Today on the radar, Barrick Gold Barrick Gold has attracted some attention as major investors, including recently the notable Stanley Druckenmiller, have taken significant positions. With these influential players entering the fray, while the gold market experiencing remarkable momentum, the question emerges: Is this the right moment to buy? Well, let's dive on...
Suppose I am a forex trader who trades both gold and oil among others. I am aware that gold is now rising and oil has already risen. Should I sell out of oil and buy gold? Here I use TradingView tools to give guidance to the best approach. On the daily chart, I have dressed out the chart with a long anchored VWAP and its deviation lines along with the price...
According to TA rules, the ratio has completed the pattern with a Complex Right Shoulder (two peaks). Those these means that the SP:SPX should breakout from that downward trendline? I don't know, but probably. Or those it means that energy stocks should finally follow oil prices? Maybe, it is what normally had happend. What I'm seeing is more stocks going up,...
I have an alert for when the 10-day moving average falls below .8. The PCC spends most of its time between.8 and 1 when the 10 moving average falls below .8 you can count on a bearish reversal in the market. As of right now, we are above that with plenty of room. The reason why I bring this up now is that if we mid-term rally I'm looking for a strong bull push...
At the above pane is the SP:SPX making new lows; I really thoght that the low was already made. Then in red in Small Cap Growth vs Small Cap Value (IWO/IWN), in green is the S&P Growth vs S&P Value (SPYG/SPYV) and in yellow is the Consumer Discretionary vs Consumer Staples (XLY/XLP). There are a lot more but these are the most common ratios to evaluate what...
Todays ATR continues to ignore (not confirm) a downward move in equities. Additionally, todays index/'VIX' move is best described as a sideways shift of the daily range.
The summary: Stocks fell ("Faded"?) out of the main upward channel. Bulls can hang there hats on the ATR that has not confirmed a reversal. Chart shows the mean of 3 US stock indexes divided by their respective volatility index: SPX / VIX , NDQ / VXN , DJA / VXD. This is one approach to putting all 3 on a single scale and is conceptually similar to Z-score,...
The eternal battle, growth vs value. This ratio AMEX:SPYG / AMEX:SPYV has helped in the past in spotting peaks and throughs of the SP:SPX . But for the las few years, is better at timing bottoms. It did in the 2018 correction, in the Covid crash of 2019 and is doing it now. The ratio starts to go up just before the market does. Because that's what a bull...
The SPX chart has 2 goals and one constraint: Demonstrate the VIX / VVIX ratio as an inverse momentum indicator for SPX. The VIX is risk adjusted" by VVIX and the ratio is more useful than VIX alone. "Useful" is similar to 'Statistical Power' and means less data required to identify smaller changes amidst higher volatility. Suggest that an ATH of SPX...
Interesting chart showing that DOT has been making a comeback against ETH but is now at some strong resistance VS ETH If the past cycles were indicative of the future, there is a chance DOT could trade well against ETH. And then vice versa. Not trading or financial advice, I just find ratios very interesting. IF there's a flash crash, then the ratios go...
Fundamental Analysis: CVS has an stimated EPS in 2023 of 7,40(marketscreener) and 8,23(tikr). Applying a possible PER of 13x in 2023, this give us a potential price of 96,2-$106$. Technical Analysis: Since Resistance of 82$ has been broken it this can lead the price to next resistance level in 97$. Considering both analysis, I'm bullish with this stock.
As always, this is just me thinking out loud. If we consider the fiat/usd deflation narrative and also the idea that btc will be the digital gold or its digital equivalent, then the ratio of gold / btc should be relatively unaffected by the loss of value from usd. I would like to track this for a while with this chart, which has the horizontal lines as 12 month...
Let me start off by saying I hold a very small position in Ethereum, and do not think that Bitcoin will be the currency of the future. However, I came across this built-in ratio and couldn't resist playing around with Fibonacci time-zones to see if anything interesting popped up. The (potential) results I came across shocked me, so I thought I'd share them here...
Bears were rejected multiple times and have so far kept the support at $10k price range. Two possible pattern were formed on 1H timeframe, signaling at a possible short-term reversal of downtrend. If prices stay above the shoulders' lowest value, it is highly likely to continue up. Judging by the BTCUSD/SPX chart below, we are testing the downtrend channel in...
Kava has been moving fast, make corrections opportunities. Depending on what bitcoin does we will be back on the path to see new ATH, making preview resistances support on the way. Ps: Announcements coming in the end of the month. + ideia for swing trades opportunities on the MKRBTC/KAVABTC Ratio
Thought that this may be an interesting chart to draw as I expect both altcoins to make substantial gains in terms of BTC ratio. The key take-home over here is that during every altcoin cycle, XRPBTC has always increased in ratio to BTC before LTC. A long-term strategy is to use XRP as an indicator of when LTCBTC will increase, as LTC has always lagged behind...
This is a very simple analysis based on ratio analysis. Based on the last several waves down ADA saw a 81%, 80%, and most recently, a 79% retracement. These ~80% retracements were then followed by a 150% and 132% bounce. Therefore, if this pattern continues we should expect ADA to make a nice run to the 800 sat level. Coming to about a 100% return from the 400...