The Bond Rout ContinuesAs anticipated, bonds faced steep resitance from 121'00 and sharply retraced. We have fallen back to 119'23, one level above lows at 119'01. The Kovach OBV ticked up slightly with the rally, but has fallen sharply at the moment. At this point it is clear that any rally is purely technical and the bear rout is still at play.
Quantguy
Litecoin Faces Strong ResistanceLitecoin saw strong support from $101 and a nice burst of momentum took it all the way up to $111, which we called out as a target yesterday. We met swift resistance at this level confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is pretty weak, so we do not expect the rally to continue. It is highly likely that LTC will range or retrace. Watch for support at $105 or $101.
Ethereum Clings to $3KEthereum has edged up from the base of the $3K handle, but has faced strong resistance from $3148. This level, proximal to another strong level at $3200, was one which we identified and called out as a strong resistance level, unlikely to be broken unless momentum comes through. We are seeing multiple red triangles on the KRI confirming the resitance. However, $3042 does seem to be holding. We are testing this level at the time of this writing. Should it break, we will likely see further support at $2965, then $2852.
Bitcoin Faces ResistanceBitcoin caught a relief rally to $41K which was immediately batted down. We have recovered the $40K's albeit not by much. We are currently seeing support from $40.8K, one of the last levels in the $40K handle. If this does not hold, we could test $39.2K again. If we somehow see strong buying come through, we must first break out from $41K and $42K, before testing higher levels. We anticipate $45K to be a ceiling for now.
Oil Stabilizes in the $100'sOil has broken through resistance in the low 100's including 100 and 101, but momentum has fizzled before reaching our next target of 106. It appears that we are feeling out the price territory between 101 and 106, a fairly vast vacuum zone. Watch for oil to remain range bound between 101 and 106 as it establishes value here. If strong buying or selling comes through, then we should have support below from 100 and 101, but if that does not hold, then 95.24 is a very strong level and relative low. We anticipate 92.03 to be a floor price. If we can break through 106, then 113 is our next target.
Can Stocks Breakout??Stocks continue to look weak, but appear to be finding support at 4389. However, we could be nearing the end of this corrective phase, and might be on the precipice of a breakout. Selling momentum has eased and we are seeing some volatility at current levels which could indicate a rebound. If not, expect support at 4327. If buying momentum comes through, 4462 and 4521 remain our targets on the upside.
Litecoin Gets a LiftLitecoin has found support at the base of the $100 handle as we anticipated. We are seeing somewhat of a relief rally at the moment, and appear to be making a run for $109. We are already seeing strong resistance as confirmed by red triangles on the KRI. But if we are able to break through then $111 and $114 are the next targets. If the rest of the crypto market serves as an indication, then we are likely to dump back to the base of the $100 handle where we are likely to find strong support for now.
Ethereum Clings to SupportEthereum has dumped to the base of the $3K handle. Although it is finding support at current levels, confirmed by several green triangles on the KRI, we do appear to be forming a bear flag. If we dump lower, anticipate support at $2852 and $2762. If we catch some momentum, $3200 is a good target, but it will provide strong resistance and is a likely ceiling for now.
Another DUMP Coming for Bitcoin?? 😱Bitcoin has been wavering at the precipice of the $40K handle for some time. We appear to be forming a bear flag, and have very little buying interest. This set of factors does not bode well for the price. If we break down further, expect support $38.2K, or $37.7K. Long term, we could stand to press much lower before seeing any buying interest. If we do catch some momentum, then $45K is a nice target and our anticipated ceiling price for now.
Gold is Rallying but Facing ResistanceGold has picked up, continuing the rally but we are running into resistance in the 1970's. We alerted you many times that there is a dense cluster of levels between 1956 and 1982. Unless we catch some serious momentum, we are likely to retrace back to support at 1936 or so. If we do catch more momentum, our next target is 1999.
Can Stocks Break the Bear Momentum??Stocks have retraced to support at 4389. Although the bleeding does appear to be easing for now, we do seem to be forming a bear flag pattern and could be looking to dump lower. If so, 4327 is a reasonable target for support. If we are able to catch some momentum, 4462 and 4521 remain our targets on the upside.
Can Litecoin Maintain $100??Litecoin has taken a dive from the $110's to the base of the $100 handle. It is difficult to believe that at the end of March, we were testing the $130's. We are seeing strong support from $101, but be mindful of the vacuum zone below to $94. The pyschological $100 barrier has provided strong support in the past. The Kovach OBV is pretty bearish, but if we are able to pivot off current levels, then $105 and $109 are the next targets.
Can Ethereum Hold $3K??Ethereum has broken down briefly giving up the $3K handle. We have been noting weakness in the crypto markets for some time now, and anticipated support at $3K, which we saw. We did break into the upper $2K's, finding support at $2965 where support was confirmed by several green triangles on the KRI. However, we did not see much of a buyback which suggests that buyers are still not seeing the high $2K's as enticing. We are seeing strong support from $2965, but if we break lower, $2852 is the next target. We should see resistance at or around $3200 if we are able to pivot from current levels.
Can Bitcoin Hold $40K??Bitcoin has taken another sharp turn lower in tandem with stocks. As discussed in the last report, we are currently seeing support at the base of the $40K handle, though we did break lower into the $39K's albeit briefly. We did see nice support from $39.2K, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. However, we are not seeing the buy back that we would expect if buyers were enticed by lower levels. In fact, we are seeing very little pivot and barely reclaimed the $40K's. If we do pivot from current levels, expect strong resistance in the $41K's. If we continue to dump, then $39.2K and $38.2K are likely targets.
How Low Will Stocks Go??Stocks have retraced back to 4389, which is a technical level and relative high back in March. The Kovach OBV has retraced significantly, and we have blasted through several levels to the down side. Current levels are good candidates for a pivot, and if so, 4462 and 4521 are the next targets. If we keep collapsing then we should see some support at 4327.
Can Gold Break Higher??Gold has tested higher levels after being confined between 1917 and 1936 for the past few days. We are still holding the broader range between 1895 and 1973 or so. Gold has taken an upswing, but is facing resistance from a dense patch of levels in this price territory. The Kovach OBV has upticked with the momentum, but it is doubtful that momentum is strong enough to break through these levels. In the event of a retracement, watch for support in the value area between 1917 and 1936. A full retracement could take us back to 1895. Otherwise, the next target is 1999.
Litecoin Smashes Lower LevelsLitecoin has fallen off sharply, smashing through support levels and currently testing $109. We are seeing nice support confirmed by green triangles on the KRI, but there is a vacuum zone below to $105, then another below that to $101. If we can muster a relief rally then $111 and $114 are likely targets.
Ethereum Holding the Lower $3K'sEthereum has plunged lower finding support at our levels at $3200 and $3100. These have proven to be quite strong, but watch the vacuum zone below to $3042. The Kovach OBV has dropped off sharply, but we appear to be finding support confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. If we are able to test higher levels then $3324 is the next target.
Bitcoin Tests the Low $40K'sBitcoin has blasted through lower levels to find support around $42K exactly as we anticipated here in these reports. It plunged through support at $43.1K but so far, levels at $41K and $42K are holding. If more FUD comes through we anticipate $40K to be a floor for now. If we are somehow able to muster the strength for a rally then $43.1K and $43.8K are the next targets above. The Kovach OBV is pretty flat so we will need more momentum to come through for this to be the case.
Can Stocks Hold Support?? 😳😦Stocks have retraced to support at 4462, a strong technical level which seems to be holding. We are hanging on by a thread and if we break down further, then 4440 is the next target after crossing the vacuum zone below. The Kovach OBV has slumped, suggesting momentum is nil and needs to pick up in order for us to see a breakout. If we are somehow able to break out, then 4580 is the next target which must be broken before we are able to hit higher levels.
Weakness Persists in LitecoinLitecoin dumped, but pivoted around $111, which we have added as a new technical level. From there, we edged higher, but faced steep resistance from $114 as confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still quite bearish, as is the Chande, which suggests we might be reaching a bottom soon. However, don't be surprised if persistent weakness sets in and we test lower levels, including $111, $109 and at worst, $105. If we are somehow able to catch a second wind, then we must cross the vacuum zone above before hitting our next target of $120.
Ethereum Edges HigherEthereum has found support at $3200 and is trekking back up to our target at $3324. It has pivoted slightly, but the apparent bull momentum is quite weak, confirmed by the Kovach OBV which has barely budged with the rally. We are bound to face resistance at $3324, and it is unlikely that we will break this level soon, but if we do $3416 is the next target. If we break down, then $3042 should provide support and is the likely floor for now. We are likely to range between the aforementioned levels, establishing value for a while, before anything more interesting happens.