Sharp Retracement in the DXYThe DXY has sold off as we predicted yesterday. We surmised that we would be seeing strong resistance from higher levels in the 100's, 100.98 in particular. This is not only a technical level but very close to 101, a psychological level. Indeed, momentum petered out for the DXY, and we crashed through several levels, finally stabilizing at 99.82. We are seeing support confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI at this level. If it does not hold, then we should see support from 99.40.
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Stocks Edge UpStocks are edging up, currently testing 4487. We are seeing a red triangle on the KRI indicating some resistance here. If we are able to break through, then 4521 will be the next level where we anticipate resistance as it is a relative high. We anticipate 4580 as a ceiling for now, as this is yet another relative high. The rally looks weak and the Kovach OBV has barely budged. Thus a s selloff is highly probable. If we do see a selloff, then 4364 should hold as it is a relative low.
Can Litecoin Breakout??Litecoin has rallied breaking through $111. As discussed in these reports, it has hit $114, our profit target. However, we are meeting strong resistance here and are likely to retrace or range a bit. The level $114 should hold, but if we are able to break through, then there is a vacuum zone to $120. This would be a significant leap for LTC. If not, then we should see support at $111, $109, or $105. We anticipate $105 to hold as a floor price.
Ethereum Tests $3200Ethereum rallied with the crypto market and stocks, currently testing $3148. As we predicted here yesterday, we are seeing resistance around $3200. We have two strong levels here, which should provide prohibitive resistance. If not, the next target is $3324. If we do reject current levels, we should see support at $3042. We expect $3K to hold, but if not, we should see further support at $2965 and $2852.
Bitcoin Tests $42KBitcoin rallied in perfect correlation with stocks. As predicted, we are seeing resistance around $42K. If we are able to break through there is a vacuum zone above to $43.1K. The Kovach OBV has picked up, but has leveled off indicating that momentum has petered out for now. We should see support at the low $40K's if we retrace. As an absolute floor we expect $39.2K to hold at least for now.
Stocks Catch a LiftStocks have seen the nice relief rally we have been calling out for in these reports. We are still not convinced the bear rout is over yet, but have broken through several levels on the upside and are currently testing a fairly significant level at 4487. We will have further resistance in the low 4500's if we are able to break through. If not, we could test lows again at 4364.
Gold Tests Lower LevelsAs predicted here, gold rejected $2000 hard. We collapsed through all of our support levels between $1956 and $1982. We plummeted throught the vacuum zone to find support at $1936, which is the next level after that dense patch of levels. We are likely to stabilize here, as we are currently seeing. At the time of this writing, we are hovering in the $1950's, and $1956 should provide strong resistance. It will take sufficient momentum to break through.
Litecoin Gets a LiftLitecoin got a lift from the low $100's to $111. At the time of this writing, it is currently testing this level. The Kovach OBV is still relatively flat, and we will have steep resistance from the next level at $114. If we are able to break above $114, then there is a wide gulf of a vacuum zone to $120. At this point though, we are likely to range or retrace. The level $109 will provide support from below with $105 an anticipated floor price.
Ethereum Testing $3K!!Ethereum got a lift back to the $3K's with rest of the crypto market. We appear to be hanging on a by a thread, currently wavering about $3042. The Kovach OBV has barely ticked up with this rally, hence we are highly skeptical until more momentum comes through. If so, we should face resistance at $3200, which is our next target. A retracement could bring us back to $2965, or $2852, the latter being our anticipated floor price.
Can Bitcoin Sustain the Rally??Bitcoin caught a nice pivot from just below our level at $39.2K. This small rally was still significant as it was able to take us back to the $40K's, where we are currently testing $41K. We will have steep resistance from $41.6K and $41.9K which are the next barriers. The rally looks pretty weak, and the Kovach OBV has barely budged. Thus we are likely to range a bit between $39.2K and $41K.
Stocks Continue Their DeclineThe S&P 500 has continued its slow and agonizing decline. We have found support at 4365, but failed to see any sort of pivot that would indicate a reversal. The Kovach OBV is gradually trending downwards. We do appear to have support at current levels, but if we break down further, we should expect support at 4327. Stocks are due for some ranging or a rally, as a corrective phase to the bear trend at worst. If we rally, 4462 and 4521 are good targets and will provide resistance.
Gold Rejects $2000!!Gold broke out and hit our target, only to retrace to support in the 1980's. The Kovach OBV is strong, but has curved over with the retracement. It is reasonable for gold to retrace after hitting such an important target. We are knocking at the door of the 2000 handle which is significant for gold, and it will take significant momentum for it to break through this. We have a dense patch of levels from which to expect support between 1956 and 1982.
Litecoin Bottoming Out??Litecoin has broken down lower as we predicted in these reports. Bulls got hopeful when we were testing $114, however LTC promptly dumped back to support at $105. We appear to be hanging on by a thread at this level but we do have a green triangle on the KRI to confirm support. If this does not hold, then $101 is our next target. If we somehow catch momentum, then $114 is a likely ceiling for now.
Ethereum Looking WeakEthereum has broken down from $2965 where it was finding support. we are currently hovering just above our next level of support at $2852. If this does not hold then the next target is $2762. If we are able to catch some momentum then $2965 will provide resistance. We are sure to meet further resistance around $3K.
Bitcoin Breaks DownBitcoin appeared to be getting good support at $39.2K, but has pressed lower. It broke through this level finding support just above $38.2K. We did see strong support confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI, however the price action does look pretty weak at the moment. Though we did see strong support, we are still not seeing further momentum come through. We are still under the $40K level and this will provide resistance. The level $38.2K should hold, otherwise $37.7K is the next level of support.
Stocks Continue to SlideStocks keep edging down, consistently making lower lows. We did have a small rally off support from 4389, which immediately sold off to break down further. We are currently finding support at 4364, but the price action is looking very weak. The Kovach OBV has slumped, suggesting that the rout will continue. If we do see bull momentum come through, 4462 and 4521 are still profit targets, but 4389 will provide resistance. If we break down further, watch for support at 4327.
Gold Hits Our Target!!As we have discussed, gold was facing steep resistance from a dense cluster of levels between 1956 and 1982. We were facing steep resistance at the last level, 1982. However, we were able to break out into the vacuum zone to hit 1999, our target from last week. We are currently meeting resistance here, confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still quite strong, however, so if gold can keep up the rally the next target is 2029. It will find support at 1982 again if we retrace.
Litecoin Testing Higher Levels!!Litecoin has found support in the low $100's and shows a remarkable amount of determination with respect to the other crypto's. We are currently testing $111, which we have noted as a strong resistance level. We may be seeing an inverse head and shoulders pattern with a slanted neckline, and if so, that could be a good sign for bulls. Targets above include $114 and $120, the latter being a solid ceiling for now. From below we should see support at $105 and $101.
Ethereum Holds $3K!!Ethereum saw good support at $2965. Bulls had hopes of a pivot, but this was swiftly quashed with resistance at $3148, exactly as we highlighted in these reports. We are still seeing support from $2965, but potentially seeing a bear flag forming. The Kovach OBV has flatlined suggesting that $3200 is a likely ceiling price for now. We will need sufficient momentum come through to even test this level. From below $2852 and $2762 should provide support.
Bitcoin Clinging to SupportBitcoin has slumped, still relaxing at the base of the $40K handle. We are seeing strong support at $39.2K, which seems to be a floor for now, but lack of buying at this level is concerning, and could indicate another test of lower levels. The Kovach OBV is still quite bearish. If so, $38.2K and $37.7K are likely levels of support. A likely ceiling for now is $43.1K.
Another Breakout for the DXY??The DXY has retraced from highs only to find a second wind breaking past our target of 100.46. Hawkish Fed rhetoric is keeping the dollar at highs and the Yen at 20 year lows. We are forming what appears to be a bull flag at the moment. If more momentum comes through, our next target is 100.98. If we retrace, we should find support at 100.04 or 99.82.
Oil BouncesOil is climbing hitting our exact price target of 106 where we expected to see resistance. Sure enough, we are seeing a red triangle on the KRI to confirm the resistance. The Kovach OBV and Chande are very strong, indicating that we will likely retrace from this level, potentially finding support again at 100 and 101. But if we can break out, then 113 is the next target, which would be ambitious at this point.
Stocks Cling to LowsStocks are clinging to 4389, a current relative low corresponding to relative highs from early in March. We made a brief attempt at higher levels, testing 4463, but this appears to be the upper bound for now, unless stocks can muster the strength to break out. The Kovach OBV is looking pretty weak so this is unlikely unless momentum picks up. If so, 4462 and 4521 remain our targets. If we break down from current levels we should see support at 4327.