracts in broad market (IWM, SPY, QQQ). Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
As usual, will look to sell in shorter duration on weakness, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Don't Panic! Nasdaq Bear Breakout May Signal Trading RangeNasdaq Market Analysis Report
Overview
The Nasdaq Composite Index has displayed a bearish breakout from a prominent top pattern on the daily chart. This pattern followed a strong bullish trend, indicating a potential shift into a trading range rather than a fully-fledged bear trend. I'll analyze where the market could find a bottom, explore potential trading strategies, and offer a market outlook.
Bear Breakout and Trading Range Potential
While the April breakout was strong, a transition period into a trading range remains likely due to the preceding bull market. Identifying the range's bottom is crucial for pinpointing trading opportunities.
Support Levels and Market Direction
Key support areas to watch include:
- Previous All-Time High: A natural support level.
- 200-Day Moving Average: Historically significant indicator.
- 50% Pullback: Common retracement level in major trends.
- Weekly Bull Channel Trendline: Provides underlying support.
- Round Number Levels: $16000 and $15000 offer psychological support.
Market sentiment will be influenced by whether bears continue to hold the current scenario, preventing any substantial breakouts above previous highs.
Trading Strategies
- Bullish Approach: Consider selling volatility (e.g., put spreads with 45 DTE) near the identified support levels.
- Bearish Approach: Selling around current prices with a stop at the recent all-time high could work. Look for double/triple tops or trade resistance from the 50-day MA.
Conclusion
The Nasdaq likely faces extended correction towards either the 200-day MA or the weekly bull channel's lower trendline. Price action around these areas will provide clues to the market's true direction, allowing for suitable adjustments to your trading strategies.
✏️ Weekly Report: Volatility makes Cash the King againGENERAL COMMENTS
Today, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates unchanged, highlighting the ongoing challenges in curbing inflation. Initially, this announcement propelled the markets upwards, but a sharp downturn occurred in the final hour, leading to a decline as the day concluded.
The erratic market behavior demonstrated today makes it increasingly challenging to maintain positions in momentum stocks, and the majority of this quarter's earnings reports have been underwhelming. This situation underscores the strategy that cash remains paramount, complemented by selective, quick trading opportunities, as depicted in the following charts.
I will begin tonight's chart analysis with the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ).
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs are forming a bearish formation. What is worrying is that this is below the 50D Simple Moving average. As trading is a probabilities game, we can conclude that this leads to probabilities being lower that we continue to the downside. However, the direction of the general market indexes are very well influenced by the fundmental story of the economy health.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
SMTC is up $4 from the $33 Buy Point (alerted in previous versions of this idea - go and check. Believe and Follow). This peaked yesterday with about +20% profit since the alert last week. Of course the way I manage this is never to let this to turn into a loss. My general go to tool is to take half here.
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NASDAQ:KLAC
KLAC fell back to $687 after missing earnings. This of course stopped me out - but at no loss, since I move stopped up to break-even.
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NASDAQ:SMCI
The stock missed its earnings and suffered a severe reaction of a gap down and drop -20% on the intraday.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA slashed below the 50D SMA and this stopped me out. Waiting and watching this TML during its base building period.
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NYSE:GS
Up $7 from the $419 buy point with stop raised to $416 just in case.
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NYSE:CRM
CRM is prone to go lower if the market continues falling. A break below $266.50 is great place to short.
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NYSE:LLY
Gapped up on good earnings. The next technical buy point is $801 accommodated with heavy volume.
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NASDAQ:MRNA
Earnings are due out tomorrow. If earnings are good then zooming through the $116 on good volume is a great technical buy point
QQQ Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 414.64
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 423.93
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
✏️ Weekly Report: "Buy in May and Stay"?MARKET OVERVIEW
The stocks had a good turnaround after a strong report from $NASDAQ:KLAC. NASDAQ:MSFT Also posted strong earnings!
Could the famous saying "Sell in May and go away" turn to "Buy in May and Stay"?
Lets review some charts.
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs snapped back after strong earnings. Now it looks like we are heading for the 50D SMA
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NASDAQ:KLAC
Up $19 from the $687 buy point that I shared in previous idea ( see related ideas below )
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NASDAQ:NVDA
Mentioned it in previous idea ( see related ideas below ) before it skyrocketed $51. Could consider here or a little bit lower if it consolidates.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
Up $2 from the $33 buy point mentioned last week on the idea. Potential add point is the $35ish level.
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NASDAQ:META
We warned about META, what we are seeing is that buyers are stepping in on Friday and Thursday to support it. For the aggressive traders could play a snap back but personally, I would pass.
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NASDAQ:MSFT
MSFT snapped and squatted lower. Consolidation around the 50D SMA would present a good opportunity for a buy. Before that I would pass.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Nothing to do on Bitcoin but wait during the base building period is over
04/27/2024 - Watchlist, Stocks, Crypto - Video Idea - TA ChartsWatchlist, Stocks Indexes, Bitcoin, Crypto TA Charts by @NoFomoCharts
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04/27/2024, 08:00PM EST Video Idea.
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All content is Not financial advice.