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Current SPY low is < 1% from the June 2022 lows - Double Bottom?My cycle patterns suggest a rally phase is likely over the next 7+ trading days - but, the trend is very bearish today. It is almost as if the markets are flushing out stop levels - actively seeking a support level near the June 2022 lows. It will be very interesting to see how the market ends today. If we see a big recovery rally into the close, it may support my cycle patterns predictions of a rally phase leading to what may be a new support level near $365. If it continues to sell downward, then I will be forced to admit my cycle patterns FAILED today. That means I'll have to spend hours studying why this failed and if I can make any improvements to my cycle pattern qualifiers/code. I will state that my predictive modeling suggests a rally phase is still likely. So, we'll see what happens as the day progresses. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
Big Cycle Pattern Day - Momentum Rally DayThat means the SPY should find immediate support (after it appears a big GAP downward reflecting Europe's recession concerns). Here's a little hint: Bitcoin will likely rally along with the SPY/ES and others over the next 7+ days. The strength of the US economy/US Dollar may drive global investors into US assets and safe-havens throughout the end of 2022 - possibly setting up a very strong Christmas Rally phase. Remember, this was all predicted over 3 years ago by a major cycle event. I have every day mapped out all the way past 2026 and beyond. Next week should be very exciting. The potential for the markets to rally higher is high. There is a CRUSH day (9-28) that may represent some type of corrective price event, but other than that one day, the momentum appears to be to the upside. Hope you guys are enjoying these? Please comment or let me know if you find these valuable in any way/form? Follow my research...
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
Cycle Pattern - Tomorrows Momentum Rally PatternIs it really that hard to believe that tomorrow could shift gears and move into a moderate momentum rally after the Fed raised rates 75bp? What I find incredibly interesting about these patterns is how they can paint a very clear picture of the opportunities and shifting market trends. Each day is clearly defined (except for the N/A days). Each day paints a picture of what to expect and potential trend. Reading all this data as a story or narrative provides us a very innovative way to address allocation levels, risks/opportunities and trends. Given the market volatility and trending, I would still suggest addressing any potential momentum rally with some caution. Trade smaller amounts and look to pull away from position before the close of trading on Friday. Follow my research.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
Expect 12-20% lower from here on TOTAL2 before potential supportUpdated my TOTAL2 macro chart - I called the timing/level of the market rally in my first version based on TA. Reviving this chart because once again, blood is in the water. I'm not predicting it will catch support and rally again at the exact same level; I'm merely reminding you that this is the next significant level of POTENTIAL support, and there's still a 12-20% drop before we get there. Careful out there, and keep stops in place. With FOMC in a few days, clearly this will be a volatile week. Happy Trades, CD
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by cryptodonovan
Buy The Lows IF.... FOMC takes us there! (end of week)As we all know the last FOMC announcement drastically effected the crypto market several weeks ago and well... Every other market for that matter. 2 days until we are met with yet another bearish outlook surely? These expected moves to the downside perhaps create an opportunity for anyone who can maintain the intestinal fortitude to bear the risk (no pun intended). Consider me an optimist and pro MMT; the market should in theory head for new highs come January. So for sure we are early. Of course playing counter trend will go against your better judgement even though some bulls are purely in a denial state at this point just wishing for 30k again. I recommend trading small positions on leverage. cut your losses quick. For anyone else just buying the coin looking to hodl for the rest of the year, now would be your chance to catch one of many prime entries on a potential Christmas rally. I stray away from flooding my charts with Indicators for these post to keep things simple. We expect price to go lower, if it does. you know what to do.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by LiveTradingHouse
Total Contrarian Trade/SetupAs much as I believe in "Don't Fight The Fed", I'm starting to think the bottom for the US markets (Technology/SPY/QQQ) may be much closer than some people think. My cycle research suggests a 2022.5 cycle pattern (late in the second half of 2022) is highly likely. Have we seen that yet? Maybe. Maybe it is the recent bottom in June 2022 and the change of direction (higher) after that bottom. Here are some of the KEY CYCLE PATTERNS that catch my attention. 9-27~10-8 : Harami, CRUSH, Gap, Top, Consolidation, Temp Bottom, Gap Reversal, Breakdown, Breakaway, Rally, Carryover, Bottom 10-11~10-25: Inside/Breakaway, Harami, CRUSH, GAP, Gap Reversal, Breakdown, Breakaway, Carryover, Temp Bottom, Top/Resistance, Consolidation, CRUSH, GAP, BIG GAP These patterns, and the fact that I'm seeing some strength in the consumer sector, align with a potential Elliot Wave setup that suggests we may see some extreme volatility as we shift into a moderate Christmas Rally Phase. It all depends on HOW DEEP (if anything) we see the markets move after the Fed rate decision. If the markets fall back into bullish trending and attempt to move away from lower support levels, then there is a very solid chance we may see an extended Bullish price trend starting a new Christmas Rally phase - possibly lasting into Q1:2023. The CRUSH patterns are the only thing that concerns me. These are typically very aggressive downward price moves - but can sometimes represent pullbacks in an uptrend. I've seen them happen in very strong uptrends and I'm thinking capital may be shifting away from the same risks that were in the markets in late 2021. We've seen technology and other sectors fall 45% to 76% in some cases. The contrarian trade (bullish if support holds) may be a very low risk trade right now.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by BradMatheny
Double Bottom Pattern / AMD $110-120Hey, AMD is forming a good looking double bottom pattern and is primed for a breakout leading up to earnings 10/25 if the stock can get through the $94 range. AMD has strong support at the $70-75 range and has rallied upwards of $100+ when that resistance is tested, which it has been recently. I believe AMD has been beaten down more than the other comparative semi stocks and is due for an upward correction. Obviously this is dependent on the FED rate hike, however the market has priced in a full basis point and I strongly believe we will actually get a .75 considering we haven't had a full point hike done in a very long time. I see Powell playing it safe and not shocking the market, causing the market to react similarly to the July-August transition, which in turn sparked a huge bull rally. With all that being said... AMD is cheap with good call options prices. AMD to $110-120
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by markriah22
BULL TRAP BEAR MARKET BULL RUN WATCHING UVXYAMEX:UVXY UVXY is known to watch greed and fear while rising on fear. Federal minutes release is tomorrow; in the meanwhile this late afternoon the indices and the ETFs that track them printed bearish engulfing candles taking away as much as 1% in moments- this may be a fear escalation process. To capitalize on this I took call options on UVXY with an expiration on this Friday. UVXY is 3 the YTD low. SMAs 50, 100 and 200 are above. as target candidates. Horizontal resistances are drawn. Time will tell. Looks good right now.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
First bounce with valid RSI support First, this is not entirely my idea. Someone posted it in chat, and then deleted it immediately and then I couldn't find them or their chart. But I saw it long enough to get the picture. The 3 bounces prior to this one since $17.8, have all crossed over above 30 on the RSI, on the 4 hour. Generally those aren't oversold enough conditions to make significant impact. This one is different however, as you can see it crossed below the 30, and that's a bullish signal. Couple that with the double bottom and it makes for a compelling case for a strong rally to the upside. In any case, I'm staying cautious, leaning a bit bullish. Will place some longs if we can get clean above $21,500. But they will be tightly controlled as things are tricky to read right now. There are other indicators working against BTC too of course. Zoomed in, the chart actually shows a triple bottom forming on the 15m, which is like a double bottom, but more specifically a reversal signal. Regardless of all of this, the chart zoomed out, at a glance, looks quite sketchy, IMO, but I still think we go to low $22k.
Long
by D-Rock_Anomaly
2
Breadth has been strong and this week will be critical for $RSPThe market as a whole needs this rally to have healthy breadth and so far that's what it looks like is happening, a broad-based rally. It closed above its 200 DMA for the first time since April 21st (albeit by just 13 cents) which is also when the downtrend started. The downtrend has been thoroughly broken. Looking for 2-3 more strong daily closes above the 200 DMA to be relatively certain that the rally will continue and we could be back in a bull market.
AMEX:RSP
by EBITDAtiger
Dolphins flee GFC2.0Chart panes: SPY, 240m price indicator: momentum midline oscillator Price exhibits, perhaps historic, divergence from the momentum oscillator below. This is just one of many signs concerning experts about the possibility of a global financial crisis. Managing risk in this environment feels ironic at times. It reminds me a Douglas Adams humor book from the iconic series "Hitchhikers guide to the galaxy". In the last book from the series, the earth's dolphins foresee the planets destruction and flee by spaceship. The dolphins, not wanting to be rude, left mankind a thank you note in the ocean, saying: "So long, and thanks for all the fish!" For now, I remain in the ocean and will suffice by downsizing positions.
AMEX:SPY
by gb50k
2
Retest and Go🫰Hi everyone, I hope you are doing well. Yesterday we talked about how DOTUSDT was doing a Flip pattern by retesting the last resistance as support. Today was a really bullish day as it did what we analyzed and agreed on yesterday on TradingView. In short, I expect the price to pull back to the last support, the same one that it bounced from. The reason is that the price just removed the liquidity that was accumulated in the last high. If we consolidate at the resistance that we are in right now, then I expect a rally to the upside. So we basically have 2 scenarios that we might expect until the end of the week. Please comment if you have any questions, I will try my best to answer them. Thank you😊
Long
by yassin_khanji
US Stocks: Improved Technical ActionThe futures of the major US indices fell modestly early Monday morning. The stock market rally passed an inflection point last week, making a decisive move higher. Investors should be adding to their positions with careful buys, not rushing to ramp up exposure. Markets are showing solid and improving technical action, but also appear to be betting on an optimistic economic scenario. Here is the link to our updated watchlist for the US tock market: www.tradingview.com Watch out for the sectors Solar, Energies, Health & Technologies and Consumer Services which all show improved relative group strength. All Stocks on our watchlist are absolute top picks and fulfill Minervini's Trend-Template criteria and are selected using IBD's CAN SLIM criteria. Also, they all have low risk entry points.
DJ:DJILong
by JS_TechTrading
SPX ~6000 if this time is not differentThe SPX chart has 2 goals and one constraint: Demonstrate the VIX / VVIX ratio as an inverse momentum indicator for SPX. The VIX is risk adjusted" by VVIX and the ratio is more useful than VIX alone. "Useful" is similar to 'Statistical Power' and means less data required to identify smaller changes amidst higher volatility. Suggest that an ATH of SPX 6000 is "not unreasonable" considering the pattern and magnitude of prior large moves (corrections, bear markets, and very large dips) . . . Unless this time is different.
TVC:VIX
by gb50k
2
Continuation of Bear Market Rally Summer 2022Hello Hello! So far so good from my previous bear market rally chart. Everything seems to be held in place as the market continues to climb upwards with regard to recession and the recent 75 bps rate hike and on top of it all very controversial earning reports. Shorts and retail continue to be punished for their bear case as the market continues to climb upwards breaking above the 400 level and more. Let's continue this rally till September SPY 440 is my goal end of September, see you then!
AMEX:SPYLong
by TryHarder14
Stock Market Rallies As GDP Triggers RecessionThe stock market extended gains yesterday, in parallel the US economy officially entered a recession based on the commonly accepted definition. Amazon.com (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) reported their quarterly results after the close and added to the market's gains: Amazon up 12% , Apple up 4%. Stock market futures conitnue to rally as well. The 10-year Treasury yield ticked down to 2.68%, closing at its lowest level since early April. Stock Market The stock market uptrend shrugged off the recession signal, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 gained 1% and 1.2%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq rallied 1.1%. The small-cap Russell 2000 advanced 1.3%. While recession could slow earnings, it appears that most of the negative news are already discounted and priced into the stock market. Our JS-TechTrading model portfolio had a great week which is confirmed by volume-proce action bymany leading stocks as well as the major market indices. What does that mean for swing-traders? Swing-traders have the green light to boost their exposure to stocks, focusing on those breaking out past correct buy points. Gradually commit capital to leading stocks. Still, it's not time to be overly aggressive as we potentially could have another leg down in the general market. Here is the link to our updated watchlist: www.tradingview.com Watch out for health and technology stock. Industry group ratings suggest that those could be the leaders in the next bull market cycle. All Stocks on our watchlist are absolute top picks and fulfill Minervini's Trend-Template criteria and are selected using IBD's CAN SLIM criteria. Also, they all have low risk entry points.
AMEX:SPYLong
by JS_TechTrading
NZDUSD, buyers building for a break higher? Hello to our subscribers and to the TradingView community. Welcome to Thursday’s update. Focus today is on the NZDUSD. Price failed to launch our consolidation after yesterday’s FOMC, but the pattern remains, and we continue to wonder if secondary momentum will see buyers confirm a breakout. Early this morning, the FED increased rates to 2.50%. The statement seemed to reassure buyers and set off a sharp risk rally that covered most markets and sent the USD lower. Powell said they didn’t see the economy in a recession, and action showed that the FED is committed to fighting the current inflation issue. The Fed also advised that a time will come when rates rise slowly to assess their impact. This could have been seen as a hint that an end to the cycle could be nearing. Regardless, we can’t take away from what happened this morning, and that was that risk markets liked what they heard and acted accordingly—strong upswings were seen across stock indexes, forex pairs, gold, oil and cryptocurrencies. The NZDUSD rallied after the FOMC but remained capped at 0.6260 resistance. Today we’re seeing buyers test that level with a move outside, starting to push at a breakout. Yesterday’s candle was a failed break lower and, after holding, reconfirmed the new uptrend line. We have also seen a break of two down trendlines. The OBV is also quite interesting at the moment. We haven’t seen a true breakout by price, but we are seeing a consolidation break on the OBV. Could this be a lead in volume increasing before price moves higher? We will continue to watch price to see if buyers can take the next step.
Long
by Eightcap
Ethereum (ETH) - 21/7/2022 ideaMarket is currently in process of correction from that huge rally we had during the past week or so. 1250 level on ETH is very important for buyers to defend as it is where we broke out from and was previous heavy resistance, under that level we're entering heavy bear territory which would lead us to somewhere between $500-600 where I think we will potentially see a macro bottom for ETH. I believe that the bullish scenario is more likely as market didn't have time to catch this rally, thus 1250 should act as a strong buy zone.
by crauzer