Accumulation above the line (H1, H4 tf)After breaking out the H4 level and stopped just above the line. This level was tested several time in history and it is obvious that we can go higher until we pull out all bearish orders. The pice in above the level is a + for long positions, The local sales and putting the price under the line liquidated within next 1-2 hours - another _ for longs. (it seems that strong buyer is still holding the position). Estimated TP for long positions is better to put close to daily level around 0.3990. Level at 0.4000 is a strong resistance both technically and mentally (0.4000). Therefore we expect a high volatility there and looking for an local correction sales.
Rakhascapital
Close to use Darvas's boxes trategyTechnically:
H4 big desc. candle, closed below the support line.
No correction above 5%
H1 shows us accumulation in a narrow range
Bearish pattern
There are empty zone below.
Green dash line is an next support.
Nicholas Darvas wrote his book after he understood that when the price follows the trend there should be possibillities to increae your position at local stops. It like a train, going fwd, and at the stations you can join the trip. Next station we expect at the 838 (supp.from the Hune 15, confirmed Jun, 30) We have to be very careful about increasing our sells and should see the confirmations from the chart. like low corrections, small bars approaching the level, close retests of the level. In this case it will be allowed to double your position with correction of SL.
H4 TA analysis of the current situation with two options ahead Daily:
We have a not clear downtrend, almost empty area below 8.50. Next serious support is 7.40
H4:
Downtrend for 5 days (-23%), accumulation for 13 days with further bearish breakout. At 8.6 - new accumulation.
After false breakout, no high correction, 3rd bar after FB is "stop bar". Next bar in bearish. reached 80% H4 ATR for 3 hours.
It seems that shorts are nearby, but we have to be sure, that other scenario is cancelled. The best short signal for us will be small bars (H1-H4) in yellow box, just above the 8.5 line.
Tp is 3-5% above the 7.40
Bearish moodDaily:
Down trend, target price ~5.80 (5.90). The pair is in the channel after descending, no bullish signs from higher TF.
H4:
After fast descending from the 9.00 the price stopped at local support (~7.9). Usually after fast movement the price need some time for the rest, new traders will come in. Everyone see the levels, everyone is putting their stops and market orders in one place. Therefore it is quite usual, when the price will breakthrough res|sup with further backward moving...
As of today, we have to wait short signals (bearish patterns) of the cahrt to go deeper. Meanwhile we may start* to sell close to ~8.0, with SL above and increase our short at 7.73, 7.50
*Do not expect from the market that it will go as you plan, be in focus on real situation here and now. Manage risks and turn-off emotions.
Don't forecast the future, use patternsAfter a huge down trend, ETHUSDT is accumulating for 25 days in a channel. As we know, trading in channel is quite simple: sell from the top, buy from the bottom. And don't think about future of the pair, unless you see the signlas shows that the pair is going to break borders. (the blue arrow and the red one). To make Breakthrough scenarios active, local correction of the pair should not exceed 20% of the channel range. On H1 you can see a flag formation, which gives additional scores for further down movement. Mean while, we use short strategies with short SL.
Waiting for descendingTechnically.
We have an 56 days of accumulation after downtrend. After up edge of the zone breakdown we came back into. Therefore RLCUSDT is nog willing to start a new uptrend. Form the other side, global BTC benchmark in nearly to start new uptrend, but RLCUSDT is looking for downtrend. We expect downtrend for the pair of RLCUSDT, but we would like to wait for a solid entrance. Meanwhile some stop-orders could be placed below the current price...