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Bitcoin S-curve with Mining History + Qualitative Hasing RateSome assumptions first: Bitcoin follows an S-curve typical of many growing technologies (and sometimes even stocks/indices): Adoption chart The exact gradients / inflexion points of the S-curve shown here is illustrative, as we cannot know its future development. The hashing rate shown here (brown line) is completely illustrative and represents only the changing trend (which has been increasing or constant since 2010). S-curves (which appear as exponential curves in linear charts) indicate a viral exchange of information which is typical of technology adoption and hype (this is where stocks/indices come in etc) In the case of Bitcoin, although the rate of production is supposed to be constant (hence difficulty adjustment) and therefore cannot affect the price, there is a clear relationship between price development and the development of network hashing rate. The hashing rate develops with the evolution of the mining sector from 2010 hobbyist to 2018 industrialist. The next big boom in Bitcoin will take place in conjunction with the next revolution in mining. There are some 4 million Bitcoins still left to mine. The next halving (block reward reduction to 6.25 BTC/block) is probable in summer 2020. But the halving is not necessary in order to start a new growth phase . In fact the previous two halvings occurred half-way through the growth cycle. Some reading: Controlled Supply Evolution of Bitcoin Hardware Bitcoin hashing rate Bitcoin mining price 2015 Bloomberg mining price 2018
BNC:BLXEducation
by RealMcafee
86
Make XAUUSD Great Again! March 20-24 Trading PlanOANDA:XAUUSD has broken out of the downtrend after the 1260 rejection and with hourly timeframe moving averages confirming the trend change. Bulls are still in the game and it looks like it will have another try against the Wall of Trump resistance. No big positions as of yet as I expected a pullback that didn't materialize and it consolidated for 2 days straight after the FOMC breakout. 4H Timeframe View: OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting just right above the 200MA and its looking to be a firm support for the next upmove 1H Timeframe View: OANDA:XAUUSD is forming higher lows after the FOMC breakout which suggests buyer strength. The 1230 level/20DMA is still acting as a resistance but as long as the current momentum continues it will be great to take a long position if there will be a short pullback to the 1206-1207 level and if the said level holds. Preferred Entry: 1226-1227.5 Stop: 1223 Profit 1260 Just in case the level doesn't hold, we can look for a pullback till the 1219-1220 and take a long position if it holds. Preferred Entry: 1219-1220 Stop: 1216 Profit 1260 Any feedbacks are appreciated!
FLong
by SimpleMillennialAverage
7
AUDUSD buy trade succesful, next: rate decisionHi guy's, in this week's video I mentioned the continuation higher in AUDUSD to fulfill at least the minimum requirements. This has been done and our original buy's have been succesful. Next the rate decision is on the agenda. In my video I also explained the difference between a continuation and an extension. The daily time frame does not show one unique wave to be over. This means; 'IF price moves lower as a result of the rate decision it is an extension lower on daily time frame and not a continuation'. Safe trades!
by TimStuyts
(4h) Short-Term Sell & Long-Term BuyAfter analyzing the bigger timeframe perspective of the GBPUSD, it seems that the market cycle for this pair is heading for a bullish trend . The Fed Interest Rate decision will determine the continuation of this trend, although it's more than likely that the Fed will maintain the current Interest Rate value until December 13th. Utilizing the Fibonacci Retracement Levels, we can expect a downward correction in the following days, followed by a long-term continuation of the original bullish impulse. So, for Scalpers , it's recommended to put a Sell order after the Fed decision as the price will move towards 0.5 level, possibly reaching the 0.618. Nevertheless, I'd say it's a good idea to place a Buy order once it bounces back, from these same levels, for the longer pip ride.
Long
by CarlosBMN
NZDUSD - Bearish Bias Going Into RBNZ Rate StatementThe focus for this week will definitely be on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), a.k.a the Kiwi. The New Zealand’s central bank – the Reverse Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will be releasing their latest Official Cash Rate and the Rate Statement this Thursday. Since the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 1.75%, the key will be the tone of the Rate Statement. A dovish tone will see more selling pressure on the NZD; while a hawkish tone will see the NZD being support by the bulls. Based on our analysis, we are holding a bearish bias on the NZD. Since late July this year, the NZDUSD has fallen from the high at 0.7557 to the low at 0.7131 in a 5-wave structure; and has since bounced higher towards the recent high at 0.7434 in a 3-wave structure. According to Elliott Wave Principle, a complete price cycle comprises a 5-wave move, followed by a 3-wave correction. With that, the correction in NZDUSD is deemed to be completed, and we are now expecting more downside potential for this currency pair.
Short
by KarYong
Long GBPAUD - Anticipating No Surprise to MPC VoteSo generally the MPC vote is expected to be Neutral and if we look through a bit, if it does comes out 7 Hold to 2 Hike as expected, GBP should be weaken. Now my intention is to look for clue if the market has already priced this in: on average, up to this point GBP is down with the most down being GBPAUD. Let's say the trend continues to in the next hour, my conclusion is the market has priced in the base case expectation. What I will do is to Enter Long GBPAUD as I bet if the outcome is Neutral GBP will rebound. The scenario where I will lose money will be not all of the results came out as expected i.e. one of those data point is even more bearish (increase in amount of APF, more than 0 dovish vote). Technical level: it is hovering around 1.6476 - 1.65, I will make Entry with Stop-loss below these, TP is around 1.6574 - 1.66
by vietbach1990
usd index (up) we have many technical analysis in this chart we have :- 1- head and shoulders pattern . 2- ABCD pattern . 3- support . 4- flag . and all of this technical give us expectation the USD will go up . tomorrow we have many news and pig news like :- 1- CPI m/m 2- Core CPI m/m 3- Core Retail Sales m/m 4- Retail Sales m/m 5- FOMC Economic Projections 6- Federal Funds Rate 7- FOMC Press Conference all of this news are very important than technical what will happen if this news Especial " Federal Funds Rate " are be greater than last time, USD will go to 97.80 and any pair against USD will fall down and i expect this will go happen tomorrow
TVC:DXYLong
by david.ayad2012
float listFLOT Ishares Floating Rate Bond Etf 0.16% 0.32% 50.89 50.38 0.00% 50.84 Buy Strong Buy 50.85 768.111K DRIP Direxion Daily S&p Oil Services Bear 3x Shares 43.89% -9.72% 54.75 10.28 -0.99% 17.92 Buy Strong Buy 19.08 779.961K CHKP Check Point Software Tech Ltd 6.54% 32.90% 104.64 74.34 0.30% 103.05 Buy Strong Buy 103.41 1.036M EL Lauder Estee Cos Inc 9.05% -1.87% 97.48 75.30 -0.91% 85.37 Sell Buy 85.18 1.502M EWU Ishares Msci United Kingdom Etf 4.05% 6.58% 33.13 27.60 0.03% 32.44 Sell Buy 32.37 1.577M ERY Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3x Shares 23.63% -3.99% 21.50 8.59 0.08% 11.84 Buy Strong Buy 12.41 1.809M SPLV Powershares S&p 500 Low Volatility Portfolio 5.01% 7.46% 44.01 39.61 0.05% 43.52 Buy Strong Buy 43.61 1.873M KCG Kcg Hldgs Inc 44.37% 29.00% 19.78 11.74 -0.15% 18.29 Buy Strong Buy 19.75 2.66M CYTK Cytokinetics Inc 27.83% 46.49% 14.35 7.18 4.78% 12.76 Buy Strong Buy 14.25 6.551M P
AMEX:EWULong
by yung181
AUDNZD Elliott Forecast & Flag Breakout TradeAt the moment, in the big picture we are forming an ABC zigzag correction pattern which will take us into the 1.07408 area in which price will continue upwards. For now we can short down to this level by taking flag breakouts in favor of the downside. We have just closed below an ascending triangle on the lower timeframes and this has lead me to go short taking conservative targets @1.08240. I may, however, trail stops with structure if the AUD interest rate decision causes more bears to step in.
Short
by wstipp18
USDJPY Inverted Cup and Handle Again? March 20-24 Trading PlanFX:USDJPY broke the 50DMA once again and looking bearish in my opinion. The breakdown and downtrend is also supported by the moving averages on the hourly timeframes. Don't have any big positions as I expected it to retest the 114 breakdown level but it didn't happen 4H Timeframe View: FX:USDJPY tried to break the 200MA but it failed and continued its downtrend breaking the 113 support 1H Timeframe View: Looks like its consolidating after the 113 breakdown but I wouldn't discount a possible pullback to retest the 113 level and it would be a great short level if the downtrend continues. Preferred Entry: 112.9-113 Stop: 113.3 Profit: 111.6 But there is also a possibility that it would stay on this level until it once again breaks down. If that was the case then we can simply wait for either the 20MA(red line) or the 50MA(yellow line) on the 1H timeframe to reach the price and short it at the level if it doesnt break above it. If the 111.6 profit target is reached, we can take partial profits or move stops to profit as its possible FX:USDJPY will bounce on this area as it has done multiple times in the past or finally break that daily support Any feedbacks are appreciated!
Short
by SimpleMillennialAverage
6