USD/ZAR KEY ZONE STUDY - read contentsThis is for demonstration and educational purposes. Price is currently sitting on a key zone, with one additional key zone beneath. Although I do believe price is setting up for a buy long term; in the short term we do have to consider there is one additional key zone beneath, where price could test. Watch for a breakout in either direction, and a re-test before buying to the upside.
RAND
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDZARTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (14.7415).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. USDZAR is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 70.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 15.0992
TP2= @ 15.2928
TP3= @ 15.4861
TP4= @ 15.7403
TP5= @ 16.0805
TP6= @ 16.7300
SL= Break below S2
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💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDZARTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (14.7415).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. USDZAR is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 70.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 15.0992
TP2= @ 15.2928
TP3= @ 15.4861
TP4= @ 15.7403
TP5= @ 16.0805
TP6= @ 16.7300
SL= Break below S2
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. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
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Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
USDZAR - It is a question of "when"If you do not shy away from trading the exotic pairs, this should be on your watch list.
The only question in my mind is - when/where will the down trend resume.
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BRICS currencies movement for the week – 16 October 2020A strong week for the US Dollar, with most Emerging Market currencies coming under pressure. Also look at my US Dollar Index Idea here:
Despite the USD strength, the ZAR remained resilient, having some of the best relative BRICS currency performance for the week.
BRICS currency/USD movements for this week:
Brazil -1.9%
Russia -1.1%
India -0.6%
China 0.0%
South Africa -0.5%
Euro /USD -1.7%
Technically, the ZAR broke and close the week off below all four the 8-, 21-, 50- and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), which over the shorter-term, might provide some further momentum in the ZAR.
If this was a false break and we see the ZAR break and stay above the 200-day EMA (at R16.61) this week, we could see it move back to the 50-day EMA at R16.76. A break and close above this level could see the USDZAR test the diagonal resistance level at R16.85, with a break and close above this level, most probably bringing R17.10 back into play. With the runup to the US Elections, this (USD Strength) in my view can only happen if the momentum swings back from Biden to Trump, which at this stage seems highly unlikely.
The 14-day RSI is not in oversold territory yet, which will have me optimistic should the USDZAR break and close below R16.50 early this coming week. Momentum is turning and very much moving back into the favour of the Rand, which tend to make me believe that we might just be testing the R16.10 levels again over the shorter-term. Watch the US Dollar Index early this week. Should you be contemplating any short-term long positions in the ZAR (short USDZAR), I would only look at doing so below 93.20 on the Index.
Two buy opportunities on this chart for USDZARMid-Term Forecast:
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (16.545). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. USDZAR is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 53.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 17.2610
TP2= @ 17.7630
TP3= @ 18.6940
TP4= @ 19.3420
TP5= @ 21.4450
SL= Break below S3
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Short-Term Forecast:
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (16.784). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. USDZAR is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 55.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 17.2610
TP2= @ 17.5260
TP3= @ 17.7655
TP4= @ 18.1270
TP5= @ 18.6915
SL= Break below S3
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Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
jse:har Harmony Gold UpsideHarmony Gold has come down 27% since last week's price of R72.
Case for short term upside in Harmony Gold:
Harmony closely correlates to the Rand Gold price.
1. DXY Dollar Index is extremely oversold on the RSI, way off its 50-day moving average together with a big perfected TD 8 0f 9 candle which indicates a potential turnaround candle tomorrow. This inherently means a potential weakening of the Rand.
2. The Rand itself is currently at its .618 Fib "Retracement level and also in extreme RSI overbaught levels.
3. Harmony Gold has turned around at R51.50 which can be argued is because of great support as the Volume Profile indicates extreme volume levels between R49 and R50.
DXY Dollar Index Turning Green ?The dollar index has broken medium term trend lines to the downside.
Case for short term upside:
1. It is current EXTREMELY oversold on the RSI.
2. It has fallen far below its 50 day moving average.
3. TD Indicator is on a perfected 8 of 9 with the 8 daily candle being a big one. Potential capitulation here for a turnaround tomorrow on the TD 9.
This inherently means that the ZAR Rand can weeken tomorrow as itself is now at its 618 Fib Retracement level compounded by an extreme RSI overbaught level.
USDZAR Finding SupportThe Rand had a good run the last 2 weeks but the following reasons may hint to a price support at current levels:
1. Price currently at 50% Fib Retracement level.
2. Horisontal price support from 2 months ago.
3. TD indicator on a perfected daily 9.
4. RSI at extreme low levels.
5. Triangular pattern plays out at current levels.
Can the Rand strengthen more? Offcourse yes, but only on the back of a weakening Dollar I would say.
Probability though more to the "price support" theme at current levels.