USDJPY Sell to next whole level :: 111USDJPY has taken multiple touches of resistance against the 111.50 quarter level. I am looking for it to travel to the downside to the 111.00 whole level. The stochastic indicates we are not quite in the overbought region yet, so we may see more bullish price play on smaller time frames before a true drop occurs.
Entry is right at 111.50 , stop loss is 15 pips , take profit of 45 pips. I would close out partial positions once we come to 111.30 , as we may not see the whole move.
DISCLAIMER Trading comes with risk. Do not interpret this as a 100% accurate trade, this is simply my analysis based off the best Forex Education and Signals Platform.
Quarterstheory
USDJPY up to next whole level (111.000)USDJPY currently sitting at 110.580 , and is on the 4th wave of an Elliot 5-wave.
The 4th wave portion is currently sitting at the 0.382 retrace (good entry, this is my only entry at 0.05 lots). Alternatively, you can have partials at the 0.382 , and partials at the 0.50 Fib retrace.
Stop loss can be set anywhere below the half level (110.500) and take profit is at the upcoming whole level (111.000)
**DISCLAIMER** Trading comes with risk. Do not interpret this as a 100% accurate trade, this is simply my analysis based off the best Forex Education and Signals Platform.
USDJPY 03/08/19- Daily
Market closed with a strong bearish candle today. I didn't post yesterday because I didn't see much of a change from my previous assessment of the market.
On this timeframe we can see how price played right off of the 786 Fib level and began pushing to the downside. Price may stay within the channel, but if it's a confirmed break, then we could look for price to test the 110.000 range.
- 4H
Here, we can see price form a tested candle formation on the bottom of the channel (bearish to bullish). Until I see a confirmed break the channel is still valid to me. The way price closed below the Kumo on this timeframe is a signal for more bearish sentiment. However, price did not break the previous low.
We'll just have to see how next week sets up for us.
EURJPY 03/08/19- Daily
Wednesday closed with a doji. Nothing much changed from my previous forecast for the pair.
On Thursday, price came back within the channel in a major way and closed below 125.000. This could mean price may make its way towards 120.000 in the long run.
- 4H
Like I said before, price has comeback and hit the other side of the channel yesterday. Currently we can see a pullback forming. Depending on your definition of a break and retest, price may have done so where the orange dot is. Personally, I think a retest occurs after price finds a place of rest ( level of support/resistance, and must be a bullish to bearish, or bearish to bullish candle transition ) after breaking a level, then comeback to test it.
- 1H
On this timeframe you can see my previous definition play out right next to the orange dot. We may see one more pullback closer to Kijun, or a retest of the bottom channel and continuation to the downside.
EURUSD 03/08/19Wednesday didn't show much difference to report. Price consolidated and created a doji.
On Thursday we saw a massive bearish candle created and closed on the other side of the zone. This could be a signal for more bearish momentum in the future.
However, if we take a look at "recent" price movement on the Monthly timeframe, we can see something interesting. The market came and connected with the 618 fib level after creating a Higher High in 2018. This could mean a very long reversal. Only time will tell.
EURJPY 03/05/19- Daily
Price closed with a small bearish candle. Everything is still above the cloud signaling bullish momentum. We could see a reversal soon.
- 4H
Price has come to rest near 78.6 This could be where we see price reverse back to the upside. It's no guarantee since we see price falling back inside the channel.
- 1H
We can see a strong rejection off of 78.6. This could be the start of the uptrend back to the top, or hit the channel (or Kijun) and head back to the bottom.
EURUSD 03/05/19- Daily
EU finished with another bearish day. Everything is below the Kumo signaling more bearish momentum. We've come in contact with 1.13000. This price seem to be tested before dropping a little further into 1.12500 range.
- 4H
Price is showing more bearish tendencies on this timeframe too. We could be looking at a continuation to 1.1250.
- 1H
Currently looking at the consolidation around 1.13000. We are seeing multiple breaks and retests of the key level. It could be a setup for another entry to 1.1250. We'll just have to see.
USDJPY Update 03/04/19- Daily
The daily candle closed with a small bearish doji. Not a lot of movement. Price is showing signs of possible bulls taking over again and hitting the top of the channel, or finding rest around 112.500.
- 4H
Price has been in a range of consolidation all day. We could see this continue into the morning, or at least London Opening.
- 1H
There are some wicks showing a strong resistance level around 112.000 (Minor Whole Quarter Level). If price rejects that area again, we could see a major drop.
EURUSD Update 03/04/19- Daily
Price has shown a strong rejection off of the overall trend. As an added bonus, there was a break of the counter trend.
- 4H
Price has broken Kijun and entered the cloud; Chikou right along with it. There are signs that the bearish momentum is continuing:
- Kumo Twist
- Price and Chikou below Kijun
We could see a possible buy setup closer to 1.13000.
- 1H
This timeframe shows multiple selling opportunities when price came close to Kijun and bounced hard. We see a level of support formed around 1.13200 and price could continue up a little higher before dropping again.
EURJPY Update 03/04/19- Daily
The daily candle closed bearish today rejecting the zone drawn around 127.500. JPY pairs across the board are appearing to have some bearish momentum. Some of my partners that look at other pairs saw similar findings on other JPY pairs. This looks like a solid railroad formation (tweezer top). We could see more from this pullback.
- 4H
We see a nice "M" formation in the rejection zone that signaled the move to the downside. Since overall trend of the short-term market is bullish, I would be looking for signs of reversal around the highlighted areas. These are also my TP points, and we can see TP1 (38.2) and TP2 (61.8) have been hit. There is current rejection off of the 61.8, but not one significant enough to engulf the previous bearish candle. I still think we could see a little more bearish momentum.
-1H
This timeframe confirms my findings on the higher. There are multiple signs of continued bearish momentum:
- Dark Future
- Price and Chikou below Kijun
- Breakout to the downside of the Kumo
Although these signals are not as strong as they would be on a higher timeframe, they still give slight foreshadowing of what can occur going into the next day; or at least the next few hours.
Outlook for EURUSD- Weekly
EURUSD has been on a significant downtrend over the last year and continues. Price is below the cloud, so we could expect more bearish momentum.
- Daily
Price has bounced off of the bearish trend line and broken a bullish counter trend (4H). We can see that the area around 1.1250 is an area that has been tested multiple times. It could be a nice TP Zone for the sell.
- 4H/1H
Price has closed below Kijun multiple times, and shows more wicking off of the major trend line. Price has also broken and retested 1.13750. We could see price fall back and consolidate again around 1.13000 and 1.12500.
Outlook on EURJPY-Weekly
EJ has been on a downtrend over the passed year. Lower Lows and Lower Highs. Price is below the Kumo which means we may be experiencing more down trending movement. The previous week ended with a strong bullish candle finding resistance at 127.500. With such a strong push we may see a push back to 130.000.
- Daily
Price has climbed back to the other side of the channel drawn. We are seeing bullish activity due to price being above Kumo and Kijun. However, Chikou is below the Kumo, and price is in at a key level of S/R. Depending on how today's candle closes, we may see a rejection back to 125.000, or a continuation to 130.000.
- 4H/1H
We see a strong rejection off of 127.500. Price could be heading back towards the downside. It's currently setting up for a nice sell, and we could see it come back to 126.250.
Possible Outlook for USDJPYWhat's good everyone?
I'm trying something a little different these next few weeks.
I'm only going to focus on UJ, EJ, and EU as my trading pairs to gain a solid understanding of these 3. So let's start with eveyone's bae, UJ!
- Weekly
Over the last couple of years price has been in forming a Bullish pennant pattern. Creating higher lows and finding resistance around 113.750 and 115.00. Price is currently sitting above Kumo, so we could expect more bullish movement.
- Daily
Price has broken a major trend line and has bounced off of the overall trend that was created on the weekly.
Price has also broken 110.00 and it appears to be on its way to 112.500.
- 4H/1H
We could be looking for buy opportunities based off of the channel drawn.
Price is currently sitting far away from the Kumo and Kijun. We could expect a pullback to Kijun, or 111.250, and a continuation of the uptrend. Depending on how price reacts at the top of channel we could see a possible selling opportunity.
Tell me I am Wrong about the Brits
I wanted to verify my views on GBPJPY as to whether or not it is truly on the uptrend. I was high yesterday so I doubted my report yesterday. But with a sober mind I can say price action is definitely bullish. Price currently is on my green 38.2 fib, which is slightly above my orange 38.2 fib. Odds are if price does not move upward it will trend sideways.
Price action is quite bullish. The next price goal is @145.000, but I see long term price action towards 145.500. Not only is it a major quarter point, but I have two fib levels that show confluence in that area.
If price moves towards 144.000, then we must wait until further price action.
Brits Over the Yen Again
Price will move towards my 23.6 Orange Fib level @114.311.
From there we will see price action towards Large Quarter Point 145. There is also confluence at that point with two fib levels, 78.6 and 50, that can serve as the top and bottom of the target price zone.
Profit Size: 68.6 Pips
Australian Gold!After much analysis on USD, it is clear that the dollar is looking to correct. For more information view my article Down with the Dollar!
On the four hour for AUDUSD, price is currently holding between my yellow fib level @61.8 and my white fib level @78.6. Price action over previous days was rather good. It was formerly on the major quarter point @0.725 and crashed through to its current level.
As of now AUDUSD is on a downtrend. It seems like a reversal trend is forming but it is too early to tell. I set a green counter-trendline for if price breaks it, then bullish momentum is confirmed.
On the other hand, if price breaks my 78.6 fib level @0.70122, then further downtrend is confirmed.
Uncle Sam Whipped by Nippon
USDJPY forming a descending triangle on the four hour. Managed to hit large quarter point at 110, but each challenge led to higher lows consistent to the counter trendline. It seems like price action peaked above the 61.8 fib level, and no longer has bullish momentum. A reversal trend is imminent, most likely when price breaks below the blue line @109.819
If price does break below the blue line, then bears have taken over the trend and I will short until price reaches the orange zone.
Orange zone: 109.5-109.6
Price goal: Fib level 78.6 (@109.385)
Queen of England is Too Good to be True
It looks like fundamentally the Pound is simply at an all time low as seen in the monthly when reaching 1.2 on October 2016. Since then we have been on an overall uptrend. Despite the short term correction over the last year, the pound has regained support on large quarter point 1.3. On the weekly, the faster EMA trend has finally reached upward and connected with its slower counterpart signaling bullish momentum.
If the pound breaks through the orange zone past 1.3, then the pound will correct further but will still stay above the upward bottom yellow trendline.
But if the pound uses the orange zone as support, then the next projected price level is at the major quarter point 1.325.
Currently the trend looks bullish and price will continue upwards. The blue area is a safe take profit zone, but bulls may take price towards following quarter point 1.35
EURUSD Pending Longs (Feb 3 EUR)Using the bigger picture (as always in my analysis) I have identified a few key areas that will be considered for long positions.
This trade idea will be discussed during the Feb 4 - 8 Live Streams
Trading involves risk and I'm not a financial advisor so practice with your demo account.
Pending USDCAD Shorts (Feb 3 USD) Using the bigger picture, I have noted a few key areas worth watching to use as targets and entries for short positions.
This trade idea will be discussed during the Feb 4 - 8 live sessions.
I am not a financial advisor and trading involves risk... practice with your demo account.