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Rally

The story of USDCADOnce upon a time their were a bull and a bear in a forex bar. The bear and the bull got into a fight. at first the bull was wooping the bear ass but the bear came back with hay makers himself. The bull put up a pretty solid fight until the bear got news that if knock down the bull he get free drinks all night. so the bear knocked his butt down. little did the bear know. the bull is bouncing back from the support he heard from a far distance from other bulls.... to be continued.
Long
by airmaxxprince
FINALLY! GOLD COMPLETES THE RISK-OFF *3* - !SHORT EQUITIES!Finally Gold completes the market risk-off 3 for rallying... we not have JPY, BONDS and GOLD all rallying - this completes the set of 3 -riskoff indicators, we are now in full bear mode for stock markets imo.. as you can tell from the US Treasuries and JPY, these riskoff assets have been gaining value for some time, gold has been lagging behind but today following a poor NFP print but STRONG Unemployment print. IMO gold is rallying higher as the probability for a fed hike becomes higher since unemployment is their target measure along with inflation (and not NFP as some will believe). with all 3 riskoff assets rallying this means there CANNOT be enough liquidity in the market to push risk assets (SPX/NAS100/DJ30) to new highs as well - its all but a 0 sum game - the liquidity to push JPY BONDS and GOLD higher MUST have come from risk assets. I believe this will be the end of the modest bull run for equities #downwego probably starting next week. A movement lower in equities at his point is well served - we have many high risk events coming up and i believe people will be getting out of risk and into safety starting next week given 1: fed on the 16th 2. brexit on the 23rd and also BOJ on the 16th (along with a slew of other Central banks also due to declare their monetary policy). Given the above uncertainties/ Risks NOW seems a perfect time for investors to flee to safety and for the SPX to follow suit 5-10% lower in the coming weeks. As per my previous articles this answers all of the questions, we now have enough uncertainty momentum to push gold UP and stocks down IMO.. the paradoxical bonds/jpy AND stocks higher will come to an end in the coming days with STOCKS selling off for at least 4 weeks. PLease see the attached articles for more information.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by QuantumLogicTrading
Another unsustainable rally based on commoditiesFollowing the recent oil rally, the Russian equity index has also rallied about 30%. However, this - like the oil rally and the Petrobras rally I posted about - is unsustainable. See my post attached here for why the oil rally is unsustainable. Why is RTS unsustainable? Firstly, it is likely to follow oil's possible move down. Secondly, Russia is still in quite a severe recession. Thirdly, Russia's economy is forecast to contract 1.5% this year. As long as the outlook for oil looks poor (as it does in my opinion), then the Russian equity index shouldn't be making rallies of 30%. Technicals The market has hit a strong level of resistance, as indicated by the upper horizontal black line.
INDEX:RTSIShort
by olly_price
1
Short Petrobras based on an unsustainable rallyFundamentals Petrobras has seen an 80% rally through March, which is unsustainable. The reason for this is because the rally is based on the possible [ impeachment of president Dilma Rousseff, whose policies adversely affected the Brazilian oil market. While this is good news for the Brazilian oil company, the fundamentals of the company simply do not fit with such a rally. It still has the largest debt level in the entire oil industry at about £75 billion; it will continue to have legal costs incurred from a corruption scandal; oil prices are still too low to be strongly profitable, and in my opinion will move lower to about $30, which will further fuel this rally to be pared. Technicals The stock price has hit a very strong level of resistance in the 4.50 and 4.75 price range, as indicated by the horizontal black lines, and is likely to rebound off this. There has also been very strong bearish divergence on the RSI, which is all indicated by the thin black arrows.
NYSE:PBR.AShort
by olly_price
Looking for signal to short this bloody equity rally?I have a solution. Use the moving average 50 period low. Check the 4h chart on US30. Insert a 50 period moving average low. Insert support and resistance lines. You will notice a couple of things, at the end of the last equity rally, it was profitable to short the market EVERY TIME once the price CLOSED below the 50MA. In other words you couldn't go wrong using this signal. In the current rally, the MA50 has acted as a support EVERY TIME (along with upward trend). A close below this line will be a good time to sell based in historical patterns. A close below the upward trending black support as well will confirm selling signal. We are approaching historical resistance and I'm expecting the price to fall below the MA50 soon - probably this week. The rally has taken many scalps. Don't be cannon fodder. Trade wisely. There are many fundamental reasons why this rally should end, I feel that this rally is purely technical.
FX:US30Short
by maccabean
2
CADCHF - Possible new Rally to take out the first Supply LevelLast night my CADJPY buy trade reached the take profit earning +720 pips of realized profit. Now with this chart I answer to a doubt of a member of my facebook group about CADCHF. He sold for the short term, but of course his entry point was a high risk entry. CADCHF shows in the highest time frame a Rotation of the Man Trend, from bearish to bullish. In the daily chart it is possible to see the price that is rising up. The demand willing is prevailing and the price could take out the first Supply Level the daily chart, rising up in a new possible rally. On chart I marked Supply and Demand Levels and Rally, Base, Rally behavior. What do you think about this currency? Thank you Girolamo Aloe
by girolamoaloe
Again a bitcoin fractal.That is where I think we are now. We`re in a quite similar fractal of the "small" rally of 2012. As you might remember, that rally took place a few months before the halving, after a long bearmarket, a situation strangely similar to where we are now. My prediction: I think we´ll slowly rise back to 450, build a plateau at 450-500 and stay there stable for a few months. Then we might see a rally unfold, if bitcoin continues to do fractals. It would fit also the upcoming halving in the middle of 2016. However, for that, the potentially upcoming economic crisis needs to fully unfold, with lots of capital flowing into bitcoin. The chances for that are not so slim.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SebastianofMoon
Long EURUSD: Potential Rally Through (iii)-of-CEURUSD may be entering a strong rally through wave-iii-of-(iii), providing an opportunity to take a long position with a R/R of 9.36. The larger C-wave is an expected 5-wave impulse considering wave-A was also counted as 5 waves (5-3-5 zig-zag). Since a bullish 5-wave-(i) was corrected by a zig-zag decline and a price was rejected at the .786% retracement of (i), it is reasonable to consider this an indication that wave-iii has begun. Hoever, if wave-ii retraces deeper, and it may, the position will be stopped out and another long position can be taken at the next indication of bullish PA into iii. Target is placed at (A)=(C) with a SL below wave-ii.
Long
by glennmercer
23