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📈 Explosive Setup on Nasdaq: Prepare for Skyrocketing Gains🐂🚀Exciting news for stock market enthusiasts! A compelling bullish setup has emerged on Nasdaq's chart, signaling a potential trend continuation. The price action has formed a robust support zone around the 14800 area, with multiple bounces indicating a significant accumulation of bullish orders. It's clear that the bulls are standing strong, ready to defend this critical level. Adding to the positive outlook, the RSI has crossed above 50, accompanied by its moving average, serving as a powerful confirmation of the upward momentum. Furthermore, the 89 EMA has proven to be a reliable dynamic support, further bolstering the bullish sentiment. With this confluence of support levels, we have an exciting opportunity on our hands to follow the trend. Buckle up as we target multiple take profits along the way: 15090, 15245, and a grand finale at 15500. Don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🚀💪
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Thomas_Zito
3
Bitcoin's Psychological 30K: Uncertainty and PotentialBitcoin has reached the psychological barrier of 30K, likely triggering a temporary pullback to around 28K. At 28K, uncertainty arises: a strong climb to 32K is expected if bullish momentum persists, while falling below 28K could test the 25,800 support level. On the Weekly, the scenario is still bullish though, but starts to weak a bit. PS: I'm happy to see that the price didn't fall under the 25K support, and climbed as stated in my previous posts. But for now, I would say there is a little slowdown in the bull movement. I hope it is just local and temporary. We need extra candles to be more sure of the bullish strength, if it will last or not (even if there was the sudden surge which reached 30K). My bullish goal is 49K, but it's really far from now.
Short
by TradeWithAtemak
3
Meta -> Rally Not Over YetHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis. On the weekly timeframe you can see that Meta stock started a crazy dump in September of 2021, dropping roughly 80% in a very short period of time but bounced back significantly. You can also see that the recovery started in October of 2022 and from there Meta created a rally of 200% towards the upside and is now approaching resistance at the $300 level from which I do expect a short term rejection away towards the downside. On the daily timeframe you can see that Meta stock is still massively bullish, creating new highs every single day so I am now just waiting for a retest of the previous resistance at the $275 level and then I do expect a final blow-off to retest the $300 resistance zone. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:METALong
by basictradingtv
30
🚀📈 NASDAQ: Bulls Taking Charge! Get Ready for a Rocket Ride!The bullish setup on NASDAQ in the 1-hour timeframe is generating excitement among traders.After successfully riding the previous bullish wave from 14250 to 14650, the market is now presenting a highly compelling opportunity to add to long positions to enjoy the rally. Here's why: Price has convincingly broken through a key resistance level that had been fiercely contested in recent days. This level, which had previously acted as a formidable resistance, has now transformed into a strong support zone. This shift signifies a clear victory for the buyers, indicating their growing dominance and the waning strength of the sellers. As a result, we are witnessing the emergence of a powerful short squeeze, where sellers rush to cover their short positions, propelling the market higher. But the bullish case is not just limited to technical factors. On the fundamental front, recent news of a successful debt ceiling agreement has injected fresh optimism into the market. This positive development has rekindled enthusiasm among investors, encouraging them to allocate capital back into equities. With renewed capital inflows expected, the stage is set for further upward momentum in NASDAQ. As for potential profit targets, it is essential to approach the trade with a prudent strategy. The first take profit level can be set at 14800, as it aligns with a significant resistance area that may prompt some profit-taking by short-term traders. The second take profit level can be positioned at 14950, aiming for a continuation of the upward momentum. However, it is crucial to monitor price action and adapt your strategy as the market evolves. So, fasten your seatbelts and get ready for an exhilarating ride as the bulls take charge on NASDAQ! Don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🐂🚀💰
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Thomas_Zito
2
🐂📈EURUSD Breaks Key level, Bulls Take Charge for a rally!The key level of 1.07900 has been decisively broken, and now, we are witnessing a retest of this level. This retracement provides an ideal entry point for traders looking to join the ongoing rally. Market participants who missed out on the initial breakout are likely to seize this opportunity, resulting in increased buying pressure and fueling the continuation of the upward move. What makes this setup even more compelling is the potential for a short squeeze. As the price surpasses the previous resistance level, sellers who had shorted EURUSD will be compelled to close their positions to limit their losses. This rush to cover shorts can amplify the upward momentum, creating a favorable environment for further price appreciation. Furthermore, the recent price action has exhibited a notable contraction between 1.07900 and 1.07300, indicating a period of consolidation before the breakout. With the resistance now flipped to support, we can set our sights on a target of 1.08500, capitalizing on the bullish momentum. Taking partial profits around 1.08250 allows for prudent risk management and ensures we secure some gains along the way. To bolster the bullish case, the moving averages are providing solid support, reinforcing the positive outlook. Placing a tight stop loss just below these moving averages allows for effective risk management while maximizing the risk-to-reward ratio. Join the bullish charge on EURUSD as the market presents an enticing opportunity for potential gains. Remember to stay disciplined, adapt to changing market conditions, and enjoy the journey towards trading success! Don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful🚀📈💰
Long
by Thomas_Zito
4
BTCUSDT: Bullish Reversal Signal in progressJust a few moments ago, the price of BTCUSDT exhibited an fast movement down within the 25000-25800 zone, setting the stage for a compelling BUY opportunity (As I said in my previous idea) What caught my attention is the chart's depiction of a significant shift in price momentum. Take a look at the bottom purple-colored moving average (MA) line—it hits the last candle. This alignment hints at an imminent reversal in the ongoing downtrend, signaling a potentially powerful bullish surge. However, the real fireworks will commence when the purple line will cross the blue one. This event will serve as the catalyst for a definitive shift in the market sentiment, further solidifying our bullish stance. before that, the price will range near the 25000-25800 zone. With all these factors falling into place, we have a good scenario to enter a truly bullish period. And in my humble opinion I don't think the price will descend below the 25K mark, as mentioned in my previous idea post. Brace yourselves for the Bulls to seize control and propel us towards the exciting 40K+ territory. Remember, trading always carries some level of risk, so ensure you implement proper risk management strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis is solely based on my personal observations and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your thorough analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by TradeWithAtemak
Rising from the Ashes: GALA V2 Ignites a Spectacular GALA Run GALA V2: Igniting a Thrilling Bull Market Breakout, Surging GALA, the blockchain and gaming juggernaut, defies expectations with an explosive breakout synced with the highly anticipated bull market. The migration to GALA V2 and a jaw-dropping burn of 21 billion shares set the stage for an electrifying ascent. Within an ascending parallel channel, GALA captures the attention of investors with an unwavering climb. Riding the bullish wave, GALA holds its position, delivering mind-boggling returns exceeding 5 times the initial investment. This breakout, perfectly aligned with the bull market, shakes the cryptocurrency world. GALA emerges as an unrivaled force, reshaping success in blockchain and gaming. Partnerships flourish, users multiply, and investors rush to join this meteoric rise. Hold on tight as GALA skyrockets, defying expectations and setting new benchmarks. The fusion of GALA's breakout and the bull market is an adrenaline-fueled spectacle, where dreams turn to reality and investors witness unprecedented returns. Get ready to be part of this thrilling journey!
Long
by markbohnn
Nasdaq -> Massively Bullish RallyHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that nas100 is actually approaching a quite obvious previous weekly structure area which is now acting as resistance at the $15.000 level. You can also see that over the past couple of weeks, nas100 had a massively bullish rally and we are now a little bit overextended towards the upside, so I am now just waiting for a deeper push into the zone and then I do expect a short term rejection towards the downside. On the daily timeframe you can also see that we are just rallying towards the upside without any correction, so I am now just waiting for some bearish rejection before I then do expect a short term drop also on the daily timeframe. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
FX:NAS100Short
by basictradingtv
50
BTC/USD - LONG SCENARIOS - ANALYSIS - DThe "BTC/USD" is in a downtrend since Nov – 2021, and it is obvious that we can expect a trend reversal if necessary. -> The coupling of traditional markets to BTC is very high because of institutional investors (example: S&P500 falls = BTC falls). -> I will analyze in more detail in today's post at which key areas we can expect resistance at a LONG. -> For this, we will look at the "BTC/USD" from the daily view and integrate elements of the daily, weekly and monthly charts. TABLE OF CONTENTS - 1st part = EXPLANATION - used indicators + levels - 2nd part = SCENARIOS - Pro + Con breakdown - 3rd part = CONCLUSION FIRST PART 1. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT | For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the move, which started in - Sep/2022 - and ended in - Sep/2022 -. -> 0.618 FIB = 21,013.91 USD | Pending processing -> 0.65 FIB = 21,163.44 USD | Pending processing -> 0.75 FIB = 21,630.75 USD | Pending processing -> 0.786 FIB = 21,798.97 USD | Pending processing -> 0.88 FIB = 22,238.24 USD | Pending processing -> 1.618 FIB = 25,686.93 USD | Pending processing > As "dotted" lines - drawn in the chart. 2. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT | For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the movement, which started in - Aug/2022 - and ended in - Sep/2022 -. -> 0.618 FIB = 22,504.72 USD | Pending processing -> 0.65 FIB = 22,731.45 USD | Pending processing -> 0.75 FIB = 23,439.99 USD | Pending processing -> 0.786 FIB = 23,695.06 USD | Pending processing -> 0.88 FIB = 24,361.08 USD | Pending processing -> 1.618 FIB = 29,590.06 USD | Pending processing > As "dashed" lines - drawn in the chart. 3. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT | For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the movement, which started in - May/2022 - and ended in - June/2022 -. -> 0.328 FIB = 22,468.86 USD | Pending processing -> 0.618 FIB = 26,754.19 USD | Pending processing -> 0.65 FIB = 27,227.05 USD | Pending processing -> 0.75 FIB = 28,704.75 USD | Pending processing -> 0.786 FIB = 29,326.72 USD | Pending processing -> 0.88 FIB = 30,625.76 USD | Pending processing > As "solid" lines - drawn in the chart. 4. | DEMAND ZONES The demand zones formed at the beginning of the upward movement, thus they were created and in - June-Oct/2020. -> WEEK ZONE | 1 | = 29,282.36 – 32,399.00 USD | Pending processing -> DAYS ZONE | 1 | = 21,538.51 – 22,799.00 USD | Pending processing -> TAGES ZONE | 2 | = 23,671.22 – 25,211.32 USD | Pending processing -> DAY ZONE | 3 | = 29,944.10 - 32,399.00USD | Pending processing -> 4 HOURS ZONE | 1 | = 22,182.93- 22,794.61USD | Pending processing -> 4 HOURS ZONE | 2 | = 23,111,.04- 23,600.00USD | Pending processing > As "GREY" areas - drawn in the chart. 5. | POINT OF INTEREST | The points of psychological interest, were created the first time Nov - 2017 - and showed some reactions since then. -> POI | 1 | = 22,600 USD | Pending processing -> POI | 1 | = 28,000 USD | Pending processing -> POI | 2 | = 30,000 USD | Pending processing | POI should be used as support in the upcoming situation. | POI is used as ZONE -> no point exact support. > As "Orange" line - drawn in the chart. 6. | SIDEWAYS CHANNEL | The sideways channel formed at the last sell-off, in - May/2022. -> Range = 22.800,00 USD - 18.626,00 | Pending settlement SECOND PART As soon as the price reaches the broken down levels, we can expect a reaction from the market, which depends on the "weighting" of each level. 1. | SCENARIO | TOP - at approx. 23,600-24,400 USD (momentum-dependent) What would speak for it: - "BREAK OF THE SIDEWARDS-TREND CHANNEL" + confirmation - "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) = completely worked off - "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (2) = 0.786 - "SUPPLY ZONES | D1 (1) + 4H (1+2) = Drop-Base-Rally = WEAK + this idea must be supported by the DXY + S&P500! = DXY falls + S&P500 rises What is the argument against it: - "BREAK OF THE SIDE DOWNTREND CHANNEL" + without confirmation. - "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (2) | 0.618+ 0.65 FIB" - "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (3) | 0.328 FIB" - "POINT OF INTEREST (1) - "SUPPLY ZONE | D (2) = rally base drop = STRONG - Entire AREA - marked with "RED ZONE" = very strong resistance - need enough momentum to break it and stay above it. All levels plotted on this screenshot: 2. | SCENARIO | TOP - at approx. 27,500 – 30,000 USD (momentum dependent) What would speak for it: - "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) + (2) | Worked down to the 1.618s - "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (3) | 0.328s = Pending - "SUPPLY ZONES | Worked down to the W (1) + D (3) = Outstanding - Liquidity Pools - Uptrend line serves as resistance - Test from last market structure break + this idea must be supported by the DXY + S&P500! = DXY falls + S&P500 rises What is the argument against it: - All AREAS - marked with "RED ZONE" = are very strong resistances - we need enough momentum to break this and stay above. All levels drawn in on this screenshot: CONCLUSION What the exact scenario for "BTC/USD" will look like is impossible to say at the moment. The correlation relevant for us to make decisions is as follows: - DXY (USD) is currently like a kind of indicator of fear in the market, with which it controls the S&P500. - The S&P500 is currently at a very relevant level (3,600 points), if this breaks sustainably (with confirmation), we will see a strong sell-off in all markets - market crash! (for this please look at my SHORT SCENARIOS version to get the relevant levels). - If this market crash does not happen, then all markets will go into a "recovery rally". The traditional market will also pull the crypto market up with it. - If this market crash does occur, then it will also have a significant impact on BTC. (Liquidation cascades of stop loss orders and fear from retail market participants.) -> The marked levels should all realize a reaction, which are dependent on momentum. -> Once it is apparent that we have formed the BOTTOM, I will upload a detailed LONG execution. -> Feel free to discuss it in the comments and share our perspectives, I would be "burning" to hear your take on it all. If this idea and explanation added any value to you, I would be very happy to see a review of it. Thank you and happy trading!
Long
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
Gone Too Far…As the world remains engrossed in the unfolding drama of the debt ceiling, we believe another event of significance deserves our attention. Let's take a brief detour into the annals of economic history, looking at the era of Abenomics. This term refers to the monetary policy instituted during Shinzo Abe's second term as Prime Minister of Japan. Abenomics rested on the foundation of "Three Arrows" - aggressive monetary policy, fiscal consolidation, and a robust growth strategy. The outcome? The Nikkei embarked on an impressive bull run, seemingly unstoppable in its upward trajectory. This performance becomes all the more remarkable when compared to the S&P500, which managed a modest gain of only 12% over the same period. This comparison sparked an intriguing question: How do these two indices compare now, especially with the Nikkei shattering two-decade highs? When we chart the spread, the ratio of Nikkei 225 to S&P 500 stands on the brink of upper resistance, a boundary that has proven significant for nearly a decade. A more granular exploration of each index reveals some compelling details. For the S&P 500, we observe a break of the upper resistance as well as a break from an ascending triangle, both of which signify a bullish continuation. While RSI has not yet reached the overbought territory. On the other hand, the recent surge in the Nikkei 225 index has been robust and swift, surpassing the 2021 highs, with the RSI indicating an extreme overbought scenario. Thus, we suspect that the Nikkei's meteoric ascent may have overshot its mark. This situation presents an intriguing trading opportunity: shorting the Nikkei 225 / S&P 500 spread. This can be executed by shorting the Nikkei 225 Futures and going long on the S&P 500 Futures. To match the Nikkei 225 USD contract size at the current price of 31,300 with a contract value of 31,300 x 5 = 156,500 USD, we could utilize the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Futures at the current price of 4,215 with a contract value of 4,125 x 5 = 21,075 USD. Hence, to balance the position size, we could employ 1 Nikkei 225 contract and 7 Micro S&P 500 contracts. The Nikkei 225 USD Futures represents 5 USD x Nikkei Stock Average. Prices are quoted in US dollars and cents per index point, each 5 point move is equal to 25 USD. The Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures represents 5 USD x S&P 500 index. Prices are quoted in US dollars and cents per index point, each 0.25 index point move is equal to 1.25 USD. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Reference: www.adb.org www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
TVC:NI225Short
by inspirante
Next major levels : 30500 (support) & 49000 (resistance)We are now in a good scenario of getting an uptrend which can potentially reach 49000 USD before august. The opportunity has started since this new easter week. The 29K-30K barrier is now more fragile than ever, and will be broken imminently. And 30500 will become a new support level. It's a long opportunity here. I have 2 cross-overs in my CMA indicator which I'm considering for a Takeprofit closing : 1/ When the green line will crossover the thick purple line, that will be the easiest to reach. (small profit) 2/ When the green line will cross over the blue line. Normally it should reach around 40000/42000+ Time will tell :) PS: a typo in the chart, please read ==> "30490 barrier is NOW breachable finally."
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TradeWithAtemak
Rally to .618 fib ($48,500 by July) then -72% before new ATH'sHi there! In 2018 after the bull run the market had a rally to .618 fib level & took 7 months to pump from $3000 to $13,500, applying the same mathematics to the currently rally after the last bull run a pump to .618 fib level in 7 months would take us to $48,500 by July. Then had a 72% dump before the 2020/2021 bull run, and if the same thing happened we’d top at $48,500 by July and dump 72% to $13,900 before the 2024/2025 run.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn33301143
2
Inter-exchanges spread is an interesting volatility indicatorAfter observing how much price could be different between exchanges especially during times of high volatility and emotion, I wondered whether I could reliably aggreggate and display concisely this information to improve my trading without having to frenetically check a dozen tickers of the same symbol across a dozen different exchanges, as most traders do, myself included. This led me to create two indicators based on this idea. Here is the first indicator, which summarizes the inter-exchanges spread by calculating the deviation (standard deviation or median absolute deviation, the latter being more robust against outliers - exchanges that saw scamwicks due to low liquidity or an unusually large whale doing an exceptional transaction): And here is the second one, which instead displays clouds of min-max values overlaid on the price data, so that we preserve the price data, which can be directly used to define stop losses or entries: The subject of this idea is what I highlighted by a red arrow in the chart above, from the second indicator applied to BTCUSD in the first half of March 2023, post SVB bank collapse. BTCUSD saw an unexpected face-ripping rally. No indicator I know of could predict it, and no price action was indicative, except from experience knowing that we were in the lows of the range and that it was a potential time for a rally up, but I could not predict the proportions. I knew that because of SVB being a black swan event, the pump could be big, but I had no indication it could be bigger than the post FTX rally. However, the second indicator linked above provided a convincing evidence of a much bigger volatility in the highs (green cloud) than in the lows (red cloud), which suggested that, in addition to an overall high volatility and hence emotions and hence likelihood of a big move potentially happening soon, the bigger green cloud suggested a bigger interest in longs than in sales (red cloud). Hence, it seems the second indicator's green and red clouds can also be seen as representative of buying-selling pressure in some ways that even buying and selling pressure indicators can't show (see also my other indicator which is a merge of several buying-selling pressure indicators): This is a very interesting observation that I don't think I saw before. I will keep investigating inter-exchanges metrics, as this may provide a new way to detect early market inefficiencies.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by tartigradia
1
Bitcoin launching from hereThrough publicly available tradingview scripts I used TA, pattern recognition, multiple timeframes and determined while seems strange I believe bitcoin is going to launch from here. I think stocks are going to crash from here. Usually bitcoin follows stocks but for some strange reason not this time according to my analysys. Hope I’m right because I been with bitcoin since it was below $100. It’s always going to die or go down or zero…. But it keeps on trucking. Now for other coins I don’t monitor but this is and always be the grand daddy.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TheUniverse618
10
TESLA BUY the Rumor Sell the FactTESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution" I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday. Technicals/Indicators/Patterns: $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too .. -^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area -^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side BEARISH: -Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 --Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr) -Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit -OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary) -Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution _____________________________ -***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days *Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends (Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March) - Options Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall -Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5 -Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low Positives: -Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again.. -Berlin Higher production levels --QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/Bearish (Long-Term Bullish) My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ... $200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234. Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap (0.618 retracement) Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down" *watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area -I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of" -Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Black_Sheep1
2
$RLY one more time... Finally time to rally?I've been waiting a long time for Rally to finally move and it looks like it might be time (within the next week). $RLY found support at $.115 and it now looks to be forming a large inverse head and shoulders pattern on low timeframes. Once it breaks above $.157, we should see a quick move to $.257 and it should head to the final target of $.0328. This isn't a coin I would hold, but it does look good for a trade. Let's see how it plays out from here.
RLong
by benjihyam
15
BTC Outlook 2023 - 2027BTC Outlook 2023-2027 (Revised) I think its almost confirmed with high confidence that this rally is bear market rally, not a rally of a new cycle that ends the BTC bear market. 25k is already its highest peak, it will going sideway for a while before resuming the drawdown to a lower level. Q1 2023 is one month left before it ends. This rally is the corrective move of wave 4 of the 4th cycle ABC move. After we have the truncated bull market of 2021, now we also have a truncated bear market. Its a textbook Elliot Wave cycle but its just not the ideal one. But it is the ideal one to model the current cycle. We can see that the peak of the current rally has touch multiple important moving averages. That's it, the unbreakable wall of the rally. Next move we will see again another massive drawdown, the wave 5, the last wave of the ABC move. My prediction is that BTC will be asking for a major support between 12-14k liquidity area, touching 1M 100 SMA and 50% of Fibonacci retracement level, and surely a weekly bullish divergence will be formed, and that would be the best time to buy before a new cycle started. Approximately the bottom will be formed around Q2-Q3 of 2023, but I think Q3 is preferable considering the macroeconomic condition. The identification of almost-confirmed-with-high-confidence wave 4 of ABC move also stating that the current cycle has been going a time period of more than 4 years tradition and still counting due to a longer bear market. The first time that BTC breaking this tradition after going 3 Elliot Wave cycles and 3 halvings. For the next cycle, we will have the first wave peaking between 32-37k, the 3rd wave peaking at around 2021 ATH and for the 5th wave, the blow off top will be around 130-170k. Let see if this post will age really well in the coming years.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by derahmanov