Qqqforecast
02/26 QQQ / TQQQ Bounce -RSI don't lieYou can see from the Daily chart going back to last Feb 2020 that all the Highs and Lows have been supported exactly when they touched RSI channel. To me this is buy-time but please do your own research. This is for my own personal trading. Covered my shorts yesteray and switched to long until the chart tells me otherwise. Comments welcome.
TQQQ next target 121. RSI and price support achieved. Those who have followed my last posts on shorting hopefully have made some $$. We have had 4 great swing days down. Tomorrow let's swing our partner back up after that 4-day dip.
We should bounce tomorrow and start climbing to achieve our next high around 121 to complete wave 5. Divergence on price and rsi with charts lining up perfectly to support our next high. Catalyst will most likely be approval of Government stimulus or decrease of long-term Treasury yields that will give it enough of a push to the next high around 121 before plunging to new lows. This could be a slow up and down climb that could take the majority of the year before we crash!!!
This is NOT investment advice. Please do your own due diligence!! Questions or comments welcome.
TQQQ Next stop 95! Charts don't lie!!Some great 5% shorts the last 2 days. Rinse and repeat. Tomorrow we are looking for it to touch at least 100 maybe 95. The big guys that move the market are slowly bringing this back down to reality. You can see the green down candles, the last two days. Definitely a pullback, but could be more.
I marked two key areas on the chart that will likely be hit tomorrow (price point and RSI).
Charts don't lie, so do not be fooled by the big boys manipulating your thoughts through the media and forums. Be careful what you read. There is most likely a motive. This year is a perfect example. Try learning before paying for a service. To win you have to learn and be disciplined.
Please do your own due diligence as this short is for my current situation. Question or comments are welcome.
Trade to Win!! Protect your profits!! Hard work = Good Luck
TQQQ if you don't short you might be in for an atomic Wedgie!!!Since Sept TQQQ looks like it's formed mini Wedge patterns inside possible Wedge ready to Form. The downside is calling to complete this atomic Wedgie Sandwich!!! Don't be tricked by the long play or the atomic wedgie will hurt!! This is only an incredible idea so please do your own due diligence! Comments welcome!
Listen to the TQQQ Megaphone "SHORT ME"Looking at the TQQQ hourly chart, you will notice that the megaphone is showing reward to the downside around 56. The upside is limited to about 114 area. What is the logical play? Comments?
Also the Yearly RSI is touching 80. What happened last time yearly RSI touched 80? Feb 20, 2020, Sept 2020 Kaboom!
Please do your own due diligence these are just fantastic recommendations!
Triple QQQ Triple Color Fractal Frenzy I started looking back for areas in time where the volume profile specifically looked very similar.
We've kind of got an interesting volume profile going on right now with recently almost all buying volume and a very clean diminishing buying profile followed by a sudden approximately double selling volume from the next most recent candle.
I pulled those fractals I found where the volume profiles looked the most similar and scaled them to fit the most recent moves.
The dates are kinda fuzzy cuz I wasnt paying close attention but the general time frames are there if you want to look.
The yellow fractal seems interesting as once I scaled it to fit the most recent activity its peak hits the channel and its pull back lands almost right on the dotted support line.
Which fractal will it be!
NASDAQ 35,000!!! But not yet, & surprise election correctionCheck the fractaloid there, fits nicely in our new bullish channel
Couple gap lines of above for resistance
Makes sense to correct at election anyway for the uncertainty of who's the new winner
Nasdaq 35,000 or bust!
Just one possibility, a tremendous possibility..
Got my hat on
#NASDAQ35000hat
Nasdaq could see some buying BEFORE BEAR MARKET! Nasdaq was the leading index this year and we found out why pretty recently. The FAANG index was being propped up by nonother than SoftBank with a $5Bn options positions on big tech.
SoftBank got their hands on OTM calls for big Tech which did a few things:
1) Forced the options market makers to hedge the position against them meaning they had to buy the stocks. Tying up about $50 Bn in shares on the big Tech companies. This alone pushed US Tech stock prices higher.
2) Created interest in order flow for large traders that saw the options interest and the transaction quantity somewhere OTM on big Tech which caused buying to take advantage of the potential move higher from the big fish.
3) Caused a rally in tech and piqued the interest of a lot of traders that saw tech stocks rallying, jumping in blindly, or calculated entries for the continued push higher.
Which means the recent sell off was profit-taking from Tech and understanding what had happened and selling. To return major stocks to "value"
That caused the Nasdaq to drop nearly 15% from its highs and it seems that there is more downside to come out even though it seems that the support is being held up for now. Support is now at $260 and the 100-day moving average is very nearby.
If this level breaks we're going to see a temporary bear market in the Nasdaq, as we saw the year prior. We could see a pop into $280 on QQQ before we get the downside though! There is a key resistance there. under $260 and the 100-day MA we will see a big sell stop run into the prior broken top and volume profile block.
The volume is worth noting as well, it's decreasing on every rally. Most recent rally at least, with big sell volume. this is a bear sign.
This is an idea, for educational purposes, that doesn't constitute investment or trading advice.
QQQ All-Time LevelsIn an uncertain market it is hard to find footing. NASDAQ:QQQ is currently testing a jumpy support level right now. The biggest factors that will play into the outlook of the NASDAQ and the market as a whole is government stimulus and the upcoming election. Many analysts are comparing this years election to Gore-Bush election and the uncertainty could be detrimental for our market. If support begins to break and there is no positive news on a COVID vaccine, QQQ could face some major downside before leveling out. Many analysts have also compared the boom in tech "post-COVID" to the .com bubble in 1999. Furthermore, the news of Europe begining to take preventative measures is creating more fear globally. If the market doesn't quickly move to fill the gap down or support is broken there is room for a lot more sell-off. It's a long way down.
NASDAQ 35,000! But not yet, 1st bounce to 100DMA around electionGot some lines and what not there, all tasty stuff right.
Checking around various time frames, got various gaps to retest and fill and what not.
Got the overbearing original trend from last 10 years or so in heavy green dashed channel.
That overbearing big trend, which we broke out of, conveniently going to line up with the 100DMA, along with a support line from some previous gaps to be filled, indicated by that triangle there, should happen around election time, CONVENIENTLY naturally lol.
First we gotta play out the mini downtrend which we're in now, find support (gap line), and check out ~50% retracement of previous mini bull trend, conveniently at a gap line also, as indicated by the text on the chart there.
Then probably test that overbearing big 10 year trend in thick dashed green into the rectangle zone, gotta bounce around a bit (as things play out will have more indication of what this will look like), and then retest the big 10 year trend again into our rectangle on the big trend/gap/100DMA convenient as always.
Then we'll be pushing for our next leg up for newer highs before some retracement.
And then on to NASDAQ 35,000! ;-)
#NASDAQ35000Hat
QQQ - Major Bear Trap IncomingGood Morning Traders,
We had a nice bounce in the market wednesday morning leading up to thursday premarket trading session.
However we haven't seen it hold well at those upper levels at $280-290. Yesterday's sell off was due to stimulus bill not getting passed + crash of the pound currency.
Although we're ultimately bullish on US equities, we're expecting some more volatility in our trading sessions the next few days.
QQQ currently headed towards our resistance. We think that the market might try to bring on more sellers. We may be visiting our recent lows a few more times before we make the full bounce (or even quick flush lower).
Sell the rip type of mood today.
We play what the market gives us.
*NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE, THIS IS JUST OUR PERSPECTIVE AND WE DO NOT RECOMMEND ANY TRADES WE PUBLISH ON OUR CHANNEL. YOU WILL LOSE MONEY.
QQQ - Parabolic Move Hasn't Even Started?Hello Traders!
QQQ...pretty much everyone's favorite this year right?
NASDAQ has been melting up this year and has been setting new ATHs since the March lows.
If we take our trading sessions back a few weeks. We were looking for a pullback at $270 level and a retest of the major breakout zone of $237 support. However, this thing just set a new higher low and rallied up to our last ATH level above $300.
Current important level we're watching is the $270 support as this was the new breakout zone that should be retested to make moves higher.
We're half positioned on the long side when the market flushed down and entered on the bounce at $276. We did not enter a full position because of the long weekend also because we know that QQQ could easily retest the lower support at $237 levels if it really wanted to.
When the market opens on Tuesday we'll be looking for further confirmation to the upside to enter our full position. If the market fails to bounce when we come back. We'll be looking for a setup on the downside with candles closing below $270.
*Tech bubble is real but you also have to look at the macros. Where is the money flowing to? On friday we saw the 10yr and 30 yr pop meaning money is leaving the bonds. Only place to make yield is the US stock market and the most popular place to bet your money is the NASDAQ this year. A lot of money is STILL on the sidelines due to uncertainties and are ready to jump into the next opportunity. We believe that all this money will pour back into the stock market as we're in a new BULL market. QQQ might look crazier in the next few weeks/months. Bubble is real but perhaps it's not ready to pop yet. Party continues.
Stay safe, practice good risk management, and do not chase!
*NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE, THIS IS JUST OUR PERSPECTIVE AND WE DO NOT RECOMMEND ANY TRADES WE PUBLISH ON OUR CHANNEL. YOU WILL LOSE MONEY.
QQQS longWe are looking at Inverse purchases
QQQ long unit trust position is reaching $250 at a max, needing a strong correction. This double top scenario is looking plausible.
This is not a signal, price will change and according to the rules of your plan, trade when price aligns to your levels.
Technicals:
Swing low - lowest ever price, creating double bottom to previous wick
Fake V-shape recovery for the economy.
market disconnect in favour of inflating greed.
no real QE back into the economy, just inflating prices of stocks.
QQQ long chart - price max reached.
historic supply
awaiting rejection wick candle or inside bar engulfing bearish.
Use risk management accordingly here.
note: our take is not final, this is not a signal, price will change and according to the rules of your plan, trade when price aligns to your levels.
If you like our work,
please leave a comment or private message to understand more about our analysis.
Many thanks,
Team Lupa
💵 Attacks Major Level Of Resistance (QQQ)💰 LET'S GET INTO SOME QQQ ETF ANALYSIS!💰
1️⃣ First off SMASH that LIKE BUTTON & Give us a FOLLOW for DAILY ANALYSIS! ❤❤❤
(Overall Market Sentiment) Neutral 🤷♂️
- 3day Chart
- Green Engulfing Candle
- 3/3 EMA DOTS Green
We are aware on the 3day on big players like the DOW and SPX500 we are starting to see potential shift for selloff as they start to compress and shift red, but we won't have a close till the end of the week. QQQ is still firing massive green candles with all indicators still green. This week close and next week should show us a nice trend reversal range to watch closely on the market to see how we approach for a longterm play. What can we take into consideration for potential bear signs. We are entering into overbought territory based off the bottom indicator and we can take into consideration that we are now hitting the top of the alltime upward Resistance from all major market structures.
Best of luck to you and all of your trades this week! 🤜
Drop your charts and comments down below, share with us what you think is going on in the markets! ❤❤❤
Thanks for checking out our analysis! ✌😁✌
🥇MLT | MAJOR LEAGUE TRADER
sqqqLooks like the bulls have about 2-3 weeks left. Really just depends on the squeeze that is probably coming. Their will probably be record numbers of degenerates shorting 9600-9700 NDX which will ofcourse lead to a squeeze that sends the NDX100 up to like 10k B4 finally dumping back to 8400 or the 200 D1 ema
QQQ Long14, 30 weekly setup on QQQ looking back at it.... chart...
For extra speculation, I added AMZN and noted it is 11% of the QQQ
If AMZN has cooled and moves back to ATH along with other tech strong names... we could see ATH on the Q
We filled lower gap levels, which indicates further launch incoming if buyers stay the course..
I think everybody wants to own strong tech leaders aka nobody really selling... QQQ is a winner imo
Enjoy... Know why you are trading what you are trading..
My play....
I traded the 231c on Friday 10 contracts from .79 to 1.50 and then I rolled into mid June19 calls...
Upper gap levels will get filled quickly, possibly on a Monday gap up.
Good luck..
Daily Review: CAT, BA and QQQAs U.S. markets continue to rally against all odds at the expense of overly eager bears and quite frankly rational investing. Is it finally safe to assume the low is in? Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 closing in the red, a lot of positive could be taken away from this week. The point I'll make today is not to get overly bullish. I'll show you why by analyzing CAT, BA, and QQQ.
Where's the Support?
The first chart is Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) on the weekly. Price was strongly rejected at $126.60. Additionally, it is possible that a descending trendline has been established. The focus right now is on support and respecting the downtrend. CAT is a risky buy at these levels, especially with Q1 Fiscal 2020 earnings being reported on Tuesday, April 28. Furthermore, over the last three quarters CAT has failed to meet estimated revenue, and going into Tuesday it's a safe to say that trend will continue.
There is one interesting characteristic I will note on CAT. The consolidation between September 2019 and March 2020 is characteristic of a Wyckoff distribution (see below). Could CAT be a leading indicator or just one of many sectors that have been ravaged by the COVID-19 pandemic? Bias: Bearish .
Buy the Dip?
Boeing Company (BA) rallied just over 100% after capitulating at $89 per share. Congratulations if you bought the dip and pat yourself on the back if you sold the top of that dead cat bounce ! Yes, I suspect a dead cat bounce and risk of further downside.
The BA chart may be as bearish as it gets as it has slashed through its long term trendline that had been support since 2009. To make things worse, going into the monthly close next week, price is getting rejected at $164.80. This area of resistance is important, as it was previous resistance for a span of two years between February 2015 and December 2016. I would become slightly less bearish if BA can reestablish itself above $164. In the meantime, book profits and continue to sell into rallies. Bias: Bearish .
Fighting the Trend
One of the first lessons I learned trading was that the trend is your friend. The reason why I say this is because in my view next week is set up perfectly for more gains across the board. Reason? Look no further than the Nasdaq Composite.
Above, is the daily view of the PowerShares QQQ Trust, an ETF representing the Nasdaq 100. The QQQ has recently reestablished support within RSI bull market territory. I would be holding off on shorting until weakness is clearly established. Why short into a market full of stocks that have maintained bullish momentum despite the global crisis? Reminder, Tesla, Zoom, Netflix and Amazon are all part of the index. The trend remains intact...for now. Bias: Bullish .
Looking Forward
The market is at a crossroads. What is the trend being established? Are we in a bear market or bull market? As a trader, I try not to get hung up with where we are and focus on where the market is heading. Feeding a bias is a good way to get left behind. Keep an open mind but stick to the principles you established to analyze the market.
This weekend, I have a crypto outlook and semi-conductors outlook. Have a great evening.