Qqqforecast
QQQ Jan 26th, after the close updateSharing my usual QQQ chart with weekly and daily levels (they get updated every Monday for Weekly and every day for Daily)
#QQQ is in an ending diagonal, bull flagging, so early next week price action is important.
Should break above or fail on a grand scale!
Below 420.50 will trigger a strong selloff down to 412!
$QQQ 2024 downside price targets + timingIt's very tough to forecast price + time and get the exact timing and price targets correct. However, I'm going to attempt to do so.
Over the next year, I expect NASDAQ:QQQ to fall somewhere between 35-50%. If the move that I'm expecting plays out, we'll be right around a 50% drawdown from the current levels.
The chart attempts to forecast time and price levels that are important over the coming year (2024). Each grey box represents a price level that should get hit within that timeframe.
Again, this is extremely hard to do accurately. Often I do these for myself just to try to anticipate large changes in trends, but I thought I'd share this publicly as it would be fun to follow along over the next year.
Essentially what I'm forecasting is one more move up before the end of the year. It should happen before Christmas, but I'm allowing myself some extra time.
Then Q1 should be extremely bearish for the markets with the largest leg down during that time. There are two scenarios that I'm looking at. Either we hit the lower targets all in one move $205-218, then bounce afterwards (this scenario would be the bottom), and we'd retest that lower range in Q4. Or, we hit $246-255 and then bounce into Q2 and fall further in Q4 marking the final bottom.
Regardless of which one plays out, you'll want to buy equities in March/April and then again in October/November.
Q2 and Q3 we should see a bounce where you'll likely want to take profits on the way up.
Let's see if it plays out as anticipated.
QQQ Bye Bye Bye Miss America Pie QQQ BYE BYE 2024 waves 1 is equal to wave 5 from OCT 2022 low and have Now seen a clean 5 wave within 5 waves up from oct 2022 Wave B top from 2021 peak has ended the alt is 5 waves up of a super cycle last 5 in an extension But the market would have to drop to a .236 high to low oct 2022 to the high into the cycle and must last now more tha3.8 weeks otherwise BYE BYE BYE long term
SP cash why I shorted 90 % a x 1.618 = C 4568/4570 = trendline NEXT WEEK TURN I stated that if the sp 500 fails to break above 4569 by nov 27th I would move to a 90 % short . I moved to 90 % long puts in spy qqq the qqq target was 393.1 high 393.07 I am 90 % short I have now placed a stop just below the highs by only 10 ticks monday I will be out all day best of trades WAVETIMER 5 day p/c and VIX gave a SELL
New All Time Highs On Nasdaq😈Hello Traders,
My name is Philip and I am just an average stock and indices trader with over 4 years of trading experience💻
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➡️In today's video, I will analyse the Nasdaq for you🫡
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➡️Let me know your opinion about today's analysis in the comments below👇
➡️I will only enter a trading position if ALL of my trading/entry criterias are met!
Keep your long term vision!
P.S. Trading is risky and most beginner traders lose money!
QQQ NEW LOWS INCOMING!Hello, fellow traders and investors! There has recently been a leg up in our bearish channel creating what we anticipate to be a lower high. There is plenty of uncertainty in the economy at the moment whether it be the wars in Russia/Ukraine or Israel/Palestine, upcoming interest rate decisions, the fed's approach to their balance sheet and applying quantitative tightening, etc...
All that to say Rise Capital believes we are at overbought levels and are actively pursuing strategies to take advantage of the bearish movement that is soon to come. We will be taking different approaches like shorting qqq, getting put contracts on qqq and buying shares of sqqq.
SHORT QQQ
Entry: 367.71
Take Profit: 342.20 (Partial profits can be taking off depending on price action)
Stop loss: 373.75
Risk/Reward: 4.3
Target is now been met into cycle peak 381.6 /383 The chart posted is now been updated and the wave structure is ending now in wave 5 of C to end super cycle wave B this is the bearish wave count as looked for into my ocy 10 week low due target 3511/3490 low 3491 all golden ratio and spirals turns oct 10 th week june 26 super cycle turn as a shift like jan 2018 17 days . march 13 th turn back to 1942 and 1949 low meet spot on . now moving forward there are 2 spirals in time working eb and flow aug 25 is a panic low . Alt wave for bullish count we are ending wave 5 of 3 of super cycle wave 5 If this is the wave count then we will just past 383 and see 388 then we will drop a little over 10 % back into aug 25 for wave 4 of 5 of 5 . both wave structure are peaking and should be respected from trading NET LONG exit
Overall Market Analysis Tickers: SPX, NAS100, SPY, QQQAs we step into the second week of September, we've observed a promising start with some key indices showing positive momentum.
NAS100 & QQQ Analysis:
- The tech-centric NAS100 and QQQ began the week on a brighter note, showing green after a bearish week.
- Tomorrow's Key Levels for NAS100: Watch for a potential break above the 15,500 level. A decisive move above this can pave the way for a rally towards 15,750. On the downside, failure to maintain above 15,500 might trigger a pullback.
- Tomorrow's Key Levels for QQQ: It's crucial for the price to find solid footing at the 375 mark. This level should act as robust support.
SPX & SPY Analysis:
- Key Levels for SPX: We're keenly watching the 4500 resistance level. A break and hold above this could signal further upside. However, the 4475 price point is expected to offer support should the momentum wane.
- Key Levels for SPY: Bulls would want to see a break above the 450 level, while 445 stands out as the immediate support.
Stay tuned for further updates and adjust your trading strategies accordingly. Always remember to manage your risks and trade safely!
Michael Burry Executes Massive Short of SPY and QQQIntroduction:
In recent news, renowned investor Michael Burry has made waves by executing a massive short of the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) and QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF). Burry's move has garnered significant attention, raising concerns about the future performance of these major USA stock market ETFs. This article aims to provide traders with a cautious analysis of the situation and present a call to action for those considering shorting these ETFs.
The Burry Effect:
Michael Burry, famously known for his accurate prediction of the 2008 financial crisis, made a bold move again. By shorting the SPY and QQQ, Burry is signaling his belief that the current market conditions may be overvalued or potentially face a correction. Traders should take note of his historical accuracy and consider the implications of his actions.
Understanding the Risks:
Understanding the associated risks is crucial to approach any investment decision thoroughly. Shorting ETFs like SPY and QQQ involves betting against the market's overall performance, which can be highly volatile and unpredictable. While Burry's track record is impressive, conducting independent research and analysis is essential before making investment decisions.
Considerations for Shorting:
1. Diversification: Traders should ensure their portfolios are well-diversified, spreading risk across various asset classes and sectors. Shorting ETFs like SPY and QQQ should be considered a strategic move within a broader investment strategy.
2. Risk Management: A clear risk management plan is crucial when shorting major market ETFs. Setting stop-loss orders and regularly monitoring positions can help mitigate potential losses.
3. Expert Advice: Consult with financial advisors or professionals specializing in shorting strategies. Their expertise can provide valuable insights and guidance tailored to individual trading goals and risk tolerance.
Call-to-Action: Proceed with Caution
Considering Michael Burry's recent shorting activity, traders are encouraged to proceed cautiously when contemplating short positions on SPY and QQQ. While Burry's reputation for accurate predictions is noteworthy, conducting thorough research and analysis is imperative, and assessing the potential risks and rewards associated with such trades is imperative.
Ultimately, the decision to short these significant USA stock market ETFs should be based on an individual's risk appetite, investment strategy, and market outlook. Traders should carefully weigh the potential benefits against the inherent risks, seek professional advice, and consider alternative investment options.
Conclusion:
Michael Burry's massive short of SPY and QQQ has undoubtedly sparked interest and raised questions among traders. However, it is crucial to approach such investment decisions and conduct thorough research cautiously. By considering the risks, diversifying portfolios, and seeking expert advice, traders can make informed choices that align with their individual trading goals. Remember, shorting major ETFs is a complex strategy that requires careful consideration and may only be suitable for some.
QQQ - Short Scalp OpportunityThe NASDAQ:QQQ Chart is currently displaying signs of bearish harmonics, a pattern that may suggest a downward trend. Specific downside targets, along with the stop-loss (SL) value, have been detailed on the chart for your reference.
Please proceed with caution and trade safe!
Nasdaq -> Plain And SimpleHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪
After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement level and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%.
Weekly market structure on Nas100 is pretty clear with the Nasdaq retesting previous weekly resistance which is now acting as resistance once again and with the Nasdaq being overextended there is a higher chance that we will see a short term correction.
The Nasdaq is also currently once again retesting daily resistance from which we already broke structure towards the downside so I simply do expect another bearish wave from here.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Final Analysis on QQQ ( short term and long term explained )$$$ Based on the chart, it appears that a cup and handle pattern is emerging on the weekly timeframe. Given the current overbought conditions in the market, I have a strong expectation of a significant correction in the second half of the year. I have a sense that we have reached a peak, as there is considerable resistance suggesting a sell signal. Based on my analysis, prices are likely to decline further as the handle forms, eventually leading to a breakout towards the end, signaling the start of a real bull run.
QQQ to $335 is likely what we're about to Witness!Investors who want to take advantage of what happened today can short the QQQ at the September 15, expiration and hedge with short SQQQ at the July 21 expiration. Delta neutral positions would be the best.
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