📊 Navigating The Trading Range📌What Is a Trading Range?
A trading range is a period during which an asset consistently fluctuates between high and low prices. The upper limit of the range acts as a resistance level, meaning it tends to hinder further price increases. The lower limit of the range serves as a support level, providing a barrier against significant price declines. When an asset breaks through or falls below its trading range, it usually means there is momentum (positive or negative) building. A breakout occurs when the price of a security breaks above a trading range, while a breakdown happens when the price falls below a trading range.
Typically, breakouts and breakdowns are more reliable when they are accompanied by a large volume, which suggests widespread participation by traders and investors. Many investors look at the duration of a trading range. Large trending moves often follow extended range-bound periods.
📌Support and Resistance
If an asset is in a well-established trading range, traders can buy when the price approaches its support and sell when it reaches the level of resistance only if there is confluence and signs for it. Using volume is a good indication of spotting continuation or reversals. If the price is approaching a support level with high sell-side volume, its a good indication it might just break down and continue the downtrend to the next support zone. You can define major support/resistance zones where there was clear reaction in the past and use them as major pivots to guarantee safer entries.
Always remember two key things about S/R. The first is, the more times a S/R zone is tested the higher the change a breakout/breakdown will occur. Once a S/R breaks, it will automatically turn into the opposite of what it was, the price break out of the resistance and range above. That previous resistance will act as a support level next time the price action touches it.
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📊 The Adam & Eve Chart pattern📍 What is the Adam and Eve Chart Pattern?
In essence, Adam and Eve is a variation of double top and double bottom patterns and is only slightly different from the traditional double bottoms/tops. The pattern is marked by the first bottom or top, the Adam, then the price moves up or down and creates another U-shaped where we can see Eve.
📍 Adam and Eve Double Bottom
Adam and Eve double bottoms are formed in a downtrend and create two bottoms before the price moves upward – the first bottom is a shape of a V (Adam) a peak at the support line while the second bottom is in a shape of a U (Eve). Simply put, the Adam and Eve chart patterns indicate a strong price level that is unlikely to be broken, and hence, a shift in market sentiment.
Trading with the Adam and Eve pattern is super simple. All you have to do is to identify the pattern correctly and know the proper levels of when and where to enter and exit a trade.
📍 Key Takeaways
The Adam and Eve pattern is a variation of the double top and bottom chart pattern that signals the start of a new trend.
The bullish version of the pattern features a V-shaped first bottom called Adam, followed by a U-shaped consolidation phase forming Eve. The same applies to the bearish version.
The breakout trading strategy is recommended for trading with the pattern. Enter a trade when the price breaks above the resistance line or below the support line, with a stop loss at the neckline level.
Volume plays a crucial role in the Adam and Eve pattern as it confirms buying or selling pressure, providing a strong signal for a trend reversal.
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🧠 THE CYCLE OF MARKET EMOTIONS📍 When starting a trading career, much emphasis is placed on trading strategies, technical analysis, and indicators, which is important. However, as traders gain experience, they may discover that analysis and strategy become more intuitive as they find their specialization in the market. On the contrary, trading psychology often demands significant effort from most traders.
It is often overlooked that trading psychology is developed through practice. Some argue that simulated trading lacks realism and cannot adequately prepare traders for the emotional aspects of trading. However, this holds true only if traders have not yet learned to trust a tested strategy.
The market emotions run the gamut from fear, despair, hope, anxiety, and even euphoria. It is so common to experience these emotions that you can actually expect them to occur in a predictable cycle. We call it the market of emotional cycle.
📌 Think of it this way: we all start out with optimism – optimism that we are going to make lots of money in the market. Over time we may have trades go in our favor and make lots of money. However, if we aren’t in tune with the normal price cycle of the market, we can ride our profits all the way back down, leading us to despair.
The goal, of course, is to become a trader who learns to manage his emotions and make wise decisions. Instead of hope and fear and greed, become a process-oriented trader who can trust his judgment on the market. In the upcoming TV ideas, we will make a deep dive on each parts that effect the trader's psychology and why it does so.
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📊 What are Swing Points?📍Types of Swing Points
A swing point on your chart is simply a turning point for price in the past, either to create a considerable pullback into an established trend, or to reverse it altogether. When a turning point creates a mere pullback it can be classified as a minor swing point. When it creates the base to reverse a trend, it is classified as a major swing point.
📍Why are swing high and swing low formed?
A swing high and swing low is formed due to what is known as support and resistance. The technical explanation for support and resistance is as follows:
🔹 A support forms for the price when you notice that there are more buyers than sellers at a certain price. The demand for the asset or the stock overwhelms the supply and thus pushes price higher.
🔹 A resistance forms for price when you notice more sellers than buyers at the price level. In this case, price fails to move higher and therefore declines.
Swing points are key levels we use in TA to identify potential trend reversals and support/resistance areas in the markets. Swing highs represent peaks in price movement , while swing lows represent valleys or troughs. You can find swing points by studying price charts, identifying peaks and valleys, and plotting them on the chart. By connecting swing points with trendlines, you can analyze patterns and assess potential support and resistance levels. Combining swing points with other technical indicators can enhance trading decisions. It's important to consider different time frames and use swing points as part of a comprehensive analysis approach.
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📈 4 BULLISH PATTERNS YOU NEED TO KNOW📌How to easily identify these patterns?
🟢Cup and Handle Pattern
The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that typically occurs after a significant uptrend. It is characterized by a U-shaped "cup" followed by a smaller consolidation known as the "handle." The cup portion represents a temporary pause or correction in the price, forming a rounded bottom. This signifies that selling pressure has diminished, and buyers are stepping in. After the cup formation, the handle is formed as a slight downward drift in price, usually in the form of a small consolidation or a shallow retracement. The handle represents a final consolidation before the resumption of the bullish move. The handle should be relatively smaller in size and have a downward-sloping price action.
🟢Double Bottom
The double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that signifies a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of two consecutive lows that are approximately at the same level, forming a support level. The first low represents a selling climax or a period of intense selling pressure. After the first low, the price rebounds and retraces to form a temporary high, creating a potential resistance level. However, buyers step in again, pushing the price back up, resulting in a second low that matches or is very close to the level of the first low. This double bottom formation indicates a significant level of support where buying interest outweighs selling pressure.
🟢 Bullish Flag
The bullish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that occurs after a strong upward move in price. It is characterized by a brief period of consolidation, where the price forms a narrow and rectangular range, resembling a flagpole and a flag. The flag portion of the pattern is typically slanted in the opposite direction of the initial price move. The flagpole represents the initial strong upward move, indicating a surge in buying interest. Following the flagpole, the price enters a consolidation phase, represented by the flag. This consolidation allows the price to stabilize and absorb selling pressure. The flag pattern should have parallel trendlines that contain the price action.
🟢Inverse Head and Shoulders
The inverse head and shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that indicates a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. It consists of three consecutive lows, with the middle low (the head) being lower than the two outer lows (the shoulders). The pattern resembles a head between two shoulders. The left shoulder forms as the price declines, followed by a subsequent rally to create a temporary high. The price then retraces, forming the head, which is lower than both the left and right shoulders. After the head, the price rallies again to form the right shoulder, which is usually slightly higher than the left shoulder.
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🕰️ The 4 Pillars of Trading Timeframes🔷Scalping:
Scalping is a trading strategy that involves making multiple quick trades within a short time frame, typically holding positions for just a few minutes. Traders who employ this strategy are referred to as scalpers. The main objective of scalping is to capitalize on small price movements and accumulate small profits that can add up over time. When engaging in scalping, traders focus on short-term charts, such as 1m,5m,15m charts, to identify rapid price fluctuations. They often use technical analysis such as order flow and volume , to spot entry and exit points. The key is to identify highly liquid instruments with tight bid-ask spreads and sufficient volatility. Scalpers must closely monitor their trades and maintain discipline, as the rapid pace of trading can be mentally demanding. Risk management is crucial in scalping and it is advised towards experienced traders that backtest their strategy before taking on scalping.
🔷Day Trading:
Day trading involves executing trades within a single trading day, with all positions closed before the market closes. Day traders aim to profit from intraday price fluctuations and take advantage of short-term trends. This style of trading requires active participation and constant monitoring of the market. Day traders typically use charts with shorter time frames, such as 15m,1h,4h to identify patterns and trends.
🔷Swing Trading:
Swing trading is a medium-term trading strategy that aims to capture price movements over a few days to several weeks. Swing traders seek to profit from short-term price fluctuations within the context of a larger trend. This approach allows traders to participate in more significant market moves while avoiding the need for constant monitoring. Swing traders typically use 1H,5h or daily charts to identify potential trade setups. They focus on technical analysis tools, such as trendlines, chart patterns, and indicators like moving averages or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The objective is to enter positions when there is a high probability of a trend reversal or continuation.
🔷Positional Trading:
Positional trading, also known as long-term trading or investing, involves holding positions for weeks, months, or even years. Position traders aim to capture larger market trends and ride significant price movements. They often base their decisions on fundamental analysis, considering factors like macroeconomic data, company financials, and market trends.
Position traders primarily use higher time frame charts, such as weekly or monthly charts, to identify long-term trends. They rely on fundamental indicators, news events, and market sentiment to make informed trading decisions.
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📊 How to: The Double Bottom Pattern📍 What is the Double Bottom Pattern?
The double bottom pattern is a trend reversal pattern observed on charts, such as bar and Japanese candlestick charts. Similar to the double top pattern, it consists of two bottom levels near a support line called the neckline. The pattern indicates the end of a downtrend and is confirmed by two failed attempts to break the support level. As a bullish reversal pattern, it signifies a shift in momentum and is commonly used by traders to enter long buying positions.
📍 How to Identify
In general, it is fairly simple to identify a double bottom pattern on a trading chart. This pattern can be identified when the price retests the support line and rises up again above the neckline. As a tip, you can usually identify the pattern as a “W” letter formation.
💥 Key Takeaways
The double bottom pattern is a bearish momentum reversal resembling the letter W.
It requires three main elements: first low, second low, and a clear neckline to identify the formation.
The pattern is more effective at the end of a strong downtrend rather than in a ranging market.
Drawing a support level and a neckline is necessary to trade this pattern.
Confirming the pattern with other technical analysis tools like moving averages, RSI, Fibonacci retracement level, and MACD is important.
The recommended approach to trading the double bottom pattern is to wait for the price to break the neckline with a stop-loss order and assess the risk-reward ratio.
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⚖️ How Much You Need To Recover LossesWhen an investment's value fluctuates, the amount of money required to bring it back to its initial value is equal to the amount of change, but with the opposite sign. When expressed as a percentage, the gain and loss percentages will be different. This is because the same dollar amount is being calculated as a percentage of two different initial amounts.
📌The formula is expressed as a change from the initial value to the final value.
Percentage change = ( Final value − Initial value ) / Initial value ∗ 100
Examples:
🔹 With a loss of 10%, one needs a gain of about 11% to recover. (A market correction)
🔹 With a loss of 20%, one needs a gain of 25% to recover. (A bear market)
🔹 With a loss of 30%, one needs a gain of about 43% to recover.
🔹 With a loss of 40%, one needs a gain of about 67% to recover.
🔹 With a loss of 50%, one needs a gain of 100% to recover.
(If you lose half your money you need to double what you have left to get back to even.)
🔹 With a loss of 100%, you are starting over from zero. And remember, anything multiplied by zero is still zero.
As the plot graph showcased on the idea, after a percentage loss, the plot shows that you always need a larger percentage increase to come back to the same value
To understand this, we can look at the following example:
$1,000 = starting value
$ 900 = $1,000 - (10% of $1,000), a drop of 10%
$ 990 = $ 900 + (10% of $900), followed by a gain of 10%
The ending value of $990 is less than the starting value of $1,000.
🧠 Psychological Aspect:
Investors should be able to mentally admit that they have incurred a loss, which is expected in trading. The investor should give some time to heal the process and only keep a close watch on the market situation. Huge losses incurred might disrupt the decision-making skill and stop trading for a few days until the confidence is regained. There should be the right focus to approach the right opportunities, and there should not be any regrets of any loss during trading.
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📊 Liquidity Gaps CheatsheetIn volatile markets, traders can benefit from large jumps in asset prices if they can be turned into opportunities. Gaps are areas on a chart where the price of a stock (or another financial instrument) moves sharply up or down, with little or no trading in between. As a result, the asset’s chart shows a gap in the normal price pattern. The enterprising trader can interpret and exploit these gaps for profit.
📌 What is a gap?
A gap occurs when the price of a security moves quickly through a price level, either up or down, with little trading or pricing available over that time span.
📌 How they are formed
Gaps can be caused by several factors, but they are mostly seen as a result of unexpected news or a technical breach of support or resistance.
🔹 On the fundamental side , the news could be a company beating earnings estimates by a large margin, or a speech by a Federal Reserve (Fed) official impacting interest rate expectations.
🔹 On the technical side, gaps can ensue following the break of a prior high/low, or other form of technical resistance or support, such as a key trend line.
💥 Key Takeaways About GAPS
🔹 Gaps are spaces on a chart that emerge when the price of the financial instrument significantly changes, with little or no trading in between.
🔹 Gaps can occur unexpectedly as the perceived value of the investment changes, due to underlying fundamental or technical factors, such as an earnings disappointment.
🔹 Gaps are classified as breakaway, exhaustion, common, or continuation, based on when they occur in a price pattern and what they signal.
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📈 How to: Bullish Rectangle PatternThe rectangle is a classical technical analysis pattern described by horizontal lines showing significant support and resistance. It can be successfully traded by buying at support and selling at resistance or by waiting for a breakout from the formation and using the measuring principle.
📍Understanding the Bullish Rectangle Candlestick Pattern
The bullish rectangle candlestick pattern is a chart formation that appears during an uptrend when prices temporarily pause before resuming their upward movement. It represents a period of temporary equilibrium as the price moves sideways. When the price breaks out above the upper resistance level, the pattern is considered valid, and it generates a buy signal. Bullish rectangle patterns are a type of classical chart pattern that indicate a period of indecision between buyers and sellers. They are common and powerful patterns used in breakout trading. On the other hand, the bearish rectangle pattern is the opposite version of the bullish rectangle pattern and follows the same formation and rules but occurs during a bearish market trend.
💥Key Takeaways:
🔹 The rectangle pattern signifies a lack of trend as the price fluctuates between horizontal support and resistance levels.
🔹 Traders have different approaches to trading rectangles:
🔹 Some choose to trade within the rectangle, buying near the bottom and selling or shorting near the top.
🔹 Others prefer to wait for breakouts, which occur when the price moves out of the rectangle.
🔹 The rectangle pattern concludes with a breakout, marking the end of the price's sideways movement between support and resistance levels.
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📈How to Trade: Rising Wedge Pattern📌 What is the Rising Wedge Pattern?
The rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern found at the end of an upward trend in financial markets. It suggests a potential reversal in the trend. It is the opposite of the bullish falling wedge pattern that occurs at the end of a downtrend. Traders recognize the rising wedge as a consolidation phase after a medium to long-term trend, indicating a decrease in momentum. Traders often use this pattern as a signal to take a short-selling position or exit their current position.
📊 How to Identify and Use the Rising Wedge
🔹 Identify an existing trend in a currency pair.
🔹 Draw support and resistance trend lines along with the highs and lows of the trend.
🔹 Wait for price consolidation and the contraction of the support and resistance lines, forming a rising wedge pattern.
🔹 Observe the upper trend line acting as resistance and the lower trend line acting as support, converging towards each other.
🔹 Place a sell order once the price breaks below the support line of the rising wedge pattern.
🔹 Set a stop-loss order at the same level as the support trend line to manage risk in case the price reverses.
🔹 Consider setting a profit target based on the distance between the highest and lowest points of the wedge pattern or by using a technical indicator or a previous support level as a reference.
💥 Key Takeaways:
🔸 The rising wedge is a technical chart pattern used to identify possible trend reversals.
🔸 The pattern appears as an upward-sloping price chart featuring two converging trendlines.
🔸 It is usually accompanied by decreasing trading volume.
🔸 A rising wedge is often considered a bearish chart pattern that indicates a potential breakout to the downside.
🔸 Wedges can either form in the rising or falling direction.
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📈 HOW TO: ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN📍 What Is an Ascending Triangle?
This pattern emerges when the price movement allows for a horizontal line to be drawn across the swing highs, while a rising trendline is drawn along the swing lows. These two lines together form a triangle shape. Traders actively monitor triangle patterns for potential breakouts, which can occur either upward or downward.
Ascending triangles are often referred to as continuation patterns because they typically result in a breakout in the same direction as the prevailing trend that was present before the triangle formation. This pattern offers traders a clear entry point, profit target, and stop-loss level, making it a tradable opportunity. It is worth noting that an ascending triangle can be distinguished from a descending triangle.
📍 How to Identify and Use the Ascending Triangle Candlestick pattern
To identify the ascending triangle pattern, you need to look for a period of price consolidation within an ongoing uptrend. During this phase, the price will exhibit a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. The upper resistance line of the pattern can be found by connecting at least two highs within the consolidation phase, while a rising trendline is drawn by connecting at least two higher lows.
Confirming the pattern involves ensuring that the price was in a clear uptrend before the consolidation phase, the upper resistance line is horizontal or slightly slanted upward, and the rising trendline intersects with the upper resistance line. Additionally, analyzing candlestick patterns within the consolidation phase, such as doji, hammer, or engulfing patterns, can provide further confirmation of buying pressure.
Once the ascending triangle pattern is confirmed, traders can set their entry and exit points. Typically, a long position is entered when the price breaks above the upper resistance line, indicating a bullish breakout. The height of the triangle pattern can be used to estimate a target price level, and a stop-loss order should be placed below the pattern to manage risk.
💥 Key Takeaways
🔹 Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur.
🔹 The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
🔹 A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
🔹 A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
🔹 A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
🔹 A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
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